Prediction of Atherosclerotic Plaque Development in an In Vivo Coronary Arterial Segment Based on a Multilevel Modeling Approach

Computational modeling of low-density lipoprotein accumulation at the carotid artery bifurcation after stenting

Restenosis typically occurs in regions of low and oscillating wall shear stress, which also favor the accumulation of atherogenic macromolecules such as low-density lipoprotein (LDL). This study aims to evaluate LDL transport and accumulation at the carotid artery bifurcation following carotid artery stenting (CAS) by means of computational simulation. The computational model consists of coupled blood flow and LDL transport, with the latter being modeled as a dilute substance dissolved in the blood and transported by the flow through a convection-diffusion transport equation. The endothelial layer was assumed to be permeable to LDL, and the hydraulic conductivity of LDL was shear-dependent. Anatomically realistic geometric models of the carotid bifurcation were built based on pre- and post-stent computed tomography (CT) scans. The influence of stent design was investigated by virtually deploying two different types of stents (open- and closed-cell stents) into the same carotid bifurcation model. Predicted LDL concentrations were compared between the post-stent carotid models and the relatively normal contralateral model reconstructed from patient-specific CT images. Our results show elevated LDL concentration in the distal section of the stent in all post-stent models, where LDL concentration is 20 times higher than that in the contralateral carotid. Compared with the open-cell stents, the closed-cell stents have larger areas exposed to high LDL concentration, suggesting an increased risk of stent restenosis. This computational approach is readily applicable to multiple patient studies and, once fully validated against follow-up data, it can help elucidate the role of stent strut design in the development of in-stent restenosis after CAS.

Enhancing risk prediction capabilities in patients with carotid artery disease using a 2-level computational approach

One of the main causes of death worldwide is carotid artery disease, which causes increasing arterial stenosis and may induce a stroke. To address this problem, the scientific community aims to improve our understanding of the underlying atherosclerotic mechanisms, as well as to make it possible to forecast the progression of atherosclerosis. Additionally, over the past several years, developments in the field of cardiovascular modeling have made it possible to create precise three-dimensional models of patient-specific main carotid arteries. The aforementioned 3D models are then implemented by computational models to forecast either the progression of atherosclerotic plaque or several flow-related metrics which are correlated to risk evaluation. A precise representation of both the blood flow and the fundamental atherosclerotic process within the arterial wall is made possible by computational models, therefore, allowing for the prediction of future lumen stenoses, plaque areas and risk prediction. This work presents an attempt to integrate the outcomes of a novel plaque growth model with advanced blood flow dynamics where the deformed luminal shape derived from the plaque growth model is compared to the actual patient-specific luminal model in terms of several hemodynamic metrics, to identify the prediction accuracy of the aforementioned model. Pressure drop ratios had a mean difference of <3%, whereas OSI-derived metrics were identical in 2/3 cases.Clinical Relevance-This establishes the accuracy of our plaque growth model in predicting the arterial geometry after the desired timeline.

Accurate adventitia reconstruction; significant or not in atherosclerotic plaque growth simulationsƒ A comparative study

A reform in the diagnosis and treatment process is urgently required as carotid artery disease remains a leading cause of death in the world. To this purpose, all computational techniques are now being applied to enhancing the most cutting-edge diagnosis techniques. Computational modeling of plaque generation and evolution is being refined over the past years to forecast the atherosclerotic progression and the corresponding risk in patient-specific carotid arteries. A prerequisite to their implementation is the reconstruction of the precise three-dimensional models of patient-specific main carotid arteries. Even with the most sophisticated algorithms, accurate reconstruction of the arterial vessel is frequently difficult. Furthermore, there are several works of plaque growth modeling that ignore the reconstruction of the artery's outer layer in favor of a virtual one. In this paper, we investigate the importance of an accurate adventitia layer in plaque growth modeling. This is done as a comparative study by implementing a novel plaque growth model in two reconstructed carotid arterial segments using either their realistic or virtual adventitia layer as input. The results indicate that accurate adventitia reconstruction is of minor importance regarding species distributions and plaque growth in carotid segments, which initially did not contain any plaque regions.Clinical Relevance- The findings of this comparative study emphasize the importance of precise adventitia geometry in plaque growth modeling. As a result, this work sets a higher standard for publishing new plaque growth models.

