Distribution of Residual Disease and Recurrence Patterns in Pathological Responders After Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy for Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Efficacy, safety, and prognostic modeling in neoadjuvant immunotherapy for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the safety and efficacy of neoadjuvant immunotherapy in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) and construct a prognostic model.

METHODS

Clinical data were retrospectively collected from patients with locally advanced ESCC who received neoadjuvant immunotherapy and chemotherapy. The primary endpoints were major pathologic remission rate and disease-free survival, and secondary endpoints were treatment-related adverse events and perioperative complications. Correlates affecting pathological response were analyzed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression, survival-related variables were screened by Boruta and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression analysis. A nomogram was constructed and utilized to test the predictive efficacy of the treatment with receiver operating characteristic curve and decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 181 patients were enrolled, of whom 119 (66 %) patients received 3-4 cycles of treatment. Treatment-related adverse events occurred in 65.2 % of the patients, with 13.3 % experiencing severe complications. Major pathological remission rate was achieved in 68 (37.6 %) patients, with no significant difference between the treatment cycle groups (P=0.925). The nomogram included pathologic TNM stage, lymphovascular invasion, post-treatment and post-surgery albumin levels, and post-treatment systemic immune-inflammation index. One-year disease-free survival area under the curve was 0.86 (95 %CI, 0.75-0.97) in the derivation cohort and 0.75 (95 %CI, 0.50-0.99) in the validation cohort, with good calibration performance.

CONCLUSIONS

Pathological staging combined with albumin level and systemic immune-inflammation index could be a superior predictor of survival prognosis in ESCC patients receiving neoadjuvant immunotherapy. The findings of this study yield new evidence regarding the efficacy and safety of neoadjuvant immunotherapy in ESCC and provide a tool for identifying patients at risk of recurrence.

Baseline CT radiomics features to predict pathological complete response of advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy using paclitaxel and cisplatin

PURPOSE

To develop a CT radiomics model to predict pathological complete response (pCR) of advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) toneoadjuvant chemotherapy using paclitaxel and cisplatin.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

326 consecutive patients with advanced ESCC from two hospitals undergoing baseline contrast-enhanced CT followed by neoadjuvant chemotherapy using paclitaxel and cisplatin were enrolled, including 115 patients achieving pCR and 211 patients without pCR. Of the 271 cases from 1st hospital, 188 and 83 cases were randomly allocated to the training and test cohorts, respectively. The 55 patients from a second hospital were assigned as an external validation cohort. Region of interest was segmented on the baseline thoracic contrast-enhanced CT. Useful radiomics features were generated by dimension reduction using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator. The optimal radiomics features were chosen using support vector machine (SVM). Discriminating performance was assessed with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) and F-1score. The calibration curves and Brier score were used to evaluate the predictive accuracy.

RESULTS

Eight radiomics features were selected to create radiomics models related to pCR of advanced ESCC (P-values < 0.01 for both the training and test cohorts). SVM model showed the best performance (AUCs = 0.929, 0.868 and 0.866, F-1scores = 0.857, 0.847 and 0.737 in the training, test and external validation cohorts, respectively). The calibration curves and Brier scores indicated goodness-of-fit and its great predictive accuracy.

CONCLUSION

CT radiomics models could well help predict pCR of advanced ESCC, and SVM model could be a suitable predictive model.

Remarkable response as a new indicator for endoscopic evaluation of local efficacy of non-surgical treatments for esophageal cancer

In Japan, standard of care of the patients with resectable esophageal cancer is neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) followed by esophagectomy. Patients unfitted for surgery or with unresectable locally advanced esophageal cancer are generally indicated with definitive chemoradiotherapy (CRT). Local disease control is undoubtful important for the management of patients with esophageal cancer, therefore endoscopic evaluation of local efficacy after non-surgical treatments must be essential. The significant shrink of primary site after NAC has been reported as a good indicator of pathological good response as well as favorable survival outcome after esophagectomy. And patients who could achieve remarkable shrink to T1 level after CRT had favorable outcomes with salvage surgery and could be good candidates for salvage endoscopic treatments. Based on these data, "Japanese Classification of Esophageal Cancer, 12th edition" defined the new endoscopic criteria "remarkable response (RR)", that means significant volume reduction after treatment, with the subjective endoscopic evaluation are proposed. In addition, the finding of local recurrence (LR) at primary site after achieving a CR was also proposed in the latest edition of Japanese Classification of Esophageal Cancer. The findings of LR are also important for detecting candidates for salvage endoscopic treatments at an early timing during surveillance after CRT. The endoscopic evaluation would encourage us to make concrete decisions for further treatment indications, therefore physicians treating patients with esophageal cancer should be well-acquainted with each finding.

