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Eleftheriadis G, Naik MG, Osmanodja B, Liefeldt L, Choi M, Halleck F, Schrezenmeier E, Eckardt KU, Pigorsch M, Tura A, Kurnikowski A, Hecking M, Budde K. Continuous glucose monitoring for the prediction of posttransplant diabetes mellitus and impaired glucose tolerance on day 90 after kidney transplantation-A prospective proof-of-concept study. Am J Transplant 2024; 24:2225-2234. [PMID: 39047976 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajt.2024.07.016] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/03/2024] [Revised: 07/14/2024] [Accepted: 07/15/2024] [Indexed: 07/27/2024]
Abstract
Posttransplant diabetes mellitus (PTDM) and prediabetes represent serious complications after kidney transplantation and are associated with increased cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. We assessed the predictive performance of continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) compared with plasma glucose and hemoglobin A1c in 46 kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) without known preexisting diabetes mellitus. CGM (14-day recording duration) was performed on days 8, 30, 45, 60, 90, and 180 posttransplant. Eight patients (17%) developed PTDM and nine (20%) impaired glucose tolerance (IGT), as diagnosed by oral glucose tolerance test (oGTT)-derived 2-hour plasma glucose (2hPG) or glucose-lowering therapy on day 90. CGM-readouts percent of time >140 mg/dL (%TAR (140 mg/dL)) and percent of time >180 mg/dL (%TAR (180 mg/dL)) showed excellent in-sample test characteristics regarding PTDM from day 8 onward (days 8-90 receiver operating characteristic area under the curve: 0.88-0.99) and regarding PTDM/IGT with the commencement of maintenance immunosuppression from day 30 onward (days 30-90 receiver operating characteristic area under the curve: 0.88-0.91). Exploratory CGM-%TAR (140 mg/dL)-screening thresholds of 31.8% on day 8 and 13.2% on day 30 yielded sensitivities/specificities of 88%/83% for PTDM and 94%/78% for PTDM/IGT on day 90, respectively. Although our findings need to be replicated in studies with larger sample sizes, CGM bears promising potential to facilitate clinical practice and research regarding PTDM.
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Affiliation(s)
- Georgios Eleftheriadis
- Department of Nephrology and Medical Intensive Care, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin and Humboldt Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
| | - Marcel G Naik
- Department of Nephrology and Medical Intensive Care, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin and Humboldt Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Bilgin Osmanodja
- Department of Nephrology and Medical Intensive Care, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin and Humboldt Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Lutz Liefeldt
- Department of Nephrology and Medical Intensive Care, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin and Humboldt Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Mira Choi
- Department of Nephrology and Medical Intensive Care, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin and Humboldt Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Fabian Halleck
- Department of Nephrology and Medical Intensive Care, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin and Humboldt Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Eva Schrezenmeier
- Department of Nephrology and Medical Intensive Care, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin and Humboldt Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Kai-Uwe Eckardt
- Department of Nephrology and Medical Intensive Care, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin and Humboldt Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Mareen Pigorsch
- Institute of Biometry and Clinical Epidemiology, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin and Humboldt Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Andrea Tura
- CNR Institute of Neuroscience, Padova, Italy
| | - Amelie Kurnikowski
- Department of Epidemiology, Center for Public Health, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Manfred Hecking
