Usefulness of the Delta Neutrophil Index as a Promising Prognostic Marker of Acute Cholangitis in Emergency Departments

Proportion of Neutrophils in White Blood Cells as a Useful Marker for Predicting Bacteremic Acute Cholangitis

Objective A positive hemoculture in acute cholangitis is serious, but a blood culture result cannot be obtained at the initial diagnosis and so cannot be used for the severity assessment and decision-making concerning urgent/early biliary drainage. Accordingly, a predictor for bacteremia at the initial diagnosis of acute cholangitis would be particularly useful. We investigated the association between neutrophil proportions in white blood cell counts (%Neutro) and bacteremic acute cholangitis. Methods Of 166 patients with acute cholangitis who were diagnosed with the Tokyo Guidelines 2018/2013 from April 2015 to March 2017, a total of 94 underwent blood culture assessments and were divided into those with a positive hemoculture (n=48) and a negative hemoculture (n=46) and then compared. A receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to evaluate the predictive ability of %Neutro and other inflammatory markers. Results The %Neutro values were significantly higher in the positive hemoculture group than in the negative hemoculture group (91.7±4.0% vs. 82.5±9.0%, p<0.0001). A cut-off %Neutro value of 89.7% was strongly associated with bacteremia (area under the curve 0.86, sensitivity 77.1%, specificity 80.4%). A %Neutro of ≥89.7% was a predictor of a positive hemoculture in univariate (p<0.0001) and multivariate analyses (p<0.001). Patients with a %Neutro ≥89.7% needed early biliary drainage more frequently than others (30/46, 65.2% vs. 18/48, 37.5%, p=0.0063). Conclusion %Neutro is an independent predictor of bacteremia in patients with acute cholangitis and may contribute to decision-making concerning early biliary drainage.

A Nomogram-Based Model for Predicting the Risk of Severe Acute Cholangitis Occurrence

Background

Acute cholangitis is a severe inflammatory disease associated with an infection of the biliary system, which can lead to complications and adverse outcomes. The existing nomogram-based risk assessment methods largely rely on a limited set of clinical features and laboratory indicators, and are mostly constructed using univariable models, which have limitations in predicting the severity. This study aims to develop a nomogram-based model that integrates multiple variables to improve risk prediction for acute cholangitis.

Methods

Data were retrospectively collected from 152 patients with acute cholangitis who attended the People's Hospital of Jiangsu University between January 2019 and March 2022, and were graded as having mild to moderate versus severe cholangitis according to the 2018 Tokyo guidelines. Univariate and multivariate analyses were employed to discern independent risk factors associated with severe acute cholangitis, which were subsequently integrated into a nomogram model. The efficacy of the model was appraised by leveraging Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and Decision Curve Analysis (DCA).

Results

Aspartate to alanine transaminase ratio (Transaminase ratio or TR), Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), C-reactive protein (CRP), and D-dimer (DD) levels were independent risk factors for severe acute cholangitis. A nomogram model was constructed based on these 4 risk factors. ROC and calibration curves were well differentiated and calibrated. DCA had a high net gain in the range of 7% to 83%. The above model was tested internally. According to the nomogram model when patients using characteristic curve critical values were divided into a low-risk group and a high-risk group, the incidence in the high-risk group was significantly higher than in the low-risk group.

Conclusion

This nomogram model may provide clinicians with an effective tool to predict the potential risk of severe acute cholangitis in patients and guide informed intervention measures and treatment decisions.

