First-trimester ultrasound features associated with subsequent miscarriage: A prospective study

Combining early pregnancy bleeding with ultrasound measurements to assess spontaneous abortion risk among infertile patients

BACKGROUND

Approximately 15% of all clinically recognized pregnancies in patients with infertility result in spontaneous abortion. However, despite its potential to have a profound and lasting effect on physical and emotional well-being, the natural history of spontaneous abortion in women with infertility has not been described. Although vaginal bleeding is a common symptom in pregnancies conceived via reproductive technologies, its prognostic value is not well understood.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate the combination of early pregnancy bleeding and first-trimester ultrasound measurements to determine spontaneous abortion risk.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a retrospective cohort study of patients with infertility who underwent autologous embryo transfer resulting in singleton intrauterine pregnancy confirmed by ultrasound from January 1, 2017, to December 31, 2019. Early pregnancy symptoms of bleeding occurring before gestational week 8 and measurements of crown-rump length and fetal heart rate from ultrasounds performed during gestational week 6 (6 0/7 to 6 6/7 weeks of gestation) and gestational week 7 (7 0/7 to 7 6/7 weeks of gestation) were recorded. Modified Poisson regression with robust error variance was adjusted a priori for patient age, embryo transfer day, and transfer of a preimplantation genetic-tested embryo to estimate the relative risk and 95% confidence interval of spontaneous abortion for dichotomous variables. The relative risks and positive predictive values for early pregnancy bleeding combined with ultrasound measurements on the occurrence of spontaneous abortion were calculated for patients who had an ultrasound performed during gestational week 6 and separately for patients who had an ultrasound performed during gestational week 7. The primary outcome was spontaneous abortion in the setting of vaginal bleeding with normal ultrasound parameters. The secondary outcomes were spontaneous abortion with vaginal bleeding and (1) abnormal crown-rump length, (2) abnormal fetal heart rate, and (3) both abnormal crown-rump length and abnormal fetal heart rate.

RESULTS

Of the 1858 patients who were included (359 cases resulted in abortions and 1499 resulted in live births), 315 patients (17.0%) reported vaginal bleeding. When combined with ultrasound measurements from gestational week 6, bleeding was significantly associated with increased spontaneous abortion only when accompanied by absent fetal heart rate (relative risk, 5.36; 95% confidence interval, 3.36-8.55) or both absent fetal heart rate and absent fetal pole (relative risk, 9.67; 95% confidence interval, 7.45-12.56). Similarly, when combined with ultrasound measurements from gestational week 7, bleeding was significantly associated with increased spontaneous abortion only when accompanied by an abnormal assessment of fetal heart rate or crown-rump length (relative risk, 5.09; 95% confidence interval, 1.83-14.19) or both fetal heart rate and crown-rump length (relative risk, 14.82; 95% confidence interval, 10.54-20.83). With normal ultrasound measurements, bleeding was not associated with increased spontaneous abortion risk (relative risk: 1.05 [95% confidence interval, 0.61-1.78] in gestational week 6 and 0.80 [95% confidence interval, 0.36-1.74] in gestational week 7), and the live birth rate was comparable with that in patients with normal ultrasound measurements and no bleeding.

CONCLUSION

Patients with a history of infertility who present after embryo transfer with symptoms of vaginal bleeding should be evaluated with a pregnancy ultrasound to accurately assess spontaneous abortion risk. In the setting of normal ultrasound measurements, patients can be reassured that their risk of spontaneous abortion is not increased and that their live birth rate is not decreased.

Biomarkers at 6 weeks' gestation in the prediction of early miscarriage in pregnancy following assisted reproductive technology

INTRODUCTION

Miscarriage is a major concern in early pregnancy among women having conceived with assisted reproductive treatments. This study aimed to examine potential miscarriage-related biophysical and biochemical markers at 6 weeks' gestation among women with confirmed clinical pregnancy following in vitro fertilization (IVF)/embryo transfer (ET) and evaluate the performance of a model combining maternal factors, biophysical and biochemical markers at 6 weeks' gestation in the prediction of first trimester miscarriage among singleton pregnancies following IVF/ET.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A prospective cohort study was conducted in a teaching hospital between December 2017 and January 2020 including women who conceived through IVF/ET. Maternal mean arterial pressure, ultrasound markers including mean gestational sac diameter, fetal heart activity, crown rump length and mean uterine artery pulsatility index (mUTPI) and biochemical biomarkers including maternal serum soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1), placental growth factor (PlGF), kisspeptin and glycodelin-A were measured at 6 weeks' gestation. Logistic regression analysis was carried out to determine significant predictors of miscarriage prior to 13 weeks' gestation and performance of screening was estimated by receiver-operating characteristics curve analysis.