- Department of Epidemiology, Center for Public Health, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria; Division of Nephrology and Dialysis, Department of Internal Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria; Kuratorium for Dialysis and Kidney Transplantation (KfH) e.V., Germany
| | - Klemens Budde
- Department of Nephrology and Medical Intensive Care, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin and Humboldt Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany
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Mallappallil M, Sasidharan S, Sabu J, John S. Treatment of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus in Advanced Chronic Kidney Disease for the Primary Care Physician. Cureus 2024; 16:e64663. [PMID: 39149651 PMCID: PMC11326530 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.64663] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 07/16/2024] [Indexed: 08/17/2024] Open
Abstract
Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a common cause of chronic kidney disease (CKD), leading to the need for renal replacement therapy (RRT). RRT includes hemodialysis (HD), peritoneal dialysis (PD), kidney transplantation (KT), and medical management. As CKD advances, the management of DM may change as medication clearance, effectiveness, and side effects can be altered due to decreasing renal clearance. Medications like metformin that were safe to use early in CKD may build up toxic levels of metabolites in advanced CKD. Other medications, like sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors, which work by excreting glucose in the urine, may not be able to work effectively in advanced CKD due to fewer working nephrons. Insulin breakdown may take longer, and both formulation and dosing may need to be changed to avoid hypoglycemia. While DM control contributes to CKD progression, effective DM control continues to be important even after patients have been placed on RRT. Patients on RRT are frequently taken care of by a team of providers, including the primary care physician, both in and outside the hospital. Non-nephrologists who are involved with the care of a patient treated with RRT need to be adept at managing DM in this population. This paper aims to outline the management of type 2 DM in advanced CKD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mary Mallappallil
- Internal Medicine and Nephrology, New York City (NYC) Health + Hospitals/Kings County Hospital Center, Brooklyn, USA
- Internal Medicine and Nephrology, State University of New York (SUNY) Downstate University of Health Sciences, Brooklyn, USA
| | - Sandeep Sasidharan
- Internal Medicine and Nephrology, State University of New York (SUNY) Downstate University of Health Sciences, Brooklyn, USA
- Internal Medicine and Nephrology, New York City (NYC) Health + Hospitals/Kings County Hospital Center, Brooklyn, USA
| | - Jacob Sabu
- Internal Medicine, State University of New York (SUNY) Downstate Health Sciences University, Brooklyn, USA
| | - Sabu John
- Internal Medicine and Cardiology, New York City (NYC) Health + Hospitals/Kings County Hospital Center, Brooklyn, USA
- Internal Medicine and Cardiology, State University of New York (SUNY) Downstate University of Health Sciences, Brooklyn, USA
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3
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Ma J, Wang Y, Mo M, Lian Z. Association between low birth weight and impaired glucose tolerance in children: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Front Pediatr 2024; 12:1362076. [PMID: 38783917 PMCID: PMC11112083 DOI: 10.3389/fped.2024.1362076] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/27/2023] [Accepted: 04/23/2024] [Indexed: 05/25/2024] Open
Abstract
Background A potential association between the onset of diabetes and normal birth weight (NBW) has been discovered. Diverse conclusions and study methodologies exist regarding the connection between low birth weight (LBW) and impaired glucose tolerance in children, underscoring the need for further robust research. Our institution is embarking on this study to thoroughly examine the association between LBW and impaired glucose tolerance in children. Methods We conducted searches on Cochrane Library, ScienceDirect, EMBASE, PubMed, China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), Chinese Biomedical Literature data (CBM) online database, VIP full-text Database, and Wanfang Database to identify correlation analyses or