Time from HIV infection to virological suppression: dramatic fall from 2007 to 2016

A province-wide HIV initiative to accelerate initiation of treatment-as-prevention and virologic suppression in British Columbia, Canada: a population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

In 2010, HIV treatment as prevention (TasP), encompassing widespread HIV testing and immediate initiation of free antiretroviral treatment (ART), was piloted under the Seek and Treat for Optimal Prevention of HIV/AIDS initiative (STOP) in British Columbia, Canada. We compared the time from HIV diagnosis to treatment initiation, and from treatment initiation to first virologic suppression, before (2005-2009) and after (2010-2016) the implementation of STOP.

METHODS

In this population-based cohort study, we used longitudinal data of all people living with an HIV diagnosis in BC from 1996 to 2017. We included those aged 18 years or older who had never received ART and had received an HIV diagnosis in the 2005-2016 period. We defined the virologic suppression date as the first date of at least 2 consecutive test results within 4 months with a viral load of less than 200 copies/mL. Negative binomial regression models assessed the effect of STOP on the time to ART initiation and suppression, adjusting for confounders. All p values were 2-sided, and we set the significance level at 0.05.

RESULTS

Participants who received an HIV diagnosis before STOP (n = 1601) were statistically different from those with a diagnosis after STOP (n = 1700); 81% versus 84% were men (p = 0.0187), 30% versus 15% had ever injected drugs (p < 0.0001), and 27% versus 49% had 350 CD4 cells/μL or more at diagnosis (p < 0.0001). The STOP initiative was associated with a 64% shorter time from diagnosis to treatment (adjusted mean ratio 0.36, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.34-0.39) and a 21% shorter time from treatment to suppression (adjusted mean ratio 0.79, 95% CI 0.73-0.85).

INTERPRETATION

In a population with universal health coverage, a TasP intervention was associated with shorter times from HIV diagnosis to treatment initiation, and from treatment initiation to viral suppression. Our results show accelerating progress toward the United Nations' 90-90-90 target of people with HIV who have a diagnosis, those who are on antiretroviral therapy and those who are virologically suppressed, and support the global expansion of TasP to accelerate the control of HIV/AIDS.

Improvements in transition times through the HIV cascade of care among gay and bisexual men with a new HIV diagnosis in New South Wales and Victoria, Australia (2012-19): a longitudinal cohort study

BACKGROUND

Most studies assessing the HIV care cascade have typically been cross-sectional analyses, which do not capture the transition time to subsequent stages. We aimed to assess the longitudinal HIV cascade of care in Australia, and changes over time in transition times and associated factors.

METHODS

In this longitudinal cohort study, we included linked data for gay and bisexual men (GBM) with a new HIV diagnosis who attended clinics participating in the Australian Collaboration for Coordinated Enhanced Sentinel Surveillance in New South Wales and Victoria between Jan 1, 2012, and Dec 31, 2019. We assessed three cascade transition periods: diagnosis to linkage to care (stage 1 transition); linkage to care to antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation (stage 2 transition); and ART initiation to virological suppression (viral load ≤200 copies per mL; stage 3 transition). We also calculated the probability of remaining virologically suppressed after the first recorded viral load of less than 200 copies per mL. We used the Kaplan-Meier method to estimate transition times and cumulative probability of stage transition.

FINDINGS

We included 2196 GBM newly diagnosed with HIV between 2012 and 2019 contributing 6747 person-years of follow-up in our analysis. Median time from HIV diagnosis to linkage to care (stage 1 transition) was 2 days (IQR 1-3). Median time from linkage to care to ART initiation (stage 2 transition) was 33 days (30-35). Median time from ART initiation to first recorded virological suppression (stage 3 transition) was 49 days (47-52). The cumulative probability of ART initiation within 90 days of linkage to care increased from 36·9% (95% CI 32·9-40·6) in the 2012-13 calendar period to 94·1% (91·2-96·0) in the 2018-19 calendar period and cumulative probability of virological suppression within 90 days of ART initiation increased from 54·3% (48·8-59·3) in the 2012-13 calendar period to 82·9% (78·4-86·4) in the 2018-19 calendar period. 91·6% (90·1-93·1) of GBM remained virologically supressed up to 2 years after their first recorded virological suppression event.

INTERPRETATION

In countries with high cross-sectional cascade estimates such as Australia, the impact of treatment as prevention is better estimated using longitudinal cascade analyses.

FUNDING

National Health and Medical Research Council Australia.

Initiating antiretroviral treatment for newly diagnosed HIV patients in sexual health clinics greatly improves timeliness of viral suppression

OBJECTIVE

The 'JumpstART' program in New York City (NYC) public Sexual Health Clinics (SHC) provides patients newly diagnosed with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) with antiretroviral medication (ART) (1-month supply) on day of diagnosis and active linkage to HIV care (LTC). We examined viral suppression (VS) among patients who did and did not receive JumpstART services.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort.

