Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte Ratio is a Predictive Marker for Invasive Malignancy in Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms of the Pancreas. Ann Surg. 2017;266:339-345. [PMID: 27631774 DOI: 10.1097/sla.0000000000001988]

International evidence-based Kyoto guidelines for the management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of the pancreas

This study group aimed to revise the 2017 international consensus guidelines for the management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) of the pancreas, and mainly focused on five topics; the revision of high-risk stigmata (HRS) and worrisome features (WF), surveillance of non-resected IPMN, surveillance after resection of IPMN, revision of pathological aspects, and investigation of molecular markers in cyst fluid. A new development from the prior guidelines is that systematic reviews were performed for each one of these topics, and published separately to provide evidence-based recommendations. One of the highlights of these new "evidence-based guidelines" is to propose a new management algorithm, and one major revision is to include into the assessment of HRS and WF the imaging findings from endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) and the results of cytological analysis from EUS-guided fine needle aspiration technique, when this is performed. Another key element of the current guidelines is to clarify whether lifetime surveillance for small IPMNs is required, and recommends two options, "stop surveillance" or "continue surveillance for possible development of concomitant pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma", for small unchanged BD-IPMN after 5 years surveillance. Several other points are also discussed, including identifying high-risk features for recurrence in patients who underwent resection of non-invasive IPMN with negative surgical margin, summaries of the recent observations in the pathology of IPMN. In addition, the emerging role of cyst fluid markers that can aid in distinguishing IPMN from other pancreatic cysts and identify those IPMNs that harbor high-grade dysplasia or invasive carcinoma is discussed.

Assessment of Hematological Profiles and Prognostic Role of Hemogram-Derived Novel Markers for Diabetes Mellitus and Its Complications Among Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Adult Patients Attending Bishoftu General Hospital, Central, Ethiopia: A Comparative Cross-Sectional Study

Background

Diabetes is a chronic metabolic syndrome that is a global public health problem. Studies have used hematological parameters and hemogram-derived markers as predictors of poor glycemic and microvascular complications status in diabetics. However, the tendency to use these parameters is not fully evaluated in our context, and the evidence is inadequate. This study aimed to assess the hematological profiles and prognostic role of hemogram-derived novel markers in diabetes mellitus and its complications among DM patients at Bishoftu General Hospital, Ethiopia.

Methods

A comparative cross-sectional study was conducted among 261 participants from June 15 to August 12, 2022. A systematic random sampling technique was used to select participants. Data were collected using structured questionnaires, physical measurements, checklists, and laboratory tests. Hematological parameters and fasting blood glucose levels were determined from blood using Sysmex-XN550 and Cobas C311 analyzers, respectively. Blood smear was used to check Hematology analyzer output, and to screen participants for malaria parasites. Collected data were entered into Epi-data 3.1 and exported to SPSS-25. Data were analyzed by Chi-square, Mann-Whitney U-test, Kruskal-Wallis test, Post hoc test, and ROC curve. A P-value <0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Results

Total WBC, neutrophils, Monocyte, NLR, MLR, MPVLR, and PLR were significantly higher in poor glycemic and complicated T2DM; meanwhile, measured RBC parameters, RBC indices values were significantly lower in poor glycemic and complicated T2DM. The NLR, MLR, MPVLR, PLR, and NLR, MLR, MPVLR, RPR values were identified as predictors of poor glycemic and complication status in diabetic patients, respectively.

Conclusion

Significant increment of some hematological parameters and hemogram-derived markers, and their role in predicting poor glycemic and microvascular complications were identified in diabetic patients. Routine screening of hematological parameters and use of hemogram-derived markers for monitoring of altered health status in DM is very important in the improvement of patient quality of life.

Systematic review of challenging issues in pathology of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms

BACKGROUND

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) are a cystic precursor to pancreatic cancer. IPMNs deemed clinically to be at high-risk for malignant progression are frequently treated with surgical resection, and pathological examination of the pancreatectomy specimen is a key component of the clinical care of IPMN patients.

METHODS

Systematic literature reviews were conducted around eight topics of clinical relevance in the examination of pathological specimens in patients undergoing resection of IPMN.

RESULTS

This review provides updated perspectives on morphological subtyping of IPMNs, classification of intraductal oncocytic papillary neoplasms, nomenclature for high-grade dysplasia, assessment of T stage, distinction of carcinoma associated or concomitant with IPMN, role of molecular assessment of IPMN tissue, role of intraoperative assessment by frozen section, and preoperative evaluation of cyst fluid cytology.

CONCLUSIONS

This analysis provides the foundation for data-driven approaches to several challenging issues in the pathology of IPMNs.

Inflammatory biomarkers and nanotechnology: new insights in pancreatic cancer early detection

BACKGROUND

Poor prognosis of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is mainly due to the lack of effective early-stage detection strategies. Even though the link between inflammation and PDAC has been demonstrated and inflammatory biomarkers proved their efficacy in predicting several tumours, to date they have a role only in assessing PDAC prognosis. Recently, the studies of interactions between nanosystems and easily collectable biological fluids, alone or coupled with standard laboratory tests, have proven useful in facilitating PDAC diagnosis. Notably, tests based on magnetic levitation (MagLev) of biocoronated nanosystems have demonstrated high diagnostic accuracy in compliance with the criteria stated by WHO. Herein, the author developed a synergistic analysis that combines a user-friendly MagLev-based approach and common inflammatory biomarkers for discriminating PDAC subjects from healthy ones.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Plasma samples from 24 PDAC subjects and 22 non-oncological patients have been collected and let to interact with graphene oxide nanosheets.Biomolecular corona formed around graphene oxide nanosheets have been immersed in a Maglev platform to study the levitation profiles.Inflammatory biomarkers such as neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), derived-NLR (dNLR), and platelet to lymphocyte ratio have been calculated and combined with results obtained by the MagLev platform.

RESULTS

MagLev profiles resulted significantly different between non-oncological patients and PDAC and allowed to identify a MagLev fingerprint for PDAC. Four inflammatory markers were significantly higher in PDAC subjects: neutrophils ( P =0.04), NLR ( P =4.7 ×10 -6 ), dNLR ( P =2.7 ×10 -5 ), and platelet to lymphocyte ratio ( P =0.002). Lymphocytes were appreciably lower in PDACs ( P =2.6 ×10 -6 ).Combining the MagLev fingerprint with dNLR and NLR returned global discrimination accuracy for PDAC of 95.7% and 91.3%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The multiplexed approach discriminated PDAC patients from healthy volunteers in up to 95% of cases. If further confirmed in larger-cohort studies, this approach may be used for PDAC detection.

Prognostic Significance of Systemic Inflammation Indices by K-ras Status in Patients With Metastatic Colorectal Cancer

BACKGROUND

Systemic inflammation markers are useful prognostic indicators for metastatic colorectal cancer. However, the influence of K-ras genotypes on these markers in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer is unclear.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate the associations between systems of evaluating pretreatment systemic inflammation and outcomes according to K-ras genotypes in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer.

DESIGN

This was a retrospective study.

SETTINGS

This study was conducted at a university hospital.

PATIENTS

This study included a total of 272 patients ( K-ras wild type: K-ras mutant = 169:103) who received first-line systemic chemotherapy for metastatic colorectal cancer.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

We retrospectively calculated 8 systemic inflammation indices: neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, platelet/lymphocyte ratio, lymphocyte/monocyte ratio, prognostic nutritional index, Glasgow prognostic score, Naples prognostic score, systemic inflammation score, and systemic immune-inflammation index. Patients were categorized into high or low groups for each index. The prognostic relevance of these indices for overall survival was evaluated according to the K-ras genotype.

RESULTS

Kaplan-Meier survival analyses showed that median overall survival significantly differed between the high and low groups for all indices in the K-ras wild-type group but not in the K-ras mutant group, except for Glasgow prognostic score and lymphocyte/monocyte ratio. Multivariate Cox regression analyses identified all indices as independent prognostic factors. In the K-ras wild-type group, all indices except platelet/lymphocyte ratio had strong prognostic effects, but not in the K-ras mutant group. Interaction tests indicated that K-ras genotype significantly influenced the prognostic impacts of the neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio ( p = 0.042), prognostic nutritional index ( p = 0.048), Naples prognostic score ( p < 0.001), and systemic immune-inflammation index ( p = 0.004).

LIMITATIONS

A major limitation of this study is the lack of external validation.

CONCLUSIONS

The prognostic significance of systemic inflammation indices is more useful in patients with K-ras wild-type metastatic colorectal cancer than those with K-ras mutant cancer. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/B921 .