case-control studies investigating the relationship between LBW and abnormal glucose tolerance in children. The search spanned from January 2010 to September 2023. The quality of observational studies was evaluated using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) tool. Data synthesis was performed using the statistical software RevMan 5.3 for meta-analysis. Results Based on the preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analysis (PRISMA) guidelines, we finally included 10 clinical control studies consisting of a total of 2971 cases. There wasn't considerably change in blood sugar levels among LBW, NBW and high birth weight (HBW) infants (P > 0.05). There was no significant difference in insulin levels between LBW infants and NBW infants (P > 0.05). The HOMA-IR of LBW infants was considerably higher than that of NBW infants (P < 0.05). The risk of abnormal glucose tolerance in LBW infants was 0.42 times higher than that in NBW and HBW infants [Fisher's Z = 0.42, 95% CI = (0.09, 0.75), P = 0.01]. Conclusion LBW is associated with an increased risk of abnormal glucose tolerance, as indicated by elevated HOMA-IR level in LBW infants compared to NBW and HBW pediatric population. Further research is needed to confirm and expand upon these findings to better understand the complex relationship between LBW and impaired glucose tolerance in children.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jun Ma
- Department of Pediatrics, Heping Hospital Affiliated to Changzhi Medical College, Changzhi, Shanxi, China
| | - Youfang Wang
- Department of Gastroenterology, Guangzhou Red Cross Hospital, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
| | - Mengyan Mo
- Department of Otolaryngology, Heping Hospital Affiliated to Changzhi Medical College, Changzhi, Shanxi, China
| | - Zerong Lian
- Department of Nursing, Heping Hospital Affiliated to Changzhi Medical College, Changzhi, Shanxi, China
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Ünlütürk U, Yıldırım T, Savaş M, Oğuz SH, Fırlatan B, Yüce D, Karakaplan ND, Selimova C, Yılmaz R, Erdem Y, Bayraktar M. Effect of post-transplant diabetes mellitus on cardiovascular events and mortality: a single-center retrospective cohort study. Endocrine 2024:10.1007/s12020-024-03770-y. [PMID: 38491339 DOI: 10.1007/s12020-024-03770-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/31/2023] [Accepted: 03/01/2024] [Indexed: 03/18/2024]
Abstract
PURPOSE This study aims to investigate the impact of post-transplant diabetes mellitus (PTDM) on cardiovascular events, graft survival, and mortality and to determine the risk factors involved in developing PTDM. METHODS A total of 703 patients who underwent kidney transplantation were included in the study. The total sample was subdivided into three groups: (i) patients with PTDM; (ii) patients who had diabetes before the transplantation (DM); and (iii) patients without diabetes (NoDM). The data on graft failure, cardiovascular events, all-cause mortality, and the potential risk factors that play a role in developing PTDM were recorded and analyzed. RESULTS The patients were followed for a median of 80 (6-300) months after transplantation. Out of all patients, 41 (5.8%) had DM before transplantation, and 101 (14.4%) developed PTDM. Recipient BMI, post-transplant fasting plasma glucose, and hepatitis C seropositivity were independent risk factors for PTDM development. The incidence of cardiovascular events was 6.1% in the NoDM group, 14.9% in the PTDM group, and 29.3% in the DM group (p < 0.001). In PTDM patients, hepatitis C seropositivity and the recipient's age at transplant were independent predictors of a cardiovascular event. There were no significant differences between the groups regarding the risk of graft loss. PTDM had no significant effect on all-cause mortality. However, the survival rates of DM patients were significantly reduced compared to those with NoDM or PTDM. CONCLUSIONS PTDM had no impact on patient survival. Hepatitis C seropositivity and recipient age at transplant predicted cardiovascular events in PTDM patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Uğur Ünlütürk
- Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Hacettepe University School of Medicine, Ankara, Turkey.
- Department of Internal Medicine, Hacettepe University School of Medicine, Ankara, Turkey.
