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Jones HS, Anderson RL, Cust H, McClelland RS, Richardson BA, Thirumurthy H, Malama K, Hensen B, Platt L, Rice B, Cowan FM, Imai-Eaton JW, Hargreaves JR, Stevens O. HIV incidence among women engaging in sex work in sub-Saharan Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis. MEDRXIV : THE PREPRINT SERVER FOR HEALTH SCIENCES 2023:2023.10.17.23297108. [PMID: 37905066 PMCID: PMC10615019 DOI: 10.1101/2023.10.17.23297108] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/02/2023]
Abstract
Introduction HIV incidence among women in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) has declined steadily, but it is unknown whether new infections among women who engage in sex work (WESW) have declined at a similar rate. We synthesised estimates of HIV incidence among WESW in SSA and compared these to the wider female population to understand levels and trends in incidence over time. Methods We searched Medline, Embase, Global Health, Popline, Web of Science, and Google Scholar from January 1990 to October 2022, and grey literature for estimates of HIV incidence among WESW in SSA. We included studies reporting empirical estimates in any SSA country. We calculated incidence rate ratios (IRR) compared to age-district-year matched total female population incidence estimates. We conducted a meta-analysis of IRRs and used a continuous mixed-effects model to estimate changes in IRR over time. Results From 32 studies between 1985 and 2020, 2,194 new HIV infections were observed in WESW over 51,000 person-years (py). Median HIV incidence was 4.3/100py (IQR 2.8-7.0/100py), declining from a median of 5.96/100py between 1985 and 1995 to a median of 3.2/100py between 2010 and 2020. Incidence among WESW was nine times higher than in matched total population women (RR 8.6, 95%CI: 5.7-12.9), and greater in Western and Central Africa (RR 22.4, 95%CI: 11.3-44.3) than in Eastern and Southern Africa (RR 5.3, 95%CI: 3.7-7.6). Annual changes in log IRRs were minimal (-0.1% 95%CI: -6.9 to +6.8%). Conclusions Across SSA, HIV incidence among WESW remains disproportionately high compared to the total female population but showed similar rates of decline between 1990 and 2020. Improved surveillance and standardisation of approaches to obtain empirical estimates of sex worker incidence would enable a clearer understanding of whether we are on track to meet global targets for this population and better support data-driven HIV prevention programming.
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Affiliation(s)
- Harriet S Jones
- Faculty of Public Health and Policy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Rebecca L Anderson
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Henry Cust
- Faculty of Public Health and Policy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
- Department of Global Health and Development, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - R Scott McClelland
- Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Barbra A Richardson
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
- Department of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
| | - Harsha Thirumurthy
- Department of Medical Ethics and Health Policy, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Kalonde Malama
- University of Toronto Factor-Inwentash Faculty of Social Work, Toronto Ontario, Canada
| | - Bernadette Hensen
- Sexual and Reproductive Health Group, Department of Public Health, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium
| | - Lucy Platt
- Faculty of Public Health and Policy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Brian Rice
- Sheffield Centre for Health and Related Research (SCHARR); School of Medicine and Population Health, University of Sheffield, UK
| | - Frances M Cowan
- Department of International Public Health, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, UK
- Centre for Sexual Health and HIV/AIDS Research Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
| | - Jeffrey W Imai-Eaton
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
- Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics, Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
| | - James R Hargreaves
- Faculty of Public Health and Policy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Oliver Stevens
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
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Jones HS, Hensen B, Musemburi S, Chinyanganya L, Takaruza A, Chabata ST, Matambanadzo P, Platt L, Rice B, Cowan FM, Hargreaves JR. Temporal trends in, and risk factors for, HIV seroconversion among female sex workers accessing Zimbabwe's national sex worker programme, 2009-19: a retrospective cohort analysis of routinely collected HIV testing data. Lancet HIV 2023; 10:e442-e452. [PMID: 37329897 DOI: 10.1016/s2352-3018(23)00110-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/31/2022] [Revised: 04/25/2023] [Accepted: 05/02/2023] [Indexed: 06/19/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The frequency of new HIV infections among female sex workers in sub-Saharan Africa is poorly understood. We used routinely collected data that enable unique identification of repeat HIV testers to assess temporal trends in seroconversion and identify associated risk factors for female sex workers accessing Sisters with a Voice, Zimbabwe's national sex worker programme. METHODS We pooled HIV testing data gathered