The Clinical and Economic Benefit of CMV Matching in Kidney Transplant: A Decision Analysis

The Cost-effectiveness of Valganciclovir Prophylaxis Versus Preemptive Therapy in CMV R+ Kidney Transplant Recipients Over the First Year Posttransplantation

Background

In kidney transplant recipients with positive serology (R+) for the cytomegalovirus (CMV), 2 strategies are used to prevent infection, whose respective advantages over the other are still debated. This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness and cost utility of antiviral prophylaxis against CMV versus preemptive therapy, considering CMV infection-free survival over the first year posttransplantation as the main clinical outcome.

Methods

Clinical, laboratory, and economic data were collected from 186 kidney transplant patients CMV (R+) included in the cohort study (85 patients who benefited from CMV prophylaxis and 101 from preemptive therapy). Costs were calculated from the hospital perspective and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) using the EQ5D form. Using nonparametric bootstrapping, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) and cost utility were estimated (euros) for each case of infection avoided and each QALY gained for 1 y, respectively.

Results

Prophylaxis significantly decreased the risk of CMV infection over the first year posttransplantation (hazard ratio 0.22, 95% confidence interval = 0.12-0.37, P < 0.01). Compared with preemptive therapy, prophylaxis saved financial resources (€1155 per patient) and was more effective (0.42 infection avoided per patient), resulting in an ICER = €2769 per infection avoided. Prophylaxis resulted in a net gain of 0.046 in QALYs per patient and dominated over preemptive therapy with €1422 cost-saving for 1 QALY gained.

Conclusions

This study shows that CMV prophylaxis, although considered as a more expensive strategy, is more cost-effective than preemptive therapy for the prevention of CMV infections in renal transplant patients. Prophylaxis had a positive effect on quality of life at reasonable costs and resulted in net savings for the hospital.

Cytomegalovirus Matching in Deceased Donor Kidney Allocation: Results From a U.S. National Simulation Model

Background

Cytomegalovirus (CMV) infects >60% of adults and can pose an independent risk factor for allograft loss and mortality in solid organ transplant recipients. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the impact of a nationwide implementation of CMV seromatching (donor/recipient: D-/R- and D+/R+) in the U.S. deceased donor kidney allocation system (KAS).

Methods

Adult candidates on the U.S. kidney-only transplant waiting list and deceased donor kidneys offered to the U.S. transplant centers were considered. A discrete-event simulation model, simulating the pre-COVID-19 period from January 1, 2015, to January 1, 2018, was used to compare the performances of currently employed KAS-250 policy (without CMV matching) to various simulated CMV matching policies parameterized by calculated panel reactive antibody exception threshold. Outcomes included CMV serodistribution, waiting time, access to transplantation among various groups, transplant rate, graft survival, kidney discard rate, and antigen-mismatch distribution, stratified by CMV serostatus.

Results

CMV matching policy with a calculated panel reactive antibody exception threshold of 50% (namely, the CMV">50%" policy) strikes a better balance between benefits and drawbacks of CMV matching. Compared with KAS-250, CMV">50%" reduced CMV high-risk (D+/R-) transplants (6.1% versus 18.1%) and increased CMV low-risk (D-/R-) transplants (27.2% versus 13.1%); increased transplant rate for CMV R- patients (11.54 versus 12.57) but decreased for R+ patients (10.68 versus 10.48), yielding an increase in aggregate (11.09 versus 10.94); and reduced mean time to transplantation (by 6 wk); and reduced kidney discard rate (25.7% versus 26.2%).

Conclusions

Our findings underscore the feasibility and potential advantages of a nationwide CMV seromatching policy in kidney transplantation.

What's New: Updates on Cytomegalovirus in Solid Organ Transplantation

Cytomegalovirus (CMV) is one of the most common infections occurring after solid organ transplantation. This high burden of disease, which incurs sizeable morbidity, may be worsening with the proportion of high-risk D+/R- solid organ transplantation recipients increasing in some regions globally. Cohort studies continue to support either universal prophylaxis or preemptive therapy as effective prevention strategies. Letermovir prophylaxis was noninferior to valganciclovir in adult high-risk D+/R- kidney transplant recipients with fewer drug-related adverse events in a recent clinical trial and has now been approved for such use in some regions. Maribavir preemptive therapy failed to demonstrate noninferiority when compared with valganciclovir in hematopoietic stem cell transplant recipients but looked promising for safety. Donor matching could be useful in prevention CMV disease with a survival advantage demonstrated in seronegative recipients waiting up to 30 mo for a seronegative kidney. Immune-guided prophylaxis resulted in fewer CMV infection episodes in lung transplant recipients when compared with fixed-duration prophylaxis in a recent clinical trial. For treatment of refractory or resistant CMV infection, maribavir was more efficacious and better tolerated when compared with investigator-initiated therapy in its registration trial for this condition. Further research regarding best treatment and prophylaxis of resistant or refractory CMV infection is needed to reflect best clinical practice choices. Optimal use of immune globulin or CMV-specific T cells for prevention or treatment of CMV disease remains undefined. Standardized definitions for the design of CMV clinical trials have been developed. In this review, we highlight recent updates in the field from data published since 2018.