| | - Tolga Yıldırım
- Department of Internal Medicine, Hacettepe University School of Medicine, Ankara, Turkey
- Division of Nephrology, Hacettepe University School of Medicine, Ankara, Turkey
| | - Merve Savaş
- Department of Internal Medicine, Hacettepe University School of Medicine, Ankara, Turkey
| | - Seda Hanife Oğuz
- Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Hacettepe University School of Medicine, Ankara, Turkey
- Department of Internal Medicine, Hacettepe University School of Medicine, Ankara, Turkey
| | - Büşra Fırlatan
- Department of Internal Medicine, Hacettepe University School of Medicine, Ankara, Turkey
| | - Deniz Yüce
- Department of Preventive Oncology, Hacettepe University Cancer Institute, Ankara, Turkey
| | | | - Cemile Selimova
- Department of Internal Medicine, Hacettepe University School of Medicine, Ankara, Turkey
| | - Rahmi Yılmaz
- Department of Internal Medicine, Hacettepe University School of Medicine, Ankara, Turkey
- Division of Nephrology, Hacettepe University School of Medicine, Ankara, Turkey
| | - Yunus Erdem
- Department of Internal Medicine, Hacettepe University School of Medicine, Ankara, Turkey
- Division of Nephrology, Hacettepe University School of Medicine, Ankara, Turkey
| | - Miyase Bayraktar
- Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Hacettepe University School of Medicine, Ankara, Turkey
- Department of Internal Medicine, Hacettepe University School of Medicine, Ankara, Turkey
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Sharif A, Chakkera H, de Vries APJ, Eller K, Guthoff M, Haller MC, Hornum M, Nordheim E, Kautzky-Willer A, Krebs M, Kukla A, Kurnikowski A, Schwaiger E, Montero N, Pascual J, Jenssen TG, Porrini E, Hecking M. International consensus on post-transplantation diabetes mellitus. Nephrol Dial Transplant 2024; 39:531-549. [PMID: 38171510 PMCID: PMC11024828 DOI: 10.1093/ndt/gfad258] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/23/2023] [Indexed: 01/05/2024] Open
Abstract
Post-transplantation diabetes mellitus (PTDM) remains a leading complication after solid organ transplantation. Previous international PTDM consensus meetings in 2003 and 2013 provided standardized frameworks to reduce heterogeneity in diagnosis, risk stratification and management. However, the last decade has seen significant advancements in our PTDM knowledge complemented by rapidly changing treatment algorithms for management of diabetes in the general population. In view of these developments, and to ensure reduced variation in clinical practice, a 3rd international PTDM Consensus Meeting was planned and held from 6-8 May 2022 in Vienna, Austria involving global delegates with PTDM expertise to update the previous reports. This update includes opinion statements concerning optimal diagnostic tools, recognition of prediabetes (impaired fasting glucose and/or impaired glucose tolerance), new mechanistic insights, immunosuppression modification, evidence-based strategies to prevent PTDM, treatment hierarchy for incorporating novel glucose-lowering agents and suggestions for the future direction of PTDM research to address unmet needs. Due to the paucity of good quality evidence, consensus meeting participants agreed that making GRADE (Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluations) recommendations would be flawed. Although kidney-allograft centric, we suggest that these opinion statements can be appraised by the transplantation community for implementation across different solid organ transplant cohorts. Acknowledging the paucity of published literature, this report reflects consensus expert opinion. Attaining evidence is desirable to ensure establishment of optimized care for any solid organ transplant recipient at risk of, or who develops, PTDM as we strive to improve long-term outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Adnan Sharif
- Department of Nephrology and Transplantation, University Hospitals Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom
- Institute of Immunology and Immunotherapy, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom
| | - Harini Chakkera
- Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, Mayo Clinic, Scottsdale, AZ, United States of America
| | - Aiko P J de Vries
- Leiden Transplant Center, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands
- Department of Nephrology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands
| | - Kathrin Eller
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Medical University of Graz, Graz Austria
| | - Martina Guthoff
- Department of Diabetology, Endocrinology, Nephrology, University of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany
| | - Maria C Haller
- Ordensklinikum Linz, Elisabethinen Hospital, Department of Medicine III, Nephrology, Hypertension, Transplantation, Rheumatology, Geriatrics, Linz, Austria
- Medical University of Vienna, CeMSIIS, Section for Clinical Biometrics, Vienna, Austria
| | - Mads Hornum
- Department of Nephrology, Copenhagen University Hospital Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Espen Nordheim
- Department of Transplantation Medicine, Oslo University Hospital, Rikshospitalet, Oslo, Nydalen, Norway
- Department of Nephrology, Oslo University Hospital-Ullevål, Oslo, Nydalen, Norway
| | - Alexandra Kautzky-Willer