Characterization of residual cancer by comparison of a pair of organoids established from a patient with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma before and after neoadjuvant chemotherapy

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) followed by surgery is a standard approach for management of locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Patients who do not respond well to NAC have a poor prognosis. Despite extensive research, the mechanisms of chemoresistance in ESCC remain largely unknown. Here, we established paired tumor organoids-designated as PreNAC-O and PostNAC-O-from one ESCC patient before and after NAC, respectively. Although the two organoids did not exhibit significant differences in proliferation, morphology or drug sensitivity in vitro, the tumorigenicity of PostNAC-O in vivo was significantly higher than that of PreNAC-O. Xenografts from PreNAC-O tended to exhibit keratinization, while those from PostNAC-O displayed conspicuous necrotic areas. The tumorigenicity of PostNAC-O xenografts during the chemotherapy was comparable to that of PreNAC-O without treatment. Furthermore, the gene expression profiles of the xenografts suggested that expression of genes involved in the EMT and/or hypoxia response might be related to the tumorigenicity of PostNAC-O. Our data suggested that the tumorigenicity of residual cancer had been enhanced, outweighing the effects of chemotherapy, rather than being attributable to intrinsic chemoresistance. Further studies are required to clarify the extent to which residual cancers share a common mechanism similar to that revealed here.

Endoscopic Evaluation of Pathological Complete Response Using Deep Neural Network in Esophageal Cancer Patients Who Received Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy-Multicenter Retrospective Study from Four Japanese Esophageal Centers

BACKGROUND

Detecting pathological complete response (pCR) before surgery would facilitate nonsurgical approach after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). We developed an artificial intelligence (AI)-guided pCR evaluation using a deep neural network to identify pCR before surgery.

METHODS

This study examined resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients who underwent esophagectomy after NAC. The same number of histological responders without pCR and non-responders were randomly selected based on the number of pCR patients. Endoscopic images were analyzed using a deep neural network. A test dataset consisting of 20 photos was used for validation. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of AI and four experienced endoscopists' pCR evaluations were calculated. For pathological response evaluation, Japanese Classification of Esophageal Cancer was used.

RESULTS

The study enrolled 123 patients, including 41 patients with pCR, the same number of histological responders without pCR, and non-responders [grade 0, 5 (4%); grade 1a, 36 (30%); grade 1b, 21 (17%); grade 2, 20 (16%); grade 3, 41 (33%)]. In 20 models, the median values of sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and accuracy for endoscopic response (ER) detection were 60%, 81%, 77%, 67%, and 70%, respectively. Similarly, the endoscopists' median of these was 43%, 90%, 85%, 65%, and 66%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

This proof-of-concept study demonstrated that the AI-guided endoscopic response evaluation after NAC could identify pCR with moderate accuracy. The current AI algorithm might guide an individualized treatment strategy including nonsurgical approach in ESCC patients through prospective studies with careful external validation to demonstrate the clinical value of this diagnostic approach including primary tumor and lymph node.

Nivolumab adjuvant therapy for esophageal cancer: a review based on subgroup analysis of CheckMate 577 trial

Esophageal cancer is the sixth most common cancer worldwide. Approximately 50% of patients have locally advanced disease. The CROSS and NEOCRTEC5010 trials have demonstrated that neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy followed by surgery is the standard treatment for patients with resectable disease. However, a pathological complete response is frequently not achieved, and most patients have a poor prognosis. The CheckMate 577 trial demonstrates that nivolumab adjuvant therapy improves disease-free survival in patents without a pathological complete response. However, there are still numerous clinical questions of concern that remain controversial based on the results of the subgroup analysis. In this review, we aim to offer constructive suggestions addressing the clinical concerns raised in the CheckMate 577 trial.