IMPORTANCIA PRONSTICA DE LOS NDICES DE INFLAMACIN SISTMICA POR ESTADO DE KRAS EN PACIENTES CON CNCER COLORRECTAL METASTSICO

ANTECEDENTES:Los marcadores de inflamación sistémica son indicadores de pronósticos útiles para el cáncer colorrectal metastásico. Sin embargo, la influencia de los genotipos KRAS en estos marcadores en pacientes con cáncer colorrectal metastásico no está clara.OBJETIVO:Evaluamos las asociaciones entre los sistemas de evaluación de la inflamación sistémica previa al tratamiento y los resultados según los genotipos K-ras en pacientes con cáncer colorrectal metastásico.AJUSTE:Este estudio se realizó en un hospital universitario.DISEÑO:Este fue un estudio retrospectivo.PACIENTES:Un total de 272 pacientes (K-ras wildtype [K-raswt]:mutant [K-rasMut] = 169:103) que recibieron quimioterapia sistémica de primera línea para el cáncer colorrectal metastásico.PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE RESULTADO:Calculamos retrospectivamente 8 índices de inflamación sistémica: proporción de neutrófilos/linfocitos, proporción de plaquetas/linfocitos, proporción de linfocitos/monocitos, índice nutricional pronóstico, puntuación de pronóstico de Glasgow, puntuación de pronóstico de Nápoles, puntuación de inflamación sistémica e índice de inmunoinflamación sistémica. Los pacientes se clasificaron en grupos altos o bajos para cada índice. La relevancia pronóstica de estos índices para la supervivencia global se evaluó según el genotipo K-ras.RESULTADOS:Los análisis de supervivencia de Kaplan-Meier mostraron que la mediana de la supervivencia general difería significativamente entre los grupos alto y bajo para todos los índices en el grupo K-raswt pero no en el grupo K-rasMut, excepto para la puntuación de pronóstico de Glasgow y la proporción de linfocitos/monocitos. Los análisis de regresión multivariable de Cox identificaron todos los índices como factores pronósticos independientes. En el grupo K-raswt, todos los índices, excepto el cociente plaquetas/linfocitos, tuvieron fuertes efectos pronósticos, pero no en el grupo K-rasMut. Las pruebas de interacción indicaron que el genotipo K-ras influyó significativamente en los impactos pronósticos de la proporción de neutrófilos/linfocitos (p = 0,042), el índice nutricional pronóstico (p = 0,048), la puntuación pronóstica de Nápoles (p < 0,001) y el índice de inflamación inmunológica sistémica (p = 0,004).LIMITACIÓN:Una limitación importante de este estudio es la falta de validación externa.CONCLUSIÓNES:La importancia pronóstica de los índices de inflamación sistémica es más útil en pacientes con cáncer colorrectal metastásico K-raswt. Consulte Video Resumen en http://links.lww.com/DCR/B921 . (Traducción-Dr. Yolanda Colorado ).

Prediction of malignant intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm: A nomogram based on clinical information and radiological outcomes

OBJECTIVE

Clinical practitioners face a significant challenge in maintaining a healthy balance between overtreatment and missed diagnosis in the management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN). The current study aimed to identify significant risk factors of malignant IPMN from a series of clinical and radiological parameters that are widely available and noninvasive and develop a method to individually predict the risk of malignant IPMN to improve its management.

METHODS

We retrospectively investigated 168 patients who were pathologically diagnosed with IPMN after individualized pancreatic resection between June, 2012 and December, 2020. Independent predictors determined using both univariate and multivariate analyses to construct a predictive model. The discriminatory power of the nomogram was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Decision curve analysis was performed to demonstrate the clinical usefulness of the nomogram. Internal cross validation was performed to assess the validity of the predictive model.

RESULTS

In the multivariate analysis, five significant independent risk factors were identified: increased serum CA19-9 level, low prognostic nutritional index (PNI), cyst size, enhancing mural nodule, and main pancreatic duct diameter. The nomogram based on the parameters mentioned above had outstanding performance in distinguishing malignancy, with an AUC of 0.907 (95% confidence interval: 0.859-0.956, p < 0.05), which remained 0.875 after internal cross-validation, and showed good clinical usefulness.

CONCLUSION

A novel nomogram for predicting malignant IPMN first introducing PNI was developed, which may aid in improving IPMN management. Nevertheless, external validation is required to confirm its efficacy.

Blood-Based Biomarkers in the Diagnosis and Risk Stratification of Pancreatic Cysts

The use of blood-based biomarkers for the assessment of pancreatic cystic lesions is a rapidly growing field with incredible potential. CA 19-9 remains the only blood-based marker in common use, while many novel biomarkers are in early stages of development and validation. We highlight current work in the fields of proteomics, metabolomics, cell-free DNA/circulating tumor DNA, extracellular vesicles, and microRNA among others, as well as barriers to development and future directions in the work of blood-based biomarkers for pancreatic cystic lesions.

Digital spatial profiling of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms: Toward a molecular framework for risk stratification

The histopathologic heterogeneity of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) complicates the prediction of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) risk. Intratumoral regions of pancreaticobiliary (PB), intestinal (INT), and gastric foveolar (GF) epithelium may occur with either low-grade dysplasia (LGD) or high-grade dysplasia (HGD). We used digital spatial RNA profiling of dysplastic epithelium (83 regions) from surgically resected IPMN tissues (12 patients) to differentiate subtypes and predict genes associated with malignancy. The expression patterns of PB and GF lesions diverged from INT, suggesting that PB and GF arise from a common lineage. Transcriptional dysregulation within PB lesions mirrored that of PDAC, whereas INT and GF foci did not. Tumor necrosis factor/nuclear factor κB (TNF-NFκB) and cell cycle (cycling S and cycling G₂-M) programs occurred with relative prominence in PB and INT subtypes, respectively. Together, this study delineates markers of high-risk IPMN and insights into malignant progression.

Circulating cytokines allow for identification of malignant intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas

BACKGROUND

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) are the precursor lesions of pancreatic cancers, requiring active surgical intervention during cancer development. However, the current criteria for predicting malignant IPMNs remain challenging and limited. Hence, this study aimed to assess the discriminatory performance of circulating cytokines, including TNF-α, IL-2R, IL-6, and IL-8, then build a novel predictive model to improve the diagnostic accuracy.

METHOD

A total of 131 retrospective (from March 2016 to December 2019) and 53 prospective (from March 2020 to January 2021) patients who were histologically confirmed as IPMNs were consecutively collected and analyzed.

RESULT

The circulating levels of TNF-α, IL-2R, IL-6, and IL-8 were significantly elevated in malignant IPMNs, and were verified as independent factors for malignant IPMNs (p < 0.05). Then, a novel score, the circulating cytokine score (CCS), was calculated and demonstrated as an independent predictive indicator with a higher area under the curve (AUC) than each cytokine alone (p < 0.001). Besides the CCS, two high-risk stigmata features, the presence of solid component (PSC), and main pancreatic duct (MPD) dilation ≥10 mm were also demonstrated as independent indicators for predicting malignant IPMNs. Finally, a novel nomogram incorporating the CCS and these two high-risk stigmata features presented a remarkable diagnostic performance, both in the training and validation cohorts with AUCs of 0.928 and 0.873, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The CCS can be considered a novel independent predictive indicator for malignant IPMNs. Additionally, the formulated nomogram model integrating the CCS, PSC, and MPD ≥10 mm can be a valuable and promising tool for predicting the malignant transformation of IPMNs during long-term follow-ups to assist in timely and accurate surgical decisions.

A high serum creatine kinase (CK)-MB-to-total-CK ratio in patients with pancreatic cancer: a novel application of a traditional marker in predicting malignancy of pancreatic masses?

BACKGROUND

The finding that some benign pancreatic masses mimic the imaging appearance of carcinomas poses a challenge for pancreatic surgeons. Preoperative markers that assist in the diagnosis are critical under this circumstance. Abnormal serum creatine kinase (CK) isozyme levels were reported in cancer patients, and this study aimed to explore the potential value of the CK-MB-to-total-CK ratio (CK ratio) in differentiating pancreatic cancer (PC) from benign masses when combined with carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9).

METHODS

A total of 190 patients primarily diagnosed with pancreatic masses were retrospectively reviewed and assigned to the PC group and the benign pancreatic mass (BPM) group. Sixty-eight controls were enrolled for comparison. Levels of preoperative parameters, including total serum CK, CK-MB, absolute neutrophil count, absolute lymphocyte count, albumin, and CA19-9, were recorded as well as pathological information. A logistic regression model was established to assess the application value of the combination of CA19-9 and the CK ratio in diagnosis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed to evaluate the diagnostic value of the markers.

RESULTS

The CK ratio was significantly elevated in the PC group compared with the BPM group (P < 0.001). In the multivariate analysis, a CK ratio greater than 0.220 was a statistically significant variable for predicting malignancy of pancreatic masses (P=0.001). Patients with stage III/IV PC had a higher CK ratio than those with stage I/II PC (P<0.01). Combined detection of CA19-9 and the CK ratio produced an increased Youden index (0.739 vs. 0.815) with improved sensitivity (82.2% vs. 89.8%).

CONCLUSIONS

The CK ratio is elevated in patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma and is an independent factor predicting pancreatic adenocarcinoma. The CK ratio augments the diagnostic capacity of CA19-9 in detecting malignancy.

Clinical and Molecular Attributes and Evaluation of Pancreatic Cystic Neoplasm

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) and mucinous cystic neoplasms (MCNs) are all considered "Pancreatic cystic neoplasms (PCNs)" and show a varying risk of developing into pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). These lesions display different molecular characteristics, mutations, and clinical manifestations. A lack of detailed understanding of PCN subtype characteristics and their molecular mechanisms limits the development of efficient diagnostic tools and therapeutic strategies for these lesions. Proper in vivo mouse models that mimic human PCNs are also needed to study the molecular mechanisms and for therapeutic testing. A comprehensive understanding of the current status of PCN biology, mechanisms, current diagnostic methods, and therapies will help in the early detection and proper management of patients with these lesions and PDAC. This review aims to describe all these aspects of PCNs, specifically IPMNs, by describing the future perspectives.

Defining the impact of platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio on patient survival with gastric neuroendocrine neoplasm: a retrospective cohort analysis

Background

Gastric neuroendocrine neoplasm (g-NEN) is a rare but heterogeneous neoplasm, with an increasing incidence yearly. Conventional prognostic markers of g-NEN remain limited which could only be detected after surgery. There is an urgent need to explore new prognostic markers for g-NEN patients. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of platelet-to-lymphocyte, ratio (PLR) and the association between PLR and body mass index (BMI) in patients with gastric neuroendocrine neoplasms (g-NEN).