- Department of Internal Medicine III, Clinical Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Michael Krebs
- Department of Internal Medicine III, Clinical Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Aleksandra Kukla
- Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, United States of America
- William J. von Liebig Center for Transplantation and Clinical Regeneration, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, United States of America
| | - Amelie Kurnikowski
- Department of Internal Medicine III, Clinical Division of Nephrology and Dialysis, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Elisabeth Schwaiger
- Department of Internal Medicine, Brothers of Saint John of God Eisenstadt, Eisenstadt, Austria
| | - Nuria Montero
- Nephrology Department, Hospital Universitari de Bellvitge, L’Hospitalet de Llobregat, Barcelona, Spain Biomedical Research Institute (IDIBELL), L’Hospitalet de Llobregat, University of Barcelona, Barcelona Spain
| | - Julio Pascual
- Institute Mar for Medical Research-IMIM, Barcelona,Spain
- Department of Nephrology, Hospital Universitario 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain
| | - Trond G Jenssen
- Department of Transplantation Medicine, Oslo University Hospital, Rikshospitalet, Oslo, Nydalen, Norway
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
| | - Esteban Porrini
- Instituto de Tecnologías Biomédicas (ITB), University of La Laguna, Research Unit Department, Hospital Universitario de Canarias, Tenerife, Spain
| | - Manfred Hecking
- Department of Internal Medicine III, Clinical Division of Nephrology and Dialysis, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
- Center for Public Health, Department of Epidemiology, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
- Kuratorium for Dialysis and Kidney Transplantation (KfH), Neu-Isenburg, Germany
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Kurnikowski A, Salvatori B, Krebs M, Budde K, Eller K, Pascual J, Morettini M, Göbl C, Hecking M, Tura A. Glucometabolism in Kidney Transplant Recipients with and without Posttransplant Diabetes: Focus on Beta-Cell Function. Biomedicines 2024; 12:317. [PMID: 38397919 PMCID: PMC10886874 DOI: 10.3390/biomedicines12020317] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/24/2023] [Revised: 01/09/2024] [Accepted: 01/23/2024] [Indexed: 02/25/2024] Open
Abstract
Posttransplant diabetes mellitus (PTDM) is a common complication after kidney transplantation. Pathophysiologically, whether beta-cell dysfunction rather than insulin resistance may be the predominant defect in PTDM has been a matter of debate. The aim of the present analysis was to compare glucometabolism in kidney transplant recipients with and without PTDM. To this aim, we included 191 patients from a randomized controlled trial who underwent oral glucose tolerance tests (OGTTs) 6 months after transplantation. We derived several basic indices of beta-cell function and insulin resistance as well as variables from mathematical modeling for a more robust beta-cell function assessment. Mean ± standard deviation of the insulin sensitivity parameter PREDIM was 3.65 ± 1.68 in PTDM versus 5.46 ± 2.57 in NON-PTDM. Model-based glucose sensitivity (indicator of beta-cell function) was 68.44 ± 57.82 pmol∙min-1∙m-2∙mM-1 in PTDM versus 143.73 ± 112.91 pmol∙min-1∙m-2∙mM-1 in NON-PTDM, respectively. Both basic indices and model-based parameters of beta-cell function were more than 50% lower in patients with PTDM, indicating severe beta-cell impairment. Nonetheless, some defects in insulin sensitivity were also present, although less marked. We conclude that in PTDM, the prominent defect appears to be beta-cell dysfunction. From a pathophysiological point of view, patients at high risk for developing PTDM may benefit from intensive treatment of hyperglycemia over the insulin secretion axis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Amelie Kurnikowski
- Department of Epidemiology, Center for Public Health, Medical University of Vienna, 1090 Vienna, Austria
| | | | - Michael Krebs
- Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Department of Internal Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, 1090 Vienna, Austria
| | - Klemens Budde
- Medizinische Klinik m. S. Nephrologie, Charité Universitätsmedizin Berlin, 10117 Berlin, Germany
| | - Kathrin Eller
- Clinical Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Medical University of Graz, 8036 Graz, Austria
| | - Julio Pascual
- Institut Hospital del Mar d’Investigacions Mèdiques (IMIM), 08003 Barcelona, Spain
- Department of Nephrology, Hospital Universitario 12 de Octubre, 28041 Madrid, Spain
| | - Micaela Morettini
- Department of Information Engineering, Università Politecnica delle Marche, 60131 Ancona, Italy;
| | - Christian Göbl
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Medical University of Graz, 8036 Graz, Austria;
| | - Manfred Hecking
- Department of Epidemiology, Center for Public Health, Medical University of Vienna, 1090 Vienna, Austria
- Division of Nephrology and Dialysis, Department of Internal Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, 1090 Vienna, Austria
- Kuratorium for Dialysis and Kidney Transplantation (KfH) e.V., 63263 Neu-Isenburg, Germany
| | - Andrea Tura
- CNR Institute of Neuroscience, 35127 Padova, Italy; (B.S.); (A.T.)
