Aging of the HIV Population in Australia: A Modeling Study

Changing Characteristics of HIV-Positive Gay and Bisexual Men's Relationships in the Era of Biomedical Prevention

OBJECTIVE

To assess changes in personal and relationship characteristics among HIV-positive Australian gay and bisexual men (GBM) as rates of antiretroviral therapy and knowledge and confidence regarding the effectiveness of viral suppression in preventing HIV transmission have increased.

DESIGN

Repeated behavioral surveillance of GBM recruited from venues, events, and online in 7 Australian states and territories.

METHODS

HIV-positive participants were included. Trends in demographics, HIV treatment, and relationship characteristics were assessed with binary and multivariable logistic regression.

RESULTS

A total of 3643 survey responses (2016-2020) were included. Over time, HIV-positive GBM became less likely to identify as gay or report an Anglo-Australian ethnicity. The average length of time since HIV diagnosis increased and the frequency of attending HIV-related clinical appointments decreased. There were no changes in the reported number of recent sex partners or proportion reporting regular male partners over time. Among HIV-positive GBM in relationships, the proportion reporting HIV-positive partners decreased and the proportion reporting HIV-negative partners increased. Levels of condomless sex with regular partners increased over time; however, this was concentrated among HIV-positive GBM in serodiscordant relationships.

CONCLUSION

Findings suggest that increased accessibility and trust in biomedical prevention strategies have contributed to broader relationship and sexual opportunities for HIV-positive GBM in Australia. Our findings suggest that future health promotion activities could highlight the social and relationship benefits of treatment as prevention to further increase trust in it as an HIV prevention strategy among GBM.

Projection of age of individuals living with HIV and time since ART initiation in 2030: estimates for France

Introduction

Thanks to antiretroviral treatment (ART), people living with HIV (PLHIV) are living longer and ageing. However, ageing involves increased risks of co‐morbidities, which also depend on when PLHIV individuals started ART. To tackle the HIV age‐related upcoming challenges, knowledge of the current and future age structure of the HIV population is needed. Here, we forecast the demographic profile of the adult population living with diagnosed HIV (aPLdHIV) in France until 2030, accounting for the impact of the ART initiation period on mortality.

Methods

We used national data from the French Hospital Database on HIV (ANRS CO4‐FHDH) and a sample of the National Health Data System to, first, characterize the aPLdHIV in 2018 and estimate their mortality rates according to age, sex and ART initiation period. Second, we used national HIV surveillance data to define three scenarios for the numbers of newly diagnosed HIV cases over 2019–2030: 30% decrease in HIV cases (S1), status quo situation (S2) and epidemic elimination (S3). We then combined these data using a matrix model, to project the age structure of aPLdHIV and time since ART initiation.

Results

In 2018, there was an estimated 161,125 aPLdHIV (33% women), of which 55% were aged 50 or older (50+), 22% aged 60+ and 8% aged 70+. In 2030, the aPLdHIV would grow to 195,246 for S1, 207,972 for S2 and 167,221 for S3. Whatever the scenario, in 2030, the estimated median time since ART initiation would increase and age distribution would shift towards older ages: with 65–72% aPLdHIV aged 50+, 42–48% 60+ and 17–19% 70+. This corresponds to ∼83,400 aPLdHIV (28% women) aged 60+, among which ∼69% started ART more than 20 years ago (i.e. before 2010) and ∼39% ≥30 years ago (i.e. before 2000), and to ∼33,100 aPLdHIV (27% women) aged 70+, among which ∼72% started ART ≥20 years ago and ∼43% ≥30 years ago.

Conclusions

By 2030, in France, close to 20% of the aPLdHIV will be aged 70+, of which >40% would have started ART more than 30 years ago. These estimates are essential to adapt co‐morbidities screening and anticipate resource provision in the aged care sector.

Cognitive ageing is premature among a community sample of optimally treated people living with HIV

OBJECTIVES

Evidence of premature cognitive ageing amongst people living with HIV (PLHIV) remains controversial due to previous research limitations including underpowered studies, samples with suboptimal antiretroviral access, varying rate of virological control, high rate of AIDS, over-representation of non-community samples, and inclusion of inappropriate controls. The current study addresses these limitations, while also considering mental health and non-HIV comorbidity burden to determine whether PLHIV showed premature cognitive ageing compared with closely comparable HIV-negative controls.

METHODS

This study enrolled 254 PLHIV [92% on antiretroviral therapy; 84% with HIV RNA < 50 copies/mL; 15% with AIDS) and 72 HIV-negative gay and bisexual men [mean (SD) age = 49 (10.2) years] from a single primary care clinic in Sydney, Australia. Neurocognitive function was evaluated with the Cogstate Computerized Battery (CCB) at baseline and 6 months after. Linear mixed-effects (LME) models examined main and interaction effects of HIV status and chronological age on the CCB demographically uncorrected global neurocognitive z-score (GZS), adjusting for repeated testing, and then adjusting sequentially for HIV disease markers, mental health and comorbidities.