Methods

A retrospective cohort of patients with g-NEN from January 2001 through June 2016 was examined. The prognostic significance of PLR was determined by multiple regression analysis in different models. Stratified analysis was performed to examine the prognostic value of PLR at different BMI levels.

Results

In total, 238 patients were enrolled. Those with higher PLRs tended to undergo open surgery, had larger tumor sizes, were diagnosed more frequently with neuroendocrine carcinoma, and had higher tumor grades. PLR was significantly associated with the survival of patients with g-NEN. With PLR increased per standard deviation, the all-cause mortality risk of patients with g-NEN increased by 67%, 63%, and 54% in the crude (HR = 1.67, 95% CI 1.32–2.12, P < 0.001), minimally adjusted (HR = 1.63, 95% CI 1.28–2.08, P < 0.001), and fully adjusted (HR = 1.54, 95% CI 1.202–1.98, P = 0.001) models, respectively. Patients with higher PLR (quartile 4, ≥ 187) had a 1.8-fold increase in all-cause mortality risk compared with those with lower PLR (quartile 1–3, < 187). Furthermore, there was a significant interaction effect between BMI subgroups and PLR in predicting the survival of patients with g-NEN (PLR regarded as a continuous variable: all P for interaction < 0.05 in the crude, minimally adjusted, and fully adjusted models; PLR regarded as a categorical variable: P for interaction < 0.05 in the fully adjusted model). Patients with g-NEN with the characteristics of higher PLR (quartile 4, ≥ 187) and non-obesity (BMI < 25 kg/m2) had worse survival than others (P < 0.05).

Conclusion

The inflammation marker PLR has an independent prognostic value for patients with g-NENs, and high PLR combined with non-obesity increases the mortality risk of these patients.

Online calculator for predicting the risk of malignancy in patients with pancreatic cystic neoplasms: A multicenter, retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Efficient and practical methods for predicting the risk of malignancy in patients with pancreatic cystic neoplasms (PCNs) are lacking.

AIM

To establish a nomogram-based online calculator for predicting the risk of malignancy in patients with PCNs.

METHODS

In this study, the clinicopathological data of target patients in three medical centers were analyzed. The independent sample t-test, Mann–Whitney U test or chi-squared test were used as appropriate for statistical analysis. After univariable and multivariable logistic regression analysis, five independent factors were screened and incorporated to develop a calculator for predicting the risk of malignancy. Finally, the concordance index (C-index), calibration, area under the curve, decision curve analysis and clinical impact curves were used to evaluate the performance of the calculator.

RESULTS

Enhanced mural nodules [odds ratio (OR): 4.314; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.618–11.503, P = 0.003], tumor diameter ≥ 40 mm (OR: 3.514; 95%CI: 1.138–10.849, P = 0.029), main pancreatic duct dilatation (OR: 3.267; 95%CI: 1.230–8.678, P = 0.018), preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio ≥ 2.288 (OR: 2.702; 95%CI: 1.008–7.244, P = 0.048], and preoperative serum CA19-9 concentration ≥ 34 U/mL (OR: 3.267; 95%CI: 1.274–13.007, P = 0.018) were independent risk factors for a high risk of malignancy in patients with PCNs. In the training cohort, the nomogram achieved a C-index of 0.824 for predicting the risk of malignancy. The predictive ability of the model was then validated in an external cohort (C-index: 0.893). Compared with the risk factors identified in the relevant guidelines, the current model showed better predictive performance and clinical utility.

CONCLUSION

The calculator demonstrates optimal predictive performance for identifying the risk of malignancy, potentially yielding a personalized method for patient selection and decision-making in clinical practice.

Efficacy of stereotactic body radiation therapy for locoregional recurrent pancreatic cancer after radical resection

Objective

This study aimed to analyze the efficacy and toxicity of stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) for locoregional recurrent pancreatic cancer after radical resection.

Methods

Patients with locoregional recurrent pancreatic cancer after surgery treated with SBRT in our institution were retrospectively investigated from January 2010 to January 2020. Absolute neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) recorded at pretreatment were analyzed. Endpoints included overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS) and cumulative incidences of local failure (LF) and metastatic failure (MF).

Results

A total of 22 patients received SBRT with a median prescribed dose of 40 Gy (range of 30-50 Gy)/4 to 7 fractions. The median OS of all patients was 13.6 months (95% CI, 9.6-17.5 months). 0-1 performance status (HR 12.10, 95% CI 2.04-71.81, P=0.006) and ≤2.1 pre-SBRT NLR (HR 4.05, 95% CI 1.21-13.59, P=0.023) were significant predictors of higher OS on multivariable analysis. The median progression-free survival (PFS) of the cohort was 7.5 months (95% CI, 6.5-8.5 months). The median time to LF and MF were 15.6 months and 6.4 months, respectively. The rate of MF as a first event was higher than that of first event LF. Pain relief was observed in all patients (100%) 6 weeks after SBRT. In terms of acute toxicity, grade 1 including fatigue (6, 27.3%), anorexia (6, 27.3%), nausea (4, 18.2%) and leukopenia (4, 18.2%) was often observed. No acute toxicity of grade 4 or 5 was observed. In terms of late toxicity, no treatment-related toxicity was found during follow-up.

Conclusion

This study showed that SBRT can significantly reduce pain, effectively control local tumor progression, and have acceptable toxicity for patients with locoregional recurrence after radical resection of primary pancreatic cancer. Good performance status and lower pre-SBRT NLR were associated with improved overall survival.

A predictive model for recurrence after upfront surgery in patients with resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) by using preoperative clinical data and CT characteristics

BACKGROUND

The overall survival for patients with resectable PDAC following curative surgical resection hasn't been improved significantly, as a considerable proportion of patients develop recurrence within a year. The purpose of this study was to develop and validate a predictive model to assess recurrence risk in patients with PDAC after upfront surgery by using preoperative clinical data and CT characteristics.

METHODS

The predictive model was developed based on a retrospective set of 141 pancreatic cancer patients after surgery. A separate set of 77 patients was used to validate model. Between January 2017 and December 2019, all patients underwent multidetector pancreatic CT and upfront surgery. Univariable and multivariate Cox regression was used to determine the risk factors related to recurrence and then establish a nomogram to estimate the 1-year recurrence probability. The Harrell C-index was employed in evaluating the discrimination and calibration of the model.

RESULTS

A total of 218 patients in this retrospective cohort. A recurrence model in nomogram form was developed with predictors including tumor size (hazard ratio [HR], 1.277; 95% CI 1.098, 1.495; P = 0.002), tumor density in the portal vein phase (HR, 0.598; 95% CI 0.424, 0.844; P = 0.003), peripancreatic infiltration (HR, 4.151; 95% CI 2.077, 8.298; P < 0.001), suspicious metastatic lymph node (HR, 2.561; 95% CI 1.653, 3.967; P < 0.001), Neutrophils/Lymphocytes ratio (HR, 1.111; 95% CI 1.016, 1.215; P = 0.020). The predictive nomogram had good discrimination capability with these predictors with an area under curve at 1 year of 0.84 (95%CI 0.77, 0.91) in the development set and 0.82 (95% CI 0.72, 0.92) and 0.84 (95% CI 0.74, 0.94) in the validation set for two radiologists reading respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The model developed based on preoperative clinical data and CT characteristics of resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma patients, which can helpfully estimate the recurrence-free survival. It may be a useful tool for clinician to select optimal candidates for upfront surgery or neoadjuvant therapy.

Association Between Clinical Backgrounds and Malignant Progression of Suspected Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm

OBJECTIVES

Some intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) have malignant potential and can become pancreatic cancer. The mechanism behind the malignant progression of IPMN remains unknown. We aimed to identify the risk factors and interactions between backgrounds for IPMN.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 980 patients of pancreatic cancer or suspected IPMN (sIPMN) who underwent endoscopic ultrasound or retrograde cholangiopancreatography. We classified them into pancreatic cancer, high-risk sIPMN, and low-risk sIPMN, and investigated the risk factors for high-risk sIPMN.

RESULTS

Smoking habits (odds ratio [OR], 3.74; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.04-6.85; P < 0.001), serum carbohydrate antigen 19-9 ≥37 U/mL (OR, 6.30; 95% CI, 2.88-13.80; P < 0.001), and family history of cancers (OR, 2.38; 95% CI, 1.30-4.37; P = 0.005) were independent risk factors for high-risk suspected IPMN. Odds ratios of diabetes and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio of 2.45 or greater were significantly higher in patients with a family history of cancer than those without a family history of cancer (OR, 3.28; 95% CI, 0.52-20.80 vs 1.85; 95% CI, 0.78-4.41; OR, 2.44; 95% CI, 0.81-7.34 vs 1.24; 95% CI, 0.67-2.30, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Understanding the interactions between background factors can effectively prevent IPMNs' malignant transformation.

Modeling of cancer-related body-wide effects identifies LTB4 as a diagnostic biomarker for pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND

Cancer elicits a complex adaptive response in an organism. Limited information is available for the body-wide effects induced by cancer. Here, we evaluated multiorgan changes in mouse models of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and its precursor lesions (pancreatic intraepithelial neoplasia, PanIN) to decipher changes that occur during PDAC development.

