The Prognostic Value of Baseline 18F-FDG PET/CT in Human Papillomavirus–Positive Versus Human Papillomavirus–Negative Patients With Oropharyngeal Cancer

Predictive value of local control by 4'-[methyl-11C]-thiotymidine PET volume parameters in p16-negative oropharyngeal, hypopharyngeal, and supraglottic squamous cell carcinoma

PURPOSE

We investigated the potential of baseline 4'-[methyl- 11 C]-thiothymidine ([ 11 C]4DST) PET for predicting loco-regional control of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC).

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was performed using volumetric parameters, such as SUVmax, proliferative tumor volume (PTV), and total lesion proliferation (TLP), of pretreatment [ 11 C]4DST PET for 91 patients with HNSCC with primary lesions in the oral cavity, hypopharynx, supraglottis, and oropharynx, which included p16-negative patients. PTV and TLP were calculated for primary lesions and metastatic lymph nodes combined. We examined the association among the parameters and relapse-free survival and whether case selection focused on biological characteristics improved the accuracy of prognosis prediction.

RESULTS

The area under the curves (AUCs) using PTV and TLP were high for the oropharyngeal/hypopharyngeal/supraglottis groups (0.91 and 0.87, respectively), whereas that of SUVmax was 0.66 ( P  < 0.01). On the other hand, the oral group had lower AUCs for PTV and TLP (0.72 and 0.77, respectively). When all cases were examined, the AUCs using PTV and TLP were 0.84 and 0.83, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Baseline [ 11 C]4DST PET/CT volume-based parameters can provide important prognostic information with p16-negative oropharyngeal, hypopharyngeal, and supraglottic cancer patients.

Prognostic and predictive values of baseline and mid-treatment FDG-PET in oropharyngeal carcinoma treated with primary definitive (chemo)radiation and impact of HPV status: review of current literature and emerging roles

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

This study provides a review of the literature assessing whether semiquantitative PET parameters acquired at baseline and/or during definitive (chemo)radiotherapy ("prePET" and "iPET") can predict survival outcomes in patients with oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPC), and the impact of human papilloma virus (HPV) status.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A literature search was carried out using PubMed and Embase between 2001 to 2021 in accordance with PRISMA.

RESULTS

The analysis included 22 FDG-PET/CT studies^1-22, 19 pre-PET and 3 both pre-PET and iPET^14,18,20,. The analysis involved 2646 patients, of which 1483 are HPV-positive (17 studies: 10 mixed and 7 HPV-positive only), 589 are HPV-negative, and 574 have unknown HPV status. Eighteen studies found significant correlations of survival outcomes with pre-PET parameters, most commonly primary or "Total" (combined primary and nodal) metabolic tumour volume and/or total lesional glycolysis. Two studies could not establish significant correlations and both employed SUVmax only. Two studies also could not establish significant correlations when taking into account of the HPV-positive population only. Because of the heterogeneity and lack of standardized methodology, no conclusions on optimal cut-off values can be drawn. Ten studies specifically evaluated HPV-positive patients: five showed positive correlation of pre-PET parameters and survival outcomes, but four of these studies did not include advanced T or N staging in multivariate analysis^1,6,15,22, and two studies only showed positive correlations after excluding high risk patients with smoking history⁷ or adverse CT features²². Two studies found that prePET parameters predicted treatment outcomes only in HPV-negative but not HPV-positive patients^10,16. Two studies found that iPET parameters could predict outcomes in HPV-positive patients but not prePET parameters^14,18.

CONCLUSION

The current literature supports high pre-treatment metabolic burden prior to definitive (chemo)radiotherapy can predict poor treatment outcomes for HPV-negative OPC patients. Evidence is conflicting and currently does not support correlation in HPV-positive patients.

Prediction of extranodal extension in oropharyngeal cancer patients and carcinoma of unknown primary: value of metabolic tumor imaging with hybrid PET compared with MRI and CT

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to investigate the value of metabolic tumor imaging using hybrid PET for the preoperative detection of extranodal extension (ENE) in lymph node metastases of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC).

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis of a consecutive cohort of patients with OPSCC treated with primary surgery with or without adjuvant (chemo-) radiotherapy at the Kantonsspital Sankt-Gallen and the University Hospital Zurich, Switzerland, from 2010 until 2019. Hybrid PET was compared to conventional cross-sectional imaging with MRI and CT. Histopathological presence of ENE of neck dissection specimen served as gold standard.