Microscopic venous invasion is a predictor of prognosis in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma undergoing ineffective neoadjuvant chemotherapy and surgery

BACKGROUND

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by surgery is Japan's most effective treatment modality for advanced thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. However, the prognosis is not as expected. This study aimed to examine prognostic factors in patients with pathologically ineffective neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by surgery for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed patients who underwent neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by curative esophagectomy for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma between December 2008 and July 2021. The patients were divided into the neoadjuvant chemotherapy effective group and the neoadjuvant chemotherapy ineffective group according to the pathological diagnosis. Clinicopathological data, prognosis, and recurrence were analyzed.

RESULTS

A total of 143 patients (121 males, 22 females; median age, 67 years) were included in this study. Of these, 34 patients were classified into the effective group and the remaining 109 patients were assigned to the ineffective group. The ineffective group had significantly worse overall survival and recurrence-free survival than the effective group (p = 0.0192 and p = 0.0070, respectively). In the ineffective group, multivariate analysis demonstrated that microscopic venous invasion was an independent prognostic factor for overall survival (hazard ratio 2.44; 95% confidence interval 1.13-5.30) and recurrence-free survival (hazard ratio 2.43; 95% confidence interval 1.24-4.73).

CONCLUSIONS

Microscopic venous invasion was associated with poor survival and cancer recurrence in the neoadjuvant chemotherapy ineffective group of patients who underwent esophagectomy for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

Clinical predictors of early postoperative recurrence after radical esophagectomy for thoracic esophageal cancer

PURPOSE

Esophagectomy for esophageal cancer has a high incidence rate of early postoperative recurrence and death. This study aimed to identify the clinical and pathological features in early recurrence cases and to confirm the usefulness of prediction using these factors for effective adjuvant therapy and postoperative surveillance.

METHODS

One hundred and twenty five patients who developed postoperative recurrence after undergoing radical esophagectomy for thoracic esophageal cancer were classified into two groups as follows: those with early recurrence at ≤ 6 months and those with nonearly recurrence at > 6 months after surgery. After identifying related factors of early recurrence, usefulness of these factors for prediction were examined in all patients with and without recurrence.

RESULTS

The analysis cohort consisted of 43 and 82 patients in the early and nonearly recurrence groups, respectively. In multivariate analysis, factors associated with early recurrence were higher initial levels of tumor markers (squamous cell carcinoma [SCC] ≥ 1.5 ng/ml in tumors, except for adenocarcinoma, and carcinoembryonic antigen [CEA] ≥ 5.0 ng/ml in adenocarcinoma) and higher venous invasion (v), i.e., ≥ 2 (p = 0.040 and p = 0.004, respectively). The usefulness of these two factors for recurrence prediction was confirmed in 378 patients, including 253 patients without recurrence. Patients with at least one of the two factors had significantly higher early recurrence rates than those without any factors in pStages II and III (odds ratio [OR], 6.333; p = 0016 and OR, 4.346; p = 0.008, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Early recurrence of thoracic esophageal cancer (i.e., during ≤ 6 months after esophagectomy) was associated with higher initial tumor marker levels and pathological findings of v ≥ 2. The combination of these two factors is useful as a simple and critical predictor of early postoperative recurrence.

Patient-Derived Ex Vivo Cultures and Endpoint Assays with Surrogate Biomarkers in Functional Testing for Prediction of Therapeutic Response

