Longitudinal Trends in Pediatric Return Visits to US Emergency Departments

The Shock Index among Children Presenting to the Emergency Department: Analysis of Nationally Representative Sample

BACKGROUND

The Shock Index (SI) is emerging as a potentially useful measure among children with injury or suspected sepsis.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to evaluate the distribution of the SI and evaluate its association with clinical outcomes among all children presenting to the emergency department (ED).

METHODS

A complex survey of nonfederal U.S. ED encounters from 2016 through 2021 was analyzed. Among children, the Pediatric Age-Adjusted Shock Index (SIPA), Pediatric Shock Index (PSI), and the Temperature- and Age-Adjusted Shock Index (TAMSI) were analyzed. The association of these criteria with disposition, acuity, medication administration, diagnoses and procedures was analyzed.

RESULTS

A survey-weighted 81.5 million ED visits were included for children aged 4-16 years and 117.2 million visits were included for children aged 1-12 years. SI could be calculated for 78.6% of patients aged 4-16 years and 57.9% of patients aged 1-12 years. An abnormal SI was present in 15.9%, 11.1%, and 31.7% when using the SIPA, PSI, and TAMSI, respectively. With all criteria, an elevated SI was associated with greater hospitalization. The SIPA and PSI were associated with triage acuity. All criteria were associated with medical interventions, including provision of IV fluids and acquisition of blood cultures.

CONCLUSIONS

An elevated SI is indicative of greater resource utilization needs among children in the ED. When using any criteria, an elevated SI was associated with clinically important outcomes. Further research is required to evaluate the distribution of the SI in children and to investigate its potential role within existing triage algorithms for children in the ED.

Pediatric Patients with Intracranial Arteriovenous Malformations: Trends in Emergency Room Presentation

BACKGROUND

Pediatric intracranial arteriovenous malformation (AVM) patients are commonly admitted to the emergency room (ER). Increasing patient utilization of the ER has been associated with healthcare disparities and a trend of decreased efficiency. The aim of this study was to evaluate the trends of pediatric AVM ER admissions over recent years and identify factors associated with health care resource utilization and outcomes.

METHODS

The 2016-2019 National Inpatient Sample was queried for patients under the age of 18 admitted with AVM. Cases of admission through the ER were identified. Demographic and severity factors associated with ER admission were explored using comparative and regression statistics.

RESULTS

Of 3875 pediatric patients with AVM admitted between 2016 and 2019, 1280 (33.0%) were admitted via the ER. Patients admitted via the ER were more likely to be in the lowest median income category (P < 0.001), on Medicaid insurance (P = 0.008), or in the South (P < 0.001) than patients admitted otherwise. There was increased severity and increased rates of intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) in patients admitted via the ER (P < 0.001). Finally, there were increasing trends in ER admissions and ICH throughout the years.

CONCLUSIONS

ER admission of pediatric AVM patients with ICH is increasing and is associated with a distinct socioeconomic profile and increased healthcare resource utilization. These findings may reflect decreased access to more advanced diagnostic modalities, primary care, and other important resources. Identifying populations with barriers to care is likely an important component of policy aimed at decreasing the risk of severe disease presentation.

Pediatric Return Visits to the Emergency Department: The Time to Return Curve

OBJECTIVE

Although 72-hour return visits are a frequently reported metric for pediatric patients discharged from the emergency department (ED), the basis for this metric is not established. Our objective was to statistically derive a cutoff time point for the characterization of pediatric return visits.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study using data of patients discharged from any of 44 pediatric EDs. We selected the first encounter per patient from January 1 to December 31, 2019, as the index encounter and included the first return visit within 30 days. We constructed a cumulative hazard curve to characterize the timing of return visits and constructed a multivariable adaptive regression spline model to identify a hinge point in return visit presentations. We identified the association between admission for early return visits and admission for late return visits using generalized linear mixed modeling.

RESULTS

Of 1,986,778 index ED discharges, 193,605 (9.7%) ED return visits were included. A double-exponential decay model demonstrated superior fit compared with a single exponential model ( P < 0.0001). Multivariable adaptive regression spline modeling identified a hinge at 7 days. When comparing proportions of return visits leading to hospitalization between early (23.8%) and late (15.1%) return visits, early visits (≤7 days) had higher adjusted odds of hospital admission (adjusted odds ratio, 1.73; 95% confidence interval, 1.69-1.77) relative to late return visits (>7 days). Findings were similar in sensitivity analyses within age subgroups, Census region, and in which the diagnosis (using the Diagnosis and Grouping System) was the same between the index and return visit. Among return visits that occurred within 7 days of the index visit, 46.3% had the same diagnosis grouping in both visits.

CONCLUSIONS

An empirically derived 7-day cutoff may be more appropriate for characterization of pediatric return visits to the ED. Encounters after this period had lower adjusted odds of admission.