METHODS

RNA-sequencing was employed in the brain, colon, stomach, kidney, heart, liver, and lung tissues of mice with PanIN and PDAC. A combination of differential expression analysis and functional-category enrichment was applied for an in-depth understanding of the multiorgan transcriptome. Differentially expressed genes were verified by quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction. Neutrophil and macrophage infiltration in multiple organs was analyzed by immunohistochemical staining. Leukotriene B4 (LTB4) levels in mouse and human serum samples were determined by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay.

FINDINGS

Transcriptional changes within diverse organs during PanIN and PDAC stages were identified. Using Gene Ontology enrichment analysis, increased neutrophil infiltration was discovered as a central and prominent affected feature, which occurred in the liver, lung, and stomach at the PanIN stage. The brain appeared to be well protected from the sequels of PanIN or PDAC. Importantly, serum LTB4 was able to discriminate PDAC from normal controls, chronic pancreatitis, and intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms with high performance.

INTERPRETATION

Our study provides a high-resolution cartographic view of the dynamic multiorgan transcriptomic landscape of mice with PDAC and its precursor lesions. Our findings suggest that LTB4 could serve as a biomarker for the early detection of PDAC.

FUNDING

The complete list of funders can be found in the Acknowledgement section.

Association of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio with renal impairment among patients with acute gouty arthritis

OBJECTIVE

Gouty arthritis (GA) is an inflammatory disease, and renal impairment may occur to varying degrees with the progress of disease. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is an inflammatory marker. In this study, we aimed to explore the association between NLR and renal impairment in GA.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The subjects comprised 499 patients with gouty arthritis (GA) (473 men, 26 women; age range, 39-61 years old) from our hospital. They were divided into a chronic kidney disease (CKD) group (n = 206) and non-CKD group (n = 293) according to the glomerular filtration rate. Blood samples were collected during the gout flares. The differences in NLR, general data, and laboratory indexes of patients with GA between the two groups were compared, such as serum uric acid (SUA), serum creatinine (SCREA), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), C-reactive protein (CRP), high-density lipoprotein (HDL), and low-density lipoprotein (LDL).

RESULTS

NLR (3.38 vs. 2.38 (p < 0.001)) was higher in the CKD group, compared to the non-CKD group. Similarly, both SUA (527 vs. 507 (p < 0.05)) and SCREA (122 vs. 87 (p < 0.001)) were higher in the CKD group than in the non-CKD group. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that NLR (OR = 1.122, p < 0.05), age, hypertension, and SUA were risk factors for CKD in patients with GA, although HDL and HGB were protective factors. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis indicated that the area under the curve of NLR for predicting CKD in patients with GA was 0.646 (95% CI 0.597-0.694).

CONCLUSION

Our data showed that NLR might be an important potential factor for evaluating renal impairment in GA during flares.

Development and external validation of a nomogram with inflammatory markers for predicting invasiveness of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of pancreas

ABSTRACT

Recent studies have reported that inflammatory markers, such as neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, and advanced lung cancer inflammation index, are associated with invasiveness of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN). This study aimed to develop and validate a new nomogram that includes inflammatory markers for predicting the invasiveness of IPMN.The data of 365 patients who underwent surgical resection for IPMN at 4 centers between 1995 and 2016 were retrospectively reviewed to develop a new nomogram. For external validation, a separate patient cohort was used. The predictive ability of the nomogram was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.The new nomogram was developed using the following variables which were identified as risk factors for invasive IPMN: body mass index, preoperative serum bilirubin level, carbohydrate antigen 19-9, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, advanced lung cancer inflammation index, main duct type, presence of solid portion, and tumor size. After external validation, the area under the curve value was 0.649 (95% CI: 0.578-0.720, P < .001).To the best of our knowledge, this study is the first to predict and externally validate the invasiveness in IPMN using inflammatory markers. Further research is necessary to improve predictability of the model for selecting patients for surgical resection.

Proposed Models for Prediction of Mortality in Stage-I and Stage-II Gastric Cancer and 5 Years after Radical Gastrectomy

The current American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system provides limited information for patients with early death from stage-I and stage-II gastric cancer (GC) and death at >5 years after radical gastrectomy. The aim of this study was to construct nomogram models to predict the mortality risk of these patients. In this study, clinical and pathological data on patients who underwent curative gastrectomy at Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital between 2000 and 2014 were retrospectively collected. Receiver operating characteristic analysis was used to screen for sensitive serum immune biomarkers to predict the risk of mortality death >5 years after radical gastrectomy (Group A) and risk of early death in stage-I and stage-II GC (Group B). The prediction model was constructed by combining serum immune markers with clinicopathological features by R Studio. We found that serum fibrinogen (F), systemic immune inflammation (SII), and pTNM stage were independent risk factors for prognosis in Group A (P < 0.05). F, SII, age, Borrmann type, and scope of gastrectomy were independent risk factors for prognosis in Group B (P < 0.05). The area under the curve of the predictive model in Groups A and B was 0.726 and 0.848, respectively. In conclusion, the predictive models of F and SII combined with clinicopathological features can predict high mortality risk in patients with stage-I and stage-II GC and >5 years after radical gastrectomy, which will contribute to the supplement of the traditional AJCC system and to individual survival prediction.

The Value of Serum Tumor Markers and Blood Inflammation Markers in Differentiating Pancreatic Serous Cystic Neoplasms and Pancreatic Mucinous Cystic Neoplasms

Although many studies have emphasized the prognostic and diagnostic value of tumor markers and various inflammation-related markers, their clinical significance in differentiating benign and malignant pancreatic cystic neoplasms (PCNs) remains to be clarified. The present study explored the value of serum tumor markers and inflammation-related biomarkers in the differentiation of pancreatic serous cystic neoplasms (SCNs) and pancreatic mucinous cystic neoplasms (MCNs). A total of 79 patients with PCNs were included in this study, including 35 patients with SCNs and 44 patients with MCNs. Comparison of baseline data with preoperative results of serum tumor markers and associated inflammatory markers revealed significant differences in carbohydrate antigen 199 (CA199) and “lymphocyte × ALB” (LA) between the two groups (p = 0.0023, p = 0.0149, respectively). Univariate and multivariate regression analyses showed that an increase in CA199 and a decrease in LA were relevant risk factors for MCNs. Finally, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was generated, and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) was calculated to evaluate the prediction efficiency of each indicator. The results showed that CA199 and LA had good differential diagnostic efficacy for SCNs and MCNs. This is the first to report to demonstrate that LA can be used for the differential diagnosis of SNCs and MCNs.

Clinical Implication of Preoperative C-Reactive Protein/Albumin Ratio in Malignant Transformation of Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm: A Propensity Score Analysis

Background: Inflammation-based scoring has been reported to be useful for predicting the recurrence and prognosis of various carcinomas. This study retrospectively investigated the relationship between inflammation-based score and intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs). Methods: Between January 2013 and October 2018, we enrolled 417 consecutive patients with pancreatic tumors who received surgical resections at our hospital. The main outcome was the association between the preoperative inflammation-based score and their accuracy in predicting malignant transformation of IPMN. Results: Seventy six patients were eligible. Pathological findings indicated that 35 patients had low-grade dysplasia, 18 had high-grade dysplasia, and 23 had invasive carcinomas. As the C-reactive protein albumin ratio (CAR) was higher, malignant transformation of IPMNs also increased (p = 0.007). In comparing CAR^high and CAR^low using cutoff value, the results using a propensity score analysis showed that the CAR^high group predicted malignant transformation of IPMNs (odds ratio, 4.18; 95% confidence interval, 1.37–12.8; p = 0.01). In the CAR^high group, disease-free survival (DFS) was significantly shorter (p = 0.04). In the worrisome features, the AUC for the accuracy of malignant transformation with CAR^high was 0.84 when combining with the MPD findings. Conclusions: Preoperative CAR could be a predictive marker of malignant transformation of IPMNs.

Diagnostic value of combined prealbumin-to-fibrinogen and albumin-to-fibrinogen ratios in Hp-negative gastric cancer

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to investigate the diagnostic value of prealbumin-to-fibrinogen ratio (PFR) and albumin-to-fibrinogen ratio (AFR) alone or in combination in Helicobacter pylori-negative gastric cancer (Hp-NGC) patients.

METHODS

This study included 171 healthy controls, 180 Hp-NGC patients, and 215 Helicobacter pylori-negative chronic gastritis (HpN) patients. We compared the differences of various indicators and pathological characteristics between groups with Mann-Whitney U test and Chi-square test. The diagnostic value of PFR and AFR alone or in combination for Hp-NGC patients was assessed by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

RESULTS

PFR and AFR were related to the progression and clinicopathological characteristics of Hp-NGC. As the disease progressed, PFR and AFR values gradually decreased and were negatively related to the tumor size and depth of invasion. In addition, the area under the curves (AUCs) that resulted from combining PFR and AFR to distinguish Hp-NGC patients from healthy controls and HpN patients were 0.908 and 0.654, respectively. When combined with PFR and AFR in the differential diagnosis of tumors with a maximum diameter ≥ 5 cm and the T3 + T4 stage, the AUCs were 0.949 and 0.922; the sensitivity was 86.32% and 80.74%; and the specificity was 94.74% and 92.98%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

PFR and AFR may be used as diagnostic biomarkers for Hp-NGC. The combination of PFR and AFR was more valuable than each indicator alone in the diagnosis of Hp-NGC.

The Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Predicts Diabetic Retinopathy in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus

INTRODUCTION

As a severe and specific neurovascular complication of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), diabetic retinopathy (DR) remains the leading cause of vision loss and preventable blindness in adults aged 20 to 74. The pathogenesis of DR is not completely understood, however, studies indicate that chronic inflammation plays a significant role. Emerging evidence suggests that the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), the platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and the monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR) are novel potential inflammatory response markers. The purpose of this study was to investigate the relationships between the NLR, PLR, MLR, and DR.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

290 patients who had been diagnosed with T2DM participated in the study. Patients were categorized into three groups: 142 control subjects with T2DM, 124 subjects with nonproliferative diabetic retinopathy (NPDR), and 24 patients with proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR). Characteristics, laboratory data, as well as NLR, PLR and MLR levels of the study groups were compared.

RESULTS

In patients with DR, the median NLR, PLR, and MLR were significantly higher than in patients without DR (p = 0.012, p < 0.001, and p = 0.043, respectively). In the post hoc analysis, there was no correlation between the severity of retinopathy and the increase in NLR or PLR. Multiple logistic regression revealed that the PLR was an independent risk factor for DR (odds ratio [OR]: 1.020, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.010-1.029 p = 0.026). Based on the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the cutoff value of PLR as an indicator for diagnosing DR was estimated to be 129.65, with a sensitivity and specificity of 53.4% and 76.1%, respectively, and an area under the curve of 0.668 (95% CI: 0.605-0.730, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that PLR may be an independent risk factor for evaluating DR in type 2 diabetes patients.

Humoral Predictors of Malignancy in IPMN: A Review of the Literature

Pancreatic cystic lesions are increasingly detected in cross-sectional imaging. Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) is a mucin-producing subtype of the pancreatic cyst lesions arising from the pancreatic duct system. IPMN is a potential precursor of pancreatic cancer. The transformation of IPMN in pancreatic cancer is progressive and requires the occurrence of low-grade dysplasia, high-grade dysplasia, and ultimately invasive cancer. Jaundice, enhancing mural nodule >5 mm, main pancreatic duct diameter >10 mm, and positive cytology for high-grade dysplasia are considered high-risk stigmata of malignancy. While increased levels of carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA 19-9) (>37 U/mL), main pancreatic duct diameter 5-9.9 mm, cyst diameter >40 mm, enhancing mural nodules <5 mm, IPMN-induced acute pancreatitis, new onset of diabetes, cyst grow-rate >5 mm/year are considered worrisome features of malignancy. However, cross-sectional imaging is often inadequate in the prediction of high-grade dysplasia and invasive cancer. Several studies evaluated the role of humoral and intra-cystic biomarkers in the prediction of malignancy in IPMN. Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), CA 19-9, intra-cystic CEA, intra-cystic glucose, and cystic fluid cytology are widely used in clinical practice to distinguish between mucinous and non-mucinous cysts and to predict the presence of invasive cancer. Other biomarkers such as cystic fluid DNA sequencing, microRNA (mi-RNA), circulating microvesicles, and liquid biopsy are the new options for the mini-invasive diagnosis of degenerated IPMN. The aim of this study is to review the literature to assess the role of humoral and intracystic biomarkers in the prediction of advanced IPMN with high-grade dysplasia or invasive carcinoma.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio as a predictor of mortality in intensive care unit patients: a retrospective analysis of the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III Database

OBJECTIVES

Identifying high-risk patients in the intensive care unit (ICU) is important given the high mortality rate. However, existing scoring systems lack easily accessible, low-cost and effective inflammatory markers. We aimed to identify inflammatory markers in routine blood tests to predict mortality in ICU patients and evaluate their predictive power.

DESIGN

Retrospective case-control study.

SETTING

Single secondary care centre.

PARTICIPANTS

We analysed data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III database. A total of 21 822 ICU patients were enrolled and divided into survival and death groups based on in-hospital mortality.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

The predictive values of potential inflammatory markers were evaluated and compared using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. After identifying the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) as having the best predictive ability, patients were redivided into low (≤1), medium (1-6) and high (>6) NLR groups. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to evaluate the association between the NLR and mortality. The area under the curve (AUC), net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were used to assess whether incorporating the NLR could improve the predictive power of existing scoring systems.

RESULTS

The NLR had the best predictive ability (AUC: 0.609; p<0.001). In-hospital mortality rates were significantly higher in the low (OR (OR): 2.09; 95% CI 1.64 to 2.66) and high (OR 1.64; 95% CI 1.50 to 1.80) NLR groups than in the medium NLR group. Adding the NLR to the Simplified Acute Physiology Score II improved the AUC from 0.789 to 0.798, with an NRI and IDI of 16.64% and 0.27%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The NLR predicted mortality in ICU patients well. Both low and high NLRs were associated with elevated mortality rates, including the NLR may improve the predictive power of the Simplified Acute Physiology Score II.

The diagnostic and prognostic values of inflammatory markers in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm

BACKGROUND

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) is an broad-spectrum disease from benign to malignant. Inflammatory markers are known as prognostic predictors in various diseases. The purpose of this study was to determine the predictive value of inflammatory markers for prognosis in IPMN.

METHODS

From April 1995 to December 2016, patients who underwent pancreatectomy with pathologically confirmed IPMN at four tertiary centers were enrolled. Patients with a history of pancreatitis or cholangitis, and other malignancies were excluded. Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and advanced lung cancer inflammation index (ALI) were calculated.

RESULTS

Of all, ninety-eight patients (26.8%) were diagnosed as invasive IPMN. The NLR and PLR were significantly elevated in invasive IPMN than in non-invasive disease (2.0 vs 1.8, p = 0.004; 117.1 vs 107.4, p = 0.009, respectively). ALI was significantly higher in non-invasive IPMN than in invasive disease (58.1 vs 45.9, p < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, only NLR showed significant association among the inflammatory markers studied (p = 0.044). In invasive IPMN, the five-year recurrence-free survival rate for NLR less than 3.5 was superior to the rest (59.1 vs 42.2, p = 0.023).

CONCLUSION

NLR may help to rightly select IPMN patients who will require surgery and may serve as a useful prognostic factor.

Carbohydrate Antigen 19-9 Is an Invasive Malignancy Preoperative Prognostic Factor for Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms

INTRODUCTION

This study aimed to determine the preoperative clinicophysiological and postoperative clinicopathological predictors of malignancy in patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN).

METHODS

This was a retrospective observational study. We included 121 patients (73 men and 48 women; mean age: 68.7 years) who had undergone pancreatic resection for IPMN between 2007 and 2018. These patients were grouped into invasive carcinoma (IPMN-INV, N = 21) and low/high-grade IPMN (IPMN-LG/HG, N = 100) groups. Univariate and multivariate analyses of clinicophysiological parameters were carried out. These parameters were also compared between the IPMN-INV/HG (N = 53) and IPMN-LG (N = 68) groups. Survival analyses according to macroscopic type and IPMN subtypes were performed.

RESULTS

On univariate analysis, age (p = 0.038), carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 (p < 0.001), IPMN macroscopic type (p = 0.001), IPMN subtype (p < 0.001), pancreatic duct diameter (p < 0.001), and mural nodule (p = 0.042), between IPMN-INV and IPMN-LG/HG were found to be significant prognostic factors of malignancy. CA 19-9 was found to be an independent prognostic factor of IPMN malignancy on multivariate analysis (p = 0.035). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival (OS) rates of the IPMN-INV and IPMN-LG/HG groups were 94.4/100%, 94.4/100%, and 67.2/100%, respectively. The OS rate in the IPMN-LG/HG group was significantly higher than that in the IPMN-INV group (p < 0.001). On univariate analysis, platelet (p = 0.043), CA 19-9 (p = 0.039), prognostic nutritional index (p = 0.034), platelet/lymphocyte ratio (p = 0.01), IPMN macroscopic type (p < 0.001), IPMN subtype (p < 0.001), pancreatic duct diameter (p = 0.036), and mural nodule (p = 0.032) between IPMN-INV/HG and IPMN-LG were found to be significant prognostic factors of malignancy. On multivariate analysis, CA 19-9 was found to be an independent prognostic factor (p = 0.042) between IPMN-INV/HG and IPMN-LG of malignancy. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates of the IPMN-INV/HG and IPMN-LG groups were 97.9/100%, 97.9/100%, and 82.6/100%, respectively. The OS rate was significantly higher in the IPMN-LG group than in the IPMN-INV/HG group (p = 0.03). No significant differences in survival were observed in patients with macroscopic tumors (p= 0.544).

CONCLUSION

CA 19-9 is an independent invasive malignancy predictor of IPMN.

Nomogram predict relapse-free survival of patients with thymic epithelial tumors after surgery

Background

Hematological indicators and clinical characteristics play an important role in the evaluation of the progression and prognosis of thymic epithelial tumors. Therefore, we aimed to combine these potential indicators to establish a prognostic nomogram to determine the relapse-free survival (RFS) of patients with thymic epithelial tumors undergoing thymectomy.

Methods

This retrospective study was conducted on 156 patients who underwent thymectomy between May 2004 and August 2015. Cox regression analysis were performed to determine the potential indicators related to prognosis and combine these indicators to create a nomogram for visual prediction. The prognostic predictive ability of the nomogram was evaluated using the consistency index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and risk stratification. Decision curve analysis was used to evaluate the net benefits of the model.

Results

Preoperative albumin levels, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), T stage, and WHO histologic types were included in the nomogram. In the training cohort, the nomogram showed well prognostic ability (C index: 0.902). Calibration curves for the relapse-free survival (RFS) were in good agreement with the standard lines in training and validation cohorts.

Conclusions

Combining clinical and hematologic factors, the nomogram performed well in predicting the prognosis and the relapse-free survival of this patient population. And it has potential to identify high-risk patients at an early stage. This is a relatively novel approach for the prediction of RFS in this patient population.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12885-021-08585-y.