Viral load kinetics and the clinical consequences of cytomegalovirus in kidney transplantation

Background

Despite advances in clinical management, cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection remains a serious complication and an important cause of morbidity and mortality following kidney transplantation. Here, we explore the importance of viral load kinetics as predictors of risk and potential guides to therapy to reduce transplant failure in a large longitudinal Genome Canada Transplant Consortium (GCTC) kidney transplant cohort.

Methods

We examined the relationship between CMV infection rates and clinical characteristics, CMV viral load kinetics, and graft and patient outcomes in 2510 sequential kidney transplant recipients in the British Columbia Transplant Program. Transplants were performed between January 1, 2008, and December 31, 2018, were managed according to a standard protocol, and were followed until December 31, 2019, representing over 3.4 million days of care.

Results

Longitudinal CMV testing was performed in 2464 patients, of whom 434 (17.6%) developed a first episode of CMV viremia at a median of 120 (range: 9-3906) days post-transplant. Of these patients, 93 (21.4%) had CMV viremia only and 341 (78.6%) had CMV viremia with clinical complications, of whom 21 (4.8%) had resulting hospitalization. A total of 279 (11.3%) patients died and 177 (7.2%) patients lost their graft during the 12 years of follow-up. Patients with CMV infection were at significantly greater risk of graft loss (p=0.0041) and death (p=0.0056) than those without. Peak viral load ranged from 2.9 to 7.0 (median: 3.5) log10 IU/mL, the duration of viremia from 2 to 100 (15) days, and the viral load area under the curve from 9.4 to 579.8 (59.7) log10 IU/mL × days. All three parameters were closely inter-related and were significantly increased in patients with more severe clinical disease or with graft loss (p=0.001). Duration of the first CMV viremic episode greater than 15 days or a peak viral load ≥4.0 log10 IU/mL offered simple predictors of clinical risk with a 3-fold risk of transplant failure.

Conclusion

Viral load kinetics are closely related to CMV severity and to graft loss following kidney transplantation and provide a simple index of risk which may be valuable in guiding trials and treatment to prevent transplant failure.

Patient years lost due to cytomegalovirus serostatus mismatching in the scientific registry of transplant recipients

Background

The cytomegalovirus (CMV) mismatch rate in deceased donor kidney transplant (DDKT) recipients in the US remains above 40%. Since CMV mismatching is common in DDKT recipients, the cumulative effects may be significant in the context of overall patient and graft survival. Our primary objective was to describe the short- and long-term risks associated with high-risk CMV donor positive/recipient negative (D+/R-) mismatching among DDKT recipients with the explicit goal of deriving a mathematical mismatching penalty.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective, secondary analysis of the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR) database using donor-matched DDKT recipient pairs (N=105,608) transplanted between 2011-2022. All-cause mortality and graft failure hazard ratios were calculated from one year to ten years post-DDKT. All-cause graft failure included death events. Survival curves were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier estimation at 10 years post-DDKT and extrapolated to 20 years to provide the average graft days lost (aGDL) and average patient days lost (aPDL) due to CMV D+/R- serostatus mismatching. We also performed an age-based stratification analysis to compare the relative risk of CMV D+ mismatching by age.

Results

Among 31,518 CMV D+/R- recipients, at 1 year post-DDKT, the relative risk of death increased by 29% (p<0.001), and graft failure increased by 17% (p<0.001) as compared to matched CMV D+/R+ group (N=31,518). Age stratification demonstrated a significant increase in the risk associated with CMV mismatching in patients 40 years of age and greater. The aGDL per patient due to mismatching was 125 days and the aPDL per patient was 100 days.

Conclusion

The risks of CMV D+/R- mismatching are seen both at 1 year post-DDKT period and accumulated throughout the lifespan of the patient, with the average CMV D+/R- recipient losing more than three months of post-DDKT survival time. CMV D+/R- mismatching poses a more significant risk and a greater health burden than previously reported, thus obviating the need for better preventive strategies including CMV serodirected organ allocation to prolong lifespans and graft survival in high-risk patients.