Prediction of therapeutic outcomes is important for cancer patients in order to reduce side effects and improve the efficacy of anti-cancer drugs. Currently, the most widely accepted method for predicting the efficacy of anti-cancer drugs is gene panel testing based on next-generation sequencing. However, gene panel testing has several limitations. For example, only 10% of cancer patients are estimated to have druggable mutations, even if whole-exome sequencing is applied. Additionally, even if optimal drugs are selected, a significant proportion of patients derive no benefit from the indicated drug treatment. Furthermore, most of the anti-cancer drugs selected by gene panel testing are molecularly targeted drugs, and the efficacies of cytotoxic drugs remain difficult to predict. Apart from gene panel testing, attempts to predict chemotherapeutic efficacy using ex vivo cultures from cancer patients have been increasing. Several groups have retrospectively demonstrated correlations between ex vivo drug sensitivity and clinical outcome. For ex vivo culture, surgically resected tumor tissue is the most abundant source. However, patients with recurrent or metastatic tumors do not usually undergo surgery, and chemotherapy may be the only option for those with inoperable tumors. Therefore, predictive methods using small amounts of cancer tissue from diagnostic materials such as endoscopic, fine-needle aspirates, needle cores and liquid biopsies are needed. To achieve this, various types of ex vivo culture and endpoint assays using effective surrogate biomarkers of drug sensitivity have recently been developed. Here, we review the variety of ex vivo cultures and endpoint assays currently available.

Neoadjuvant adebrelimab in locally advanced resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: a phase 1b trial

Overall survival (OS) benefits of neoadjuvant immunotherapy remain elusive in locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinomas (ESCC). Here, we reported the results of a phase 1b trial of neoadjuvant PD-L1 blockade with adebrelimab in resectable ESCC. Patients received two neoadjuvant doses of adebrelimab followed by surgery. The primary endpoints were safety and feasibility; secondary endpoints included pathologic complete response (pCR) and OS. Our data showed the primary endpoints of safety and feasibility had been met. Common treatment-related adverse events were anorexia (32%) and fatigue (16%), without grade 3 or more adverse events. Of the 30 patients enrolled in the trial, 25 underwent successful resection without surgery delay and 24% had major pathologic responses including a pCR rate of 8%. The 2-year OS was 92%. Responsive patients had an immune-enriched tumor microenvironment phenotype, whereas nonresponsive patients had greater infiltration of cancer-associated fibroblasts at baseline. Clonotypic dynamics of pre-existing intratumoral T cells was a hallmark of responsive patients. These findings provide a rational for neoadjuvant anti-PD-L1 monotherapy as a therapeutic strategy for patients with resectable ESCC. ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT04215471 .

Plasma miR-1254 as a predictive biomarker of chemosensitivity and a target of nucleic acid therapy in esophageal cancer

This study investigated novel tumor suppressor microRNAs (miRNAs) that decrease in plasma and predict chemosensitivity to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) and revealed their usefulness as novel therapeutic agents. We selected four miRNA candidates (miR-323, 345, 409, and 1254) based on the microRNA microarray comparing pre-treatment plasma levels in ESCC patients with high and low histopathological responses to NAC and an NCBI database review. Among these miRNA candidates, miR-1254 was more highly elevated in pre-treatment plasma of ESCC patients with a high histopathological response than in those with a low histopathological response (P = 0.0021, area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve 0.7621). High plasma miR-1254 levels tended to correlate with the absence of venous invasion (P = 0.0710) and were an independent factor predicting a higher response to chemotherapy (P = 0.0022, odds ratio 7.86) and better prognosis (P = 0.0235, hazard ratio 0.23). Overexpressing miR-1254 in ESCC cells significantly enhanced chemosensitivity to cisplatin through the transcriptional regulation of ABCC1 in vitro. Moreover, increased plasma miR-1254 levels by subcutaneous injection significantly improved responses to cisplatin in mice. Plasma miR-1254 might be a useful biomarker for predicting responses to NAC, and the restoration of plasma miR-1254 levels might improve chemosensitivity in ESCC.

The genomic signature of resistance to platinum-containing neoadjuvant therapy based on single-cell data

BACKGROUND

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) becomes the first-line option for advanced tumors, while patients who are not sensitive to it may not benefit. Therefore, it is important to screen patients suitable for NACT.

METHODS

Single-cell data of lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) and esophageal squamous carcinoma (ESCC) before and after cisplatin-containing (CDDP) NACT and cisplatin IC50 data of tumor cell lines were analyzed to establish a CDDP neoadjuvant chemotherapy score (NCS). Differential analysis, GO, KEGG, GSVA and logistic regression models were performed by R. Survival analysis were applied to public databases. siRNA knockdown in A549, PC9, TE1 cell lines, qRT-PCR, western-blot, cck8 and EdU experiments were used for further verification in vitro.

