Multistate voter model with imperfect copying

Ordering dynamics of nonlinear voter models

We study the ordering dynamics of nonlinear voter models with multiple states, also providing a discussion of the two-state model. The rate with which an individual adopts an opinion scales as the qth power of the number of the individual's neighbors in that state. For q>1 the dynamics favor the opinion held by the most agents. The ordering to consensus is driven by deterministic drift, and noise plays only a minor role. For q<1 the dynamics favors minority opinions, and for multistate models the ordering proceeds through a noise-driven succession of metastable states. Unlike linear multistate systems, the nonlinear model cannot be reduced to an effective two-state model. We find that the average density of active interfaces in the model with multiple opinion states does not show a single exponential decay in time for q<1, again at variance with the linear model. This highlights the special character of the conventional (linear) voter model, in which deterministic drift is absent. As part of our analysis, we develop a pair approximation for the multistate model on graphs, valid for any positive real value of q, improving on previous approximations for nonlinear two-state voter models.

Local and global ordering dynamics in multistate voter models

We investigate the time evolution of the density of active links and of the entropy of the distribution of agents among opinions in multistate voter models with all-to-all interaction and on uncorrelated networks. Individual realizations undergo a sequence of eliminations of opinions until consensus is reached. After each elimination the population remains in a metastable state. The density of active links and the entropy in these states varies from realization to realization. Making some simple assumptions we are able to analytically calculate the average density of active links and the average entropy in each of these states. We also show that, averaged over realizations, the density of active links decays exponentially, with a timescale set by the size and geometry of the graph, but independent of the initial number of opinion states. The decay of the average entropy is exponential only at long times when there are at most two opinions left in the population. Finally, we show how metastable states comprising only a subset of opinions can be artificially engineered by introducing precisely one zealot in each of the prevailing opinions.

Contrarian Voter Model under the Influence of an Oscillating Propaganda: Consensus, Bimodal Behavior and Stochastic Resonance

We study the contrarian voter model for opinion formation in a society under the influence of an external oscillating propaganda and stochastic noise. Each agent of the population can hold one of two possible opinions on a given issue—against or in favor—and interacts with its neighbors following either an imitation dynamics (voter behavior) or an anti-alignment dynamics (contrarian behavior): each agent adopts the opinion of a random neighbor with a time-dependent probability p(t), or takes the opposite opinion with probability 1−p(t). The imitation probability p(t) is controlled by the social temperature T, and varies in time according to a periodic field that mimics the influence of an external propaganda, so that a voter is more prone to adopt an opinion aligned with the field. We simulate the model in complete graph and in lattices, and find that the system exhibits a rich variety of behaviors as T is varied: opinion consensus for T=0, a bimodal behavior for T<Tc, an oscillatory behavior where the mean opinion oscillates in time with the field for T>Tc, and full disorder for T≫1. The transition temperature Tc vanishes with the population size N as Tc≃2/lnN in complete graph. In addition, the distribution of residence times tr in the bimodal phase decays approximately as tr−3/2. Within the oscillatory regime, we find a stochastic resonance-like phenomenon at a given temperature T*. Furthermore, mean-field analytical results show that the opinion oscillations reach a maximum amplitude at an intermediate temperature, and that exhibit a lag with respect to the field that decreases with T.

Phase diagram in a one-dimensional civil disorder model

Epstein's model for a civil disorder is an agent-based model that simulates a social protest process where the central authority uses the police force to dissuade it. The interactions of police officers and citizens produce dynamics that do not yet have any analysis from the sociophysics approach. We present numerical simulations to characterize the properties of the one-dimensional civil disorder model on stationary state. To do this, we consider interactions on a Moore neighborhood and a random neighborhood with two different visions. We introduce a Potts-like energy function and construct the phase diagram using the agent state concentration. We find order-disorder phases and reveal the principle of minimum grievance as the underlying principle of the model's dynamics. Besides, we identify when the system can reach stable or an instability conditions based on the agents' interactions. Finally, we identified the most relevant role of the police based on their capacity to dissuade a protest and their effect on facilitating a stable scenario.