Delta Neutrophil Index as a New Early Mortality Predictor after Liver Transplantation

Background: Patients with liver disease display numerous defects of the immune system, so infection is a frequent complication of both acute and chronic liver disease. These infections are independently associated with poor outcomes after liver transplantation. Our objective was to evaluate the delta neutrophil index (DNI), a new inflammation marker, as a predictor of survival after liver transplantation (LT). Methods: This observational study retrospectively evaluated the records of 712 patients who underwent LT from January 2010 to February 2018. DNI was evaluated at pre-transplantation and 1, 7, 14, and 30 days after operation. Statistical analysis was performed using the T-test or chi-square test, and logistic regression analysis. Results: The mean MELD score was 16.7 ± 9.4 (0–48). There were 125 mortality cases (17.8%) after liver transplantation. Mean DNI was 1.61 at pre-transplantation, 3.94 one day after operation, 2.67 seven days after operation, 1.61 fourteen days after operation, and 1.64 thirty days after operation, respectively. In multivariate analysis, DNI seven and fourteen days after operation was revealed as an independent prognostic factor for mortality after liver transplantation (p = 0.040 and p < 0.0001). Conclusions: The DNI is a simple and reliable predictor of patient mortality after liver transplantation.

Identification of the robust predictor for sepsis based on clustering analysis

Sepsis is a life-threatening disorder with high incidence and mortality rate. However, the early detection of sepsis is challenging due to lack of specific marker and various etiology. This study aimed to identify robust risk factors for sepsis via cluster analysis. The integrative task of the automatic platform (i.e., electronic medical record) and the expert domain was performed to compile clinical and medical information for 2,490 sepsis patients and 16,916 health check-up participants. The subjects were categorized into 3 and 4 groups based on seven clinical and laboratory markers (Age, WBC, NLR, Hb, PLT, DNI, and MPXI) by K-means clustering. Logistic regression model was performed for all subjects including healthy control and sepsis patients, and cluster-specific cases, separately, to identify sepsis-related features. White blood cell (WBC), well-known parameter for sepsis, exhibited the insignificant association with the sepsis status in old age clusters (K3C3 and K4C3). Besides, NLR and DNI were the robust predictors in all subjects as well as three or four cluster-specific subjects including K3C3 or K4C3. We implemented the cluster-analysis for real-world hospital data to identify the robust predictors for sepsis, which could contribute to screen likely overlooked and potential sepsis patients (e.g., sepsis patients without WBC count elevation).

Clinical Significance of the Neutrophil–Lymphocyte Ratio as an Early Predictive Marker for Adverse Outcomes in Patients with Acute Cholangitis

Background and objectives: Acute cholangitis can be life-threatening if not recognized early. We investigated the predictive value of the neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in acute cholangitis. Materials and Methods: We retrospectively evaluated 206 patients with acute cholangitis who underwent biliary drainage. The severity of acute cholangitis was graded according to the Tokyo 2018 guideline. Patients were dichotomized according to the acute cholangitis severity (mild/moderate vs. severe), the presence of shock requiring a vasopressor/inotrope, and blood culture positivity. The baseline NLR, white blood cell (WBC) count, and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels were compared between groups. Results: The severity of acute cholangitis was graded as mild, moderate, or severe in 71 (34.5%), 107 (51.9%), and 28 (13.6%) patients, respectively. Ten patients (4.8%) developed shock. Positive blood culture (n = 50) was observed more frequently in severe acute cholangitis (67.9% vs. 17.4%, p < 0.001). The NLR was significantly higher in patients with severe cholangitis, shock, and positive blood culture. The area under the curve (AUC) for the NLR, WBC, and CRP for severe acute cholangitis was 0.87, 0.73, and 0.74, respectively. The AUC for the NLR, WBC, and CRP for shock was 0.81, 0.64, and 0.67, respectively. The AUC for the NLR, WBC, and CRP for positive blood culture was 0.76, 0.64, and 0.61, respectively; the NLR had greater power to predict disease severity, shock, and positive blood culture. The optimal cut-off value of the baseline NLR for the prediction of severe acute cholangitis, shock, and positive blood culture was 15.24 (sensitivity, 85%; specificity, 79%), 15.54 (sensitivity, 80%; specificity, 73%), and 12.35 (sensitivity, 72%; specificity, 70%), respectively. The sequential NLR values from admission to 2 days after admission were significantly higher in patients with severe cholangitis and shock. Conclusions: An elevated NLR correlates with severe acute cholangitis, shock, and positive blood culture. Serial NLR can track the clinical course of acute cholangitis.