A likelihood swarm whale optimization based LeNet classifier approach for the prediction and diagnosis of patients with atherosclerosis disease

Coronary Artery Disease (CAD) caused by atherosclerosis is having huge impact and is considered an epidemic one in all over the world. Cardio vascular disease (CVD) in 2019 records is about 32% of global death rate. Among these deaths, 85% were caused by heart attack and stroke. Atherosclerosis is regarded as a condition at which the arteries become hardened and narrowed due to the plaque accumulation around the walls of arteries. The disease growth is slow, asymptomatic, sudden cardiac arrest, myocardial infarction and stroke. At present, medical diagnostic techniques are widely applied for the prediction of disease. However, they are uncommon in the desired sensitivity and resolution for detection. The lack of non-invasive diagnosing tool for the prediction of disease in early stage limits the treatment and prevention of patients having various degrees. This proposed research work focuses on intelligent optimization technique named Maximum Likelihood Swarm Whale Optimization (MLSWO) that is used to extract the crucial features in the Atherosclerosis (STULONG) and Kaggle datasets and predict the disease progression. The outcomes the selected features are classified using LeNet classifier for assorting the individuals. The proposed MLSWO algorithm produces higher accuracy rate of 99.2%, sensitivity rate of 98.36% and specificity of 100% compared with other state-of art techniques.

Prediction of the atherosclerotic plaque development in carotid arteries; the effect of T-cells

The carotid artery disease is one of the leading causes of mortality worldwide, as it leads to the progressive arterial stenosis that may result to stroke. To address this issue, the scientific community is attempting not only to enrich our knowledge on the underlying atherosclerotic mechanisms, but also to enable the prediction of the atherosclerotic progression. This study investigates the role of T-cells in the atherosclerotic plaque growth process through the implementation of a computational model in realistic geometries of carotid arteries. T-cells mediate in the inflammatory process by secreting interferon-y that enhances the activation of macrophages. In this analysis, we used 5 realistic human carotid arterial segments as input to the model. In particular, magnetic resonance imaging data, as well as, clinical data were collected from the patients at two time points. Using the baseline data, plaque growth was predicted and correlated to the follow-up arterial geometries. The results exhibited a very good agreement between them, presenting a high coefficient of determination R²=0.64.

Mathematical modeling of plaque progression and associated microenvironment: How far from predicting the fate of atherosclerosis?

Mathematical modeling contributes to pathophysiological research of atherosclerosis by helping to elucidate mechanisms and by providing quantitative predictions that can be validated. In turn, the complexity of atherosclerosis is well suited to quantitative approaches as it provides challenges and opportunities for new developments of modeling. In this review, we summarize the current 'state of the art' on the mathematical modeling of the effects of biomechanical factors and microenvironmental factors on the plaque progression, and its potential help in prediction of plaque development. We begin with models that describe the biomechanical environment inside and outside the plaque and its influence on its growth and rupture. We then discuss mathematical models that describe the dynamic evolution of plaque microenvironmental factors, such as lipid deposition, inflammation, smooth muscle cells migration and intraplaque hemorrhage, followed by studies on plaque growth and progression using these modelling approaches. Moreover, we present several key questions for future research. Mathematical models can complement experimental and clinical studies, but also challenge current paradigms, redefine our understanding of mechanisms driving plaque vulnerability and propose future potential direction in therapy for cardiovascular disease.

The TAXINOMISIS Project: A multidisciplinary approach for the development of a new risk stratification model for patients with asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis

INTRODUCTION

Asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis (ACAS) may cause future stroke and therefore patients with ACAS require best medical treatment. Patients at high risk for stroke may opt for additional revascularization (either surgery or stenting) but the future stroke risk should outweigh the risk for peri/post-operative stroke/death. Current risk stratification for patients with ACAS is largely based on outdated randomized-controlled trials that lack the integration of improved medical therapies and risk factor control. Furthermore, recent circulating and imaging biomarkers for stroke have never been included in a risk stratification model. The TAXINOMISIS Project aims to develop a new risk stratification model for cerebrovascular complications in patients with ACAS and this will be tested through a prospective observational multicentre clinical trial performed in six major European vascular surgery centres.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

The risk stratification model will compromise clinical, circulating, plaque and imaging biomarkers. The prospective multicentre observational study will include 300 patients with 50%-99% ACAS. The primary endpoint is the three-year incidence of cerebrovascular complications. Biomarkers will be retrieved from plasma samples, brain MRI, carotid MRA and duplex ultrasound. The TAXINOMISIS Project will serve as a platform for the development of new computer tools that assess plaque progression based on radiology images and a lab-on-chip with genetic variants that could predict medication response in individual patients.

