Flexible Locally Weighted Penalized Regression With Applications on Prediction of Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative's Clinical Scores

HIGH-DIMENSIONAL FACTOR REGRESSION FOR HETEROGENEOUS SUBPOPULATIONS

In modern scientific research, data heterogeneity is commonly observed owing to the abundance of complex data. We propose a factor regression model for data with heterogeneous subpopulations. The proposed model can be represented as a decomposition of heterogeneous and homogeneous terms. The heterogeneous term is driven by latent factors in different subpopulations. The homogeneous term captures common variation in the covariates and shares common regression coefficients across subpopulations. Our proposed model attains a good balance between a global model and a group-specific model. The global model ignores the data heterogeneity, while the group-specific model fits each subgroup separately. We prove the estimation and prediction consistency for our proposed estimators, and show that it has better convergence rates than those of the group-specific and global models. We show that the extra cost of estimating latent factors is asymptotically negligible and the minimax rate is still attainable. We further demonstrate the robustness of our proposed method by studying its prediction error under a mis-specified group-specific model. Finally, we conduct simulation studies and analyze a data set from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative and an aggregated microarray data set to further demonstrate the competitiveness and interpretability of our proposed factor regression model.

MRI-based Alzheimer's disease prediction via distilling the knowledge in multi-modal data

Mild cognitive impairment (MCI) conversion prediction, i.e., identifying MCI patients of high risks converting to Alzheimer's disease (AD), is essential for preventing or slowing the progression of AD. Although previous studies have shown that the fusion of multi-modal data can effectively improve the prediction accuracy, their applications are largely restricted by the limited availability or high cost of multi-modal data. Building an effective prediction model using only magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) remains a challenging research topic. In this work, we propose a multi-modal multi-instance distillation scheme, which aims to distill the knowledge learned from multi-modal data to an MRI-based network for MCI conversion prediction. In contrast to existing distillation algorithms, the proposed multi-instance probabilities demonstrate a superior capability of representing the complicated atrophy distributions, and can guide the MRI-based network to better explore the input MRI. To our best knowledge, this is the first study that attempts to improve an MRI-based prediction model by leveraging extra supervision distilled from multi-modal information. Experiments demonstrate the advantage of our framework, suggesting its potentials in the data-limited clinical settings.

A parallel attention-augmented bilinear network for early magnetic resonance imaging-based diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease

Structural magnetic resonance imaging (sMRI) can capture the spatial patterns of brain atrophy in Alzheimer's disease (AD) and incipient dementia. Recently, many sMRI‐based deep learning methods have been developed for AD diagnosis. Some of these methods utilize neural networks to extract high‐level representations on the basis of handcrafted features, while others attempt to learn useful features from brain regions proposed by a separate module. However, these methods require considerable manual engineering. Their stepwise training procedures would introduce cascading errors. Here, we propose the parallel attention‐augmented bilinear network, a novel deep learning framework for AD diagnosis. Based on a 3D convolutional neural network, the framework directly learns both global and local features from sMRI scans without any prior knowledge. The framework is lightweight and suitable for end‐to‐end training. We evaluate the framework on two public datasets (ADNI‐1 and ADNI‐2) containing 1,340 subjects. On both the AD classification and mild cognitive impairment conversion prediction tasks, our framework achieves competitive results. Furthermore, we generate heat maps that highlight discriminative areas for visual interpretation. Experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed framework when medical priors are unavailable or the computing resources are limited. The proposed framework is general for 3D medical image analysis with both efficiency and interpretability.

A practical computerized decision support system for predicting the severity of Alzheimer's disease of an individual

Computerized clinical decision support systems can help to provide objective, standardized, and timely dementia diagnosis. However, current computerized systems are mainly based on group analysis, discrete classification of disease stages, or expensive and not readily accessible biomarkers, while current clinical practice relies relatively heavily on cognitive and functional assessments (CFA). In this study, we developed a computational framework using a suite of machine learning tools for identifying key markers in predicting the severity of Alzheimer's disease (AD) from a large set of biological and clinical measures. Six machine learning approaches, namely Kernel Ridge Regression (KRR), Support Vector Regression, and k-Nearest Neighbor for regression and Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest, and k-Nearest Neighbor for classification, were used for the development of predictive models. We demonstrated high predictive power of CFA. Predictive performance of models incorporating CFA was shown to consistently have higher accuracy than those based solely on biomarker modalities. We found that KRR and SVM were the best performing regression and classification methods respectively. The optimal SVM performance was observed for a set of four CFA test scores (FAQ, ADAS13, MoCA, MMSE) with multi-class classification accuracy of 83.0%, 95%CI = (72.1%, 93.8%) while the best performance of the KRR model was reported with combined CFA and MRI neuroimaging data, i.e., R ² = 0.874, 95%CI = (0.827, 0.922). Given the high predictive power of CFA and their widespread use in clinical practice, we then designed a data-driven and self-adaptive computerized clinical decision support system (CDSS) prototype for evaluating the severity of AD of an individual on a continuous spectrum. The system implemented an automated computational approach for data pre-processing, modelling, and validation and used exclusively the scores of selected cognitive measures as data entries. Taken together, we have developed an objective and practical CDSS to aid AD diagnosis.