Delta neutrophil index and shock index can stratify risk for the requirement for massive transfusion in patients with primary postpartum hemorrhage in the emergency department

Background

Postpartum hemorrhage (PPH) constitutes a major risk for maternal mortality and morbidity. Unfortunately, the severity of PPH can be underestimated because it is difficult to accurately measure blood loss by visual estimation. The delta neutrophil index (DNI), which reflects circulating immature granulocytes, is automatically calculated in hematological analyzers. We evaluated the significance of the DNI in predicting hemorrhage severity based on the requirement for massive transfusion (MT) in patients with PPH.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed data from a prospective registry to evaluate the association between the DNI and MT. Moreover, we assessed the predictive ability of the combination of DNI and shock index (SI) for the requirement for MT. MT was defined as a transfusion of ≥10 units of red blood cells within 24 h of PPH. In total, 278 patients were enrolled in this study and 60 required MT.

Results

Multivariable logistic regression revealed that the DNI and SI were independent predictors of MT. The optimal cut-off values of ≥3.3% and ≥1.0 for the DNI and SI, respectively, were significantly associated with an increased risk of MT (DNI: positive likelihood ratio [PLR] 3.54, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.5–5.1 and negative likelihood ratio [NLR] 0.48, 95% CI 0.4–0.7; SI: PLR 3.21, 95% CI 2.4–4.2 and NLR 0.31, 95% CI 0.19–0.49). The optimal cut-off point for predicted probability was calculated for combining the DNI value and SI value with the equation derived from logistic regression analysis. Compared with DNI or SI alone, the combination of DNI and SI significantly improved the specificity, accuracy, and positive likelihood ratio of the MT risk.

Conclusion

The DNI and SI can be routinely and easily measured in the ED without additional costs or time and can therefore, be considered suitable parameters for the early risk stratification of patients with primary PPH.

Delta Neutrophil Index for the Prediction of the Development of Sepsis-Induced Acute Kidney Injury in the Emergency Department

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The early prediction of acute kidney injury (AKI) in sepsis and provision of timely treatment may improve outcomes. We investigated the efficacy of the delta neutrophil index (DNI)-which reflects the fraction of immature granulocytes-in predicting sepsis-induced AKI and 30-day mortality in cases of severe sepsis or septic shock.

METHODS

This retrospective, observational cohort study was performed with patients prospectively integrated in a critical pathway of early-goal-directed therapy /SEPSIS. We analyzed adult sepsis patients admitted to the emergency department with normal kidney function or stage 1 disease, based on the Acute Kidney Injury Network classification, between January 1, 2014 and September 30, 2017. The outcomes were the development of sepsis-induced severe AKI within 7 days and 30-day mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 346 patients were enrolled. An increase in the DNI values at Time-0 (odds ratio [OR], 1.060; P < 0.001) and Time-12 (OR, 1.086; P < 0.001) were strong independent predictors of severe AKI development. The increasing predictability of AKI was closely associated with a DNI ≥14.0% at Time-0 (OR, 7.238; P < 0.001) and ≥13.3% at Time-12 (OR, 18.089; P < 0.001). The development of severe AKI was an independent predictor of 30-day mortality (hazard ratio: 25.2, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Higher DNI values are independent predictors of severe AKI development and 30-day mortality in sepsis. Physicians can use the DNI to quickly determine the severity of sepsis and initial treatment strategies without additional costs and effort.

Delta Neutrophil Index for the Prediction of Prognosis in Acute Gastrointestinal Diseases; Diagnostic Test Accuracy Meta-Analysis