Consensus, polarization, and coexistence in a continuous opinion dynamics model with quenched disorder

A model of opinion dynamics is introduced in which each individual's opinion is measured on a bounded continuous spectrum. Each opinion is influenced heterogeneously by every other opinion in the population. It is demonstrated that consensus, polarization and a spread of moderate opinions are all possible within this model. Using dynamic mean-field theory, we are able to identify the statistical features of the interactions between individuals that give rise to each of the aforementioned emergent phenomena. The nature of the transitions between each of the observed macroscopic states is also studied. It is demonstrated that heterogeneity of interactions between individuals can lead to polarization, that mostly antagonistic or contrarian interactions can promote consensus at a moderate opinion, and that mostly reinforcing interactions encourage the majority to take an extreme opinion.

Noisy multistate voter model for flocking in finite dimensions

We study a model for the collective behavior of self-propelled particles subject to pairwise copying interactions and noise. Particles move at a constant speed v on a two-dimensional space and, in a single step of the dynamics, each particle adopts the direction of motion of a randomly chosen neighboring particle within a distance R=1, with the addition of a perturbation of amplitude η (noise). We investigate how the global level of particles' alignment (order) is affected by their motion and the noise amplitude η. In the static case scenario v=0 where particles are fixed at the sites of a square lattice and interact with their first neighbors, we find that for any noise η>0 the system reaches a steady state of complete disorder in the thermodynamic limit, while for η=0 full order is eventually achieved for a system with any number of particles N. Therefore, the model displays a transition at zero noise when particles are static, and thus there are no ordered steady states for a finite noise (η>0). We show that the finite-size transition noise vanishes with N as η_{c}^{1D}∼N^{-1} and η_{c}^{2D}∼(NlnN)^{-1/2} in one- and two-dimensional lattices, respectively, which is linked to known results on the behavior of a type of noisy voter model for catalytic reactions. When particles are allowed to move in the space at a finite speed v>0, an ordered phase emerges, characterized by a fraction of particles moving in a similar direction. The system exhibits an order-disorder phase transition at a noise amplitude η_{c}>0 that is proportional to v, and that scales approximately as η_{c}∼v(-lnv)^{-1/2} for v≪1. These results show that the motion of particles is able to sustain a state of global order in a system with voter-like interactions.

Finite-size effects on the convergence time in continuous-opinion dynamics

We study finite-size effects on the convergence time in a continuous-opinion dynamics model. In the model, each individual's opinion is represented by a real number on a finite interval, e.g., [0,1], and a uniformly randomly chosen individual updates its opinion by partially mimicking the opinion of a uniformly randomly chosen neighbor. We numerically find that the characteristic time to the convergence increases as the system size increases according to a particular functional form in the case of lattice networks. In contrast, unless the individuals perfectly copy the opinion of their neighbors in each opinion updating, the convergence time is approximately independent of the system size in the case of regular random graphs, uncorrelated scale-free networks, and complete graphs. We also provide a mean-field analysis of the model to understand the case of the complete graph.

Species exclusion and coexistence in a noisy voter model with a competition-colonization tradeoff

We introduce an asymmetric noisy voter model to study the joint effect of immigration and a competition-dispersal tradeoff in the dynamics of two species competing for space in regular lattices. Individuals of one species can invade a nearest-neighbor site in the lattice, while individuals of the other species are able to invade sites at any distance but are less competitive locally, i.e., they establish with a probability g≤1. The model also accounts for immigration, modeled as an external noise that may spontaneously replace an individual at a lattice site by another individual of the other species. This combination of mechanisms gives rise to a rich variety of outcomes for species competition, including exclusion of either species, monostable coexistence of both species at different population proportions, and bistable coexistence with proportions of populations that depend on the initial condition. Remarkably, in the bistable phase, the system undergoes a discontinuous transition as the intensity of immigration overcomes a threshold, leading to a half loop dynamics associated to a cusp catastrophe, which causes the irreversible loss of the species with the shortest dispersal range.