Increasing Proportion of High-risk Cytomegalovirus Donor-positive/Recipient-negative Serostatus in Solid Organ Transplant Recipients

BACKGROUND

Cytomegalovirus (CMV) donor-positive/recipient-negative (D+R-) serostatus is independently associated with worse allograft and patient survival across solid organ transplant (SOT) types. We characterized trends in CMV D+R- serostatus among adult SOT recipients performed in the United States.

METHODS

Donor (D) and recipient (R) CMV serostatus and demographic factors were obtained from the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients for persons ≥18 y undergoing a first SOT between January 1, 2000, and December 31, 2020. The proportions of D+R- SOTs over time were assessed using Chi square for trend and modeled through 2040. Factors associated with D/R seropositivity were assessed using logistic models.

RESULTS

Among 472 549 SOTs, the average proportion of D+R- SOTs increased significantly among kidney, liver, heart, and lung between 2000 to 2009 and 2010 to 2020: 18.0% to 18.3% ( P  = 0.034), 19.4% to 21.8% ( P  < 0.001), 22.2% to 25.5% ( P  < 0.001), and 23.6% to 27.0% ( P  < 0.001), respectively. The increased proportion over time resulted from a disproportionate increase in R- (34.9% to 37.0% for all organ types, P  < 0.001) and a smaller corresponding change in D+ (60.8% to 60.3%, P  < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The proportion of high-risk CMV D+R- SOTs increased significantly across all organs and is projected to continue to increase. These findings inform population-level strategies to mitigate the negative impact of CMV D+R- in SOT.

Impact of belatacept and tacrolimus on cytomegalovirus viral load control and relapse in moderate and high-risk cytomegalovirus serostatus kidney transplant recipients

BACKGROUND

Belatacept improves long-term graft survival, but control of some primary viral infections may be impaired. We evaluated the impact of belatacept and tacrolimus on cytomegalovirus (CMV) viral control, remission and relapse in CMV high-risk and moderate-risk recipients.

METHODS

Using a multistate Markov model, we evaluated viral load state transitions of 173 kidney transplant recipients with at least one episode of viremia within 1 year after transplant: state 1, undetectable/low viral load; state 2, moderate viremia; and state 3, severe viremia.

RESULTS

Among high-risk recipients, belatacept-treated recipients exhibited a significantly higher probability of entering moderate viremia (.36; 95% CI = .31, .41) than tacrolimus-treated recipients (.20; 95% CI = .13, .29). The expected number of days in viremic states differed. High-risk belatacept-treated recipients persisted in moderate viremia for significantly longer (128 days, 95% CI = 110, 146) than did tacrolimus-treated recipients (70.0 days, 95% CI = 45.2, 100) and showed a trend of shorter duration in low/undetectable viral load state (172 days, 95% CI = 148, 195) than did tacrolimus-treated recipients (239 days, 95% CI = 195, 277). Moderate-risk recipients showed better viral load control and with no differences by immunosuppression.

CONCLUSION

High-risk belatacept-treated recipients showed defects in sustaining viral control relative to tacrolimus-treated recipients. Avoidance of initial use belatacept in high-risk recipients or development of modified management protocols should be considered.

Survival Rate of Renal Transplant and Factors Affecting Renal Transplant Failure

OBJECTIVES

The most important complication in kidney transplant is acute/chronic rejection. In this study, we investigated the factors affecting kidney rejection and transplant survival.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this survival analysis study, 352 patients (mean follow-up of 12.9 ± 4.4 years) who underwent renal biopsy due to increased creatinine level from 2012 to 2016 were identified by glomerular filtration rate level and rejection. Probable factors affecting renal function and survival rate after transplant rejection were assessed. P < .05 was considered as significant.

RESULTS

Among our study patients, 40.9% developed early and 59.1% developed late acute kidney injury. Graft survival rates at 1 and 5 years were 98.9% and 68.5%, respectively, which was significant when rejection type was considered (P = .002). In addition, patient survival rates at 1 and 5 years were 99.7% and 98.6%, respectively. Graft survival at 5 years was significantly lower among older subjects, those with diabetes, those who received deceased donor organs, and those with late acute kidney injury (P < .002). Patient survival was significantly higher among young patients, those with systemic lupus erythematosus, those who received living donor organs, and those without cytomegalovirus infection (P < .003).

CONCLUSIONS

We observed that recipient age, type of donor, underlying disease, infection, and late acute kidney injury had great negative impacts on renal dysfunction and survival. In our center, because of the large number of kidney transplants from deceased donors, the necessity of antithymocyte globulin induction therapy was considered, since this study showed that patients who received rabbit antithymocyte globulin induction had better outcomes.