Advances in the epidemiology of pancreatic cancer: Trends, risk factors, screening, and prognosis

Pancreatic cancer is a malignancy with poor prognosis and high mortality. The recent increase in pancreatic cancer incidence and mortality has resulted in an increased number of studies on its epidemiology. This comprehensive and systematic literature review summarizes the advances in the epidemiology of pancreatic cancer, including its epidemiological trends, risk factors, risk prediction models, screening modalities, and prognosis. The risk factors for pancreatic cancers can be categorized as those related to individual characteristics, lifestyle and environment, and disease status. Several prediction models for pancreatic cancer have been developed in populations with new-onset diabetes or a family history of pancreatic cancer; however, these models require further validation. Despite recent progress in pancreatic cancer screening, the quantity and quality of related studies are also unsatisfactory, especially with respect to the identification of high-risk populations and development of effective screening modality. Apart from the populations with familial genetic risk and those at a high risk of sporadic pancreatic cancer, risk factors such as new-onset diabetes may be a new direction for timely intervention. We hope this work will provide new ideas for further prevention and treatment of pancreatic cancer.

A Novel Validated Recurrence Stratification System Based on 18F-FDG PET/CT Radiomics to Guide Surveillance After Resection of Pancreatic Cancer

objective

Despite the heterogeneous biology of pancreatic cancer, similar surveillance schemas have been used. Identifying the high recurrence risk population and conducting prompt intervention may improve prognosis and prolong overall survival.

Methods

One hundred fifty-six resectable pancreatic cancer patients who had undergone ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT from January 2013 to December 2018 were retrospectively reviewed. The patients were categorized into a training cohort (n = 109) and a validation cohort (n = 47). LIFEx software was used to extract radiomic features from PET/CT. The risk stratification system was based on predictive factors for recurrence, and the index of prediction accuracy was used to reflect both the discrimination and calibration.

Results

Overall, seven risk factors comprising the rad-score and clinical variables that were significantly correlated with relapse were incorporated into the final risk stratification system. The 1-year recurrence-free survival differed significantly among the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups (85.5, 24.0, and 9.1%, respectively; p < 0.0001). The C-index of the risk stratification system in the development cohort was 0.890 (95% CI, 0.835-0.945).

Conclusion

The ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT-based radiomic features and clinicopathological factors demonstrated good performance in predicting recurrence after pancreatectomy in pancreatic cancer patients, providing a strong recommendation for an adequate adjuvant therapy course in all patients. The high-risk recurrence population should proceed with closer follow-up in a clinical setting.

The Ratio of C-Reactive Protein to Albumin Is an Independent Predictor of Malignant Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms of the Pancreas

There is growing evidence to indicate that inflammatory reactions are involved in cancer progression. The aim of this study is to assess the significance of systemic inflammatory biomarkers, such as the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), the platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), the ratio of C-reactive protein to albumin ratio (CAR), the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and the modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGps) in the diagnosis and prognosis of malignant intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) of the pancreas. Data were obtained from a retrospective analysis of patients who underwent pancreatic resection for IPMNs from January 2005 to December 2015. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed, considering preoperative inflammatory biomarkers, clinicopathological variables, and imaging features. Eighty-three patients with histologically proven IPMNs of the pancreas were included in the study, 37 cases of low-grade or intermediate dysplasia and 46 cases of high-grade dysplasia (HGD) or invasive carcinoma. Univariate analysis showed that obstructive jaundice (p = 0.02) and a CAR of >0.083 (p = 0.001) were predictors of malignancy. On multivariate analysis, only the CAR was a statistically significant independent predictor of HGD or invasive carcinoma in pancreatic IPMNs, identifying a subgroup of patients with a poor prognosis. Combining the CAR with patients' imaging findings, clinical features and tumor markers can be useful in the clinical management of IPMNs. Their value should be tested in prospective studies.

A Review of the Diagnosis and Management of Premalignant Pancreatic Cystic Lesions

Pancreatic cystic lesions are an increasingly common clinical finding. They represent a heterogeneous group of lesions that include two of the three known precursors of pancreatic cancer, intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) and mucinous cystic neoplasms (MCN). Given that approximately 8% of pancreatic cancers arise from these lesions, careful surveillance and timely surgery offers an opportunity for early curative resection in a disease with a dismal prognosis. This review summarizes the current evidence and guidelines for the diagnosis and management of IPMN/MCN. Current pre-operative diagnostic tests in pancreatic cysts are imperfect and a proportion of patients continue to undergo unnecessary surgical resection annually. Balancing cancer prevention while preventing surgical overtreatment, continues to be challenging when managing pancreatic cysts. Cyst fluid molecular markers, such as KRAS, GNAS, VHL, PIK3CA, SMAD4 and TP53, as well as emerging endoscopic technologies such as needle-based confocal laser endomicroscopy and through the needle microbiopsy forceps demonstrate improved diagnostic accuracy. Differences in management and areas of uncertainty between the guidelines are also discussed, including indications for surgery, surveillance protocols and if and when surveillance can be discontinued.

Nomogram for the Prediction of High-Grade Dysplasia and Invasive Carcinoma in Patients With Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms of the Pancreas Based on Variables of Noninvasive Examination

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) are a heterogeneous group of neoplasms and represent the most common identifiable precursor lesions of pancreatic cancer. Clinical decision-making of the risk for malignant disease, including high-grade dysplasia and invasive carcinoma, is challenging. Moreover, discordance on the indication for resection exists between the contemporary guidelines. Furthermore, most of the current nomogram models for predicting malignant disease depend on endoscopic ultrasonography to evaluate the precise size of mural nodules. Thus, this study aimed to propose a model to predict malignant disease using variables from a noninvasive examination. We evaluated patients who underwent resection of pathologically confirmed IPMNs between November 2010 and December 2018 and had preoperative clinical data available for review. Based on binary multivariable logistic regression analysis, we devised a nomogram model to predict malignant IPMNs. The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) was used to evaluate the discrimination power of the model. Of the 333 patients who underwent resection of IPMNs, 198 (59.5%) had benign and 135 (40.5%) had malignant IPMNs. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that cyst size, cyst location, cyst wall enhancement, multicystic lesion, diameter of main pancreatic duct, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, serum carbohydrate antigen 19-9, and carcinoembryonic antigen were significantly associated with malignancy. The nomogram, constructed based on these variables, showed excellent discrimination power with an AUC of 0.859 (95% CI: 0.818–0.900, P < 0.001). In conclusion, we have developed a nomogram consisting of a combination of cross-sectional imaging features and blood markers, variables that can readily be obtained by noninvasive examinations during the surveillance period, which can distinguish benign from malignant IPMNs. Nevertheless, external validation is warranted.

Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index and Changes of Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio as Prognostic Biomarkers for Patients With Pancreatic Cancer Treated With Immune Checkpoint Blockade

The efficacy of current treatment regimens for pancreatic cancer (PC) remains unsatisfactory. In recent years, immune checkpoint blockade (ICB) therapy has shown promising anti-tumor outcomes in many malignancies, including PC. Inexpensive and readily available biomarkers which predict therapeutic responses and prognosis are in critical need. Systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) are emerging predictors for prognosis of various tumors. We aim to investigate the prognostic significance of baseline SII, NLR, and their changes in PC patients treated with ICB. Our retrospective analysis included PC patients treated with ICB therapy in the Chinese PLA General Hospital. All demographic, biological, and clinical data were extracted from medical records. Relative changes of SII after two doses of ICB were defined as ΔSII% and calculated as (SII_{after 2 doses}-SII_baseline)/SII_baseline, and so was the case for ΔNLR%. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were compared using Kaplan-Meier curves. The prognostic significance of baseline SII, NLR, and their changes was assessed in univariate and multivariate analyses using the Cox proportional hazard regression model. In total, 122 patients with PC treated with ICB were included in the present analysis. Elevated baseline SII (HR=3.28; 95% CI:1.98–5.27; P=0.03) and ΔNLR% (HR=2.21; 95% CI:1.03–4.74; P=0.04) were significantly correlated with an increased risk of death. For PC patients receiving ICB combined with chemotherapies or radiotherapies as the first-line treatment, increased baseline SII was a negative predictor for both OS (HR=8.06; 95% CI:1.71–37.86; P=0.01) and PFS (HR=2.84; 95%CI:1.37–10.38; P=0.04). Our study reveals the prognostic value of baseline SII and NLR changes in PC patients receiving ICB therapy. The clinical utility of these prognostic biomarkers needs to be further studied in prospective studies.

Prognostic significance of systemic inflammation score in patients who undergo hepatic resection for hepatocellular carcinoma

PURPOSE

Systemic inflammation score (SIS) is a novel prognostic score (0, 1, or 2) for various cancers, based on preoperative serum albumin level and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR); modified SIS (mSIS) uses a different LMR cutoff value and was thought to be a more accurate predictor for cancer prognosis. Here, we assessed the prognostic value of SIS and mSIS in patients who receive hepatic resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

We retrospectively evaluated SIS and mSIS of 314 patients after hepatic resection for HCC, against their clinicopathological factors and outcomes, using receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis over time.

RESULTS

Among patients with preoperative SIS 2, significantly more HCC specimens were poorly differentiated (P = 0.0281), larger (P = 0.0006), and had more microscopic vascular invasion (P = 0.0136) than the SIS 0-1 group; the mSIS 2 group also had significantly larger tumors (P = 0.0039) than the mSIS 0-1 group. In ROC analysis, SIS was a better predictor of overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) than mSIS. The SIS 2 group had shorter OS (P = 0.0015) and RFS (P = 0.0065) than other patients. In multivariate analysis, SIS 2 was an independent risk factor for shorter OS (hazard ratio (HR) 1.53, P = 0.0497) and RFS (HR 1.58, P = 0.0053).