RESULTS

485 genes were expressed differentially in tumor cells before and after neoadjuvant treatment for LUAD and ESCC. After combining the CDDP-associated genes, 12 genes, CAV2, PHLDA1, DUSP23, VDAC3, DSG2, SPINT2, SPATS2L, IGFBP3, CD9, ALCAM, PRSS23, PERP, were obtained and formed the NCS score. The higher the score, the more sensitive the patients were to CDDP-NACT. The NCS divided LUAD and ESCC into two groups. Based on differentially expressed genes, a model was constructed to predict the high and low NCS. CAV2, PHLDA1, ALCAM, CD9, IGBP3 and VDAC3 were significantly associated with prognosis. Finally, we demonstrated that the knockdown of CAV2, PHLDA1 and VDAC3 in A549, PC9 and TE1 significantly increased the sensitivity to cisplatin.

CONCLUSIONS

NCS scores and related predictive models for CDDP-NACT were developed and validated to assist in selecting patients who might benefit from it.

Development and Validation of a Predictive Model of Therapeutic Effect in Patients with Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Who Received Neoadjuvant Treatment: A Nationwide Retrospective Study in Japan

BACKGROUND

Neoadjuvant treatment has become the standard of care for patients with advanced esophageal cancer. However, few studies have elucidated the clinical factors that predict response to neoadjuvant therapy in a large multicenter cohort. We aimed to develop a predictive model of therapeutic effect in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) who received neoadjuvant treatment.

METHODS

This nationwide study included 4078 patients from 85 institutions. Patients who received neoadjuvant treatment followed by surgery for esophageal SCC were eligible. We developed a logistic regression model to predict good pathological therapeutic effects, and a predictive nomogram was generated by applying the logistic regression formula.

RESULTS

Among neoadjuvant regimens, cisplatin plus 5-fluorouracil (CF) was the most frequently used (60.2%), followed by docetaxel plus CF (DCF, 27.4%), CF with radiotherapy (CF-RT, 4.5%), adriamycin plus CF (3.6%), nedaplatin plus 5-fluorouracil (0.9%), and DCF-RT (0.5%). Multivariable analysis revealed that male sex, advanced cT category, and increased pretherapeutic SCC antigen level were independently associated with not achieving a good therapeutic effect. Moreover, intensified neoadjuvant regimens were independently associated with favorable therapeutic effects; DCF-RT elicited the best therapeutic effect, followed by CF-RT and DCF. A predictive model including nine commonly measured preoperative variables was generated, and the area under the curve was 0.679 (95% confidence interval: 0.658-0.700). This nomogram was also adequately validated internally.

CONCLUSIONS

The model developed in this study was validated and predicts the therapeutic effect in patients with esophageal SCC who received neoadjuvant treatment. This model might contribute to individualized treatment strategies.

A nationwide validation of the prognostic impact of pathological response and the distribution of recurrence patterns in responders after neoadjuvant chemotherapy for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

We previously reported that postoperative recurrence in responders occurred in the regional field mostly as a solitary lesion without distant failure. However, further validation is necessary due to the low percentage of pathological responders, especially those with pCR. This study aimed to validate the prognostic impact of pathological response and the distribution of residual tumors in pathological responders using a nationwide database from 85 Japanese esophageal centers.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) who underwent subtotal esophagectomy at 85 authorized institutes for esophageal cancer between 2010 and 2015. The recurrence free survival (RFS), overall survival (OS), and recurrent tumor patterns were compared among the pathological responses.

RESULTS

Of 4781 patients initially enrolled, 3840 were selected for subsequent analysis, including 237 patients with pathological complete response (pCR, 6%). The RFS and OS were significantly correlated with pathological response. When the recurrence pattern was classified into regional or distant recurrence, the incidence of distant failure was significantly lower in patients with pCR in cT1/2. Three percent of all patients with pCR in cT1/2 encountered postoperative recurrence in distant organs.

