Does the response to induction chemotherapy impact the timing of thoracic radiotherapy for limited-stage small-cell lung cancer?

Effectiveness of CT radiomic features combined with clinical factors in predicting prognosis in patients with limited-stage small cell lung cancer

BACKGROUND

The prognosis of SCLC is poor and difficult to predict. The aim of this study was to explore whether a model based on radiomics and clinical features could predict the prognosis of patients with limited-stage small cell lung cancer (LS-SCLC).

METHODS

Simulated positioning CT images and clinical features were retrospectively collected from 200 patients with histological diagnosis of LS-SCLC admitted between 2013 and 2021, which were randomly divided into the training (n = 140) and testing (n = 60) groups. Radiomics features were extracted from simulated positioning CT images, and the t-test and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) were used to screen radiomics features. We then constructed radiomic score (RadScore) based on the filtered radiomics features. Clinical factors were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method. The Cox proportional hazards model was used for further analyses of possible prognostic features and clinical factors to build three models including a radiomic model, a clinical model, and a combined model including clinical factors and RadScore. When a model has prognostic predictive value (AUC > 0.7) in both train and test groups, a nomogram will be created. The performance of three models was evaluated using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and Kaplan-Meier analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 1037 features were extracted from simulated positioning CT images which were contrast enhanced CT of the chest. The combined model showed the best prediction, with very poor AUC for the radiomic model and the clinical model. The combined model of OS included 4 clinical features and RadScore, with AUCs of 0.71 and 0.70 in the training and test groups. The combined model of PFS included 4 clinical features and RadScore, with AUCs of 0.72 and 0.71 in the training and test groups. T stages, ProGRP and smoke status were the independent variables for OS in the combined model, whereas T stages, ProGRP and prophylactic cranial irradiation (PCI) were the independent factors for PFS. There was a statistically significant difference between the low- and high-risk groups in the combined model of OS (training group, p < 0.0001; testing group, p = 0.0269) and PFS (training group, p < 0.0001; testing group, p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

Combined models involved RadScore and clinical factors can predict prognosis in LS-SCLC and show better performance than individual radiomics and clinical models.

Factors associated with overall survival, progression-free survival and toxicity in patients with small cell lung cancer and thoracic irradiation in a clinical real-world setting

BACKGROUND

Small-cell lung cancer (SCLC) is a malignant tumor known for its poor prognosis. In addition to chemotherapy and immunotherapy irradiation plays a big role especially in inoperability. This study evaluated prognostic factors in patients with SCLC, receiving chemotherapy and thoracic irradiation, that may affect overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS) and toxicity.

METHODS

Patients with limited disease (LD) SCLC (n = 57) and extensive disease (ED) SCLC (n = 69) who received thoracic radiotherapy were analyzed retrospectively. The prognostic factors sex, age, Karnofsky performance status (KPS), tumor-, nodal-stage and timepoint of start of irradiation in relation to the first cycle of chemotherapy were evaluated. Start of irradiation was stratified as early ([Formula: see text] 2 cycles of chemotherapy), late (3 or 4 cycles) and very late ([Formula: see text] 5 cycles). Results were analyzed by Cox univariate and multivariate as well as logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

The median OS of LD-SCLC patients was 23.7 months in early, and 22.0 months in late start of irradiation. In very late start, median OS was not reached. PFS was 11.8, 15.2 and 47.9 months, respectively. In patients with ED-SCLC OS was 4.3 months in early, 13.0 months in late and 12.2 months in very late start of irradiation. PFS was 6.7, 13.0 and 12.2 months, respectively. Prognosis of patients with LD- or ED-SCLC receiving late or very late start of irradiation was significantly prolonged in OS and PFS compared to an early start (p < 0.05). KPS [Formula: see text] 80 shows a significant increase of OS and PFS in ED-SCLC. Female sex and smaller mean lung dose were associated with lower risk of toxicity.

CONCLUSION

Late or very late start of irradiation is a prognosis-enhancing factor in LD-SCLC and ED-SCLC for OS and PFS. KPS [Formula: see text] 80 increases prognosis of OS and PFS in ED-SCLC as well. Toxicity is less common in female sex and patients with low mean lung dose in LD-SCLC.

Progression-Free Survival and Time to Progression as Potential Surrogate Endpoints for Overall Survival in Chemoradiotherapy Trials in Limited-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Purpose

To investigate whether progression-free survival (PFS) or time to progression (TTP) could be a valid surrogate endpoint for overall survival (OS) in patients with limited-stage small-cell lung cancer (LS-SCLC) receiving combined chemoradiotherapy.

Methods

Literature searching was performed in PubMed, Embase, and The Cochrane Library up to 2021. Prediction models were firstly established using data from phase III randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and then externally validated in phase II and retrospective studies. Correlation analysis was evaluated by a weighted linear regression model at both trial and arm levels. Cross-validation was performed to assess the consistency and robustness of the established models.

