Predictors of chronic kidney disease and utility of risk prediction scores in HIV-positive individuals

Renal outcomes in adults with HBV, HIV and HBV/HIV coinfection after 3 years of antiviral therapy in urban Tanzania

BACKGROUND

An enhanced understanding of renal outcomes in persons with chronic HBV, HIV, and HBV/HIV coinfection is needed to mitigate chronic kidney disease in regions where HBV and HIV are endemic.

OBJECTIVES

To investigate changes in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in adults with HBV, HIV or HBV/HIV enrolled in a 3 year prospective cohort study of liver outcomes in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania and initiated on antiviral therapy.

METHODS

We compared eGFR between and within groups over time using mixed-effects models.

RESULTS

Four hundred and ninety-nine participants were included in the analysis (HBV: 164; HIV: 271; HBV/HIV: 64). Mean baseline eGFRs were 106.88, 106.03 and 107.18 mL/min/1.73 m2, respectively. From baseline to Year 3, mean eGFR declined by 4.3 mL/min/1.73 m2 (95% CI -9.3 to 0.7) and 3.7 (-7.8 to 0.5) in participants with HBV and HIV, respectively, and increased by 5.1 (-4.7 to 14.9) in those with HBV/HIV. In multivariable models, participants with HBV had lower eGFRs compared with those with HIV or HBV/HIV and, after adjusting for HBV DNA level and hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) status, significantly lower eGFRs than those with HBV/HIV at all follow-up visits.

CONCLUSIONS

In this Tanzanian cohort, coinfection with HBV/HIV did not appear to exacerbate renal dysfunction compared with those with either infection alone. Although overall changes in eGFR were small, persons with HBV experienced lower eGFRs throughout follow-up despite their younger age and similar baseline values. Longer-term studies are needed to evaluate continuing changes in eGFR and contributions from infection duration and other comorbidities.

"Validation of the D:A:D Chronic Kidney Disease Risk Score Incorporating Proteinuria in People Living with HIV in Harare, Zimbabwe"​​

OBJECTIVE

We sought to validate the D:A:D risk score for chronic kidney disease (CKD) in people living with HIV (PLWH) in a cohort from Harare, Zimbabwe. Additionally, we aimed to evaluate proteinuria as a predictive variable in the risk score model, being the first study to do so.

DESIGN

Data from PLWH attending a clinic in Harare was evaluated. Those with a baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate >60ml/min/1.73m2 and at least two subsequent eGFR measurements were included. A modified version of the D:A:D risk score model was applied to categorise participants as 'low', 'medium' and 'high-risk' of progression to CKD. Potential predictors of renal impairment were assessed by logistic regression in univariate and multivariate models. Proteinuria was evaluated in a nested model using D:A:D risk categories.

RESULTS

2793 participants were included. 40 participants (1.4% of the cohort) progressed to CKD during the median follow-up time of 4.2 years. Progression rates were 1%, 3% and 12% in the low, medium, and high-risk groups respectively. Proteinuria data was available for 2251 participants. Presence of proteinuria was strongly associated with progression to CKD [OR 7.8, 95% CI 3.9-15.7], and its inclusion in the risk score improved the discrimination of the model with the c-statistic increasing from 0.658 to 0.853).

CONCLUSION

A modified version of the D:A:D CKD risk score performed well in predicting CKD events among this Sub-Saharan African cohort of people living with HIV. Inclusion of proteinuria into the risk score model significantly improved predictability.

Incidence of impaired kidney function among people with HIV: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

In the era of combination antiretroviral therapy (ART), the incidence, manifestations and severity of kidney diseases have dramatically changed in people living with HIV (PLWH). Little is known about the incidence of impaired kidney function (IKF) measured by serum creatine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in PLWH.

Methods

In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched PubMed, Ovid, Medline, Embase and Web of Science for studies published before May 7th, 2021, with estimates of incidence of IKF among PLWH. We independently reviewed each study for quality by using the Newcastle-Ottawa scale. The incidence and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using random-effects model.

