Usefulness of CHA2DS2‐VASc score to predict mortality and hospitalization in patients with inflammatory arthritis

Left ventricular hypertrophy predicts poorer cardiovascular outcome in normotensive normoglycemic patients with rheumatoid arthritis

INTRODUCTION

Patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) develop early changes in left ventricular (LV) geometry and experience cardiovascular events in excess than in the general population. This study was designed to assess prevalence, predictors and prognostic role of LV hypertrophy (LVH) in a selected group of RA patients with normal blood pressure and glycemia who should be at low risk for LVH.

METHODS

We prospectively analyzed 241 normotensive normoglycemic RA patients (mean age 53 ± 12 years, 61% women) involved in a primary prevention program for cardiovascular diseases who were followed-up for 40 (24-56) months. LVH was detected by echocardiography and defined as LV mass ≥49.2 g/m^2.7 for men and ≥46.7 g/m^2.7 for women. Primary outcome was a composite of cardiovascular death/hospitalization.

RESULTS

LVH was detected in 39 patients (16%). Older age (>53 years), greater body mass index (BMI > 25 kg/m² ), longer duration of RA disease, anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibody (ACPA) positivity and concentric LV geometry were the variables associated with LVH. During the follow-up, a cardiovascular event occurred in 12 of 39 (31%) patients with LVH and in 22 of 202 (11%; P < .001) patients without LVH. LVH independently predicted cardiovascular events (hazards ratio 3.28 [95% CI 1.03-9.20], P = .03) at Cox regression analysis together with C-reactive protein and ACPA positivity.

CONCLUSIONS

Nearly one-sixth of normotensive normoglycemic RA patients analyzed in a primary prevention program for cardiovascular diseases has LVH which is associated with obesity and older age, and strongly predicts cardiovascular event in these subjects.

Predicting the Risk of Ischemic Stroke among Patients with Rheumatoid Arthritis Using a Simplified RA-CHADSV Score Based on the CHA2DS2-VASc Score

Background and Objectives: The aim of this retrospective cohort study was to develop a new score (RA-CHADSV) (rheumatoid arthritis - congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years, diabetes mellitus, stroke/transient ischemic attack/thromboembolism, and vascular disease), modified from the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years (doubled), diabetes mellitus, stroke/transient ischemic attack (doubled), vascular disease, age 65–74 years, and female), in predicting the risk of ischemic stroke in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients without atrial fibrillation (AF). Materials and Methods: Using the Taiwan’s National Health Insurance Research Database, 592 patients with RA diagnosed between 2000 and 2002 were identified and followed until first occurrence of ischemic stroke or the last available date in the database. Incidence rate ratios (IRR) of ischemic stroke for the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score were calculated using Poisson regression models. A new prediction score RA-CHADSV was developed using multiple logistic regression analysis with bootstrap validation. Results: The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the newly developed RA-CHADSV score and the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score were 0.73 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.64–0.82) and 0.70 (95% CI 0.61–0.79), respectively. The RA-CHADSV score was significantly associated with a higher ischemic stroke incidence in the patients who scored ≥1 (adjusted IRR 7.39, p < 0.001). Conclusions: A simplified RA-CHADSV score, with comparable efficiency as the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score, but easier to use clinically was developed for predicting the risk of ischemic stroke among non-AF RA patients.