Computational Simulation of Virtual Patients Reduces Dataset Bias and Improves Machine Learning-Based Detection of ARDS from Noisy Heterogeneous ICU Datasets

A systematic review of machine learning models for management, prediction and classification of ARDS

AIM

Acute respiratory distress syndrome or ARDS is an acute, severe form of respiratory failure characterised by poor oxygenation and bilateral pulmonary infiltrates. Advancements in signal processing and machine learning have led to promising solutions for classification, event detection and predictive models in the management of ARDS.

METHOD

In this review, we provide systematic description of different studies in the application of Machine Learning (ML) and artificial intelligence for management, prediction, and classification of ARDS. We searched the following databases: Google Scholar, PubMed, and EBSCO from 2009 to 2023. A total of 243 studies was screened, in which, 52 studies were included for review and analysis. We integrated knowledge of previous work providing the state of art and overview of explainable decision models in machine learning and have identified areas for future research.

RESULTS

Gradient boosting is the most common and successful method utilised in 12 (23.1%) of the studies. Due to limitation of data size available, neural network and its variation is used by only 8 (15.4%) studies. Whilst all studies used cross validating technique or separated database for validation, only 1 study validated the model with clinician input. Explainability methods were presented in 15 (28.8%) of studies with the most common method is feature importance which used 14 times.

CONCLUSION

For databases of 5000 or fewer samples, extreme gradient boosting has the highest probability of success. A large, multi-region, multi centre database is required to reduce bias and take advantage of neural network method. A framework for validating with and explaining ML model to clinicians involved in the management of ARDS would be very helpful for development and deployment of the ML model.

A pretrain-finetune approach for improving model generalizability in outcome prediction of acute respiratory distress syndrome patients

BACKGROUND

Early prediction of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) of critically ill patients in intensive care units (ICUs) has been intensively studied in the past years. Yet a prediction model trained on data from one hospital might not be well generalized to other hospitals. It is therefore essential to develop an accurate and generalizable ARDS prediction model adaptive to different hospital or medical centers.

METHODS

We analyzed electronic medical records of 200,859 and 50,920 hospitalized patients within 24 h after being diagnosed with ARDS from the Philips eICU Institute (eICU-CRD) and the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-IV) dataset, respectively. Patients were sorted into three groups, including rapid death, long stay, and recovery, based on their condition or outcome between 24 and 72 h after ARDS diagnosis. To improve prediction performance and generalizability, a "pretrain-finetune" approach was applied, where we pretrained models on the eICU-CRD dataset and performed model finetuning using only a part (35%) of the MIMIC-IV dataset, and then tested the finetuned models on the remaining data from the MIMIC-IV dataset. Well-known machine-learning algorithms, including logistic regression, random forest, extreme gradient boosting, and multilayer perceptron neural networks, were employed to predict ARDS outcomes. Prediction performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC).

RESULTS

Results show that, in general, multilayer perceptron neural networks outperformed the other models. The use of pretrain-finetune yielded improved performance in predicting ARDS outcomes achieving a micro-AUC of 0.870 for the MIMIC-IV dataset, an improvement of 0.046 over the pretrain model.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed pretrain-finetune approach can effectively improve model generalizability from one to another dataset in ARDS prediction.

Combined mechanistic modeling and machine-learning approaches in systems biology - A systematic literature review

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Mechanistic-based Model simulations (MM) are an effective approach commonly employed, for research and learning purposes, to better investigate and understand the inherent behavior of biological systems. Recent advancements in modern technologies and the large availability of omics data allowed the application of Machine Learning (ML) techniques to different research fields, including systems biology. However, the availability of information regarding the analyzed biological context, sufficient experimental data, as well as the degree of computational complexity, represent some of the issues that both MMs and ML techniques could present individually. For this reason, recently, several studies suggest overcoming or significantly reducing these drawbacks by combining the above-mentioned two methods. In the wake of the growing interest in this hybrid analysis approach, with the present review, we want to systematically investigate the studies available in the scientific literature in which both MMs and ML have been combined to explain biological processes at genomics, proteomics, and metabolomics levels, or the behavior of entire cellular populations.

METHODS

Elsevier Scopus®, Clarivate Web of Science™ and National Library of Medicine PubMed® databases were enquired using the queries reported in Table 1, resulting in 350 scientific articles.

RESULTS

Only 14 of the 350 documents returned by the comprehensive search conducted on the three major online databases met our search criteria, i.e. present a hybrid approach consisting of the synergistic combination of MMs and ML to treat a particular aspect of systems biology.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite the recent interest in this methodology, from a careful analysis of the selected papers, it emerged how examples of integration between MMs and ML are already present in systems biology, highlighting the great potential of this hybrid approach to both at micro and macro biological scales.