Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer: how important is tumour regression?

Effect of Tumor Regression Grade on Survival and Disease-Free Interval in Patients Operated on for Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

INTRODUCTION

Colorectal cancer is the fourth leading cause of cancer-related death in both men and women in our population. In this regard, rectal cancer accounts for more than half of colorectal cancer deaths, and its incidence is expected to increase in the coming years. There have been significant changes in neoadjuvant therapy regimens, with promising results, as demonstrated by the recent RAPIDO and PRODIGE23 studies. Around 40% of patients diagnosed with locally advanced rectal cancer show some degree of response to neoadjuvant treatment, with complete tumor regression observed in up to one in five patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Retrospective observational study. A total of 181 patients with locally advanced rectal cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy followed by surgery were analyzed. Clinical and pathological data were collected from the patients, including assessment of tumor regression through histopathological studies after surgery. The Mandard tumor regression grading system was used to categorize tumor response into different grades.

RESULTS

The results showed a significant association between the degree of tumor regression and several important clinical outcomes. Specifically, patients with higher tumor regression had significantly better disease-free survival than those with less regression (p = 0.004). In addition, tumor regression was also correlated with the incidence of local recurrence (p = 0.018) and distant metastasis (p = 0.032). These associations suggest that tumor responsiveness to neoadjuvant therapy may influence the long-term progression of the disease. Regarding tumor deposits and the presence of lymphadenopathy, these factors were also found to be significantly associated with clinical outcomes. Patients with tumor deposits had a higher incidence of local recurrence (p = 0.025) and distant metastases (p = 0.041), while the presence of lymphadenopathy increased the risk of local recurrence (p = 0.013). These findings highlight the importance of evaluating not only tumor regression but also other pathological markers to predict prognosis and guide clinical management.

CONCLUSIONS

The degree of tumor regression was not an independent predictor of survival compared to other variables such as nodal stage and presence of tumor deposits. This indicates that while tumor regression is an important factor, other elements also play a crucial role in determining the prognosis of patients with locally advanced rectal cancer. This study provides additional evidence for the importance of tumor regression, tumor deposits, and lymphadenopathy as predictors of clinical outcomes in patients with rectal cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy.

Establishment and validation of novel MRI radiomic feature-based prognostic models to predict progression-free survival in locally advanced rectal cancer

In locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC), an improved ability to predict prognosis before and after treatment is needed for individualized treatment. We aimed to utilize pre- and post-treatment clinical predictors and baseline magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) radiomic features for establishing prognostic models to predict progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with LARC. Patients with LARC diagnosed between March 2014 and May 2016 were included in this retrospective study. A radiomic signature based on extracted MRI features and clinical prognostic models based on clinical features were constructed in the training cohort to predict 3-year PFS. C-indices were used to evaluate the predictive accuracies of the radiomic signature, clinical prognostic models, and integrated prognostic model (iPostM). In total, 166 consecutive patients were included (110 vs. 56 for training vs. validation). Eleven radiomic features were filtered out to construct the radiomic signature, which was significantly related to PFS. The MRI feature-derived radiomic signature exhibited better prognostic performance than the clinical prognostic models (P = 0.007 vs. 0.077). Then, we proposed an iPostM that combined the radiomic signature with tumor regression grade. The iPostM achieved the highest C-indices in the training and validation cohorts (0.942 and 0.752, respectively), outperforming other models in predicting PFS (all P < 0.05). Decision curve analysis and survival curves of the validation cohort verified that iPostM demonstrated the best performance and facilitated risk stratification. Therefore, iPostM provided the most reliable prognostic prediction for PFS in patients with LARC.

Prognostic and Predictive Biomarkers in Patients with Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer (LARC) Treated with Preoperative Chemoradiotherapy

Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) is one of the standards of care in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). This retrospective study examines clinical, analytical, and pathological parameters collected from 77 patients with locally advanced (cT3-4 or cN+) rectal carcinoma diagnosed between 2007 and 2017 at our institution that were treated with preoperative CRT and surgery. In the prognosis analysis, lower hemoglobin levels (p = 0.008), lower lymphocyte/monocyte ratio (LMR) (p = 0.011), and higher platelet/lymphocyte ratio (PLR) (p = 0.029) in the second determination (Hb2, LMR2 and PLR2) were associated with the relapse group. The number of positive nodes after surgery (N+) showed a statistically significant association with relapse (p = 0.012). KRAS mutations were associated with a worse prognosis for 5 years progression-free and overall survival (p = 0.005 and 0.022; respectively). We propose a prognostic model based on four parameters (number of positive lymph nodes after surgery, hemoglobin levels, LMR, and PLR after neoadjuvant therapy) that can be a useful tool to estimate relapse risk. Moreover, bilirubin could be a useful parameter to predict the response to neoadjuvant CRT.