RESULTS

Among 169 included pregnancies, 145 (85.8%) pregnancies progressed to beyond 13 weeks' gestation and had live births whereas 24 (14.2%) pregnancies resulted in a miscarriage during the first trimester. In the miscarriage group, compared to the live birth group, maternal age, body mass index, and mean arterial pressure were significantly increased; mean gestational sac diameter, crown rump length, mUTPI, serum sFlt-1, glycodelin-A, and the rate of positive fetal heart activity were significantly decreased, while no significant differences were detected in PlGF and kisspeptin. Significant prediction for miscarriage before 13 weeks' gestation was provided by maternal age, fetal heart activity, mUTPI, and serum glycodelin-A. The combination of maternal age, ultrasound (fetal heart activity and mUTPI), and biochemical (glycodelin-A) markers achieved the highest area under the curve (AUC: 0.918, 95% CI 0.866-0.955), with estimated detection rates of 54.2% and 70.8% for miscarriage before 13 weeks' gestation, at fixed false positive rates of 5% and 10%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

A combination of maternal age, fetal heart activity, mUTPI, and serum glycodelin-A at 6 weeks' gestation could effectively identify IVF/ET pregnancies at risk of first trimester miscarriage.

Use and misuse of ultrasound in obstetrics with reference to developing countries

Maternal and neonatal health is one of the main global health challenges. Every day, approximately 800 women and 7,000 newborns die due to complications during pregnancy, delivery, and neonatal period. The leading causes of maternal death in sub-Saharan Africa are obstetric hemorrhage (28.8%), hypertensive disorders in pregnancy (22.1%), non-obstetric complications (18.8%), and pregnancy-related infections (11.5%). Diagnostic ultrasound examinations can be used in a variety of specific circumstances during pregnancy. Because adverse outcomes may also arise in low-risk pregnancies, it is assumed that routine ultrasound in all pregnancies will enable earlier detection and improved management of pregnancy complications. The World Health Organization (WHO) estimated in 1997 that 50% of developing countries had no access to ultrasound imaging, and available equipment was outdated or broken. Unfortunately, besides all the exceptional benefits of ultrasound in obstetrics, its inappropriate use and abuse are reported. Using ultrasound to view, take a picture, or determine the sex of a fetus without a medical indication can be considered ethically unjustifiable. Ultrasound assessment when indicated should be every woman's right in the new era. However, it is still only a privilege in some parts of the world. Investment in both equipment and human resources has been clearly shown to be cost-effective and should be an obligatory step in the improvement of health care. Well-developed health systems should guide developing countries, creating principles for the organization of the health system with an accent on the correct, legal, and ethical use of diagnostic ultrasound in pregnancy to avoid its misuse. The aim of the article is to present the importance of correct and appropriate use of ultrasound in obstetrics and gynecology with reference to developing countries.

Automated prediction of early spontaneous miscarriage based on the analyzing ultrasonographic gestational sac imaging by the convolutional neural network: a case-control and cohort study

Background

It is challenging to predict the outcome of the pregnancy when fetal heart activity is detected in early pregnancy. However, an accurate prediction is of importance for obstetricians as it helps to provide appropriate consultancy and determine the frequency of ultrasound examinations. The purpose of this study was to investigate the role of the convolutional neural network (CNN) in the prediction of spontaneous miscarriage risk through the analysis of early ultrasound gestational sac images.

Methods

A total of 2196 ultrasound images from 1098 women with early singleton pregnancies of gestational age between 6 and 8 weeks were used for training a CNN for the prediction of the miscarriage in the retrospective study. The patients who had positive fetal cardiac activity on their first ultrasound but then experienced a miscarriage were enrolled. The control group was randomly selected in the same database from the fetuses confirmed to be normal during follow-up. Diagnostic performance of the algorithm was validated and tested in two separate test sets of 136 patients with 272 images, respectively. Performance in prediction of the miscarriage was compared between the CNN and the manual measurement of ultrasound characteristics in the prospective study.

Results

The accuracy of the predictive model was 80.32% and 78.1% in the retrospective and prospective study, respectively. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for classification was 0.857 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.793–0.922) in the retrospective study and 0.885 (95%CI, 0.846–0.925) in the prospective study, respectively. Correspondingly, the predictive power of the CNN was higher compared with manual ultrasound characteristics, for which the AUCs of the crown-rump length combined with fetal heart rate was 0.687 (95%CI, 0.587–0.775).