RESULTS

A total number of 234 patients were included in the study, 95 (40.6%) of which had pathological ENE (pENE). CT has a good specificity with 93.7%; meanwhile, MRI was the most sensitive diagnostic method (72.0%). The nodal metabolic tumor parameters (SUV_max, TLG, MTV) were significantly higher in patients with positive ENE (p < 0.001 for all three parameters) than in patients with negative ENE (p < 0.001, for all three parameters).

CONCLUSIONS

CT achieved the best specificity, while MRI had the best sensitivity to detect ENE. Nodal metabolic tumor parameters differed significantly between ENE-positive/negative and p16-positive/negative patients. Hence, quantitative data obtained by metabolic imaging might predict presence of ENE and, therefore, could be helpful in customizing therapy management.

Qualitative and quantitative methods in post-chemoradiation PET for head and neck cancer

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to determine whether quantitative methods could aid in the evaluation of post-treatment head and neck scans, particularly taking human papillomavirus status into account.

METHODS

Clinical readings of positron emission tomography/computed tomography scans as well as standardized uptake value (SUV)max (and other metrics) of nodes visible on PET conducted on a total of 172 patients with head and neck squamous cell cancer were examined. Locoregional recurrence at 2 years was assessed. In total 88 of these patients had close enough follow-up to determine whether individual nodes were positive or negative, and 233 nodes on these patients were compared to surgical pathology notes or follow-up (if no path was available).

RESULTS

General negative predictive value (NPV) of complete response was 93% and an equivocal response was 89%; focusing on nodal recurrence, NPV was found to be 97% and positive predictive value (PPV) 46% if equivocal reads were treated as negative and NPV 98% and PPV 16% if equivocal reads were treated as positive. Using SUVmax of the hottest node with a cutoff of 3.4 gave NPV 97% and PPV 26%; a direct re-read (using 2 observers) gave NPV 98% and PPV 32% if equivocal reads were treated as negative, and NPV 99% and PPV 18% if equivocal reads were treated as positive. Using other first-order radiomics data such as SD and skewness did not improve this.

CONCLUSIONS

Quantitative data such as SUVmax does not show additional value over qualitative evaluation of response to chemoradiation in head and neck tumors.

A positron emission tomography radiomic signature for distant metastases risk in oropharyngeal cancer patients treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy

•

The wavelet_LHL_GLDZM_LILDE feature was found to be associated with progression-free survival.

•

A binary radiomics risk score was strongly associated with distant metastases for patients with HPV p16-negtive disease.

•

Improved risk stratification could identify high-risk patients as potential candidates for adjuvant immunotherapy.

Background and purpose

Disease recurrence and distant metastases (DM) are major concerns for oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) patients receiving definitive chemo-radiotherapy. Here, we investigated whether pre-treatment primary tumor positron emission tomography (PET) features could predict progression-free survival (PFS) or DM.

Methods and materials

Primary tumors were delineated on pre-treatment PET scans for patients treated between 2005 and 2018 using gradient-based segmentation. Radiomic image features were extracted, along with SUV metrics. Features with zero variance and strong correlation to tumor volume, stage, p16 status, age or smoking were excluded. A random forest model was used to identify features associated with PFS. Kaplan-Meier methods, Cox regression and logistic regression with receiver operating characteristics (ROC) and 5-fold cross-validated areas-under-the-curve (CV-AUCs) were used.

Results

A total of 114 patients were included. With median follow-up 40 months (range: 3–138 months), 14 patients had local recurrence, 21 had DM and 38 died. Two-year actuarial local control, distant control, PFS and overall survival was 89%, 84%, 70% and 84%, respectively. The wavelet_LHL_GLDZM_LILDE feature slightly improved PFS prediction compared to clinical features alone (CV-AUC 0.73 vs. 0.71). Age > 65 years (HR = 2.64 (95%CI: 1.36–5.2), p = 0.004) and p16-negative disease (HR = 3.38 (95%CI: 1.72–6.66), p < 0.001) were associated with poor PFS. A binary radiomic classifier strongly predicted DM with multivariable HR = 3.27 (95%CI: 1.15–9.31), p = 0.027, specifically for patients with p16-negative disease with 2-year DM-free survival 83% for low-risk vs. 38% for high-risk patients (p = 0.004).

Conclusions

A radiomics signature strongly associated with DM risk could provide a tool for improved risk stratification, potentially adding adjuvant immunotherapy for high-risk patients.