Results

Sixty out of 3797 identifiable studies were eligible for the meta-analysis. A total of 19 definitions of IKF were described and categorized into three types: the threshold of eGFR, an absolute or percent decrease in eGFR, and certain eGFR threshold combined with decrement in eGFR. The eGFR< 60 ml/min/1.73m² was the most widely used definition or criterion for IKF, by which the pooled incidence rate of IKF was 12.50 (95%CI: 9.00–17.36) per 1000 person years (PYs). The second most-studied outcome was a > 25% decrease in eGFR, followed by eGFR< 90 ml/min/1.73m², eGFR< 30 ml/min/1.73m² and a combination of eGFR threshold plus decreased eGFR. The reported incidence rates of IKF differ widely by different definitions of IKF. The highest pooled incidence was observed for those with > 25% decrease in eGFR, while the lowest was observed in those with eGFR < 30 ml/min/1.73m². Substantial heterogeneity was identified across most estimates.

Conclusion

Our study provides a comprehensive summary of eGFR-based definitions and incidence rates of IKF in PLWH, not only promoting our understanding of IKF, but also underscoring needs for a concerted action to unify definitions and outcomes of IKF and their applications in AIDS care.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12882-022-02721-x.

Renal adverse drug reactions

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is common in people living with HIV (PLWH) and is related to a multitude of factors. The aim of this review is to provide an overview of the most recent evidence of renal adverse effects of antiretroviral drugs, predictors of CKD risk and areas for future research.

RECENT FINDINGS

Advancing age, cardiometabolic risk factors and adverse effects of antiretroviral drugs contribute to the higher prevalence of CKD in PLWH. Genetic factors and baseline clinical CKD risk are strongly correlated to risk of incident CKD, although it is unclear to what extent gene polymorphisms explain renal adverse effects related to tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF). Switching from TDF to tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) in people with baseline renal dysfunction improves renal parameters; however, the long-term safety and benefit of TAF in individuals at low risk of CKD is an area of ongoing research.

SUMMARY

Several factors contribute to estimated glomerular function decline and CKD in PLWH. Clinical risk scores for CKD may be useful to inform selection of ART in an ageing population. In people with baseline renal dysfunction, potentially nephrotoxic antiretroviral drugs should be avoided.

Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and the Development of Metabolic Comorbid Conditions in Patients With Human Immunodeficiency Virus Infection

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular and liver disease are main causes of death in people with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) (PWH). In HIV-uninfected patients, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is associated with incident metabolic complications. We investigated the effect of NAFLD on development of metabolic comorbid conditions in PWH.

METHODS

We included PWH undergoing a screening program for NAFLD using transient elastography. NAFLD was defined as a controlled attenuation parameter ≥248 dB/m with exclusion of other liver diseases. Incident diabetes, hypertension, dyslipidemia, and chronic kidney disease were investigated using survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards.

RESULTS

The study included 485 HIV-monoinfected patients. During a median follow-up of 40.1 months (interquartile range, 26.5-50.7 months), patients with NAFLD had higher incidences of diabetes (4.74 [95% confidence interval, 3.09-7.27] vs 0.87 [.42-1.83] per 100 person-years) and dyslipidemia (8.16 [5.42-12.27] vs 3.99 [2.67-5.95] per 100 person-years) than those without NAFLD. With multivariable analysis, NAFLD was an independent predictor of diabetes (adjusted hazard ratio, 5.13; 95% confidence interval, 2.14-12.31) and dyslipidemia (2.35; 1.34-4.14) development.

CONCLUSIONS

HIV-monoinfected patients with NAFLD are at higher risk of incident diabetes and dyslipidemia. Early referral strategies and timely management of metabolic risk may improve outcomes.

Validation of the D: A: D Chronic Kidney Disease Risk Score Model Among People Living With HIV in the Asia-Pacific

BACKGROUND

We validated the Data collection on Adverse events of anti-HIV Drugs (D:A:D) full-risk and short-risk score models for chronic kidney disease (CKD) in the Asian HIV cohorts.

SETTINGS

A validation study among people living with HIV (PLHIV) aged ≥18 years among the cohorts in the Asia-Pacific region.