CONCLUSION

Results from the TAXINOMISIS study could potentially improve future risk stratification in patients with ACAS to assist personalized evidence-based treatment decision-making.

Simulation of atherosclerotic plaque growth using computational biomechanics and patient-specific data

Atherosclerosis is the one of the major causes of mortality worldwide, urging the need for prevention strategies. In this work, a novel computational model is developed, which is used for simulation of plaque growth to 94 realistic 3D reconstructed coronary arteries. This model considers several factors of the atherosclerotic process even mechanical factors such as the effect of endothelial shear stress, responsible for the initiation of atherosclerosis, and biological factors such as the accumulation of low and high density lipoproteins (LDL and HDL), monocytes, macrophages, cytokines, nitric oxide and formation of foams cells or proliferation of contractile and synthetic smooth muscle cells (SMCs). The model is validated using the serial imaging of CTCA comparing the simulated geometries with the real follow-up arteries. Additionally, we examine the predictive capability of the model to identify regions prone of disease progression. The results presented good correlation between the simulated lumen area (P < 0.0001), plaque area (P < 0.0001) and plaque burden (P < 0.0001) with the realistic ones. Finally, disease progression is achieved with 80% accuracy with many of the computational results being independent predictors.

A computational multi-level atherosclerotic plaque growth model for coronary arteries

In this work, we present a novel computational approach for the prediction of atherosclerotic plaque growth. In particular, patient-specific coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) data were collected from 60 patients at two time points. Additionally, blood samples were collected for biochemical analysis. The CCTA data were used for 3D reconstruction of the coronary arteries, which were then used for computational modeling of plaque growth. The model of plaque growth is based on a multi-level approach: i) the blood flow is modeled in the lumen and the arterial wall, ii) the low and high density lipoprotein and monocytes transport is included, and iii) the major atherosclerotic processes are modeled including the foam cells formation, the proliferation of smooth muscle cells and the formation of atherosclerotic plaque. Validation of the model was performed using the follow-up CCTA. The results show a correlation of the simulated follow-up arterial wall area to be correlated with the corresponding realistic follow-up with r²=0.49, P<; 0.0001.

Elevated Lipid Infiltration Is Associated With Cerebral Aneurysm Rupture

Background: Intracranial aneurysm wall degradation can be associated with lipid infiltration. However, the relationship between lipid infiltration and aneurysm rupture has not been explored quantitatively. To investigate the correlation between lipid infiltration and aneurysm rupture, we utilized patient-specific simulation of low-density lipoprotein (LDL) transport to analyze lipid infiltration in the cerebral aneurysm wall.

Methods: Sixty-two aneurysms were analyzed. Patient blood pressure, plasma LDL concentration, and three-dimensional angiographic images were obtained to simulate LDL transport in aneurysms. Morphological, hemodynamic, and lipid accumulation parameters were compared between ruptures and unruptured groups. Multivariate logistic regression was also performed to determine parameters that are independently associated with rupture.

Results: Size ratio, wall shear stress, low shear area, relative residence time, area-averaged LDL infiltration rate, and maximum LDL infiltration rate were significant parameters in univariate analysis (P < 0.05). Multivariate analysis revealed that only average LDL infiltration remained as a significant variable (P < 0.05). The prediction model derived showed good performance for rupture prediction (AUC, 0.885; 95% CI, 0.794–0.976).

Conclusions: Ruptured aneurysms showed significantly higher LDL infiltration compared to unruptured ones. Our results suggested that lipid infiltration may promote aneurysm rupture. Lipid infiltration characteristics should be considered when assessing aneurysm rupture risk.

InSilc: 3D Reconstruction and plaque characterization tool

Coronary artery disease (CAD) is the leading cause of mortality in Europe and worldwide. Atherosclerosis is the most common pathologic process that is highly related with CAD, while the implantation of drug-eluting Bioresorbable Vascular Scaffolds (BVS) is the most promising procedure for treating patients with CAD. InSilc is an textbfin silico clinical trial (ISCT) platform for the development and assessment of drugeluting BVS. The InSilc platform provides insight in the performance of drug-eluting BVS in their short term and medium/long term through the Mechanical Modelling Module, the Deployment Module, the Fluid Dynamics Module, the Myocardial Perfusion Module, the Drug-delivery Module and the Degradation Module. In order for the aforementioned modules to be developed, the utilization of the reconstructed patient specific arterial segment and the BVS design are required, which is achieved through the 3D reconstruction and plaque characterization tool.In this study, the overall architecture of the InSilc platform is presented with special emphasis on the 3D reconstruction and plaque characterization tool. The tool will be able to implement different medical image processing workflows. The workflows will require minimum user intervention in order to be used in large scale clinical trials.

