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Yao Z, Tan Z, Yang J, Yang Y, Wang C, Chen J, Zhu Y, Wang T, Han L, Zhu L, Yang Z. Prognostic nomogram for predicting 5-year overall survival in Chinese patients with high-grade osteosarcoma. Sci Rep 2021; 11:17728. [PMID: 34489489 PMCID: PMC8421452 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-97090-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/28/2021] [Accepted: 08/20/2021] [Indexed: 01/12/2023] Open
Abstract
This study aimed to construct a widely accepted prognostic nomogram in Chinese high-grade osteosarcoma (HOS) patients aged ≤ 30 years to provide insight into predicting 5-year overall survival (OS). Data from 503 consecutive HOS patients at our centre between 12/2012 and 05/2019 were retrospectively collected. Eighty-four clinical features and routine laboratory haematological and biochemical testing indicators of each patient at the time of diagnosis were collected. A prognostic nomogram model for predicting OS was constructed based on the Cox proportional hazards model. The performance was assessed by the concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration curve. The utility was evaluated by decision curve analysis. The 5-year OS was 52.1% and 2.6% for the nonmetastatic and metastatic patients, respectively. The nomogram included nine important variables based on a multivariate analysis: tumour stage, surgical type, metastasis, preoperative neoadjuvant chemotherapy cycle, postoperative metastasis time, mean corpuscular volume, tumour-specific growth factor, gamma-glutamyl transferase and creatinine. The calibration curve showed that the nomogram was able to predict 5-year OS accurately. The C-index of the nomogram for OS prediction was 0.795 (range, 0.703–0.887). Moreover, the decision curve analysis curve also demonstrated the clinical benefit of this model. The nomogram provides an individualized risk estimate of the 5-year OS in patients with HOS aged ≤ 30 years in a Chinese population-based cohort.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zhihong Yao
- Bone and Soft Tissue Tumours Research Centre of Yunnan Province, Department of Orthopaedics, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University (Yunnan Cancer Hospital), Kunming, 650118, Yunnan, 119 Kunzhou Road, China
| | - Zunxian Tan
- Bone and Soft Tissue Tumours Research Centre of Yunnan Province, Department of Orthopaedics, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University (Yunnan Cancer Hospital), Kunming, 650118, Yunnan, 119 Kunzhou Road, China
| | - Jifei Yang
- Bone and Soft Tissue Tumours Research Centre of Yunnan Province, Department of Orthopaedics, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University (Yunnan Cancer Hospital), Kunming, 650118, Yunnan, 119 Kunzhou Road, China
| | - Yihao Yang
- Bone and Soft Tissue Tumours Research Centre of Yunnan Province, Department of Orthopaedics, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University (Yunnan Cancer Hospital), Kunming, 650118, Yunnan, 119 Kunzhou Road, China
| | - Cao Wang
- Bone and Soft Tissue Tumours Research Centre of Yunnan Province, Department of Orthopaedics, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University (Yunnan Cancer Hospital), Kunming, 650118, Yunnan, 119 Kunzhou Road, China
| | - Jiaxiang Chen
- Bone and Soft Tissue Tumours Research Centre of Yunnan Province, Department of Orthopaedics, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University (Yunnan Cancer Hospital), Kunming, 650118, Yunnan, 119 Kunzhou Road, China
| | - Yanan Zhu
- Bone and Soft Tissue Tumours Research Centre of Yunnan Province, Department of Orthopaedics, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University (Yunnan Cancer Hospital), Kunming, 650118, Yunnan, 119 Kunzhou Road, China
| | - Tiying Wang
- Bone and Soft Tissue Tumours Research Centre of Yunnan Province, Department of Orthopaedics, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University (Yunnan Cancer Hospital), Kunming, 650118, Yunnan, 119 Kunzhou Road, China
| | - Lei Han
- Bone and Soft Tissue Tumours Research Centre of Yunnan Province, Department of Orthopaedics, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University (Yunnan Cancer Hospital), Kunming, 650118, Yunnan, 119 Kunzhou Road, China
| | - Lin Zhu
- Independent Investigator, No. 22 Xi guan North Road, Kaifeng, 475000, Henan, China.
| | - Zuozhang Yang
- Bone and Soft Tissue Tumours Research Centre of Yunnan Province, Department of Orthopaedics, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University (Yunnan Cancer Hospital), Kunming, 650118, Yunnan, 119 Kunzhou Road, China.
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