Value of volumetric and textural analysis in predicting the treatment response in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to assess the value of baseline 18F-FDG PET/CT in predicting the response to neoadjuvant chemo-radiotherapy (NCRT) in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) via the volumetric and texture data obtained from 18F-FDG PET/CT images.

METHODS

 In total, 110 patients who had undergone NCRT after initial PET/CT and followed by surgical resection were included in this study. Patients were divided into two groups randomly as a train set (n: 88) and test set (n: 22). Pathological response using three-point tumor regression grade (TRG) and metastatic lymph nodes in PET/CT images were determined. TRG1 were accepted as responders and TRG2-3 as non-responders. Region of interest for the primary tumors was drawn and volumetric features (metabolic tumor volume (MTV) and total lesion glycolysis (TLG)) and texture features were calculated. In train set, the relationship between these features and TRG was investigated with Mann-Whitney U test. Receiver operating curve analysis was performed for features with p < 0.05. Correlation between features were evaluated with Spearman correlation test, features with correlation coefficient < 0.8 were evaluated with the logistic regression analysis for creating a model. The model obtained was tested with a test set that has not been used in modeling before.

RESULTS

 In train set 32 (36.4%) patients were responders. The rate of visually detected metastatic lymph node at baseline PET/CT was higher in non-responders than responders (71.4% and 46.9%, respectively, p = 0.022). There was a statistically significant difference between TLG, MTV, SHAPE_compacity, NGLDMcoarseness, GLRLM_GLNU, GLRLM_RLNU, GLZLM_LZHGE and GLZLM_GLNU between responders and non-responders. MTV and NGLDMcoarseness demonstrated the most significance (p = 0.011). A multivariate logistic regression analysis that included MTV, coarseness, GLZLM_LZHGE and lymph node metastasis was performed. Multivariate analysis demonstrated MTV and lymph node metastasis were the most meaningful parameters. The model's AUC was calculated as 0.714 (p = 0.001,0.606-0.822, 95% CI). In test set, AUC was determined 0.838 (p = 0.008,0.671-1.000, 95% CI) in discriminating non-responders.

CONCLUSIONS

Although there were points where textural features were found to be significant, multivariate analysis revealed no diagnostic superiority over MTV in predicting treatment response. In this study, it was thought higher MTV value and metastatic lymph nodes in PET/CT images could be a predictor of low treatment response in patients with LARC.

Magnetic resonance imaging tumor response score (mrTRS) predicts therapeutic effect and prognosis of locally advanced rectal cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: A prospective, multi-center study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The MRI-assessed tumor regression grade (mrTRG) is limited due to its subjectivity and poor consistency on pathological tumor regression grade (pTRG). A new MRI criterion was established to predict the prognosis of locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The new MRI criterion magnetic resonance imaging tumor response score (mrTRS) was based on the retrospective sample of 214 LARC patients (unpublished data). Subsequently, 878 LARC patients were enrolled for a prospective, multicenter study. Baseline and postoperative MRI were obtained, and imaging features were measured by collecting the pathological, clinical and follow-up data. Kaplan-Meier method with log-rank estimate and multivariate cox regression model was used to determine the prognosis of mrTRS in LARC patients with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NACRT). The predictive capability of 3-year prognosis between mrTRS and mrTRG was determined by time-dependent ROC curves.

RESULTS

The results demonstrated that mrTRS acted as an independent predictor of survival outcomes. mrTRS stratified by good and moderate responders showed significantly lower risk of death (HR = 0.04, 95%CI 0.01-0.31; HR = 0.35, 95%CI 0.23-0.52), distant metastasis (HR = 0.25, 95%CI 0.13-0.52; HR = 0.42, 95%CI 0.30-0.58), and local recurrence when compared with poor responders(HR = 0.01 95%CI 0.23-0.52;HR = 0.38, 95%CI 0.16-0.90). In contrast, no significant difference was observed among mrTRG stratified groups. Excellent and substantial interobserver agreement for mrTRS and mrTRG evaluation was observed (κ = 0.92 and 0.62), respectively.

CONCLUSION

mrTRS can serve as an effective predictor for assessing tumor regression grade in LARC patients with NACRT.