METHODS

PLHIV with a baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate > 60 mL/min/1.73 m were included for validation of the D:A:D CKD full version and short version without cardiovascular risk factors. Those with <3 estimated glomerular filtration rate measurements from baseline or previous exposure to potentially nephrotoxic antiretrovirals were excluded. Kaplan-Meier methods were used to estimate the probability of CKD development. The area under the receiver operating characteristics was also used to validate the risk score.

RESULTS

We included 5701 participants in full model {median 8.1 [interquartile range (IQR) 4.8-10.9] years follow-up} and 9791 in short model validation [median 4.9 (IQR 2.5-7.3) years follow-up]. The crude incidence rate of CKD was 8.1 [95% confidence interval (CI): 7.3 to 8.9] per 1000 person-years in the full model cohort and 10.5 (95% CI: 9.6 to 11.4) per 1000 person-years in the short model cohort. The progression rates for CKD at 10 years in the full model cohort were 2.7%, 8.9%, and 26.1% for low-risk, medium-risk, and high-risk groups, and 3.5%, 11.7%, and 32.4% in the short model cohort. The area under the receiver operating characteristics for the full-risk and short-risk score was 0.81 (95% CI: 0.79 to 0.83) and 0.83 (95% CI: 0.81 to 0.85), respectively.

CONCLUSION

The D:A:D CKD full-risk and short-risk score performed well in predicting CKD events among Asian PLHIV. These risk prediction models may be useful to assist clinicians in identifying individuals at high risk of developing CKD.

Validation of the D:A:D chronic kidney disease risk score in people living with HIV: the IeDEA West Africa Cohort Collaboration

OBJECTIVES

A risk score for long-term prediction of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in people living with HIV (PLHIV) has been developed using data from the D:A:D cohort. We assessed the performance of the D:A:D risk score in a cohort of PLHIV in West Africa.

METHODS

Data from PLHIV starting antiretroviral treatment in four clinics in Burkina Faso, Côte d'Ivoire and Togo participating in the IeDEA West Africa collaboration were analysed. CKD was defined as two consecutive estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFRs) of ≤ 60 mL/min/1.73 m² . The D:A:D score (short version) was calculated using age, gender, nadir CD4 and baseline eGFR and was categorized into low, medium, and high-risk groups.

RESULTS

In 14 930 participants (70% female, median age = 38 years; median nadir CD4 count = 183 cells/µL) followed for a median duration of 5.7 years, 660 (4.4%) progressed to CKD, with an incidence [95% confidence interval (CI)] of 7.8 (7.2-8.4) per 1000 person-years (PY). CKD incidence rates were 2.4 (2.0-2.8), 8.1 (6.8-9.6) and, 30.9 (28.0-34.1) per 1000 PY in the low-, medium- and high-risk groups, respectively. In the high-risk group, 14.7% (95% CI: 13.3; 16.3) had progressed to CKD at 5 years. Discrimination was good [C-statistics = 0.81 (0.79-0.83)]. In all, 79.4% of people who progressed to CKD were classified in the medium- to high-risk group at baseline (sensitivity) and 66.5% of people classified in the low risk group at baseline did not progress to CKD (specificity).

CONCLUSIONS

These findings confirm the validity of the D:A:D score in identifying individuals at risk of developing CKD who could benefit from enhanced kidney monitoring in West African HIV clinics.

Factors associated to chronic kidney disease in people living with HIV/AIDS

OBJECTIVE

to analyze the factors associated to chronic kidney disease in people living with HIV (PLHIV).

METHOD

a paired case-control study (4 controls for each case) carried out in a specialized care service in the Southeastern of Brazil, by analyzing PLHIV medical records. The sample consisted of 85 participants, corresponding to 17 cases and 68 controls. Pearson's chi-square test (Χ2) and Fisher's exact test, logistic regression, Odds Ratio (OR), 95% Confidence Interval (CI) and p<0.05 were used. SPSS version 25.0 and R Core Team, 2018 version 3.5.1 were used.

