Mid-Regional Pro-Adrenomedullin in Combination With Pediatric Early Warning Scores for Risk Stratification of Febrile Children Presenting to the Emergency Department: Secondary Analysis of a Nonprespecified United Kingdom Cohort Study

Role of diagnostic tests for sepsis in children: a review

Paediatric sepsis has a significant global impact and highly heterogeneous clinical presentation. The clinical pathway encompasses recognition, escalation and de-escalation. In each aspect, diagnostics have a fundamental influence over outcomes in children. Biomarkers can aid in creating a larger low-risk group of children from those in the clinical grey area who would otherwise receive antibiotics 'just in case'. Current biomarkers include C reactive protein and procalcitonin, which are limited in their clinical use to guide appropriate and rapid treatment. Biomarker discovery has focused on single biomarkers, which, so far, have not outperformed current biomarkers, as they fail to recognise the complexity of sepsis. The identification of multiple host biomarkers that may form a panel in a clinical test has the potential to recognise the complexity of sepsis and provide improved diagnostic performance. In this review, we discuss novel biomarkers and novel ways of using existing biomarkers in the assessment and management of sepsis along with the significant challenges in biomarker discovery at present. Validation of biomarkers is made less meaningful due to methodological heterogeneity, including variations in sepsis diagnosis, biomarker cut-off values and patient populations. Therefore, the utilisation of platform studies is necessary to improve the efficiency of biomarkers in clinical practice.

[Utility of the medial region of pro-adrenomodulin for the detection of true bacteremia in elderly patients treated in the emergency department for suspected infection]

OBJECTIVE

The prediction of bacteremia in the emergency department (ER) is important for initial decision-making. The elderly population is a diagnosis challenge. The objective was to evaluate the accuracy of mid regional pro-adrenomedullin (MR-proADM) to identify true bacteremia (BV) in elderly patients attended in 3 hospital emergency departments.

METHODS

Observational study including patients ≥75 years of age or older attended in the ER for suspected infection in whom a blood culture (BC) was extracted. Sociodemographic, comorbidity, hemodynamic and analytical variables, biomarkers [MR-proADM, procalcitonin (PCT), C-reactive protein (CRP) and lactate] and final diagnosis were collected. The primary outcome was a true positive on a blood culture.

RESULTS

A total of 109 patients with a mean age of 83 (SD: 5.5) years were included. A final diagnosis of BV was obtained in 22 patients (20.2%). The independent variables to predict it were PCT (OR: 13.9; CI95%: 2.702-71.703; p=0.002), MR-proADM (OR: 4.081; CI95%: 1.026-16.225; p=0.046) and temperature (OR: 2.171; CI95%: 1.109-4.248; p=0.024). Considering the cut-off point for MR-proADM (2.13 mg/dl), a sensitivity (Se) of 73%, specificity (E) of 71%, a positive predictive value (PPV) of 39%, a negative predictive value (NPV) of 91%, a positive likelihood ratio (LHR+) of 2.53 and a negative likelihood ratio (LHR-) of 0.38; for PCT (0.76 mg/dl) a Se of 90%, E of 65%, PPV of 40%, NPV of 96%, LHR+ 2,64 and a LHR- of 0.14 were obtained. When combining both, a Se of 69%, E of 84%, PPV of 52%, NPV of 91%, LHR+ of 4.24 and LHR- of 0.38 were observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated levels of PCT and MR-proADM were independently associated with an increased risk of BV and the combination of both improves the accuracy to identify these patients.

Comprehensive Assessment of Mid-Regional Proadrenomedullin, Procalcitonin, Neuron-Specific Enolase and Protein S100 for Predicting Pediatric Severe Trauma Outcomes

The development of multiple organ failure and septic complications increases the cumulative risk of mortality in children with severe injury. Clinically available biochemical markers have shown promise in assessing the severity and predicting the development of complications and outcomes in such cases. This study aimed to determine informative criteria for assessing the severity and outcome prediction of severe injury in children based on levels of mid-regional proadrenomedullin (MR-proADM) procalcitonin (PCT), neuron-specific enolase (NSE), and protein S100. Biomarker levels were measured in 52 children with severe injury (ISS ≥ 16) on the 1st, 3rd, 7th, and 14th days after admission to the ICU. The children were divided into groups based on their favorable (n = 44) or unfavorable (n = 8) outcomes according to the Severe Injury Outcome Scale, as well as their favorable (n = 35) or unfavorable (n = 15) outcomes according to the Glasgow Coma Outcome Scale (GOS). The study also evaluated the significance of biomarker levels in predicting septic complications (with SC (n = 16) and without SC (n = 36)) and diagnosing and stratifying multiple organ failure (with MOF (n = 8) and without MOF (n = 44)). A comprehensive assessment of MR-proADM and PCT provided the highest diagnostic and prognostic efficacy for early diagnosis, risk stratification of multiple organ failure, and outcome prediction in severe injury cases involving children. Additionally, the inclusion of the S100 protein in the study allowed for further assessment of brain damage in cases of traumatic brain injury (TBI), contributing to the overall prognostic model.

Biomarker-guided duration of antibiotic treatment in children hospitalised with confirmed or suspected bacterial infection: statistical analysis plan for the BATCH trial and PRECISE sub-study

INTRODUCTION

The BATCH trial is a multi-centre randomised controlled trial to compare procalcitonin-guided management of severe bacterial infection in children with current management. PRECISE is a mechanistic sub-study embedded into the BATCH trial. This paper describes the statistical analysis plan for the BATCH trial and PRECISE sub-study.

METHODS

The BATCH trial will assess the effectiveness of an additional procalcitonin test in children (aged 72 h to 18 years) hospitalised with suspected or confirmed bacterial infection to guide antimicrobial prescribing decisions. Participants will be enrolled in the trial from randomisation until day 28 follow-up. The co-primary outcomes are duration of intravenous antibiotic use and a composite safety outcome. Target sample size is 1942 patients, based on detecting a 1-day reduction in intravenous antibiotic use (90% power, two-sided) and on a non-inferiority margin of 5% risk difference in the composite safety outcome (90% power, one-sided), while allowing for up to 10% loss to follow-up.

RESULTS

Baseline characteristics will be summarised overall, by trial arm, and by whether patients were recruited before or after the pause in recruitment due to the COVID-19 pandemic. In the primary analysis, duration of intravenous antibiotic use will be tested for superiority using Cox regression, and the composite safety outcome will be tested for non-inferiority using logistic regression. The intervention will be judged successful if it reduces the duration of intravenous antibiotic use without compromising safety. Secondary analyses will include sensitivity analyses, pre-specified subgroup analyses, and analysis of secondary outcomes. Two sub-studies, including PRECISE, involve additional pre-specified subgroup analyses. All analyses will be adjusted for the balancing factors used in the randomisation, namely centre and patient age.

CONCLUSION

We describe the statistical analysis plan for the BATCH trial and PRECISE sub-study, including definitions of clinical outcomes, reporting guidelines, statistical principles, and analysis methods. The trial uses a design with co-primary superiority and non-inferiority endpoints. The analysis plan has been written prior to the completion of follow-up.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

BATCH: ISRCTN11369832, registered 20 September 2017, doi.org/10.1186/ISRCTN11369832.

PRECISE

ISRCTN14945050, registered 17 December 2020, doi.org/10.1186/ISRCTN14945050.