CONCLUSION

The prognostic impact of pathological response was reproduced in the nationwide data. pCR in ESCC patients with cT1/2 provides a favorable prognosis with less incidence of distant failure. This finding may contribute to selecting appropriate candidates for an organ preservation approach based on the response to induction therapy.

Evaluation of Endoscopic Response Using Deep Neural Network in Esophageal Cancer Patients Who Received Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

We previously reported that endoscopic response evaluation can preoperatively predict the prognosis and distribution of residual tumors after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). In this study, we developed artificial intelligence (AI)-guided endoscopic response evaluation using a deep neural network to discriminate endoscopic responders (ERs) in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) after NAC.

METHOD

Surgically resectable ESCC patients who underwent esophagectomy following NAC were retrospectively analyzed in this study. Endoscopic images of the tumors were analyzed using a deep neural network. The model was validated with a test data set using 10 newly collected ERs and 10 newly collected non-ER images. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of the endoscopic response evaluation by AI and endoscopists were calculated and compared.

RESULTS

Of 193 patients, 40 (21%) were diagnosed as ERs. The median sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV values for ER detection in 10 models were 60%, 100%, 100%, and 71%, respectively. Similarly, the median values by the endoscopist were 80%, 80%, 81%, and 81%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

This proof-of-concept study using a deep learning algorithm demonstrated that the constructed AI-guided endoscopic response evaluation after NAC could identify ER with high specificity and PPV. It would appropriately guide an individualized treatment strategy that includes an organ preservation approach in ESCC patients.

Tumor Burden Monitoring with Circulating Tumor DNA During Treatment in Patients with Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

To guide appropriate treatment strategy, an accurate tumor monitoring modality that reflects tumor burden during neoadjuvant treatment is required for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). We aimed to investigate the clinical utility of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in plasma in patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) followed by esophagectomy.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Longitudinally collected plasma samples for ctDNA combined with genomic DNA from primary lesions were obtained from patients with histologically confirmed ESCC who underwent NAC followed by subtotal esophagectomy. Next-generation sequencing was performed to identify mutations from the plasma and the primary tumor. The relationships between changes in ctDNA and the pathological response and recurrence were assessed in patients with locally advanced ESCC.

RESULTS

In pretreatment samples from 13 patients, multiple concordant mutations in ctDNA and primary tumors were observed in 11 patients (85%), who were classified as ctDNA positive before treatment. The ctDNA positive rate after NAC correlated with the pathological response (responders, 25%; nonresponders, 100%; p = 0.007). The risk of recurrence increased significantly in patients with positive ctDNA after surgery in analysis of 16 patients; the 1-year recurrence-free survival rates were 90 and 0% in ctDNA-negative and ctDNA-positive groups, respectively (p = 0.0008). In two patients with postoperative recurrence, ctDNA was detected approximately 5.5 months earlier than the diagnosis using radiographical imaging.

CONCLUSIONS

ctDNA is a promising biomarker for predicting pathological response and postoperative recurrence in ESCC. To demonstrate the external validity, we are currently preparing a multicenter prospective study.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio change predicts histological response to and oncological outcome of neoadjuvant chemotherapy for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Evaluating tumor response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) is important to predict survival and to select the optimal strategy for patients with esophageal cancer. The aim of this study is to investigate the relation between neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) change after NAC and histological response and oncological outcomes in patients with esophageal cancer.

METHODS

This study enrolled 209 patients who underwent NAC and thoracic esophagectomy for esophageal cancer as the primary treatment between 2000 and 2019 in our department. Several predictors of survival including NLR change, which was calculated as post-NAC NLR/pre-NAC NLR, were investigated. We used classification and regression tree (CART) analysis to determine the optimal cutoff values of NLR change for the prediction of histological response.

RESULTS

The best cutoff value of NLR change was 0.55 using the CART analysis. Then we divided all patients into two groups; the patients with NLR change below the cutoff were allocated to the NLR reduction group (n = 53), whereas the patients with NLR change above the cutoff were allocated to the no-NLR reduction group (n = 156). NLR change was identified as a significant predictor for histological responder (odds ratio 3.80; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.69-8.58; p = 0.001) and recurrence-free survival (hazard ratio 0.55; 95% CI 0.33-0.89; p = 0.015) in multivariable analysis.