Discontinuous phase transitions in the multi-state noisy q-voter model: quenched vs. annealed disorder

We introduce a generalized version of the noisy q-voter model, one of the most popular opinion dynamics models, in which voters can be in one of \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$s \ge 2$$\end{document}s≥2 states. As in the original binary q-voter model, which corresponds to \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$s=2$$\end{document}s=2, at each update randomly selected voter can conform to its q randomly chosen neighbors only if they are all in the same state. Additionally, a voter can act independently, taking a randomly chosen state, which introduces disorder to the system. We consider two types of disorder: (1) annealed, which means that each voter can act independently with probability p and with complementary probability \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$1-p$$\end{document}1-p conform to others, and (2) quenched, which means that there is a fraction p of all voters, which are permanently independent and the rest of them are conformists. We analyze the model on the complete graph analytically and via Monte Carlo simulations. We show that for the number of states \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$s>2$$\end{document}s>2 the model displays discontinuous phase transitions for any \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$q>1$$\end{document}q>1, on contrary to the model with binary opinions, in which discontinuous phase transitions are observed only for \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$q>5$$\end{document}q>5. Moreover, unlike the case of \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$s=2$$\end{document}s=2, for \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$s>2$$\end{document}s>2 discontinuous phase transitions survive under the quenched disorder, although they are less sharp than under the annealed one.

Zealots in multistate noisy voter models

The noisy voter model is a stylized representation of opinion dynamics. Individuals copy opinions from other individuals, and are subject to spontaneous state changes. In the case of two opinion states this model is known to have a noise-driven transition between a unimodal phase, in which both opinions are present, and a bimodal phase, in which one of the opinions dominates. The presence of zealots can remove the unimodal and bimodal phases in the model with two opinion states. Here we study the effects of zealots in noisy voter models with M>2 opinion states on complete interaction graphs. We find that the phase behavior diversifies, with up to six possible qualitatively different types of stationary states. The presence of zealots removes some of these phases, but not all. We analyze situations in which zealots affect the entire population, or only a fraction of agents, and show that this situation corresponds to a single-community model with a fractional number of zealots, further enriching the phase diagram. Our study is conducted analytically based on effective birth-death dynamics for the number of individuals holding a given opinion. Results are confirmed in numerical simulations.

Role of voting intention in public opinion polarization

We introduce and study a simple model for the dynamics of voting intention in a population of agents that have to choose between two candidates. The level of indecision of a given agent is modeled by its propensity to vote for one of the two alternatives, represented by a variable p∈[0,1]. When an agent i interacts with another agent j with propensity p_{j}, then i either increases its propensity p_{i} by h with probability P_{ij}=ωp_{i}+(1-ω)p_{j}, or decreases p_{i} by h with probability 1-P_{ij}, where h is a fixed step. We assume that the interactions form a complete graph, where each agent can interact with any other agent. We analyze the system by a rate equation approach and contrast the results with Monte Carlo simulations. We find that the dynamics of propensities depends on the weight ω that an agent assigns to its own propensity. When all the weight is assigned to the interacting partner (ω=0), agents' propensities are quickly driven to one of the extreme values p=0 or p=1, until an extremist absorbing consensus is achieved. However, for ω>0 the system first reaches a quasistationary state of symmetric polarization where the distribution of propensities has the shape of an inverted Gaussian with a minimum at the center p=1/2 and two maxima at the extreme values p=0,1, until the symmetry is broken and the system is driven to an extremist consensus. A linear stability analysis shows that the lifetime of the polarized state, estimated by the mean consensus time τ, diverges as τ∼(1-ω)^{-2}lnN when ω approaches 1, where N is the system size. Finally, a continuous approximation allows us to derive a transport equation whose convection term is compatible with a drift of particles from the center toward the extremes.