Conclusions

The CNN model showed high accuracy for predicting miscarriage through the analysis of early pregnancy ultrasound images and achieved better performance than that of manual measurement.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12884-022-04936-0.

Low-dose aspirin improves blood perfusion of endometrium of unexplained recurrent biochemical pregnancy loss

OBJECTIVE

To assess the differences in Doppler parameters of endometrial receptivity in unexplained recurrent biochemical pregnancy loss (URBPL) and the therapeutic effect of low-dose aspirin (LDA).

METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted at Ren Ji Hospital, Shanghai, PR China, from January 2017 to January 2019. Doppler parameters of endometrium and uterus were recorded as the evaluation of the endometrial receptivity. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was managed to predict the risk of URBPL. Ultrasonography tests were repeated after 2 months of treatment with LDA.

RESULTS

Biochemical pregnancies did not correlate with maternal age. The resistance of endometrial perfusion (pulsatility index, resistive index, and systolic-to-diastolic ratio) was significantly higher in URBPLs (P < 0.001) and had predictive values (0.739, 0.779, and 0.760, respectively). Endometrial thickness and impedance to uterine blood flow showed no statistically significant difference (P > 0.05). After treatment with LDA, patients with URBPL improved the blood perfusion of endometrium significantly (P < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

There was no relation between BPL and maternal age. Patients with URBPL had inappropriate endometrial blood velocity. Doppler indices are capable of predicting the risk of URBPL. LDA exerts the therapeutic effect on improving blood perfusion of endometrium in URBPL.

First-trimester miscarriage rate decreases with hydralazine therapy in pregnancies with early uterine vascular insufficiency: a cohort study

BACKGROUND

Miscarriage is the most frequent cause of pregnancy loss, affecting 15-20% of clinically recognized pregnancies. Early uterine vascular insufficiency (EUVI), defined as abnormal uterine artery (UA) Doppler impedance indices in early pregnancy, is present in two-thirds of pregnancies ending in miscarriage after embryonic cardiac activity has been detected. There is currently no available therapy for reducing the risk of miscarriage in these cases.

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether vasodilator therapy with hydralazine can reduce abnormally high UA impedance indices and miscarriage rates in pregnancies with EUVI when administered from before 9 weeks' gestation until completing 13 weeks' gestation.

METHODS

A total of 253 consecutive singleton pregnancies with a live embryo and scanned before 9 weeks' gestation were included in the study. Ninety-two pregnancies (36.3%) were classified as having EUVI. Hydralazine was administered in daily doses of 50 mg, starting 24-36 h after the initial diagnosis of EUVI and continuing throughout the first trimester. The miscarriage rate in the hydralazine-treated EUVI group was compared with the one observed in our previously reported untreated cohort and the pregnancies with EUVI that declined treatment with hydralazine.

RESULTS

The miscarriage rate among the hydralazine-treated EUVI group was significantly lower than the previously reported untreated cohort (7.8% versus 26.2%, p = .003; odds ratio (OR) = 4.3, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.6-11.9). In 15 untreated pregnancies with EUVI, the miscarriage rate was similar to that of the previously reported untreated cohort (26.7% versus 26.2%; p = .603) and higher than the hydralazine-treated group (26.7% versus 7.8%, p = .05; OR = 4.4, 95% CI = 1.1-18.2).

CONCLUSIONS

Hydralazine therapy in pregnancies with EUVI was associated with a significant decrease in the rate of miscarriage. We suggest a sequence of events leading to a higher risk of miscarriage in pregnancies with EUVI and propose a potential mechanism through which hydralazine may reduce this risk.

Comparison of uterine artery Doppler measurements at 6 weeks of pregnancy after IVF between pregnancies that resulted in miscarriage and ongoing pregnancies

OBJECTIVE

To compare uterine artery pulsatility index (UTPI) at 6 weeks of pregnancy following in vitro fertilization (IVF) and embryo transfer (ET) between clinical pregnancies that resulted in a miscarriage and those that were ongoing beyond 12 weeks.

METHODS

A prospective observational study was conducted in an IVF unit at Prince of Wales Hospital, Hong Kong, between December 1, 2017 and December 31, 2019. UTPI was measured at 6 weeks of pregnancy among women who conceived following IVF/ET.