METHODS

Among newly diagnosed SHC patients (23 November 2016-30 September 2018) who were matched to the NYC HIV surveillance registry to obtain HIV laboratory test results through 30 June 2019, we compared 230 JumpstART and 73 non-JumpstART patients regarding timely LTC (≤30 days), probability of VS (viral load < 200 copies/ml) by 3 months post-diagnosis, and time to and factors associated with achieving VS within the follow-up period.

RESULTS

Of 303 patients, 76% (230/303) were JumpstART and the remaining were non-JumpstART patients; 36 (11%) had acute HIV infections. LTC ≤30 days was observed for 63% of JumpstART and 73% of non-JumpstART patients. By 3 months post-diagnosis, 83% of JumpstART versus 45% of non-JumpstART patients achieved VS (log-rank, P < .0001). Median times to VS among virally suppressed JumpstART and non-JumpstART patients were 31 (interquartile range [IQR]: 24-51) and 95 days (IQR: 52-153), respectively. For groups with and without timely LTC, JumpstART was associated with viral suppression within 3 months post-diagnosis, after adjusting for age and baseline viral load.

CONCLUSIONS

Prompt ART initiation among SHC patients, some with acute HIV infections, resulted in markedly shortened intervals to VS. Immediate ART provision and active LTC can be key contributors to improved HIV treatment outcomes and the treatment-as-prevention paradigm, with potential for downstream, population-level benefit.

Epidemiological factors associated with recent HIV infection among newly-diagnosed cases in Singapore, 2013-2017

Background

Early diagnosis is crucial in securing optimal outcomes in the HIV care cascade. Recent HIV infection (RHI) serves as an indicator of early detection in the course of HIV infection. Surveillance of RHI is important in uncovering at-risk groups in which HIV transmission is ongoing. The study objectives are to estimate the proportion of RHI among persons newly-diagnosed in 2013–2017, and to elucidate epidemiological factors associated with RHI in Singapore.

Methods

As part of the National HIV Molecular Surveillance Programme, residual plasma samples of treatment-naïve HIV-1 positive individuals were tested using the biotinylated peptide-capture enzyme immunoassay with a cutoff of normalized optical density ≤ 0.8 for evidence of RHI. A recent infection testing algorithm was applied for the classification of RHI. We identified risk factors associated with RHI using logistic regression analyses.

Results

A total of 701 newly-diagnosed HIV-infected persons were included in the study. The median age at HIV diagnosis was 38 years (interquartile range, 28–51). The majority were men (94.2%), and sexual route was the predominant mode of HIV transmission (98.3%). Overall, 133/701 (19.0, 95% confidence interval [CI] 16.2–22.0%) were classified as RHI. The proportions of RHI in 2015 (31.1%) and 2017 (31.0%) were significantly higher than in 2014 (11.2%). A significantly higher proportion of men having sex with men (23.4, 95% CI 19.6–27.6%) had RHI compared with heterosexual men (11.1, 95% CI 7.6–15.9%). Independent factors associated with RHI were: age 15–24 years (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 4.18, 95% CI 1.69–10.31) compared with ≥55 years; HIV diagnosis in 2015 (aOR 2.36, 95% CI 1.25–4.46) and 2017 (aOR 2.52, 95% CI 1.32–4.80) compared with 2013–2014; detection via voluntary testing (aOR 1.91, 95% CI 1.07–3.43) compared with medical care; and self-reported history of HIV test(s) prior to diagnosis (aOR 1.72, 95% CI 1.06–2.81).

Conclusion

Although there appears to be an increasing trend towards early diagnosis, persons with RHI remain a minority in Singapore. The strong associations observed between modifiable behaviors (voluntary testing and HIV testing history) and RHI highlight the importance of increasing the accessibility to HIV testing for at-risk groups.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12889-021-10478-5.

Limitations of the UNAIDS 90-90-90 metrics: a simulation-based comparison of cross-sectional and longitudinal metrics for the HIV care continuum

The Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) 90–90–90 and other cross-sectional metrics can lead to potentially counterintuitive conclusions when used to evaluate health systems’ performance. This study demonstrates how time and population dynamics impact UNAIDS 90–90–90 metrics in comparison with a longitudinal analogue.

The Human Immunodeficiency Virus Care Continuum in China: 1985-2015

Background

Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) care continuum attrition is a major global public health challenge. Few studies have examined this problem in resource-limited settings. We aimed to assess cumulative, current, and historical achievement along China's HIV continuum of care.

Methods

A nationwide, serial cross-sectional study of all individuals with HIV infection diagnosed in China between 1 January 1985 and 31 December 2015 was conducted using data from China's HIV/AIDS information systems. Biennial estimates of the number of persons living with HIV were also used. We defined 7 steps in HIV care continuum as infected (estimated), diagnosed, linked, retained, enrolled, receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART), and virally suppressed. Cumulative, 30-year performance, and biennial performance during the most recent 10 years were examined.

