Factors limiting the performance of prediction-based fold recognition methods

From local structure to a global framework: recognition of protein folds

Protein folding has been a major area of research for many years. Nonetheless, the mechanisms leading to the formation of an active biological fold are still not fully apprehended. The huge amount of available sequence and structural information provides hints to identify the putative fold for a given sequence. Indeed, protein structures prefer a limited number of local backbone conformations, some being characterized by preferences for certain amino acids. These preferences largely depend on the local structural environment. The prediction of local backbone conformations has become an important factor to correctly identifying the global protein fold. Here, we review the developments in the field of local structure prediction and especially their implication in protein fold recognition.

SSALN: an alignment algorithm using structure-dependent substitution matrices and gap penalties learned from structurally aligned protein pairs

In template-based modeling of protein structures, the generation of the alignment between the target and the template is a critical step that significantly affects the accuracy of the final model. This paper proposes an alignment algorithm SSALN that learns substitution matrices and position-specific gap penalties from a database of structurally aligned protein pairs. In addition to the amino acid sequence information, secondary structure and solvent accessibility information of a position are used to derive substitution scores and position-specific gap penalties. In a test set of CASP5 targets, SSALN outperforms sequence alignment methods such as a Smith-Waterman algorithm with BLOSUM50 and PSI_BLAST. SSALN also generates better alignments than PSI_BLAST in the CASP6 test set. LOOPP server prediction based on an SSALN alignment is ranked the best for target T0280_1 in CASP6. SSALN is also compared with several threading methods and sequence alignment methods on the ProSup benchmark. SSALN has the highest alignment accuracy among the methods compared. On the Fischer's benchmark, SSALN performs better than CLUSTALW and GenTHREADER, and generates more alignments with accuracy >50%, >60% or >70% than FUGUE, but fewer alignments with accuracy >80% than FUGUE. All the supplemental materials can be found at http://www.cs.cornell.edu/ approximately jianq/research.htm.

Strand-loop-strand motifs: Prediction of hairpins and diverging turns in proteins

Beta-sheet proteins have been particularly challenging for de novo structure prediction methods, which tend to pair adjacent beta-strands into beta-hairpins and produce overly local topologies. To remedy this problem and facilitate de novo prediction of beta-sheet protein structures, we have developed a neural network that classifies strand-loop-strand motifs by local hairpins and nonlocal diverging turns by using the amino acid sequence as input. The neural network is trained with a representative subset of the Protein Data Bank and achieves a prediction accuracy of 75.9 +/- 4.4% compared to a baseline prediction rate of 59.1%. Hairpins are predicted with an accuracy of 77.3 +/- 6.1%, diverging turns with an accuracy of 73.9 +/- 6.0%. Incorporation of the beta-hairpin/diverging turn classification into the ROSETTA de novo structure prediction method led to higher contact order models and somewhat improved tertiary structure predictions for a test set of 11 all-beta-proteins and 3 alphabeta-proteins. The beta-hairpin/diverging turn classification from amino acid sequences is available online for academic use (Meiler and Kuhn, 2003; www.jens-meiler.de/turnpred.html).

Hidden Markov models that use predicted local structure for fold recognition: alphabets of backbone geometry

An important problem in computational biology is predicting the structure of the large number of putative proteins discovered by genome sequencing projects. Fold-recognition methods attempt to solve the problem by relating the target proteins to known structures, searching for template proteins homologous to the target. Remote homologs that may have significant structural similarity are often not detectable by sequence similarities alone. To address this, we incorporated predicted local structure, a generalization of secondary structure, into two-track profile hidden Markov models (HMMs). We did not rely on a simple helix-strand-coil definition of secondary structure, but experimented with a variety of local structure descriptions, following a principled protocol to establish which descriptions are most useful for improving fold recognition and alignment quality. On a test set of 1298 nonhomologous proteins, HMMs incorporating a 3-letter STRIDE alphabet improved fold recognition accuracy by 15% over amino-acid-only HMMs and 23% over PSI-BLAST, measured by ROC-65 numbers. We compared two-track HMMs to amino-acid-only HMMs on a difficult alignment test set of 200 protein pairs (structurally similar with 3-24% sequence identity). HMMs with a 6-letter STRIDE secondary track improved alignment quality by 62%, relative to DALI structural alignments, while HMMs with an STR track (an expanded DSSP alphabet that subdivides strands into six states) improved by 40% relative to CE.

Toward predicting protein topology: an approach to identifying beta hairpins

Although secondary structure prediction methods have recently improved, progress from secondary to tertiary structure prediction has been limited. A promising but largely unexplored route to this goal is to predict structure motifs from secondary structure knowledge. Here we present a novel method for the recognition of beta hairpins that combines secondary structure predictions and threading methods by using a database search and a neural network approach. The method successfully predicts 48 and 77%, respectively, of all of hairpin and nonhairpin beta-coil-beta motifs in a protein database. We find that the main contributors to motif recognition are predicted accessibility and turn propensities.

Review: protein secondary structure prediction continues to rise

Methods predicting protein secondary structure improved substantially in the 1990s through the use of evolutionary information taken from the divergence of proteins in the same structural family. Recently, the evolutionary information resulting from improved searches and larger databases has again boosted prediction accuracy by more than four percentage points to its current height of around 76% of all residues predicted correctly in one of the three states, helix, strand, and other. The past year also brought successful new concepts to the field. These new methods may be particularly interesting in light of the improvements achieved through simple combining of existing methods. Divergent evolutionary profiles contain enough information not only to substantially improve prediction accuracy, but also to correctly predict long stretches of identical residues observed in alternative secondary structure states depending on nonlocal conditions. An example is a method automatically identifying structural switches and thus finding a remarkable connection between predicted secondary structure and aspects of function. Secondary structure predictions are increasingly becoming the work horse for numerous methods aimed at predicting protein structure and function. Is the recent increase in accuracy significant enough to make predictions even more useful? Because the recent improvement yields a better prediction of segments, and in particular of beta strands, I believe the answer is affirmative. What is the limit of prediction accuracy? We shall see.