Circulating Biomarkers for Response Prediction of Rectal Cancer to Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy

Rectal cancer response to neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy (pCRT) is highly variable. In fact, it has been estimated that only about 21 % of patients show pathologic Complete Response (pCR) after therapy, while in most of the patients a partial or incomplete tumour regression is observed. Consequently, patients with a priori chemoradioresistant tumour should not receive the treatment, which is associated with substantial adverse effects and does not guarantee any clinical benefit. For Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer Patients (LARC), a standardized neoadjuvant treatment protocol is applied, the identification and the usefulness of prognostic or predictive biomarkers can improve the antitumoural treatment strategy, modifying the sequence, dose, and combination of radiotherapy, chemotherapy and surgical resection. For these reasons, a growing number of studies are actually focussed on the discovery and investigation of new predictive biomarkers of response to pCRT. In this review, we have selected the most recent literature (2012-2017) regarding the employment of blood-based biomarkers potentially predicting pCR in LARC patients and we have critically discussed them to highlight their real clinical benefit and the current limitations of the proposed methodological approaches.

The Prognostic Value of a Pathologic Complete Response After Neoadjuvant Therapy for Digestive Cancer: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of 21 Studies

BACKGROUND

Neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) before radical excision has become the preferred initial option for locally advanced digestive cancers such as esophageal cancer (EC), esophagogastric junction adenocarcinoma (EGJAC), gastric adenocarcinoma (GAC), rectal cancer (RC), and pancreatic cancer (PC). Although some patients reportedly achieve a pathologic complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant therapy, the published data are inconsistent regarding whether pCR yields a survival benefit. The current meta-analysis was performed to assess the potential prognostic value of pCR after preoperative therapy for patients with digestive cancers.

METHODS

An extensive electronic search in PubMed, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library was performed for relevant articles, from which data relative to independent correlations of pCR with overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were extracted for analysis. A random-effects model was used to calculate the pooled hazard ratios (HRs) with their corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

The study identified 6780 patients who met the inclusion and exclusion criteria. The results showed that pCR was significantly correlated with better OS (HR, 0.50; 95% CI, 0.43-0.58; P < 0.001) and DFS (HR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.40-0.60; P < 0.001) for the digestive cancer patients who achieved pCR than for those who did not achieve pCR. Subgroup analysis showed that the correlation of pCR with OS was significant in EC (HR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.47-0.69; P < 0.001), EGJAC/GAC (HR, 0.38; 95% CI, 0.17-0.86; P = 0.02), RC (HR, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.28-0.81; P = 0.006), and PC (HR, 0.41; 95% CI, 0.17-0.97; P = 0.04). In addition, the survival benefit for pCR patients was of similar magnitude, irrespective of the type of study, type of NAT, or ethnicity.

CONCLUSIONS

A pCR is correlated with favorable survival outcomes compared with a non-pCR for digestive cancer patients after NAT.

Prognostic value of tumour regression grade in locally advanced rectal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

AIM

The current standard of care for locally advanced rectal cancer involves neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) followed by total mesorectal excision. There is a spectrum of response to neoadjuvant therapy; however, the prognostic value of tumour regression grade (TRG) in predicting disease-free survival (DFS) or overall survival (OS) is inconsistent in the literature.

METHOD

This study was performed in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. A systematic search was undertaken using Ovid MEDLINE, Embase and Google Scholar. Inclusion criteria were Stage II and III locally advanced rectal cancer treated with long-course CRT followed by radical surgery. The aim of the meta-analysis was to assess the prognostic implication of each TRG for rectal cancer following neoadjuvant CRT. Long-term prognosis was assessed. The main outcome measures were DFS and OS. A random effects model was performed to pool the hazard ratio (HR) from all included studies.

RESULTS

There were 4875 patients from 17 studies, with 775 (15.9%) attaining a pathological complete response (pCR) and 719 (29.9%) with no response. A significant association with OS was identified from a pooled-estimated HR for pCR (HR = 0.47, P = 0.002) and nonresponding tumours (HR = 2.97; P < 0.001). Previously known tumour characteristics, such as ypN, lymphovascular invasion and perineural invasion, were also significantly associated with DFS and OS, with estimated pooled HRs of 2.2, 1.4 and 2.3, respectively.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, the degree of TRG was of prognostic value in predicting long-term outcomes. The current challenge is the development of a high-validity tests to predict pCR.

Neoadjuvant radiochemotherapy decreases the total amount of tumor infiltrating lymphocytes, but increases the number of CD8+/Granzyme B+ (GrzB) cytotoxic T-cells in rectal cancer