Tumor Glucose Metabolism and Its Heterogeneity on F-18 FDG PET/CT Provide Better Prognostication in Nonmetastatic Human Papillomavirus-Related Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Simple Summary

Human papillomavirus (HPV)-related oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) emerged as a distinct disease with a favorable prognosis, and a separate staging system was introduced. However, a subset of patients harbor a poor prognosis. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic role of metabolic parameters on baseline F-18 FDG PET/CT in patients with HPV-related OPSCC. We retrospectively reviewed patients who were diagnosed with stage I, II, and III HPV-related OPSCC using the 8th TNM staging. Metabolic features on baseline F-18 FDG PET/CT, such as higher tumor glucose metabolism derived from tumor SUV_max to liver SUV_mean ratio, and increased intratumoral heterogeneity inferred from coefficient of variation were associated with poorer progression-free survival and overall survival. Further study is warranted to address the possible implications of F-18 FDG PET/CT on treatment de-intensification in these patients.

Abstract

Background: We aimed to evaluate the prognostic role of metabolic parameters on baseline F-18 fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) PET/CT in patients with human papillomavirus (HPV)-related oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC). Methods: We retrospectively reviewed patients who were diagnosed with nonmetastatic HPV-related OPSCC using the 8th TNM staging system from 2010 to 2015 and underwent baseline F-18 FDG PET/CT. Tumor SUV_max to liver SUV_mean ratio (SUV_max-TLR), metabolic tumor volume (MTV), tumor total lesion glycolysis to liver SUV_mean ratio (TLG-TLR), and coefficient of variation (CV) of the primary tumor were measured. Patients were primarily treated with surgery or radiotherapy. Endpoints were progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Results: Ninety consecutive patients (male, 72; female, 18) were enrolled. They were followed up for a median of 77.4 months (interquartile range, 48.4–106.4). Sixteen patients progressed, and 13 died. Multivariate analysis revealed that patients with advanced age, overall stage, and higher SUV_max-TLR or CV had poorer PFS and OS. Conclusion: Higher SUV_max-TLR and CV of the primary tumor on baseline F-18 FDG PET/CT were associated with poorer PFS and OS in patients with nonmetastatic HPV-related OPSCC. Further study is warranted to address the possible implications of F-18 FDG PET/CT on treatment de-intensification in these patients.

Mid-treatment Fluorodeoxyglucose Positron Emission Tomography in Human Papillomavirus-related Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Treated with Primary Radiotherapy: Nodal Metabolic Response Rate can Predict Treatment Outcomes

AIMS

To evaluate whether biomarkers derived from fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography-computed tomography (FDG PET-CT) performed prior to (prePET) and during the third week (interim PET; iPET) of radiotherapy can predict treatment outcomes in human papillomavirus (HPV)-positive oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective analysis included 46 patients with newly diagnosed OPC treated with definitive (chemo)radiation and all patients had confirmed positive HPV status (HPV+OPC) based on p16 immunohistochemistry. The maximum standardised uptake value (SUV_max), metabolic tumour volume (MTV) and total lesional glycolysis (TLG) of primary, index node (node with the highest TLG) and total lymph nodes and their median percentage (≥50%) reductions in iPET were analysed, and correlated with 5-year Kaplan-Meier and multivariable analyses (smoking, T4, N2b-3 and AJCC stage IV), including local failure-free survival, regional failure-free survival, locoregional failure-free survival (LRFFS), distant metastatic failure-free survival (DMFFS), disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival.

RESULTS

There was no association of outcomes with prePET parameters observed on multivariate analysis. A complete metabolic response of primary tumour was seen in 13 patients; the negative predictive value for local failure was 100%. More than a 50% reduction in total nodal MTV provided the best predictor of outcomes, including LRFFS (88% versus 47.1%, P = 0.006, hazard ratio = 0.153) and DFS (78.2% versus 41.2%, P = 0.01, hazard ratio = 0.234). More than a 50% reduction in index node TLG was inversely related to DMFFS: a better nodal response was associated with a higher incidence of distant metastatic failure (66.7% versus 100%, P = 0.009, hazard ratio = 3.0).

CONCLUSION

The reduction (≥50%) of volumetric nodal metabolic burden can potentially identify a subgroup of HPV+OPC patients at low risk of locoregional failure but inversely at higher risk of distant metastatic failure and may have a role in individualised adaptive radiotherapy and systemic therapy.