Delta neutrophil index (DNI) is a novel diagnostic and prognostic biomarker of various infectious or inflammatory conditions. However, data on optimal measurement time are scarce, and no studies have evaluated the potential role of the DNI as a prognostic biomarker of gastrointestinal diseases with diagnostic test accuracy meta-analysis. Core databases were searched. The inclusion criteria were as follows: patients who have gastrointestinal diseases and DNI measurements presenting diagnostic indices for predicting the prognosis, including severity, surgical outcomes, and mortality from gastrointestinal diseases. We identified twelve studies for the systematic review and ten studies for the quantitative analysis. Pooled area under the curve, sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic odds ratio of DNI at the initial admission date were 0.82 (95% confidence interval: 0.78–0.85), 0.75 (0.52–0.89), 0.76 (0.63–0.86), and 10 (3–35), respectively. Meta-regression showed no reasons for heterogeneity and publication bias was not detected. Fagan’s nomogram indicated that the posterior probability of ‘poor prognosis’ was 76% if the test was positive, and ‘no poor prognosis’ was 25% if the test was negative. The DNI can be considered as a reliable initial measurement biomarker for predicting prognosis in patients with gastrointestinal diseases,

The Delta Neutrophil Index Predicts the Development of In-hospital Hypotension in Initially Stable Patients with Pyogenic Liver Abscess

Prompt diagnosis and timely treatment are important for reducing morbidity and mortality from pyogenic liver abscess (PLA). The purpose of this study was to investigate the importance of the delta neutrophil index (DNI) reflecting the fraction of immature granulocytes as a predictor of the development of in-hospital hypotension in initially stable patients with PLA. We retrospectively identified 308 consecutive patients (>18 years) who were hemodynamically stable at presentation and diagnosed with PLA in the emergency department (ED) between January 2011 and September 2017. The outcome of interest was in-hospital hypotension 1–24 hours after admission to the ED. A high DNI at ED admission was an independent predictor of the development of in-hospital hypotension in initially stable patients with PLA (odds ratio [OR]: 1.44, 95.0% confidence interval [CI]: 1.06–1.95; P = 0.02). A DNI > 3.3% was associated with in-hospital hypotension at ED admission (OR: 5.37, 95.0% CI: 2.91–9.92; P < 0.001). The development of in-hospital hypotension was associated with an increased risk of 30-day mortality (HR: 8.55, 95.0% CI: 2.57–28.4; P < 0.001). A high DNI independently predicts the development of in-hospital hypotension in initially stable patients with PLA. In-hospital hypotension is associated with an increased risk of 30-day mortality.

Value of the Delta Neutrophil Index for Predicting 28-Day Mortality in Patients With Acute Pulmonary Embolism in the Emergency Department

PURPOSE

Acute pulmonary embolism (PE), frequently seen in the emergency department (ED), is a leading cause of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. The delta neutrophil index (DNI) reflects the fraction of circulating immature granulocytes as a component of the systemic inflammatory response syndrome criteria. The pathogenesis of acute PE is significantly associated with inflammation. The aim of the study was to investigate the clinical usefulness of the DNI as a marker of severity in patients with acute PE admitted to the ED.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the data of patients who were diagnosed with acute PE at a single ED, admitted from January 1, 2011 to June 30, 2017. The diagnosis of acute pulmonary embolism was confirmed using clinical, laboratory, and radiological findings. The DNI was determined at presentation. The clinical outcome was all-cause mortality within 28 days of emergency department admission.

RESULTS

We included 447 patients in this study. The multivariate Cox regression model demonstrated that higher DNI values on ED admission were significantly associated with short-term mortality (hazard ratio, 1.107; 95% confidence interval, 1.042-1.177). The optimal cut-off DNI value, measured on ED admission, was 3.0%; this value was associated with an increased hazard of 28-day mortality following PE (HR, 7.447; 95% CI, 4.183-13.366; P < 0.001) CONCLUSION:: The DNI value, obtained as part of the complete blood count analysis, can be easily determined without additional burdens of cost or time. A high DNI is useful as a marker to predict 28-day mortality in patients with acute PE.