CONCLUSION

The present study demonstrated that NLR change is associated with both histological response to and oncological outcomes of NAC for patients with esophageal cancer. NLR change can help not only to predict survival, but also to facilitate personalized multidisciplinary treatment.

Clinical Features of Recurrence Pattern with Lung Metastasis After Radical Esophagectomy for Thoracic Esophageal Cancer

BACKGROUND

One of the difficulties in the treatment of esophageal cancer surgery is the high rate of postoperative recurrence. After esophagectomy, distant metastatic recurrence frequently occurs in the lung. This study aimed to determine the clinical features of a recurrence pattern with lung metastasis.

METHODS

The current study analyzed data from 138 patients who had postoperative recurrence of esophageal cancer after a radical esophagectomy. According to the recurrence pattern at the time of initial diagnosis, the patients were classified into two groups as follows: those with lung metastasis and those without.

RESULTS

Twenty-three of the 138 investigated patients had a recurrence pattern with lung metastasis. Salvage surgery and postoperative pneumonia (p = 0.041 and 0.030, respectively) were identified as risk factors for recurrence pattern with lung metastasis in multivariate analysis. When we compared the sites of primary esophageal tumors, we found that the frequencies of distant metastases, such as lung and liver metastases, as well as pleural/peritoneal dissemination, were higher in the mid and distal esophageal tumors. Patients with a recurrence pattern showing lung metastasis alone had a better overall and post-recurrence survival than those with other recurrence patterns (p < 0.001 and p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients who had postoperative recurrence after esophagectomy for thoracic esophageal cancer, salvage surgery, and postoperative pneumonia were significantly related to recurrence pattern with lung metastasis. Postoperative recurrence with lung metastasis alone had a better prognosis than other recurrence patterns; therefore, when pulmonary recurrence is suspected, performing intensive examinations for early diagnosis is critical.

Role sharing between minimally invasive oesophagectomy and organ preservation approach for surgically resectable advanced oesophageal cancer

Oesophageal cancer is a dismal disease since it metastasizes widely even from an early stage. In order to improve treatment outcomes, multidisciplinary treatments including surgery, chemotherapy and radiotherapy have been developed. While oesophagectomy is the mainstay in the treatment strategy, it is highly invasive since it requires two to three field approaches. To reduce surgical stress and morbidity, minimally invasive oesophagectomy including thoracoscopy, robotic assisted surgery and mediastinoscopy were introduced. Various clinical trials proved that these techniques decrease the post-operative morbidity rate. Furthermore, with the advancement of multidisciplinary treatment with a higher response rate, the possibility arose for omission of surgical resection in remarkable responders to neoadjuvant therapy. However, in order to safely provide organ preservation without increasing the risk of post-treatment recurrence, an accurate tumour monitoring system is required. Although endoscopy and computed tomography imaging have been a standard, the detection rate of residual tumours after treatment is still unsatisfactory. Utilizing liquid biopsy which could evaluate tumour derivative and host response, an appropriate monitoring system of tumour burden during multidisciplinary treatment can be developed. With the advancement of minimally invasive surgery and multidisciplinary treatment, the treatment strategy needs to be highly individualized based on the tumour biology, patients' condition and their preferences. Along with the improvement of the tumour monitoring system, appropriate role sharing can be achieved between a minimally invasive surgery and the organ preservation approach.

Clinical Significance of Endoscopic Response Evaluation to Predict the Distribution of Residual Tumor after Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy for Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

PURPOSE

To appropriately adopt the organ preservation approach, including subsequent chemoradiotherapy (CRT) in patients who respond to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC), the distribution of residual disease, including pathological lymph nodes (LNs) and recurrence site, needs to be recognized preoperatively. This study was designed to evaluate whether endoscopic response evaluation can predict residual tumor distribution.