MicroRNAs or Long Noncoding RNAs in Diagnosis and Prognosis of Coronary Artery Disease

Coronary artery disease (CAD) is the result of atherosclerotic plaque development in the wall of the coronary arteries. The underlying mechanism involves atherosclerosis of the arteries of the heart which is a relatively complex process comprising several steps. In CAD, atherosclerosis induces functional and structural changes. The pathogenesis of CAD results from various changes in and interactions between multiple cell types in the artery walls; these changes mainly include endothelial cell (EC) dysfunction, vascular smooth muscle cell (SMC) alteration, lipid deposition and macrophage activation. Various blood markers associated with an increased risk for cardiovascular endpoints have been identified; however, few have yet been shown to have a diagnostic impact or important clinical implications that would affect patient management. Noncoding RNAs, especially microRNAs (miRNAs) and long noncoding RNAs (lncRNAs), can be stable in plasma and other body fluids and could therefore serve as biomarkers for some diseases. Many studies have shown that some miRNAs and lncRNAs play key roles in heart and vascular development and in cardiac pathophysiology. Thus, we summarize here the latest research progress, focusing on the molecular mechanism of miRNAs and lncRNAs in CAD, with the intent of seeking new targets for the treatment of heart disease.

Optimized Computer-Aided Segmentation and Three-Dimensional Reconstruction Using Intracoronary Optical Coherence Tomography

We present a novel and time-efficient method for intracoronary lumen detection, which produces three-dimensional (3-D) coronary arteries using optical coherence tomographic (OCT) images. OCT images are acquired for multiple patients and longitudinal cross-section (LOCS) images are reconstructed using different acquisition angles. The lumen contours for each LOCS image are extracted and translated to 2-D cross-sectional images. Using two angiographic projections, the centerline of the coronary vessel is reconstructed in 3-D, and the detected 2-D contours are transformed to 3-D and placed perpendicular to the centerline. To validate the proposed method, 613 manual annotations from medical experts were used as gold standard. The 2-D detected contours were compared with the annotated contours, and the 3-D reconstructed models produced using the detected contours were compared to the models produced by the annotated contours. Wall shear stress (WSS), as dominant hemodynamics factor, was calculated using computational fluid dynamics and 844 consecutive 2-mm segments of the 3-D models were extracted and compared with each other. High Pearson's correlation coefficients were obtained for the lumen area (r = 0.98) and local WSS (r = 0.97) measurements, while no significant bias with good limits of agreement was shown in the Bland-Altman analysis. The overlapping and nonoverlapping areas ratio between experts' annotations and presented method was 0.92 and 0.14, respectively. The proposed computer-aided lumen extraction and 3-D vessel reconstruction method is fast, accurate, and likely to assist in a number of research and clinical applications.

A Clinical Decision Support Platform for the Risk Stratification, Diagnosis, and Prediction of Coronary Artery Disease Evolution

SMARTool aims to perform accurate risk stratification of coronary artery disease patients as well as to provide early diagnosis and prediction of disease progression. This is achieved by the acquisition of data from about 263 patients including computed tomography angiographic images, clinical, molecular, biohumoral, exposome, inflammatory and omics data. Data are collected in two time points with a followup period of approximately 5 years. In the first step, data mining techniques are implemented for the estimation of risk stratification. In the next step, patients, who are classified as medium to high risk are considered for coronary imaging and computational modelling of blood flow, plaque growth and stenosis severity assessment. Additionally, patients with increased stenosis are selected for stent deployment. All the above modules are integrated in a cloud-based platform for the clinical decision support (CDSS) of patients with coronary artery disease. The work presents preliminary results employing the SMARTool dataset as well as the concept and architecture of the under development platform.

Position Paper Computational Cardiology

Computational cardiology is the scientific field devoted to the development of methodologies that enhance our mechanistic understanding, diagnosis and treatment of cardiovascular disease. In this regard, the field embraces the extraordinary pace of discovery in imaging, computational modeling, and cardiovascular informatics at the intersection of atherogenesis and vascular biology. This paper highlights existing methods, practices, and computational models and proposes new strategies to support a multidisciplinary effort in this space. We focus on the means by that to leverage and coalesce these multiple disciplines to advance translational science and computational cardiology. Analyzing the scientific trends and understanding the current needs we present our perspective for the future of cardiovascular treatment.