The delta neutrophil index predicts development of multiple organ dysfunction syndrome and 30-day mortality in trauma patients admitted to an intensive care unit: a retrospective analysis

No studies have examined the role of delta neutrophil index (DNI) reflecting on immature granulocytes in determining the severity of multiple organ dysfunction (MODS) and short-term mortality. This study investigated the utility of the automatically calculated DNI as a prognostic marker of severity in trauma patients who were admitted to an intensive care unit (ICU). We retrospectively analysed prospective data of eligible patients. We investigated 366 patients. On multivariable logistic regression analysis, higher DNI values at 12 h (odds ratio [OR], 1.079; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.037-1.123; p < 0.001) and 24 h were strong independent predictors of MODS development. Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that increased DNI at 12 h (hazard ratio [HR], 1.051; 95% CI, 1.024-1.079; p < 0.001) was a strong independent predictor of short-term mortality. The increased predictability of MODS after trauma was closely associated with a DNI > 3.25% at 12 h (OR, 12.7; 95% CI: 6.12-26.35; p < 0.001). A cut-off of >5.3% at 12 h was significantly associated with an increased risk of 30-day mortality (HR, 18.111; 95% CI, 6.988-46.935; p < 0.001). The DNI is suitable for rapid and simple estimation of the severity of traumatic injury using an automated haematologic analyser without additional cost or time.

Predictors of early weaning failure from mechanical ventilation in critically ill patients after emergency gastrointestinal surgery: A retrospective study

Mechanical ventilation (MV) is the most common therapeutic modality used for critically ill patients. However, prolonged MV is associated with high morbidity and mortality. Therefore, it is important to avoid both premature extubation and unnecessary prolongation of MV. Although some studies have determined the predictors of early weaning success and failure, only a few have investigated these factors in critically ill surgical patients who require postoperative MV. The aim of this study was to evaluate predictors of early weaning failure from MV in critically ill patients who had undergone emergency gastrointestinal (GI) surgery.The medical records of 3327 adult patients who underwent emergency GI surgery between January 2007 and December 2016 were reviewed retrospectively. Clinical and laboratory parameters before surgery and within 2 days postsurgery were investigated.This study included 387 adult patients who required postoperative MV. A low platelet count (adjusted odds ratio [OR]: 0.995; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.991-1.000; P = .03), an elevated delta neutrophil index (DNI; adjusted OR: 1.025; 95% CI: 1.005-1.046; P = .016), a delayed spontaneous breathing trial (SBT; adjusted OR: 14.152; 95% CI: 6.571-30.483; P < .001), and the presence of postoperative shock (adjusted OR: 2.436; 95% CI: 1.138-5.216; P = .022) were shown to predict early weaning failure from MV in the study population.Delayed SBT, a low platelet count, an elevated DNI, and the presence of postoperative shock are independent predictors of early weaning failure from MV in critically ill patients after emergency GI surgery.

Usefulness of the Delta Neutrophil Index to Predict 30-Day Mortality in Patients with Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding

PURPOSE

The delta neutrophil index (DNI), reflecting the fraction of circulating immature granulocytes, is associated with increased mortality in patients with systemic inflammation. It is rapidly and easily measured while performing a complete blood count. This study aimed to determine whether the DNI can predict short-term mortality in patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) with upper gastrointestinal hemorrhage (UGIH).

METHODS

We retrospectively identified consecutive patients (>18 years old) with UGIH admitted to the ED from January 1, 2015 to February 28, 2016. The diagnosis of UGIH was confirmed using clinical, laboratory, and endoscopic findings. The DNI was determined on each day of hospitalization. The outcome of interest was 30-day mortality.

RESULTS

Overall, 432 patients with UGIH met our inclusion criteria. The multivariate Cox regression model demonstrated that higher DNI values on days 0 (hazard ratio [HR], 1.09; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02-1.17; P = 0.012) and 1 (HR, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.06-1.24; P = 0.001) were strong independent predictors of short-term mortality. Further, a DNI >1% at ED admission was associated with an increased risk (HR, 40.9; 95% CI, 20.8-80.5; P < 0.001) of 30-day mortality. The optimal cut-off value for DNI on day 1 was 2.6%; this was associated with an increased hazard of 30-day mortality following UGIH (HR, 7.85; 95% CI, 3.59-17.15; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The DNI can be measured rapidly and simply at ED admission without additional cost or time burden. Increased DNI values independently predict 30-day mortality in patients with UGIH.