CONCLUSION

SIS is superior to mSIS in predicting prognosis of patients with HCC. mSIS is not a great predictor of prognosis in resected HCC.

The prognostic roles of the prognostic nutritional index in patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm

The preoperative accurate diagnosis is difficult in the patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN). The aim of the present study was to elucidate the roles of systemic inflammation responses and nutritional status indexes in IPMN. High-grade dysplasia was classified as a malignant neoplasm in the study. We retrospectively reviewed 155 patients who underwent pancreatectomy. The correlation between the clinical factors and several indexes of a systemic inflammation response and nutritional status was analyzed. Among the biomarkers, prognostic nutritional index (PNI) value of malignant IPMN patients was significantly lower than that of benign IPMN patients (P = 0.023), whereas PNI was not significant predictor for malignant IPMN. The multivariate analysis showed that a PNI < 43.5 (odds ratio [OR] 16.1, 95% CI 1.88–138.5, P = 0.011) and a carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19–9 level > 22.5 U/mL (OR 6.64, 95% CI 1.73–25.6, P = 0.006) were significant independent predictors of the presence of lymph node metastasis (LNM). Our scoring system developed based on these two factors. Patients with a score of 0 had no LNM and zero disease-related death. The present study suggested the roles of PNI on the IPMN patients who undergo curative pancreatectomy.

Digital PCR-based plasma cell-free DNA mutation analysis for early-stage pancreatic tumor diagnosis and surveillance

BACKGROUND

Cell-free DNA (cfDNA) shed from tumors into the circulation offers a tool for cancer detection. Here, we evaluated the feasibility of cfDNA measurement and utility of digital PCR (dPCR)-based assays, which reduce subsampling error, for diagnosing pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDA) and surveillance of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN).

METHODS

We collected plasma from seven institutions for cfDNA measurements. Hot-spot mutations in KRAS and GNAS in the cfDNA from patients with PDA (n = 96), undergoing surveillance for IPMN (n = 112), and normal controls (n = 76) were evaluated using pre-amplification dPCR.

RESULTS

Upon Qubit measurement and copy number assessment of hemoglobin-subunit (HBB) and mitochondrially encoded NADH:ubiquinone oxidoreductase core subunit 1 (MT-ND1) in plasma cfDNA, HBB offered the best resolution between patients with PDA relative to healthy subjects [area under the curve (AUC) 0.862], whereas MT-ND1 revealed significant differences between IPMN and controls (AUC 0.851). DPCR utilizing pre-amplification cfDNA afforded accurate tumor-derived mutant KRAS detection in plasma in resectable PDA (AUC 0.861-0.876) and improved post-resection recurrence prediction [hazard ratio (HR) 3.179, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.025-9.859] over that for the marker CA19-9 (HR 1.464; 95% CI 0.674-3.181). Capturing KRAS and GNAS could also provide genetic evidence in patients with IPMN-associated PDA and undergoing pancreatic surveillance.

CONCLUSIONS

Plasma cfDNA quantification by distinct measurements is useful to predict tumor burden. Through appropriate methods, dPCR-mediated mutation detection in patients with localized PDA and IPMN likely to progress to invasive carcinoma is feasible and complements conventional biomarkers.

The systemic immune-inflammation index predicts prognosis in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: an international multi-institutional analysis

BACKGROUND

The objective of this study was to examine whether the systemic immune inflammation index (SII) was associated with prognosis among patients following resection of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC).

METHODS

The impact of SII on overall (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) following resection of ICC was assessed. The performance of the final multivariable models that incorporated inflammatory markers (i.e. neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio [NLR], platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio [PLR] and SII [platelets∗NLR]) was assessed using the Harrell's concordance index.

RESULTS

Patients with high SII had worse 5-year OS (37.7% vs 46.6%, p < 0.001) and CSS (46.1% vs 50.1%, p < 0.001) compared with patients with low SII. An elevated SII (HR = 1.70, 95% CI 1.23-2.34) and NLR (HR = 1.58, 95% CI 1.10-2.27) independently predicted worse OS, whereas high PLR (HR = 1.17, 95% CI 0.85-1.60) was no longer associated with prognosis. Only SII remained an independent predictor of CSS (HR = 1.55, 95% CI 1.09-2.21). The SII multivariable model outperformed models that incorporated PLR and NLR relative to OS (c-index; 0.696 vs 0.689 vs 0.692) and CSS (c-index; 0.697 vs 0.689 vs 0.690).

CONCLUSION

SII independently predicted OS and CSS among patients with resectable ICC. SII may be a better predictor of outcomes compared with other markers of inflammatory response among patients with resectable ICC.

A retrospective study of histological outcome for IPMN after surgery in Lausanne, Switzerland: A case series

Introduction

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) is a 21st century concept and its management is still controversial. Strong guidelines suggest that surgery is the safest way to prevent malignant evolution. Though the risk of neoplasia is still debated, high-morbidity and mortality surgery must be proposed for high-risk patients to prevent malignant and most likely fatal pancreatic neoplasia.

Methods

The aim of this study was to analyze histological results of patients who underwent operation for IPMN under the Sendai and Fukuoka guidelines. From January 2005 to August 2016, 491 consecutive patients who underwent pancreatic resection in Lausanne University Hospital were analyzed, including 18 IPMN with surgical indication according to the Sendai and Fukuoka criteria.

Results

Thirteen (68.4%) patients had benign histopathology after surgery (the non-malignant group). Of the patients with malignant pathology, four (21%) had high-grade dysplasia and two (20.1%) had invasive carcinoma (the malignant group). The median patient age (p = 0.011) and preoperative Carbohydrate Antigen 19–9 (CA19-9) (p = 0.030) were significantly higher in the malignant group than in the non-malignant group.

Discussion

The use of the current criteria is adequate, but it may be resulting in surgery on excessive numbers of patients with IPMN. A modern decision-making strategy should be based on clinical features, precise imaging data, and biological markers.

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IPMNs are pre-cancerous tumors with a potential evolution to malignant neoplasm.

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Revised guidelines can lead to surgical decision but with high morbidity and mortality linked to pancreatic surgery.

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Moderns biological markers can help to adjust surgical criteria, added to clinical and imaging features.

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More specific criteria are needed prior to resection, and could lead to more and more conservative management.

Usefulness of Deep Learning Analysis for the Diagnosis of Malignancy in Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms of the Pancreas

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) are precursor lesions of pancreatic adenocarcinoma. Artificial intelligence (AI) is a mathematical concept whose implementation automates learning and recognizing data patterns. The aim of this study was to investigate whether AI via deep learning algorithms using endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS) images of IPMNs could predict malignancy.

Surgical indication for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm without mural nodule ≥5 mm

BACKGROUND

In intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm, a mural nodule ≥5 mm is an important predictor of malignancy. Surgical indication is less clear in cases of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm without mural nodule ≥5 mm. This is a retrospective study evaluating predictors of high-grade dysplasia or invasive intraductal papillary mucinous carcinoma for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm without mural nodule ≥5 mm.

METHODS

Among consecutive patients who underwent surgery for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm between 1999 and 2018, 174 had intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm with mural nodule ≥5 mm (mural nodule[+] ≥5 mm group). The remaining 155 patients had intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm but did not have mural nodule ≥5 mm: 24 patients with mural nodule <5 mm (mural nodule[+] <5 mm group) and 131 patients without mural nodule (mural nodule[-] group). We investigated predictors of high-grade dysplasia or invasive intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm in cases of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm without mural nodule ≥5 mm.

RESULTS

The frequency of high-grade dysplasia invasive intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm was significantly higher in the mural nodule(+) ≥5 mm group (87.4%) than in the mural nodule(+) <5 mm group (37.5%, P < .001) and mural nodule(-) group (45.0%, P < .001). However, frequency was not significantly different between mural nodule(+) <5 mm and mural nodule(-) groups (P = .494). Multivariate analysis showed three independent predictors of high-grade dysplasia invasive intraductal papillary mucinous carcinoma in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm without mural nodule ≥5 mm: branch cyst ≥40 mm (P = .038, odds ratio 3.704; 95% confidence interval, 1.075-12.821), positive cytology of pancreatic juice (P = .039, odds ratio 16.792; 95% confidence interval, 1.152-244.744), and carcinoembryonic antigen in pancreatic juice ≥30 mg/mL (P < .001, odds ratio 14.925; 95% confidence interval, 4.525-50.0).

CONCLUSION

For cases of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm without mural nodule ≥5 mm, large cysts, positive cytology of the pancreatic juice, and high levels of carcinoembryonic antigen in pancreatic juice may be useful to determine surgical indication, although further studies are needed to confirm these results.

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio as a novel independent prognostic factor for multiple metastatic lung tumors from various sarcomas

PURPOSE

Sarcomas are among the most refractory malignant tumors and often recur as pulmonary metastasis. Although the presence of a high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been associated with the prognosis of several malignancies, the relationship between the NLR and sarcoma with pulmonary metastasis is unclear. We investigated the impact of the NLR in patients who underwent surgical resection for metastatic lung tumors from various sarcomas.

METHODS

The subjects of this retrospective study were 158 patients with metastatic lung tumors from various sarcomas, who underwent initial pulmonary metastasectomy between 2006 and 2015. We examined the clinicopathological variables, including the NLR and the characteristics of surgical procedures. Survival was estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method and prognostic factors were evaluated by multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis revealed significantly better survival of the group with an NLR < 2.26 immediately before the most recent pulmonary metastasectomy, in addition to such factors as the largest resected lesion being < 22 mm, a disease-free interval of > 2 years, and 3 or more pulmonary metastasectomies.