Prognostic Value of Positive Presurgical FDG PET/CT in the Evaluation of Tumor-Induced Osteomalacia

METHODS

Seventy-six patients who had surgically removed tumors that caused osteomalacia were included in this retrospective investigation. All patients underwent both 18F-FDG and 68Ga-DOTATATE PET/CT prior to surgery. The prognostic value of presurgical FDG PET/CT study was determined with 5-year follow-up.

RESULTS

In the presurgical evaluation, 68Ga-DOTATATE detected lesions in all 76 patients. However, FDG PET/CT was positive in only 25 among all 76 patients. Following surgical removal of the causative tumor, all 76 patients had symptomatic relief and normalization of the serum phosphate level initially. However, 15 of 76 cases (19.7%) had recurrent hypophosphatemia and became symptomatic again during the follow-up. Among these 15 patients with recurrence, 11 (73.3%) had recurrent lesions at the original location of the resected causative tumors, whereas 4 were in other locations due to malignant nature of the primary tumor. Interestingly, 14 of these 15 patients with recurrent disease had positive presurgical FDG PET/CT findings with an incident ratio of 56.0% (14 of 25). In contrast, only 1 patient with recurrent disease had negative presurgical FDG PET/CT scan with an incident ratio of 1.9% (1 of 51), significantly less than the positive presurgical FDG PET/CT group (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

A positive presurgical FDG PET/CT suggests increased likelihood for possible recurrence of TIO after surgical resection. In contrast, when a causative tumor detected by 68Ga-DOTATATE PET/CT does not have elevated activity on FDG PET/CT, the chance of recurrence is very small.

CT and FDG-PET radiologic biomarkers in p16+ oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma patients treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy

PURPOSE

To assess associations between imaging biomarkers from standard of care pre-treatment CT and FDG-PET scans and locoregional (LR) and distant metastatic (DM) recurrences in patients with p16+ oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy (CRT).

METHODS

An institutional database from a single NCI-designated cancer center identified 266 patients with p16+ OPSCC treated with definitive CRT in our department from 2005 to 2016 with evaluable pre-treatment FDG-PET scans. Quantitative SUV metrics and qualitative imaging metrics were determined from FDG-PET and CT scans, while clinical characteristics were abstracted from the medical record. Associations between clinical/imaging features and time to LR (TTLRF) or DM (TTDMF) failure and overall survival (OS) were assessed using univariable Cox regression and penalized stepwise regression for multivariable analyses (MVA).

RESULTS

There were 27 LR and 32 DM recurrences as incident failures. Imaging biomarkers were significantly associated with TTLRF, TTDMF and OS. FDG-PET metrics outperformed CT and clinical metrics for TTLRF, with metabolic tumor volume being the only significant feature selected on MVA: C-index = 0.68 (p = 0.01). Radiographic extranodal extension (rENE), positive retropharyngeal nodes (RPN+), and clinical stage were significant on MVA for TTDMF: C-index = 0.84 (p < 0.001). rENE, group stage, and RPN+ were significant on MVA for OS: C-index = 0.77 (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In the largest study to date of uniformly treated patients with CRT to evaluate both pretreatment CT and FDG-PET, radiographic biomarkers were significantly associated with TTLRF, TTDMF and OS among patients with p16+ OPSCC treated with CRT. CT metrics performed best to predict TTDMF, while FDG-PET metrics showed improved prediction for LRRFS. These metrics may help identify candidates for treatment intensification or de-escalation of therapy.

STATEMENT OF TRANSLATIONAL RELEVANCE

Pre-treatment imaging features from standard-of-care PET/CT imaging show promise for predicting long-term outcomes following HPV-associated oropharynx cancer (HPV-OPC) therapy. This study comprehensively characterizes qualitative and quantitative pre-treatment imaging metrics associated with time to pattern-specific failure in a cohort of 266 patients treated uniformly with definitive chemoradiation. Multivariate analysis (MVA) for time to locoregional failure (TTLRF), time to distant metastatic failure (TTDMF), and overall survival (OS) was performed. FDG-PET metrics outperformed CT and clinical metrics for TTLRF. CT radiographic extranodal extension, positive retropharyngeal nodes, and stage strongly predicted TTDMF (combined C-index = 0.84, log rank p < 0.001). Number of smoking pack-years complemented clinical and imaging features only in patients without radiographic extranodal extension or positive retropharyngeal nodes. Time to pattern-specific failure is important for guiding treatment de-escalation strategies, which intend to reduce treatment-related toxicity in patients with relatively long expected survival times. This study suggests that PET/CT features should play a crucial role in future de-escalation trials and management of HPV-OPC patients.