The delta neutrophil index (DNI) as a prognostic marker for mortality in adults with sepsis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

We performed a meta-analysis to seek evidence for the usefulness of the delta neutrophil index (DNI) as a prognostic blood biomarker for mortality in the early stage of sepsis in adults. A literature search was performed using criteria set forth in a predefined protocol. Studies of adults with sepsis that provided a DNI measurement and that had mortality as the outcome, were included. Review articles, editorials, and non-human studies were excluded. The methodological quality of identified studies was assessed independently by two authors using the Quality in Prognosis Studies (QUIPS) tool. A total of 1,822 patients from eleven studies were ultimately included. Standardized mean differences between non-survivors and survivors were compared. An elevated DNI was associated with mortality in patients with sepsis (standardized mean difference [SMD] 1.22; 95% confidence interval 0.73–1.71; I² = 91%). After excluding two studies—one that included paediatric patients and one with a disproportionately low mortality rate—heterogeneity was minimized (SMD 0.74, 95% confidence interval 0.53–0.94; I² = 43%). Overall, the findings suggest that high DNI values are associated with mortality in septic patients.

Cholangitis: Diagnosis, Treatment and Prognosis

Cholangitis is a serious life-threatening situation affecting the hepatobiliary system. This review provides an update regarding the clinical and pathological features of various forms of cholangitis. A comprehensive search was performed in the PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Knowledge databases. It was found that the etiology and pathogenesis of cholangitis are heterogeneous. Cholangitis can be categorized as primary sclerosing (PSC), secondary (acute) cholangitis, and a recently characterized form, known as IgG4-associated cholangitis (IAC). Roles of genetic and acquired factors have been noted in development of various forms of cholangitis. PSC commonly follows a chronic and progressive course that may terminate in hepatobiliary neoplasms. In particular, PSC commonly has been associated with inflammatory bowel disease. Bacterial infections are known as the most common cause for AC. On the other hand, IAC has been commonly encountered along with pancreatitis. Imaging evaluation of the hepatobiliary system has emerged as a crucial tool in the management of cholangitis. Endoscopic retrograde cholangiography, magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography and endoscopic ultrasonography comprise three of the modalities that are frequently exploited as both diagnostic and therapeutic tools. Biliary drainage procedures using these methods is necessary for controlling the progression of cholangitis. Promising results have been reported for the role of antibiotic treatment in management of AC and PSC; however, immunosuppressive drugs have also rendered clinical responses in IAC. With respect to the high rate of complications, surgical interventions in patients with cholangitis are generally restricted to those patients in whom other therapeutic approaches have failed.

Usefulness of the delta neutrophil index to predict 30-day mortality in patients with ST segment elevation myocardial infarction

This study aimed to evaluate the association between the delta neutrophil index (DNI), which reflects immature granulocytes, and the severity of ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), as well as to determine the significance of the DNI as a prognostic marker for early mortality and other clinical outcomes in patients with STEMI who underwent reperfusion. This retrospective, observational cohort study was conducted using patients prospectively integrated in a critical pathway program for STEMI. We included 842 patients diagnosed with STEMI who underwent primary percutaneous coronary intervention (pPCI). Higher DNI values at time-I (within 2 h of pPCI; hazard ratio [HR], 1.075; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.046–1.108; p < 0.001) and time-24 (24 h after admission; HR, 1.066; 95% CI: 1.045–1.086; p < 0.001) were significant independent risk factors for 30-day mortality. Specifically, DNI values >2.5% at time-I (HR, 13.643; 95% CI: 8.13–22.897; p < 0.001) and > 2.9% at time-24 (HR, 12.752; 95% CI: 7.308–22.252; p < 0.001) associated with increased risks of 30-day mortality. In conclusion, an increased DNI value, which reflects the proportion of circulating immature granulocytes in the blood, was found to be an independent predictor of 30-day mortality and poor clinical outcomes in patients with acute STEMI post-pPCI.