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Serna-Higuita LM, Isaza-López MC, Hernández-Herrera GN, Serna-Campuzano AM, Nieto-Rios JF, Heyne N, Guthoff M. Development and Validation of a New Score to Assess the Risk of Posttransplantation Diabetes Mellitus in Kidney Transplant Recipients. Transplant Direct 2023; 9:e1558. [PMID: 37954683 PMCID: PMC10635612 DOI: 10.1097/txd.0000000000001558] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/28/2023] [Accepted: 09/20/2023] [Indexed: 11/14/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Posttransplantation diabetes mellitus (PTDM) is a serious complication of solid organ transplantation. It is associated with major adverse cardiovascular events, which are a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in transplant patients. This study aimed to develop and validate a score to predict the risk of PTDM in kidney transplant recipients. Methods A single-center retrospective cohort study was conducted in a tertiary care hospital in Medellín, Colombia, between 2005 and 2019. Data from 727 kidney transplant recipients were used to develop a risk prediction model. Significant predictors with competing risks were identified using time-dependent Cox proportional hazard regression models. To build the prediction model, the score for each variable was weighted using calculated regression coefficients. External validation was performed using independent data, including 198 kidney transplant recipients from Tübingen, Germany. Results Among the 727 kidney transplant recipients, 122 developed PTDM. The predictive model was based on 5 predictors (age, gender, body mass index, tacrolimus therapy, and transient posttransplantation hyperglycemia) and exhibited good predictive performance (C-index: 0.7 [95% confidence interval, 0.65-0.76]). The risk score, which included 33 patients with PTDM, was used as a validation data set. The results showed good discrimination (C-index: 0.72 [95% confidence interval, 0.62-0.84]). The Brier score and calibration plot demonstrated an acceptable fit capability in external validation. Conclusions We proposed and validated a prognostic model to predict the risk of PTDM, which performed well in discrimination and calibration, and is a simple score for use and implementation by means of a nomogram for routine clinical application.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lina Maria Serna-Higuita
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Applied Biostatistics, University Hospital Tübingen, Germany
| | | | | | | | - John Fredy Nieto-Rios
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Antioquia, Medellín, Colombia
- Department of Nephrology, Hospital Pablo Tobón Uribe, Medellín, Colombia
| | - Nils Heyne
- Department of Diabetology, Endocrinology, Nephrology, University of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany
- Institute for Diabetes Research and Metabolic Diseases of the Helmholtz Center Munich at the University of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany
- German Center for Diabetes Research (DZD e.V.), Neuherberg, Germany
| | - Martina Guthoff
- Department of Diabetology, Endocrinology, Nephrology, University of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany
- Institute for Diabetes Research and Metabolic Diseases of the Helmholtz Center Munich at the University of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany
- German Center for Diabetes Research (DZD e.V.), Neuherberg, Germany
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