Results

A total of 573529 persons diagnosed with HIV infection were included. Cumulatively, 94% were linked, 88% were retained, 73% were enrolled, 67% were receiving ART, and 44% were suppressed. Greatest attrition was observed for adolescents, minorities, and those who reported injecting drug use as their route of infection. Improvement was observed from 2005 to 2015. As of the end of 2015, 68% among those infected were diagnosed, 67% among diagnosed were receiving ART, and 65% among those receiving ART were virally suppressed. After adjusting for those without viral load testing, the proportion suppressed increased to 89%.

Conclusions

Despite dramatic improvements, China faces serious challenges in achieving the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS 90-90-90 targets, because of substantial attrition along its continuum of HIV care.

Incident HIV infection has fallen rapidly in men who have sex with men in Melbourne, Australia (2013-2017) but not in the newly-arrived Asian-born

Background

We examined differences in incident HIV infection between newly-arrived Asian-born and other men who have sex with men (MSM) after the introduction of universal HIV treatment guidelines in 2015 and pre-exposure prophylaxis in 2016.

Methods

Clinical, demographic, laboratory and behavioural data on MSM presenting for HIV testing at the Melbourne Sexual Health Centre from July 2013 to June 2017 were extracted. We compared the proportion of newly-arrived (four years or less in Australia), Asian-born and other MSM tested each year who were diagnosed with incident HIV infection (negative test within one year or diagnosis with indeterminate or negative Western Blot).

Results

We analysed 35,743 testing episodes in 12,180 MSM, including 2781 testing episodes in 1047 newly-arrived Asian-born MSM. The proportion of other MSM tested each year who were diagnosed with incident HIV infection fell from 0.83% in 2014 to 0.38% in 2017 (p = .001), but did not fall in newly-arrived Asian-born MSM (from 1.18% in 2014 to 1.56% in 2017, p = .76). In the multivariate logistic regression, in 2016/2017 but not in 2014/2015, being newly-arrived Asian-born was associated with an increased odds of diagnosis of incident HIV infection (aOR 3.29, 95%CI 1.82–5.94, p < .001).

Conclusions

The epidemiology of HIV in Melbourne Australia has changed dramatically. While there has been an overall reduction amongst MSM, the incidence of HIV in newly-arrived Asian-born MSM remains high. Failing to address these new inequalities leaves individuals at risk and may offset the population benefit of biomedical HIV prevention.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12879-018-3325-0) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Behavioural and demographic correlates of undiagnosed HIV infection in a MSM sample recruited in 13 European cities

Background

Reducing the number of people with undiagnosed HIV infection is a major goal of HIV control and prevention efforts in Europe and elsewhere. We analysed data from a large multi-city European bio-behavioural survey conducted among Men who have Sex with Men (MSM) for previously undiagnosed HIV infections, and aimed to characterise undiagnosed MSM who test less frequently than recommended.

Methods

Data on sexual behaviours and social characteristics of MSM with undiagnosed HIV infection from Sialon II, a bio-behavioural cross-sectional survey conducted in 13 European cities in 2013/2014, were compared with HIV-negative MSM. Based on reported HIV-testing patterns, we distinguished two subgroups: MSM with a negative HIV test result within 12 months prior to the study, i.e. undiagnosed incident infection, and HIV positive MSM with unknown onset of infection. Bivariate and multivariate associations of explanatory variables were analysed. Distinct multivariate multi-level random-intercept models were estimated for the entire group and both subgroups.

Results

Among 497 participants with HIV-reactive specimens, 234 (47.1%) were classified as previously diagnosed, 106 (21.3%) as incident, and 58 (11.7%) as unknown onset based on self-reported status and testing history. MSM with incident HIV infection were twice as likely (odds ratio (OR) = 2.22, 95% confidence interval (95%CI): 1.17–4.21) to have used recreational substances during their last anal sex encounter and four times more likely (OR = 3.94, 95%CI: 2.14–7.27) not to discuss their HIV status with the last anal sex partner(s). MSM with unknown onset of HIV infection were 3.6 times more likely (OR = 3.61, 95%CI: 1.74–7.50) to report testing for a sexually transmitted infection (STI) during the last 12 months.

Conclusions

Approximately one third of the study participants who are living with HIV were unaware of their infection. Almost two-third (65%) of those with undiagnosed HIV appeared to have acquired the infection recently, emphasizing a need for more frequent testing. Men with the identified behavioural characteristics could be considered as primary target group for HIV Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis (PrEP) to avoid HIV infection. The increased odds of those with unknown onset of HIV infection to have had an STI test in the past year strongly suggests a lost opportunity to offer HIV testing.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12879-018-3249-8) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.