Polymeric endovascular strut and lumen detection algorithm for intracoronary optical coherence tomography images

Polymeric endovascular implants are the next step in minimally invasive vascular interventions. As an alternative to traditional metallic drug-eluting stents, these often-erodible scaffolds present opportunities and challenges for patients and clinicians. Theoretically, as they resorb and are absorbed over time, they obviate the long-term complications of permanent implants, but in the short-term visualization and therefore positioning is problematic. Polymeric scaffolds can only be fully imaged using optical coherence tomography (OCT) imaging-they are relatively invisible via angiography-and segmentation of polymeric struts in OCT images is performed manually, a laborious and intractable procedure for large datasets. Traditional lumen detection methods using implant struts as boundary limits fail in images with polymeric implants. Therefore, it is necessary to develop an automated method to detect polymeric struts and luminal borders in OCT images; we present such a fully automated algorithm. Accuracy was validated using expert annotations on 1140 OCT images with a positive predictive value of 0.93 for strut detection and an R2 correlation coefficient of 0.94 between detected and expert-annotated lumen areas. The proposed algorithm allows for rapid, accurate, and automated detection of polymeric struts and the luminal border in OCT images.

Fluid-structure interaction models based on patient-specific IVUS at baseline and follow-up for prediction of coronary plaque progression by morphological and biomechanical factors: A preliminary study

Plaque morphology and biomechanics are believed to be closely associated with plaque progression. In this paper, we test the hypothesis that integrating morphological and biomechanical risk factors would result in better predictive power for plaque progression prediction. A sample size of 374 intravascular ultrasound (IVUS) slices was obtained from 9 patients with IVUS follow-up data. 3D fluid-structure interaction models were constructed to obtain both structural stress/strain and fluid biomechanical conditions. Data for eight morphological and biomechanical risk factors were extracted for each slice. Plaque area increase (PAI) and wall thickness increase (WTI) were chosen as two measures for plaque progression. Progression measure and risk factors were fed to generalized linear mixed models and linear mixed-effect models to perform prediction and correlation analysis, respectively. All combinations of eight risk factors were exhausted to identify the optimal predictor(s) with highest prediction accuracy defined as sum of sensitivity and specificity. When using a single risk factor, plaque wall stress (PWS) at baseline was the best predictor for plaque progression (PAI and WTI). The optimal predictor among all possible combinations for PAI was PWS + PWSn + Lipid percent + Min cap thickness + Plaque Area (PA) + Plaque Burden (PB) (prediction accuracy = 1.5928) while Wall Thickness (WT) + Plaque Wall Strain (PWSn) + Plaque Area (PA) was the best for WTI (1.2589). This indicated that PAI was a more predictable measure than WTI. The combination including both morphological and biomechanical parameters had improved prediction accuracy, compared to predictions using only morphological features.

An agent-based model of leukocyte transendothelial migration during atherogenesis

A vast amount of work has been dedicated to the effects of hemodynamics and cytokines on leukocyte adhesion and trans-endothelial migration (TEM) and subsequent accumulation of leukocyte-derived foam cells in the artery wall. However, a comprehensive mechanobiological model to capture these spatiotemporal events and predict the growth and remodeling of an atherosclerotic artery is still lacking. Here, we present a multiscale model of leukocyte TEM and plaque evolution in the left anterior descending (LAD) coronary artery. The approach integrates cellular behaviors via agent-based modeling (ABM) and hemodynamic effects via computational fluid dynamics (CFD). In this computational framework, the ABM implements the diffusion kinetics of key biological proteins, namely Low Density Lipoprotein (LDL), Tissue Necrosis Factor alpha (TNF-α), Interlukin-10 (IL-10) and Interlukin-1 beta (IL-1β), to predict chemotactic driven leukocyte migration into and within the artery wall. The ABM also considers wall shear stress (WSS) dependent leukocyte TEM and compensatory arterial remodeling obeying Glagov's phenomenon. Interestingly, using fully developed steady blood flow does not result in a representative number of leukocyte TEM as compared to pulsatile flow, whereas passing WSS at peak systole of the pulsatile flow waveform does. Moreover, using the model, we have found leukocyte TEM increases monotonically with decreases in luminal volume. At critical plaque shapes the WSS changes rapidly resulting in sudden increases in leukocyte TEM suggesting lumen volumes that will give rise to rapid plaque growth rates if left untreated. Overall this multi-scale and multi-physics approach appropriately captures and integrates the spatiotemporal events occurring at the cellular level in order to predict leukocyte transmigration and plaque evolution.