Results

37 studies, including 15 phase III RCTs, 12 phase II studies, and 10 retrospective studies, were selected in the final analysis. In trial-level surrogacy, a very good correlation was observed between hazard ratios (HRs) of PFS/TTP and OS (R2 = 0.783, 95% CI 0.771–0.794). In arm-level surrogacy, very good correlations were also observed between 2-year (R2 = 0.823, 95% CI 0.814–0.832), 3-year (R2 = 0.843, 95% CI 0.833–0.850), 5-year (R2 = 0.852, 95% CI 0.843–0.859) PFS/TTP, and 5-year OS. An excellent correlation was observed between 4-year PFS/TTP and 5-year OS (R2 = 0.906, 95% CI 0.901–0.910). Cross-validation demonstrated reasonable overall consistency. External validation in phase II and retrospective studies showed good agreement (R2, 0.728–0.824).

Conclusions

PFS/TTP was a valid surrogate endpoint for OS in patients with LS-SCLC receiving combined chemoradiotherapy. The finding provides high-level evidence to support PFS/TTP as the primary endpoint in clinical trials so as to speed up introducing novel agents to the treatment of LS-SCLC.

Timing of thoracic radiotherapy in the treatment of extensive-stage small-cell lung cancer: important or not?

Background

This study evaluated the prognosis of patients with extensive-stage small-cell lung cancer (ES-SCLC) that may be associated with timing of thoracic radiotherapy (TRT).

Methods

ES-SCLC patients (n = 232) without progression were retrospectively analyzed after first-line induction chemotherapy. Patients in the TRT group were stratified as early-TRT (ERT; ≤3 cycles of induction chemotherapy received prior to TRT, n = 65) or late-TRT (LRT; >3 cycles, n = 122). To avoid selection bias, we conducted Propensity Score Matching (PSM) for patients. Overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and locoregional recurrence-free survival (LRRFS) were assessed and compared.

Results

Overall, the median survival time, PFS, and LRRFS were 13.2, 8.7, and 14.6 months, respectively. After matching by PSM, there were 45 patients total in the TRT/non-TRT groups, and 56 patients total in the ERT/LRT groups. OS, PFS, and LRRFS were significantly longer in the TRT group than the non-TRT group (P < 0.001, all). However, between the ERT and LRT groups these survival parameters were similar (P > 0.05, all).

Conclusion

For ES-SCLC patients without progression, the addition of TRT after first-line chemotherapy benefited survival greatly. Early TRT showed no significant benefit over late TRT.

[Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy with Original Chemotherapy Regimens may not be Suitable for Patients Who Failed to Respond to Induction Chemotherapy in Limited-stage Small Cell Lung Cancer]

BACKGROUND

The group of small cell lung cancer (SCLC) are usually highly sensitive to chemotherapy, and less than 15% of them are resistant to drugs. We respectively evaluate the correlation of the sequence and timing of radiotherapy with progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) in patients with limited-stage SCLC (LS-SCLC), and to figure out whether concurrent chemoradiotherapy is superior to sequent chemoradiotherapy.

METHODS

Sixty-seven patients diagnosed with LS-SCLC from January 2009 to June 2014 failed to respond to induction chemotherapy. According to the sequence of therapy, they were divided into concurrent chemoradiotherapy group (n=32) and sequent chemoradiotherapy group (n=35). Ninety-four percent of the patients were diagnosed with stage III, and six percent were stage Ib-IIb. Twenty-five patients were treated with prophylactic cranial irradiation (PCI). The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate survival time and Log-rank test was used for between-group comparisons. Between-group comparison of categorical data was made by χ2 test.

RESULTS

In all patients, the 2-year OS, PFS and LC rates were 53.7%, 20.9% and 58.2%. The 2-year OS and PFS rates of concurrent chemoradiotherapy group and sequent chemoradiotherapy were 37.5% vs 54.3% (P=0.048) and 12.5% vs 28.6% (P=0.149). Hematologic toxicities were more common in concurrent group than sequent one (P=0.031), and no statistical difference was observed between the two groups in terms of grade 3 radiation esophagitis, pneumonitis and gastrointestinal reactions (9.4% vs 0, P=0.176; 12.5% vs 2.9%, P=0.318; 12.5% vs 2.9%, P=0.109). Patients treated with PCI have superior OS and PFS comparing with those not (56.0% vs 38.1%, P=0.029; 24% vs 19%, P=0.012).

CONCLUSIONS

Concurrent chemoradiotherapy with original chemotherapy regimens may not be suitable for patients who failed to respond to induction chemotherapy in LS-SCLC, and second-line regimens or radiotherapy alone can be used for them, but prospective trils with large sample are still needed to confirm that.
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