Although neoadjuvant radiochemotherapy (nRCTx) is an established oncological treatment in patients with advanced rectal cancer, little is known about its effects on the tumor microenvironment. Quantity and composition of tumor infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) are known to influence patients' prognosis but nRCTx-induced modifications are still unclear. We determined the composition of the immune cell infiltrate in rectal cancer after nRCTx and its influence on tumor regression, local recurrence rate and survival. We investigated density and composition of tumor infiltrating CD3⁺ and CD8⁺ T-cells and the quantity and ratio of CD8⁺/GrzB⁺ T-cells to CD8⁺ T-cells in 130 rectal cancers after nRCTx compared to a cohort of 30 primarily resected rectal cancers. Furthermore, we analyzed 22 pretherapeutic rectal cancer biopsies, later treated with nRCTx and surgery to evaluate nRCTx-induced modifications of the tumor microenvironment. The total numbers of CD3⁺ and CD8⁺ T-cells in tumor stroma (p < 0.001) and tumor epithelium (p < 0.001 CD3; 0.002 CD8) were significantly lower in rectal cancers after nRCTx compared to primarily resected cases, while the ratio of CD8⁺/GrzB⁺ T-cells to CD8⁺ T-cells was significantly increased in the nRCTx cohort (p < 0.001). In multivariate analyses, CD8⁺/GrzB⁺ T-cells in the tumor stroma were significantly associated with high regression grade and a lower likelihood of local recurrence (p = 0.029). nRCTx modifies the tumor microenvironment of rectal cancer leading to a total decrease of TILs, but a relative increase in CD8⁺/GrzB⁺ T-cells in the tumor stroma. CD8⁺/GrzB⁺ T-cells may contribute to local tumor control and the better outcome.

Tumour-infiltrating regulatory T cell density before neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer does not predict treatment response

Neoadjuvant (preoperative) chemoradiotherapy (CRT) decreases the risk of rectal cancer recurrence and reduces tumour volume prior to surgery. However, response to CRT varies considerably between individuals and factors associated with response are poorly understood. Foxp3+ regulatory T cells (Tregs) inhibit anti-tumour immunity and may limit any response to chemotherapy and radiotherapy. We have previously reported that a low density of Tregs in the tumour stroma following neoadjuvant CRT for rectal cancer is associated with improved tumour regression. Here we have examined the association between Treg density in pre-treatment diagnostic biopsy specimens and treatment response, in this same patient cohort. We aimed to determine whether pre-treatment tumour-infiltrating Treg density predicts subsequent response to neoadjuvant CRT. Foxp3+, CD8+ and CD3+ cell densities in biopsy samples from 106 patients were assessed by standard immunohistochemistry (IHC) and evaluated for their association with tumour regression grade and survival. We found no association between the density of any T cell subset pre-treatment and clinical outcome, indicating that tumour-infiltrating Treg density does not predict response to neoadjuvant CRT in rectal cancer. Taken together with the findings of the previous study, these data suggest that in the context of neoadjuvant CRT for rectal cancer, the impact of chemotherapy and/or radiotherapy on anti-tumour immunity may be more important than the state of the pre-existing local immune response.

Preoperative radiation dose escalation for rectal cancer using a concomitant boost strategy improves tumor downstaging without increasing toxicity: A matched-pair analysis

Purpose

Pathologic complete response to neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy (CRT) is associated with improved outcomes for patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). Increased response rates have been reported with higher radiation doses, but these studies often lack long-term outcome and/or toxicity data. We conducted a case-control analysis of patients with LARC who underwent definitive CRT to determine the efficacy and safety of intensified treatment with a concomitant boost (CB) approach.

Methods and materials

From 1995 to 2003, a phase 2 protocol examined CRT with 5-fluorouracil and CB radiation therapy (52.5 Gy in 5 weeks) for patients with LARC. Seventy-six protocol patients were matched (case-control approach) for surgery type, tumor (T) stage, and clinical nodal (N) stage with patients who received standard dose (SD) CRT (5-fluorouracil, 45 Gy). A chart review was performed. McNemar's test and Kaplan-Meier analyses were used for statistical analysis.

Results

The SD and CB groups did not differ in tumor circumferential involvement and length, but the tumors of CB patients were closer to the anal verge (4.7 vs 5.7 cm; P = .02). Although tumor downstaging was higher in the CB cohort (76% vs 51%; P < .01), pathologic complete response rates did not differ (CB, 17.1% vs SD, 15.8%, P = 1.00). The incidence of grade ≥3 radiation-related toxicities was low and similar in both groups (CB, 10% vs SD, 3%, P = .22). Postoperative (anastomotic leak, wound complications/abscess, bleeding) and late (small bowel obstruction, stricture) complication rates did not differ between the groups (P > .05). The median follow-up was 11.9 years. The 5-year local control rates were higher for CB (100.0%) compared with SD (90.0%) patients (P = .01). CB patients had higher rates of 10-year progression-free survival (71.9% vs 57.6%, P < .01) and overall survival (71.6% vs 62.4%, P = .01) compared with SD patients.

Conclusions

CRT dose escalation for patients with LARC is safe and effective. The improved T-downstaging and local control observed in CB patients should encourage further dose escalation studies.