RESULTS

HIV status and age interacted with a lower GZS (β = -0.43, P < 0.05). Higher level of anxiety symptoms (β = -0.11, P < 0.01), historical AIDS (β = -0.12, P < 0.05) and historical HIV brain involvement (β = -0.12, P < 0.05) were associated with lower GZS.

CONCLUSIONS

We found a robust medium-sized premature ageing effect on cognition in a community sample with optimal HIV care. Our study supports routine screening of cognitive and mental health among PLHIV aged ≥ 50 years.

Gaps in the HIV diagnosis and care cascade for migrants in Australia, 2013-2017: A cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

Globally, few studies compare progress toward the Joint United Nations Program on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) Fast-Track targets among migrant populations. Fast-Track targets are aligned to the HIV diagnosis and care cascade and entail achieving 90-90-90 (90% of people living with HIV [PLHIV] diagnosed, 90% of those diagnosed on treatment, and 90% of those on treatment with viral suppression [VS]) by 2020 and 95-95-95 by 2030. We compared cascades between migrant and nonmigrant populations in Australia.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

We conducted a serial cross-sectional survey for HIV diagnosis and care cascades using modelling estimates for proportions diagnosed combined with a clinical database for proportions on treatment and VS between 2013-2017. We estimated the number of PLHIV and number diagnosed using New South Wales (NSW) and Victorian (VIC) data from the Australian National HIV Registry. Cascades were stratified by migration status, sex, HIV exposure, and eligibility for subsidised healthcare in Australia (reciprocal healthcare agreement [RHCA]). We found that in 2017, 17,760 PLHIV were estimated in NSW and VIC, and 90% of them were males. In total, 90% of estimated PLHIV were diagnosed. Of the 9,391 who were diagnosed and retained in care, most (85%; n = 8,015) were males. We excluded 38% of PLHIV with missing data for country of birth, and 41% (n = 2,408) of eligible retained PLHIV were migrants. Most migrants were from Southeast Asia (SEA; 28%), northern Europe (12%), and eastern Asia (11%). Most of the migrants and nonmigrants were males (72% and 83%, respectively). We found that among those retained in care, 90% were on antiretroviral therapy (ART), and 95% of those on ART had VS (i.e., 90-90-95). Migrants had larger gaps in their HIV diagnosis and care cascade (85-85-93) compared with nonmigrants (94-90-96). Similarly, there were larger gaps among migrants reporting male-to-male HIV exposure (84-83-93) compared with nonmigrants reporting male-to-male HIV exposure (96-92-96). Large gaps were also found among migrants from SEA (72-87-93) and sub-Saharan Africa (SSA; 89-93-91). Migrants from countries ineligible for RHCA had lower cascade estimates (83-85-92) than RHCA-eligible migrants (96-86-95). Trends in the HIV diagnosis and care cascades improved over time (2013 and 2017). However, there was no significant increase in ART coverage among migrant females (incidence rate ratio [IRR]: 1.03; 95% CI 0.99-1.08; p = 0.154), nonmigrant females (IRR: 1.01; 95% CI 0.95-1.07; p = 0.71), and migrants from SEA (IRR: 1.03; 95% CI 0.99-1.07; p = 0.06) and SSA (IRR: 1.03; 95% CI 0.99-1.08; p = 0.11). Additionally, there was no significant increase in VS among migrants reporting male-to-male HIV exposure (IRR: 1.02; 95% CI 0.99-1.04; p = 0.08). The major limitation of our study was a high proportion of individuals missing data for country of birth, thereby limiting migrant status categorisation. Additionally, we used a cross-sectional instead of a longitudinal study design to develop the cascades and used the number retained as opposed to using all individuals diagnosed to calculate the proportions on ART.

CONCLUSIONS

HIV diagnosis and care cascades improved overall between 2013 and 2017 in NSW and VIC. Cascades for migrants had larger gaps compared with nonmigrants, particularly among key migrant populations. Tracking subpopulation cascades enables gaps to be identified and addressed early to facilitate achievement of Fast-Track targets.

HIV infection epidemiology: a change of scenery

Combination antiretroviral therapy has completely changed the landscape of HIV infection through the control of viral replication of the virus, the restoration of the immune system damage, and the reduction of the complications associated with immunodeficiency. As a consequence, the average age of people living with HIV has been increasing progressively, with a high proportion of diagnosed, as well as newly diagnosed, HIV-infected patients being older than 50 years throughout the world. With the longer life expectancy, characteristics commonly observed in aging are occurring in people with long-term HIV infection, including multiple chronic diseases, changes in cognitive and physical abilities, and the use of multiple medications. HIV-related specific factors, as well as a higher prevalence of environmental, classical factors, increase the risk of comorbidities in the aging HIV-infected population. A close collaboration between different specialists (HIV specialists, geriatricians, primary care physicians, and other specialists) is required to manage the clinical problems that older HIV-infected patients may present.