RESULTS

the factors associated with chronic kidney disease identified in this study were the following: presence of Systemic Arterial Hypertension [OR=5.8, CI (95%)=1.84-18.42, p=0.001] and use of nephrotoxic anti-retrovirals in the previous therapeutic regimen [OR=3.3, CI (95%)=1.105-10.221, p=0.028]. On the other hand, age below 40 years old [OR: 0.122, CI (95%)=0.015-0.981, p=0.022] was identified as a protective factor.

CONCLUSION

the PLHIV under study have multi-factorial exposure associated with chronic kidney disease. However, knowing these factors helps to identify the existing risks and/or renal dysfunction, in addition to supporting the clinical decision of the health professionals who directly assist them.

HIV protease inhibitor ritonavir induces renal fibrosis and dysfunction: role of platelet-derived TGF-β1 and intervention via antioxidant pathways

OBJECTIVE

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) with tubular injury and fibrosis occurs in HIV infection treated with certain protease inhibitor-based antiretroviral therapies. The pathophysiology is unclear.

DESIGN

We hypothesized that fibrosis, mediated by platelet-derived transforming growth factor (TGF)-β1, underlies protease inhibitor-associated CKD. We induced this in mice exposed to the protease inhibitor ritonavir (RTV), and intervened with low-dose inhaled carbon monoxide (CO), activating erythroid 2-related factor (Nrf2)-associated antioxidant pathways.

METHODS

Wild-type C57BL/6 mice and mice deficient in platelet TGF-β1, were given RTV (10 mg/kg) or vehicle daily for 8 weeks. Select groups were exposed to CO (250 ppm) for 4 h after RTV or vehicle injection. Renal disorder, fibrosis, and TGF-β1-based and Nrf2-based signaling were examined by histology, immunofluorescence, and flow cytometry. Renal damage and dysfunction were assessed by KIM-1 and cystatin C ELISAs. Clinical correlations were sought among HIV-infected individuals.

RESULTS

RTV-induced glomerular and tubular injury, elevating urinary KIM-1 (P = 0.004). It enhanced TGF-β1-related signaling, accompanied by kidney fibrosis, macrophage polarization to an inflammatory phenotype, and renal dysfunction with cystatin C elevation (P = 0.008). Mice lacking TGF-β1 in platelets were partially protected from these abnormalities. CO inhibited RTV-induced fibrosis and macrophage polarization in association with upregulation of Nrf2 and heme oxygenase-1 (HO-1). Clinically, HIV infection correlated with elevated cystatin C levels in untreated women (n = 17) vs. age-matched controls (n = 19; P = 0.014). RTV-treated HIV+ women had further increases in cystatin C (n = 20; P = 0.05), with parallel elevation of HO-1.

CONCLUSION

Platelet TGF-β1 contributes to RTV-induced kidney fibrosis and dysfunction, which may be amenable to antioxidant interventions.

Cohort-derived machine learning models for individual prediction of chronic kidney disease in people living with HIV: a prospective multicentre cohort study

BACKGROUND

It is unclear whether data-driven machine learning models, which are trained on large epidemiological cohorts, may improve prediction of co-morbidities in people living with HIV.

METHODS

In this proof-of-concept study, we included people living with HIV of the prospective Swiss HIV Cohort Study with a first estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) >60 ml/min/1.73 m2 after January 1, 2002. Our primary outcome was chronic kidney disease (CKD) ─ defined as confirmed decrease in eGFR ≤60 ml/min/1.73 m2 over three months apart. We split the cohort data into a training set (80%), validation set (10%), and test set (10%) ─ stratified for CKD status and follow-up length.

RESULTS

Of 12,761 eligible individuals (median baseline eGFR, 103 ml/min/1.73 m2), 1,192 (9%) developed a CKD after a median of eight years. We used 64 static and 502 time-changing variables: Across prediction horizons and algorithms and in contrast to expert-based standard models, most machine learning models achieved state-of-the-art predictive performances with areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve and precision recall curve ranging from 0.926 to 0.996 and from 0.631 to 0.956, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In people living with HIV, we observed state-of-the-art performances in forecasting individual CKD onsets with different machine learning algorithms.

