Prediction of hemorrhagic transformation after acute ischemic stroke using hyperintense MCA sign

Predicting hemorrhagic transformation and its timing from maximum cerebral lesion diameter in nonlacunar ischemic strokes

OBJECTIVES

We performed this retrospective cohort study to establish which factors are mostly indicative of the appearance of hemorrhagic transformation (HT) and of its time course in a sample of nonlacunar ischemic strokes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In 402 patients with nonlacunar ischemic stroke (75.0 ± 12.7 years, 192 male), clinical, laboratory, and neuroimaging variables obtained during the first 3 days of hospitalization were compared between patients with and without HT at computer tomography scan.

RESULTS

HT was documented in 129 patients (32.1%), including 36 with parenchymal hematoma (PH), after a median time of 6 days (range 1-27). Many variables were univariately associated with HT, but only 5 of them were confirmed in Cox regression (Hazard Ratio, 95% Confidence Interval): maximum cerebral lesion diameter (CLD) in cm (1.12, 1.06-1.18; p = .0001), hemoglobin in g/dl (1.16, 1.06-1.27; p = .002), blood glucose in mmol/L (1.10, 1.03-1.18; p = .007), prior anticoagulant therapy (1.82, 1.10-3.03; p = .02), and edema with mass effect (1.72, 1.08-2.75; p = .02). Thus, the most significant predictor was CLD. The overall risk of HT was minimum for CLD < 2 cm (1.5%), intermediate for CLD ≥ 2 and < 5 cm (22%), and maximum for CLD ≥ 5 cm (58%). The residual probability of having HT decreased progressively over time, and a simple formula is proposed to predict, from CLD in cm, when the probability of HT falls below 10%.

CONCLUSIONS

The main determinant of HT was CLD, a simple quantitative parameter that could prove useful, in particular, in deciding the timing of anticoagulation in cardioembolic stroke patients.

[Neurovisualisation predictors of malignant cerebral infarction and hemorrhagic transformation]

Neuroimaging plays a central role in the assessment of patients with acute ischemic stroke. Within a few minutes, modern multimodal imaging protocols can provide one with comprehensive information about prognosis, management, and outcome of the disease, and may detect changes in the intracranial structures reflecting severity of the ischemic injury depicted by four Ps: parenchyma (of the brain), pipes (i.e., the cerebral blood vessels), penumbra, and permeability (of the blood brain barrier). In this article, we have reviewed neuroradiological predictors of malignant middle cerebral artery infarction and hemorrhagic transformation in light of the aforementioned four Ps.