The epidemiology of multiple sclerosis in the Isle of Man: 2006-2011

Multiple sclerosis: emerging epidemiological trends and redefining the clinical course

Multiple sclerosis is a chronic, inflammatory, and neurodegenerative disease of the central nervous system and a major cause of neurological disability in young adults. Its prevalence and incidence are increasing, and it has been estimated at over 2.8 million cases worldwide, in addition to recent trends towards a shift in MS prevalence to older ages, with peak prevalence estimates in the sixth decade of life. Although historically the relapsing and progressive phases of the disease have been considered separate clinical entities, recent evidence of progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) has led to a reconsideration of multiple sclerosis as a continuum, in which relapsing and progressive features variably coexist from the earliest stages of the disease, challenging the traditional view of the disease course. In this Series article, we provide an overview of how the traditional description of the clinical course of MS and epidemiological trends in Europe have evolved. For this purpose, we focus on the concept of PIRA, discussing its potential as the main mechanism by which patients acquire disability, how its definition varies between studies, and ongoing research in this field. We emphasise the importance of incorporating the assessment of hidden clinical manifestations into patient management to help uncover and quantify the PIRA phenomenon and the possible implications for future changes in the clinical classification of the disease. At the same time, we provide insights into overcoming the challenges of identifying and defining PIRA and adopting a new understanding of the clinical course of MS.

Systematic literature review and meta-analysis of the prevalence of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis in the USA, Europe, Canada, Australia, and Brazil

Background

Secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) is a subtype of multiple sclerosis (MS), which is a chronic neurological disease, characterised by inflammation of the central nervous system. Most of MS patients eventually progress to SPMS. This study estimates the prevalence of SPMS in the United States of America, Europe, Canada, Australia, and Brazil.

Methods

A systematic literature search of the Medline and Embase databases was performed using the OVID™ SP platform to identify MS epidemiological studies published in English from database inception to September 22, 2020. Studies reporting the prevalence of MS and proportion of SPMS patients in the included population were selected. The pooled prevalence of SPMS was calculated based on the proportion of SPMS patients. The Loney quality assessment checklist was used for quality grading. A meta-analysis of the proportions was conducted in RStudio.

Results

A total of 4754 articles were retrieved, and prevalence was calculated from 97 relevant studies. Overall, 86 medium- and high-quality studies were included in the meta-analysis. Most studies were conducted in European countries (84 studies). The estimated pooled prevalence of SPMS was 22.42 (99% confidence interval: 18.30, 26.95)/100,000. The prevalence of SPMS was more in the North European countries, highest in Sweden and lowest in Brazil. A decline in SPMS prevalence was observed since the availability of oral disease-modifying therapies. We also observed a regional variation of higher SPMS prevalence in urban areas compared with rural areas.

Conclusion

High variability was observed in the estimated SPMS prevalence, and the quality of the studies conducted. The influence of latitude and other factors known to affect overall MS prevalence did not fully explain the wide range of inter-country and intra-country variability identified in the results.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12883-022-02820-0.

Serum neurofilament light is a sensitive biomarker that reflects grey matter volume in Japanese patients with multiple sclerosis

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the degree of neuroaxonal injury in Japanese multiple sclerosis (MS) patients using serum neurofilament light (sNfL) and to investigate the relationship of sNFL with the degree of brain volume.

METHODS

sNfL levels in 82 consecutive Japanese MS patients in remission were cross-sectionally evaluated using a single molecule array assay. Within this sample, cross-sectional volumetric brain MRI data was evaluated in 80 patients, and longitudinal data was evaluated in 63 patients.

RESULTS

MS patients (female/male = 61/21), including those with relapsing-remitting MS (82%), secondary progressive MS (17%), and primary progressive MS (1%), were studied. The mean age of the patients was 41.2 ± 8.7 years, and 77 of the MS patients (94%) were treated with disease-modifying therapy (DMT). Their median sNfL level was 7.985 (IQR, 5.959-10.9), and their sNfL levels were significantly correlated with their grey matter volume and their age. A standard least squares regression model revealed that approximately 57% of the variation in grey matter volume could be explained by a regression equation using three explanatory variables: sNfL concentration, age, and sex. Moreover, the sNfL level multiplied by disease duration was significantly correlated with the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores and whole and grey matter volumes.

CONCLUSION

Although neuroaxonal injury appeared to be mild in our Japanese MS patients, their sNfL levels significantly reflected grey matter volume. Moreover, when multiplied by the disease duration, sNfL can reflect disability and brain volume.

Multiple Sclerosis Epidemiology in Europe

Multiple sclerosis is characterized by a non-homogeneous distribution around the world. Some authors in past described a latitude gradient, with increasing risk from the equator to North and South Poles, but this theory is still controversial. Regarding Europe, there are many articles in the literature concerning the epidemiology of this disease but, unfortunately, they are not always comparable due to different methodologies, they do not cover all countries in the continent, and most of them reported data of small areas and rarely at a national level. In 2012 there were 20 national registries that could help to describe the epidemiology of the disease and, in addition, there is an European Register for Multiple Sclerosis that collect data from already existing national or regional MS registries and databases. Another valid alternative to obtain epidemiological data, also at national level, in a routinely and cost-saving way is through administrative data that are of increasing interest in the last years.