CONCLUSION

The NLR immediately before the most recent pulmonary metastasectomy is a novel independent prognostic factor, which may be helpful when considering repeated pulmonary metastasectomy.

Comparison of radiological scoring systems, clinical scores, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio and serum C-reactive protein level for severity and mortality in acute pancreatitis

Comparison of radiological scoring systems, clinical scores, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio and serum C-reactive protein level for severity and mortality in acute pancreatitis BACKGROUND/AIMS To compare radiological scoring systems, clinical scores, serum C-reactive protein (CRP) levels and the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) for predicting the severity and mortality of acute pancreatitis (AP). MATERIALS AND METHODS Demographic, clinical, and radiographic data from 80 patients with AP were retrospectively evaluated. The harmless acute pancreatitis score (HAPS), systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS), bedside index for severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP), Ranson score, Balthazar score, modified computed tomography severity index (CTSI), extrapancreatic inflammation on computed tomography (EPIC) score and renal rim grade were recorded. The prognostic performance of radiological and clinical scoring systems, NLR at admission, and serum CRP levels at 48 hours were compared for severity and mortality according to the revised Atlanta Criteria. The data were evaluated by calculating the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves and area under the ROC (AUROC). RESULTS Out of 80 patients, 19 (23.8%) had severe AP, and 9 (11.3%) died. The AUROC for the BISAP score was 0.836 (95%CI: 0.735-0.937), with the highest value for severity. With a cut-off of BISAP ≥2, sensitivity and specificity were 68.4% and 78.7%, respectively. The AUROC for NLR was 0.915 (95%CI: 0.790-1), with the highest value for mortality. With a cut-off of NLR >11.91, sensitivity and specificity were 76.5% and 94.1%, respectively. Of all the radiological scoring systems, the EPIC score had the highest AUROC, i.e., 0.773 (95%CI: 0.645-0.900) for severity and 0.851 (95%CI: 0.718-0.983) for mortality, with a cut-off value ≥6. CONCLUSION The BISAP score and NLR might be preferred as early determinants of severity and mortality in AP. The EPIC score might be suggested from the current radiological scoring systems.

Early detection of pancreatic cancer

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma is most frequently detected at an advanced stage. Such late detection restricts treatment options and contributes to a dismal 5-year survival rate of 3-15%. Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma is relatively uncommon and screening of the asymptomatic adult population is not feasible or recommended with current modalities. However, screening of individuals in high-risk groups is recommended. Here, we review groups at high risk for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, including individuals with inherited predisposition and patients with pancreatic cystic lesions. We discuss studies aimed at finding ways of identifying pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma in high-risk groups, such as among individuals with new-onset diabetes mellitus and people attending primary and secondary care practices with symptoms that suggest this cancer. We review early detection biomarkers, explore the potential of using social media for detection, appraise prediction models developed using electronic health records and research data, and examine the application of artificial intelligence to medical imaging for the purposes of early detection.

Combination of preoperative neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-lymphocyte ratio and monocyte-lymphocyte ratio: a superior prognostic factor of endometrial cancer

Background

The preoperative peripheral blood neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and monocyte-lymphocyte ratio (MLR) have been reported to be associated with the prognosis of various cancers but are always discussed separately. The aim of this study is to bring the combination of NLR, PLR and MLR into the prognostic assessment system of endometrial cancer (EC) and establish a nomogram to provide an objective prediction model for clinical decisions.

Methods

A total of 1111 patients with EC who had accepted surgical treatment during 2013–2017 were involved in the analysis. Their NLR, PLR, and MLR levels were obtained from a routine blood examination within 2 weeks before operation. Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis was performed to determine optimal cutoffs. Chi-square tests analysed the associations of the ratios with other clinicopathological variables. The prognostic value was indicated by overall survival (OS) via Cox proportional hazards models and Kaplan-Meier analysis. R software was used to establish the nomogram based on the combination of NLR, PLR, MLR and other clinicopathological factors.

Results

The median follow-up period was 40 months, and the median age was 56. The enrolled patients were stratified by cutoffs of 2.14 for NLR, 131.82 for PLR and 0.22 for MLR. Multivariate analyses demonstrated that high NLR over 2.14 (HR = 2.71, 95%CI = 1.83–4.02, P<0.001), high PLR over 131.82 (HR = 2.75, 95%CI = 1.90–3.97, P<0.001), and high MLR over 0.22 (HR = 1.72, 95%CI = 1.20–2.45, P = 0.003) were significantly associated with worse OS. The combined indicator, high NLR + high PLR + high MLR (HR = 4.34, 95%CI = 2.54–7.42, P<0.001), showed the highest prognostic value. The Harrell’s concordance index of the nomogram was 0.847 (95% CI = 0.804–0.890), showing good discrimination and calibration of this model.

Conclusion

The combination of NLR, PLR, and MLR is a superior prognostic factor of EC. The nomogram involving the combination of NLR, PLR, MLR and other clinicopathological factors is recommended to predict OS for EC patients clinically.

The Use of Values WNR and GNR to Distinguish between and Diagnose Different Types of Pancreatitis

There is no effective serologic parameter to distinguish different types of pancreatitis now. To distinguish between acute pancreatitis (AP) and acute exacerbations of chronic pancreatitis (CP) and to determine whether fibrosis occurs in CP, we evaluated the ability to produce white blood cells (WBCs), the neutrophil-to-retinol-binding protein (RBP) ratio (called the WNR), the product of the gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) level, and the 5′-nucleotide-to-RBP ratio (called the GNR). We evaluated the newly proposed difference index RBP and analyzed the effectiveness of the WNR and GNR in 691 patients with pancreatic diseases. We performed univariate and multivariate analyses of serological indices and their correlations with RBP and performed receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses of the WNR and GNR. The serum RBP level decreased markedly in AP compared with that in the acute stage of CP (p < 0.05). The GGT, alkaline phosphatase (ALP), total protein (TP), albumin (ALB), prealbumin (PA), 5′-nucleotide, and uric acid (UC) serum levels were significantly higher for fibrotic CP than for the acute stage of CP without fibrosis (p < 0.05). With progressing to pancreatic fibrosis, the liver injury-related indicators, prothrombin time (PT), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), D-Dimer, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), and GGT, gradually increased (p < 0.05). ROC curve analysis suggests that both the WNR (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.821) and GNR (AUC = 0.778) can be used to differentiate pancreatitis types.

Molecular Diagnosis of Cystic Neoplasms of the Pancreas: a Review

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of incidental pancreatic cystic neoplasms (PCNs) has increased dramatically with advancements in cross-sectional imaging. Diagnostic imaging is limited in differentiating between benign and malignant PCNs. The aim of this review is to provide an overview of biomarkers that can be used to distinguish PCNs.

METHODS

A review of the literature on molecular diagnosis of cystic neoplasms of the pancreas was performed.

RESULTS

Pancreatic cysts can be categorized into inflammatory and non-inflammatory lesions. Inflammatory cysts include pancreatic pseudocysts. Noninflammatory lesions include both mucinous and non-mucinous lesions. Mucinous lesions include intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) and mucinous cystic neoplasm. Non-mucinous lesions include serous cystadenoma and solid-pseudopapillary tumor of the pancreas. Imaging, cyst aspiration, and histologic findings, as well as carcinoembryonic antigen and amylase are commonly used to distinguish between cyst types. However, molecular techniques to detect differences in genetic mutations, protein expression, glycoproteomics, and metabolomic profiling are important developments in distinguishing between cyst types.

DISCUSSION

Nomograms incorporating common clinical, laboratory, and imaging findings have been developed in a better effort to predict malignant IPMN. The incorporation of top molecular biomarker candidates to nomograms may improve the predictive ability of current models to more accurately diagnose malignant PCNs.

Pre-stereotactic radiosurgery neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio is a predictor of the prognosis for brain metastases

PURPOSE

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been reported to relate to the prognosis of various cancers. The aim of this study was to elucidate the efficiency of pre-treatment NLR as a predictor of outcomes of brain metastasis underwent gamma knife radiosurgery (GKRS).

METHODS

We analyzed 195 cases with brain metastasis underwent GKRS at our institution between January 2015 and April 2018. Patients' clinical and radiographic data were collected.

RESULTS

We identified 458 brain metastases in 195 patients. Optimal dichotomous cutoff values of NLR determined by receiver operating characteristic analysis for local control, distant control and overall survival (OS) were 2.48, 2.74 and 3.13, respectively. The actuarial local control rates of patients with high NLR were 87.4% at 6 months and 76.1% at 12 months, whereas that of patients with low NLR were 94.2% at 6 months and 88.3% at 12 months (P = 0.001). The actuarial distant control rates of patients with high NLR were 31.4% at 6 months and 18.9% at 12 months, whereas that of patients with low NLR were 58.5% at 6 months and 31.3% at 12 months (P = 0.001). The median OS of patients with high and low NLR were 10.0 months and 14.5 months, respectively (P = 0.001). Multivariate analysis demonstrates that high NLR independently predicts local failure (hazard ratio [HR], 2.281; P = 0.003), distant brain failure (HR 1.775; P = 0.002) and poorer overall survival (HR 1.494; P = 0.034).

CONCLUSION

The pre-SRS NLR, a systemic inflammatory marker for treatment response, inversely predicts local control, distant control and OS in patients with brain metastasis.