Early Postoperative Neutrophil Gelatinase-Associated Lipocalin Predicts the Development of Chronic Kidney Disease After Liver Transplantation

European Society for Organ Transplantation Consensus Statement on Biomarkers in Liver Transplantation

Currently, one-year survival following liver transplantation (LT) exceeds 90% in large international registries, and LT is considered definitive treatment for patients with end-stage liver disease and liver cancer. Recurrence of disease, including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), significantly hampers post-LT outcomes. An optimal approach to immunosuppression (IS), including safe weaning, may benefit patients by mitigating the effect on recurrent diseases, as well as reducing adverse events associated with over-/under-IS, including chronic kidney disease (CKD). Prediction of these outcome measures-disease recurrence, CKD, and immune status-has long been based on relatively inaccurate clinical models. To address the utility of new biomarkers in predicting these outcomes in the post-LT setting, the European Society of Organ Transplantation (ESOT) and International Liver Transplant Society (ILTS) convened a working group of experts to review literature pertaining to primary disease recurrence, development of CKD, and safe weaning of IS. Summaries of evidence were presented to the group of panelists and juries to develop guidelines, which were discussed and voted in-person at the Consensus Conference in Prague November 2022. The consensus findings and recommendations of the Liver Working Group on new biomarkers in LT, clinical applicability, and future needs are presented in this article.

Role of Novel Kidney Biomarkers in Patients With Cirrhosis and After Liver Transplantation

Acute kidney injury (AKI) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) are important drivers of morbidity and mortality in patients with cirrhosis before and after liver transplantation (LT). In this review, we examine the role of novel kidney biomarkers for early recognition of kidney injury. Studies are limited by lack of reference standards, heterogeneous definitions of outcomes and biomarker cutoffs, and inconsistent diagnostic performance. Overall, a change in biomarker is more relevant than an absolute cutoff. Cystatin C and urinary neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (uNGAL) are the most studied candidate biomarkers and identify AKI or progression of AKI earlier than serum creatinine (sCr). Kidney injury molecule 1 and liver-type fatty acid-binding protein (L-FABP) also show potential. NGAL and interleukin 18 may play a role in differentiating acute tubular necrosis from other forms of AKI. Combining novel biomarkers with the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score may assist prognosis. Persistent elevations in select markers (eg, NGAL) can portend irreversible injury. Several pretransplantation markers (including sCr) predict posttransplantation kidney dysfunction. Pretransplantation assessment of clinical factors (eg, age, diabetes) and novel markers (osteopontin and tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases 1 [TIMP-1]) may predict renal kidney recovery after LT. Intraoperative changes in biomarkers predict early post-LT AKI. Prediction of CKD remains difficult, although a combination of biomarkers (eg, beta-2 microglobulin, CD40) is promising. Novel biomarkers have yet to replace sCr in guideline-based evaluation and management of kidney dysfunction in patients with cirrhosis. We propose a theoretical framework for practical incorporation of these biomarkers that considers patient characteristics (risk for irreversible injury), markers of functional and structural change, and assessment of the AKI-CKD continuum to identify patients at the highest risk for progressive kidney disease before and after LT.

Prediction of chronic kidney disease after orthotopic liver transplantation: development and validation of a nomogram model

BACKGROUND

We aimed to develop and validate a nomogram model for predicting CKD after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT).

METHODS

The retrospective data of 399 patients who underwent transplantation and were followed in our centre were collected. They were randomly assigned to the training set (n = 293) and validation set (n = 106). Multivariable Cox regression analysis was performed in the training set to identify predictors of CKD. According to the Cox regression analysis results, a nomogram model was developed and validated. The renal function of recipients was monitored, and the long-term survival prognosis was assessed.

RESULTS

The incidence of CKD at 5 years after OLT was 25.6%. Cox regression analysis identified several predictors of post-OLT CKD, including recipient age at surgery (HR 1.036, 95% CI 1.006-1.068; p = 0.018), female sex (HR 2.867, 95% CI 1.709-4.810; p < 0.001), preoperative hypertension (HR 1.670, 95% CI 0.962-2.898; p = 0.068), preoperative eGFR (HR 0.996, 95% CI 0.991-1.001; p = 0.143), uric acid at 3 months (HR 1.002, 95% CI 1.001-1.004; p = 0.028), haemoglobin at 3 months (HR 0.970, 95% CI 0.956-0.983; p < 0.001), and average concentration of cyclosporine A at 3 months (HR 1.002, 95% CI 1.001-1.003; p < 0.001). According to these parameters, a nomogram model for predicting CKD after OLT was constructed and validated. The C-indices were 0.75 and 0.80 in the training and validation sets. The calibration curve of the nomogram showed that the CKD probabilities predicted by the nomogram agreed with the observed probabilities at 1, 3, and 5 years after OLT (p > 0.05). Renal function declined slowly year by year, and there were significant differences between patients divided by these predictors. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that the survival prognosis of recipients decreased significantly with the progression of renal function.

CONCLUSIONS

With excellent predictive abilities, the nomogram may be a simple and reliable tool to identify patients at high risk for CKD and poor long-term prognosis after OLT.

CKD in Recipients of Nonkidney Solid Organ Transplants: A Review

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) after solid organ transplant is a common clinical presentation, affecting 10% to 20% of liver, heart and lung transplant recipients and accounting for approximately 5% of the kidney transplant waiting list. The causes of CKD are different for different types of transplants and are not all, or even predominantly, due to calcineurin inhibitor toxicity, with significant heterogeneity particularly in liver transplant recipients. Many solid organ transplant recipients with advanced CKD benefit from kidney transplantation, but have a higher rate of death while waitlisted and higher mortality following transplant than the general kidney failure population. Recent organ allocation policies and proposals have attempted to address the appropriate identification and prioritization of candidates in need of a kidney transplant, either simultaneous with or following non-kidney transplant. Future research should focus on predictive factors for individuals identified at high risk for progression to kidney failure and death, and strategies to preserve kidney function and minimize the CKD burden in this unique patient population.

Biomarkers for detecting and improving AKI after liver transplantation: From diagnosis to treatment

Orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) is a well-established treatment for patients with liver failure. The shortage of donor organs and postoperative complications remain major obstacles for improving patient survival. Among these complications, acute kidney injury (AKI) is one of the most frequent types, contributing to graft loss. The timely detection and reversal of AKI can reduce its adverse influences on graft and patient outcomes. Traditional markers for detecting AKI are often limited with regard to their accuracy and specificity, and the discovery of better AKI markers and therapeutic targets assumes great importance. During past decades, studies directed toward early detection and treatment of AKI in OLT have been available. This review summarizes the evidence of these biomarkers for the prediction, diagnosis, treatment and prognosis stratification of AKI associated with OLT.

Abdominal Organ Transplantation: Noteworthy Literature in 2018

A PubMed search revealed 1382 articles on pancreatic transplantation, 781 on intestinal transplantation, more than 7200 on kidney transplantation, and more than 5500 on liver transplantation published between January 1, 2018, and December 31, 2018. After narrowing the list down to human studies, 436 pancreatic, 302 intestinal, 1920 liver, and more than 2000 kidney transplantation studies were screened for inclusion in this review.