RESULTS

Among 153 participants, 22 (14.4%) had a miscarriage whereas 131 (85.6%) had an ongoing pregnancy beyond 12 weeks. Median UTPI in pregnancies that ended in a miscarriage was significantly lower than those that progressed beyond 12 weeks (2.1, IQR 1.9-2.4 vs 2.50, IQR 2.2-2.9, respectively; P<0.001). The likelihood of the pregnancy ending in a miscarriage when the UTPI was above the 75th percentile (>2.9), between the 25th-75th percentiles (2.2-2.9), and below the 25th percentile (<2.2) was 0%, 13.2%, and 27.7%, respectively (P=0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

IVF pregnancies that resulted in a miscarriage were associated with reduced resistance to uterine artery blood flow at 6 weeks of pregnancy.

New predictors of early impaired placentation preceding miscarriage before 10 weeks of gestation in IVF pregnancies: A prospective study

INTRODUCTION

In a recent study of 10,011 pregnant women, 95% of miscarriages occurred before routine ultrasound scan at 11-14 weeks. Our study aimed to identify early first trimester parameters which may predict miscarriage before 10 weeks of gestation for in vitro fertilization (IVF) pregnancies.

METHODS

A cohort of 115 healthy IVF patients with a singleton viable embryo in early first trimester were studied in a tertiary university-affiliated medical center (April 2017-June 2018). Calculations included gestational age (GA); ultrasound evaluation of crown-rump length (CRL), mean gestational sac diameter (GSD) and volume (GSV), mean yolk sac diameter (YSD) and volume (YSV); fetal heart rate (FHR), mean uterine arteries pulsatility index (UtA-PI); and maternal blood placental protein 13 (PP13) levels. Patients were divided into three groups by GA; and early miscarriage versus ongoing pregnancy after GA 10 weeks.

RESULTS

Early fetal loss occurred in 14.8% of patients; miscarriage group had higher discrepancy between calculated and measured GA (P < 0.001), lower GSD and GSV (P = 0.005 and P = 0.02, respectively), significantly different YSD and YSV, and lower GSD/YSD and GSV/YSV ratios (P = 0.001 and P = 0.003, respectively). UtA-PI/CRL ratio was higher in patients with miscarriage at GA 46-48 days and GA >48 days (P = 0.034 and P = 0.026, respectively). PP13/CRL ratio was higher in patients with miscarriage at GA >48 days (P = 0.041).

DISCUSSION

In IVF pregnancies with live embryo at first ultrasound scan, high UtA-PI/CRL and maternal blood PP13/CRL ratios may indicate impaired placentation preceded early pregnancy loss. A larger cohort is needed to further verify these predictions.

Ultrasound features prior to 11 weeks' gestation and first-trimester maternal factors in prediction of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy

OBJECTIVES

Maternal hypertensive disorders (MHD), including pregnancy-induced hypertension and pre-eclampsia, are estimated to occur in 7-10% of pregnancies worldwide and have significant short- and long-term implications for both mother and fetus. This study aimed to determine the association of conventional and novel early first-trimester ultrasound measures with MHD and whether these ultrasound measures, combined with maternal characteristics and biochemistry, improve the prediction of MHD.

METHODS

This was a prospective cohort study of consecutive women with a singleton pregnancy, attending for an early (5 + 1 to 11 + 0 weeks' gestation) ultrasound examination at a private obstetric ultrasound practice between February 2016 and August 2018. Recorded ultrasound measurements included mean sac diameter, yolk sac diameter, crown-rump length, fetal heart rate (FHR), trophoblast thickness, trophoblast volume (TV) and mean uterine artery pulsatility index. Maternal biochemistry was assessed at 10-14 weeks and included beta-human chorionic gonadotropin, pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A), placental growth factor (PlGF) and maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein. Regression models were fitted for each ultrasound parameter and multiples of the median (MoM) were calculated. All measures were compared between women who had a normotensive outcome and those who subsequently developed MHD. Logistic regression analysis was used to create a prediction model for MHD based on maternal characteristics, ultrasound measurements at 5 + 1 to 11 + 0 weeks' gestation and maternal biochemistry at 10-14 weeks.

RESULTS

In total, 1141 women were included in the analysis, of whom 1086 (95.2%) were normotensive at delivery and 55 (4.8%) developed MHD. Women who developed MHD weighed significantly more than did normotensive women (P < 0.0001). Mean MoM values for TV (P = 0.006), PAPP-A (P = 0.031) and PlGF (P = 0.044) were decreased significantly in pregnancies that subsequently developed MHD. The proposed logistic regression model includes maternal weight and height and MoM values for TV, FHR and PlGF, resulting in an area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curve of 0.80 (95% CI, 0.75-0.86).

CONCLUSION

The combination of maternal weight and height, TV and FHR, measured prior to 11 weeks' gestation, and first-trimester PlGF appears to have good predictive value for development of MHD later in pregnancy. Copyright © 2020 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.