Multi-Scale Modeling and Oxygen Impact on Tumor Temporal Evolution: Application on Rectal Cancer During Radiotherapy

Predicting the Tumour Response to Radiation by Modelling the Five Rs of Radiotherapy Using PET Images

Despite the intensive use of radiotherapy in clinical practice, its effectiveness depends on several factors. Several studies showed that the tumour response to radiation differs from one patient to another. The non-uniform response of the tumour is mainly caused by multiple interactions between the tumour microenvironment and healthy cells. To understand these interactions, five major biologic concepts called the "5 Rs" have emerged. These concepts include reoxygenation, DNA damage repair, cell cycle redistribution, cellular radiosensitivity and cellular repopulation. In this study, we used a multi-scale model, which included the five Rs of radiotherapy, to predict the effects of radiation on tumour growth. In this model, the oxygen level was varied in both time and space. When radiotherapy was given, the sensitivity of cells depending on their location in the cell cycle was taken in account. This model also considered the repair of cells by giving a different probability of survival after radiation for tumour and normal cells. Here, we developed four fractionation protocol schemes. We used simulated and positron emission tomography (PET) imaging with the hypoxia tracer 18F-flortanidazole (18F-HX4) images as input data of our model. In addition, tumour control probability curves were simulated. The result showed the evolution of tumours and normal cells. The increase in the cell number after radiation was seen in both normal and malignant cells, which proves that repopulation was included in this model. The proposed model predicts the tumour response to radiation and forms the basis for a more patient-specific clinical tool where related biological data will be included.

Towards a Reduced In Silico Model Predicting Biochemical Recurrence After Radiotherapy in Prostate Cancer

OBJECTIVE

Purposes of this work were i) to develop an in silico model of tumor response to radiotherapy, ii) to perform an exhaustive sensitivity analysis in order to iii) propose a simplified version and iv) to predict biochemical recurrence with both the comprehensive and the reduced model.

METHODS

A multiscale computational model of tumor response to radiotherapy was developed. It integrated the following radiobiological mechanisms: oxygenation, including hypoxic death; division of tumor cells; VEGF diffusion driving angiogenesis; division of healthy cells and oxygen-dependent response to irradiation, considering, cycle arrest and mitotic catastrophe. A thorough sensitivity analysis using the Morris screening method was performed on 21 prostate computational tissues. Tumor control probability (TCP) curves of the comprehensive model and 15 reduced versions were compared. Logistic regression was performed to predict biochemical recurrence after radiotherapy on 76 localized prostate cancer patients using an output of the comprehensive and the reduced models.

RESULTS

No significant difference was found between the TCP curves of the comprehensive and a simplified version which only considered oxygenation, division of tumor cells and their response to irradiation. Biochemical recurrence predictions using the comprehensive and the reduced models improved those made from pre-treatment imaging parameters (AUC = 0.81 ± 0.02 and 0.82 ± 0.02 vs. 0.75 ± 0.03, respectively).

CONCLUSION

A reduced model of tumor response to radiotherapy able to predict biochemical recurrence in prostate cancer was obtained.

SIGNIFICANCE

This reduced model may be used in the future to optimize personalized fractionation schedules.