Contemporary issues and new challenges in chronic kidney disease amongst people living with HIV

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a comorbidity of major clinical significance amongst people living with HIV (PLWHIV) and is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. The prevalence of CKD is rising, despite the widespread use of antiretroviral therapy (ART) and is increasingly related to prevalent non-infectious comorbidities (NICMs) and antiretroviral toxicity. There are great disparities evident, with the highest prevalence of CKD among PLWHIV seen in the African continent. The aetiology of kidney disease amongst PLWHIV includes HIV-related diseases, such as classic HIV-associated nephropathy or immune complex disease, CKD related to NICMs and CKD from antiretroviral toxicity. CKD, once established, is often relentlessly progressive and can lead to end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Identifying patients with risk factors for CKD, and appropriate screening for the early detection of CKD are vital to improve patient outcomes. Adherence to screening guidelines is variable, and often poor. The progression of CKD may be slowed with certain clinical interventions; however, data derived from studies involving PLWHIV with CKD are sparse and this represent an important area for future research. The control of blood pressure using angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors and angiotensin receptor blockers, in particular, in the setting of proteinuria, likely slows the progression of CKD among PLWHIV. The cohort of PLWHIV is facing new challenges in regards to polypharmacy, drug-drug interactions and adverse drug reactions. The potential nephrotoxicity of ART is important, particularly as cumulative ART exposure increases as the cohort of PLWHIV ages. The number of PLWHIV with ESRD is increasing. PLWHIV should not be denied access to renal replacement therapy, either dialysis or kidney transplantation, based on their HIV status. Kidney transplantation amongst PLWHIV is successful and associated with an improved prognosis compared to remaining on dialysis. As the cohort of PLWHIV ages, comorbidity increases and CKD becomes more prevalent; models of care need to evolve to meet the new and changing chronic healthcare needs of these patients.

Validation of the Data Collection on Adverse Events of Anti-HIV Drugs (D:A:D) chronic kidney disease risk score in HIV-infected patients in the USA

Objectives

The aim of the study was to assess the validity of an easy‐to‐calculate chronic kidney disease (CKD) risk score developed by the Data Collection on Adverse Events of Anti‐HIV Drugs (D:A:D) group in a longitudinal observational study of people living with HIV (PLWH) in the USA.

Methods

PLWH (2002–2016) without prior exposure to potentially nephrotoxic antiretroviral agents and with at least three estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) test results were identified in the Observational Pharmaco‐Epidemiology Research and Analysis (OPERA^®) cohort. Three samples were drawn independently using the same eligibility criteria but each using a different eGFR equation, specifically the Cockcroft–Gault (C‐G), Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) or Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD‐EPI) eGFR estimation method. Full and short D:A:D risk scores were applied. CKD was defined as a confirmed decrease in eGFR to < 60 mL/min/1.73 m² (stages 3–5). Poisson models estimated the association between CKD incidence and a one‐point increase in the continuous risk score. The incidence rate ratio (IRR), adjusted IRR (aIRR), and Harrell's discrimination statistic were used to assess validity.

Results

There were 19 444, 22 727 and 22 748 PLWH in the OPERA C‐G, CKD‐EPI and MDRD samples, respectively. The median (minimum–maximum) follow‐up duration was 6.1 (0.3–9.1) years in the D:A:D cohort and ranged from 3.2 to 3.5 (0.2–15.5) years in the OPERA validation samples. The observation time for the majority of PLWH in the D:A:D cohort began prior to 2006, in stark contrast to the OPERA validation samples, where the majority of PLWH were observed after 2011. The CKD incidence ranged from 7.3 per 1000 person‐years [95% confidence interval (CI) 6.8, 7.9 per 1000 person‐years] in OPERA C‐G to 11.0 (95% CI 10.4, 11.6 per 1000 person‐years) in OPERA MDRD. In OPERA samples, IRRs by risk group and adjusted IRRs (full risk score) were similar to those in the D:A:D derivation cohort (adjusted IRR 1.3; 95% CI 1.3, 1.3). Harrell's c‐statistic ranged from 0.87 to 0.92 in the OPERA samples, comparable to that in the derivation cohort (0.92). Results for short scores were similar.