between Sept 15, 2009, and Dec 31, 2019, from 36 Sisters programme sites in Zimbabwe. We included female sex workers aged 16 years or older with an HIV-negative test and at least one subsequent programme test. We calculated HIV seroconversion rates (using the midpoint between the HIV-positive test and the last negative test as the seroconversion date) and estimated rate ratios to compare 2-year periods by using Poisson regression, with robust SEs to account for clustering by site and adjusting for age and testing frequency to assess temporal trends. We did sensitivity analyses to explore assumptions about seroconversion dates and the effects of variation in follow-up time on our conclusions. FINDINGS Our analysis included data for 6665 female sex workers, 441 (7%) of whom seroconverted. The overall seroconversion rate was 3·8 (95% CI 3·4-4·2) per 100 person-years at risk. Seroconversion rates fell with time since first negative HIV test. After adjustment, there was evidence of a decrease in seroconversion rates from 2009 to 2019 (p=0·0053). In adjusted analyses, being younger than 25 years, and having a sexually transmitted infection diagnosis at a previous visit, were significantly associated with increased seroconversion rates. Our findings were mostly robust to sensitivity analyses, but when 1 month before an HIV-positive test was used as the seroconversion date, seroconversion rates no longer fell with time. INTERPRETATION We identified high rates of seroconversion shortly after linkage to programme services, which emphasises the need to strengthen HIV prevention programmes from first contact with female sex workers in Zimbabwe. New infections among female sex workers remain challenging to measure, but longitudinal analysis of routine testing data can provide valuable insights into seroconversion rates and associated risk factors. FUNDING UN Population Fund, Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, The Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria, US President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief, US Agency for International Development, and the Elton John AIDS Foundation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Harriet S Jones
- Faculty of Public Health and Policy, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
| | - Bernadette Hensen
- Sexual and Reproductive Health Group, Department of Public Health, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium
| | | | | | - Albert Takaruza
- Centre for Sexual Health and HIV/AIDS Research Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
| | - Sungai T Chabata
- Centre for Sexual Health and HIV/AIDS Research Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
| | | | - Lucy Platt
- Faculty of Public Health and Policy, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Brian Rice
- University of Sheffield, School of Health and Related Research, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, UK
| | - Frances M Cowan
- Centre for Sexual Health and HIV/AIDS Research Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe; Faculty of Global Health, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, UK
| | - James R Hargreaves
- Faculty of Public Health and Policy, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
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Phylogenetic Networks and Parameters Inferred from HIV Nucleotide Sequences of High-Risk and General Population Groups in Uganda: Implications for Epidemic Control. Viruses 2021; 13:v13060970. [PMID: 34073846 PMCID: PMC8225143 DOI: 10.3390/v13060970] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/28/2021] [Revised: 05/13/2021] [Accepted: 05/18/2021] [Indexed: 12/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Phylogenetic inference is useful in characterising HIV transmission networks and assessing where prevention is likely to have the greatest impact. However, estimating parameters that influence the network structure is still scarce, but important in evaluating determinants of HIV spread. We analyzed 2017 HIV pol sequences (728 Lake Victoria fisherfolk communities (FFCs), 592 female sex workers (FSWs) and 697 general population (GP)) to identify transmission networks on Maximum Likelihood (ML) phylogenetic trees and refined them using time-resolved phylogenies. Network generative models were fitted to the observed degree distributions and network parameters, and corrected Akaike Information Criteria and Bayesian Information Criteria values were estimated. 347 (17.2%) HIV sequences were linked on ML trees (maximum genetic distance ≤4.5%, ≥95% bootstrap support) and, of these, 303 (86.7%) that consisted of pure A1 (n = 168) and D (n = 135) subtypes were analyzed in BEAST v1.8.4. The majority of networks (at least 40%) were found at a time depth of ≤5 years. The waring and yule models fitted best networks of FFCs and FSWs respectively while the negative binomial model fitted best networks in the GP. The network structure in the HIV-hyperendemic FFCs is likely to be scale-free and shaped by preferential attachment, in contrast to the GP. The findings support the targeting of interventions for FFCs in a timely manner for effective epidemic control. Interventions ought to be tailored according to the dynamics of the HIV epidemic in the target population and understanding the network structure is critical in ensuring the success of HIV prevention programs.
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