METHODS

Patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma who underwent transthoracic esophagectomy (TTE) were retrospectively reviewed. Endoscopic responder (ER) to NAC was defined according to primary tumor endoscopic findings. Recurrence-free survival (RFS), overall survival (OS), and residual tumor patterns were compared between groups.

RESULTS

Of 193 patients, 40 (20%) were classified as ER. ERs showed significantly better RFS and OS. The pN location was found within the primary tumor and cN field in 88% of ERs, which was significantly higher than non-ERs at 63% (p = 0.004). Furthermore, the postoperative recurrence incidence in the distant organ was significantly lower in the ERs than the non-ERs (8%, 32%, respectively, p = 0.002). Residual disease, including postoperative initial recurrence, existed within the same field as the primary tumor and cN in 88% of ERs, significantly higher than 42% in the non-ERs (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Endoscopic response evaluation can preoperatively predict distribution of residual tumors after NAC, which could help radiation field selection in subsequent definitive CRT when patients prefer to omit TTE. Along with improvements in NAC response rate, this could facilitate organ preservation in patients who respond to NAC.

Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Multiplied by the Cytokeratin-19 Fragment Level as a Predictor of Pathological Response to Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Background

The standard treatment for resectable advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma in Japan is surgery followed by neoadjuvant chemotherapy, and it is important to predict the effect of neoadjuvant chemotherapy before treatment. Therefore, this study aims to extract conventional blood examination data, such as tumor markers and/or inflammatory/nutritional index levels, that can predict the pathological response of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma to neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed the medical records of 66 patients with thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy, followed by curative esophagectomy at Tottori University Hospital between June 2009 and December 2019.

Results

We demonstrated that the product of the platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) multiplied by the cytokeratin-19 fragment (CYFRA) level, which was termed "PLR-CYFRA," is the most accurate indicator that predicts the pathological response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy, with the highest area under the curve [0.795 (95% confidence interval: 0.665-0.925), P < 0.001] in receiver operating characteristic analyses. Therefore, we divided patients into the PLR-CYFRA^Low (< 237.6, n = 21) and PLR-CYFRA^High (≥ 237.6, n = 45) groups and found that the percentage of PLR-CYFRA^Low was significantly higher in patients with a better pathological response (P < 0.001). Furthermore, patients with good pathological response had significantly better prognoses in terms of disease-specific survival (P = 0.014), recurrence-free survival (P = 0.014), and overall survival (P = 0.032). In the multivariate analysis, PLR-CYFRA was an independent predictor of the pathological response of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (P = 0.002).

Conclusion

Pretreatment PLR-CYFRA might be a useful and simple tool that predicts the pathological effect of neoadjuvant chemotherapy in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

Prognostic Significance of Stratification Using Pathological Stage and Response to Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy for Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

PURPOSE

Risk stratification to select appropriate candidates for adjuvant therapy is required for esophageal cancer patients based on adjuvant therapy advancement including immunotherapy. The current study aims to develop a novel staging system using pathological stage (pStage) and response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

METHODS

ESCC patients who received NAC and underwent transthoracic esophagectomy at two Japanese high-volume esophageal centers were retrospectively reviewed. The prognostic value of NAC response was evaluated within the same pStage, and a novel risk stratification to predict cancer-specific survival (CSS) was developed.

RESULTS

The HR (95% CI) of pathological responders in pStage 0-I, II, III, and IV was 0.29 (0.07-1.17), 0.37 (0.12-1.10), 0.37 (0.15-0.92), and 0.24 (0.06-0.98), respectively. Responders in pStage 0-II were classified to be in the same class and those in pStage III/IV in another group, because the 5-year CSS (5y-CSS) rate of responders in pStage 0-I, II, III, and IV was 94%, 92%, 76%, and 71%, respectively. Combining nonresponders in pStage 0-II as the same group, all patients were subdivided into five groups. Intriguingly, the 5y-CSS in pStage III-IV responders was 75%, almost identical to that of nonresponders in pStage 0-II (78%).

CONCLUSIONS

The histological response influenced the long-term outcomes of patients who underwent esophagectomy after NAC, even within groups stratified by pathologic stage. The current risk stratification system will contribute to selecting appropriate candidates for adjuvant therapy.