Variation in adult stress resistance does not explain vulnerability to climate change in copper butterflies

Genetic variation in the heat-stress survival of embryos is largely decoupled from adult thermotolerance in an intercontinental set of recombinant lines of Drosophila melanogaster

In insects, thermal adaptation works on the genetic variation for thermotolerance of not only larvae and adults but also of the immobile stages of the life cycle including eggs. In contrast to adults and larvae, the genetic basis for thermal adaptation in embryos (eggs) remains to be tested in the model insect Drosophila melanogaster. Quantitative-trait loci (QTL) for heat-stress resistance in embryos could largely differ from previously identified QTL for larvae and adults. Here we used an intercontinental set of recombinant inbred lines (RIL), which were previously used to identify thermotolerance-QTLs in adults and larvae because of their high variation segregating for adult thermotolerance. Eggs appeared to be more heat resistant than larvae and adults from previous studies on these RIL, though different heat-shock assays were used in previous studies. We found that variation in thermotolerance in embryos can be, at least partially, genetically decoupled from thermotolerance in the adult insect. Some RIL that are heat resistant in the adult and larvae can be heat susceptible in embryos. Only one small-effect QTL out of five autosomal QTL co-localized between embryo and other ontogenetic stages. These results suggest that selection for thermal adaptation in adult flies and larvae is predicted to have only a small impact on embryo thermotolerance. In addition, heat-stress tolerance of insects can be measured across ontogenetic stages including embryos in order to better predict thermal adaptive limits of populations and species.

Low winter precipitation, but not warm autumns and springs, threatens mountain butterflies in middle-high mountains

Low-elevation mountains represent unique model systems to study species endangered by climate warming, such as subalpine and alpine species of butterflies. We aimed to test the effect of climate variables experienced by Erebia butterflies during their development on adult abundances and phenology, targeting the key climate factors determining the population dynamics of mountain insects. We analysed data from a long-term monitoring of adults of two subalpine and alpine butterfly species, Erebia epiphron and E. sudetica (Nymphalidae: Satyrinae) in the Jeseník Mts and Krkonoše Mts (Czech Republic). Our data revealed consistent patterns in their responses to climatic conditions. Lower precipitation (i.e., less snow cover) experienced by overwintering larvae decreases subsequent adult abundances. Conversely, warmer autumns and warmer and drier springs during the active larval phase increase adult abundances and lead to earlier onset and extended duration of the flight season. The population trends of these mountain butterflies are stable or even increasing. On the background of generally increasing temperatures within the mountain ranges, population stability indicates dynamic equilibrium of positive and detrimental consequences of climate warming among different life history stages. These contradictory effects warn against simplistic predictions of climate change consequences on mountain species based only on predicted increases in average temperature. Microclimate variability may facilitate the survival of mountain insect populations, however the availability of suitable habitats will strongly depend on the management of mountain grasslands.

Effects of temperature and drought on early life stages in three species of butterflies: Mortality of early life stages as a key determinant of vulnerability to climate change?

Anthropogenic climate change poses substantial challenges to biodiversity conservation. Well‐documented responses include phenological and range shifts, and declines in cold but increases in warm‐adapted species. Thus, some species will suffer while others will benefit from ongoing change, although the biological features determining the prospects of a given species under climate change are largely unknown. By comparing three related butterfly species of different vulnerability to climate change, we show that stress tolerance during early development may be of key importance. The arguably most vulnerable species showed the strongest decline in egg hatching success under heat and desiccation stress, and similar pattern also for hatchling mortality. Research, especially on insects, is often focussed on the adult stage only. Thus, collating more data on stress tolerance in different life stages will be of crucial importance for enhancing our abilities to predict the fate of particular species and populations under ongoing climate change.