Conclusions

The findings support the validity of the D:A:D risk scoring method for assessing CKD (stages 3–5) probability in an exclusively USA‐based sample regardless of eGFR method.

Determinants of Risk Factors for Renal Impairment among HIV-Infected Patients Treated with Tenofovir Disoproxil Fumarate-Based Antiretroviral Regimen in Southern Vietnam

Background

The situation of renal impairment among HIV-infected patients treated with TDF-based antiretroviral (ARV) regimen greater than 3 years is little known when TDF use has been promptly increasing in Vietnam.

Methods

We analyse demographic and clinical data from a cross-sectional survey of 400 HIV-infected patients aged ≥18 years, who were treatment-naive or switched TDF regimen within over 3 years between November 2018 and March 2019. Serological tests for serum creatinine, ALT, and AST were performed. Renal impairment was defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73 m². Multivariate regression analyses were used to explore the risk factors associated with renal impairment.

Results

At the baseline, 7.8% of respondents had estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of 30-59 mL/min/1.73 m² and 0.8% had eGFR of 15-29 mL/min/1.73 m², out of 34 (8.5%) of participants who had renal impairment. Multivariate analysis showed that participants who had preexposure to isoniazid (adjusted PR [aPR] = 0.35 Cl: 0.14-0.91) compared with nonexposure to isoniazid who had a BMI from 18.5 up to 25 kg/m² (aPR = 0.31 Cl: 0.15-0.62) compared with BMI below 18.5 kg/m² were less likely to suffer from renal impairment. Patients aged greater than 60 years (aPR = 26.75, 95% Cl: 3.38-211.62) compared with those aged 20-29 years were more likely to have increased risk of renal impairment.

Conclusion

Our findings underscore the need for longitudinal studies to assess the influence of TDF on maintaining the low prevalence of renal impairment among HIV-infected patients in Vietnam.

Mild renal impairment is associated with calcified plaque parameters assessed by computed tomography angiography in people living with HIV

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association of mild renal impairment and coronary plaque in people living with HIV (PLHIV).

METHODS

PLHIV and non-HIV controls with serum creatinine less than 1.5 mg/dl were investigated. Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (calculated by CKD-EPI formula) was related to coronary plaque indices obtained by CT angiography.

RESULTS

One hundred and eighty-four PLHIV [HIV viral load, 49 (47,49) copies/ml, CD4+ cell count, median 536 (370, 770) cells/μl, duration HIV, 15 ± 7 years] and 72 HIV-negative controls without known cardiovascular disease (CVD) were studied. The two groups were well matched for traditional CVD risk factors. Serum creatinine (0.9 ± 0.2 vs. 0.9 ± 0.2 mg/dl, P = 0.96) and eGFR (96 ± 22 vs. 96 ± 24 ml/min per 1.73 m(2), P = 0.99) were similar between PLHIV and non-HIV, respectively. In PLHIV, eGFR inversely related to total severity of coronary plaque score (r = -0.27, P = 0.002), total coronary segments with plaque (r = -0.21, P = 0.005), calcified plaque segments (r = -0.15, P = 0.045), and Agatston score (r = -0.21, P = 0.006). Adjusting for total Framingham point score, BMI, and HIV parameters, eGFR remained significantly associated with calcified plaque and Agatston score in PLHIV. In HIV negative controls, eGFR did not correlate with calcified plaque (r = -0.20, P = 0.10) or Agatston score (r = -0.13, P = 0.29). Among PLHIV, those with eGFR less than 90 ml/min per 1.73 m(2) demonstrated increased total severity of coronary plaque score compared with those with eGFR greater than or equal to 90, P = 0.02). This relationship was stronger in PLHIV than the non-HIV group.

CONCLUSION

Our data highlight a robust relationship between subclinical renal impairment and coronary artery disease among PLHIV. Further research is needed to understand the relationship between mild renal impairment and CVD in HIV.