Pre-operative frailty is predictive of adverse post-operative outcomes in colorectal cancer patients

Comparative study of the risk prediction model of early postoperative frailty in elderly enterostomy patients based on machine learning methods

Objective

Based on machine learning method, four types of early postoperative frailty risk prediction model of enterostomy patients were constructed to compare the performance of each model and provide the basis for preventing early postoperative frailty of elderly patients with enterostomy.

Methods

The prospective convenience sampling method was conducted and 362 early postoperative enterostomy patients were selected in three hospitals from July 2020 to November 2023 in Shanghai, four different prediction models of Support Vector Machine (SVM), Bayes, XG Boost, and Logistic regression were used and compared the test effects of the four models (MCC, F1, AUC, and Brier index) to judge the classification performance of the four models in the data of this study.

Results

A total of 21 variables were included in this study, and the predictors mainly covered demographic information, stoma-related information, quality of life, anxiety and depression, and frailty. The validated models on the test set are XGBoost, Logistic regression, SVM prediction model, and Bayes on the MCC and F1 scores; on the AUC, XGBoost, Logistic regression, Bayes, and SVM prediction model; on the Brier scores, Bayes, Logistic regression, and XGBoost.

Conclusion

XGBoost based on machine learning method is better than SVM prediction model, Logistic regression model and Bayes in sensitivity and accuracy. Quality of life in the early postoperative period can help guide clinical patients to identify patients at high risk of frailty and reduce the incidence of early postoperative frailty in elderly patients with enterostomy.

How can we approach preoperative frailty and related factors in patients with cancer? A scoping review

AIM

To identify factors related to preoperative frailty in patients with cancer and map the tools that measure frailty.

DESIGN

A Scoping review.

METHODS

This scoping review based on Arksey and O'Malley's framework. Articles from CINAHL, PubMed, EMBASE, and PsycINFO databases published between January 2011 and April 2021. The searched keywords were concepts related to 'cancer', 'frailty' and 'measurement'.

RESULTS

While 728 records were initially identified, 24 studies were eventually selected. Research on frailty was actively conducted between 2020 and 2021. Factors related to preoperative frailty were age (22.9%), sex (11.4%), body mass index (11.4%) and physical status indicators (54.3%). The most common result of preoperative frailty was postoperative complications (35.0%). 24 instruments were used to measure frailty.

IMPLICATIONS FOR PATIENT CARE

Selecting an appropriate preoperative frailty screening tool can help improve patient postoperative treatment outcomes.

IMPACT

There are many instruments for assessing preoperative frailty, each evaluating a multi-dimensional feature. We identified the frailty screening tools used today, organized the factors that affect frailty, and explored the impact of frailty. Identifying and organizing frailty measurement tools will enable appropriate evaluation.

REPORTING METHOD

PRISMA-ScR.

PATIENT CONTRIBUTION

No patient or public contribution.

A comparison of frailty measures in population-based data for patients with colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Numerous studies have revealed age-related inequalities in colorectal cancer care. Increasing levels of frailty in an ageing population may be contributing to this, but quantifying frailty in population-based studies is challenging.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the feasibility, validity and reliability of the Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS), the Secondary Care Administrative Records Frailty (SCARF) index and the frailty syndromes (FS) measures in a national colorectal cancer cohort.

DESIGN

Retrospective population-based study using 136,008 patients with colorectal cancer treated within the English National Health Service.

METHODS

Each measure was generated in the dataset to assess their feasibility. The diagnostic codes used in each measure were compared with those in the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI). Validity was assessed using the prevalence of frailty and relationship with 1-year survival. The Brier score and the c-statistic were used to assess performance and discriminative ability of models with included each measure.

RESULTS

All measures demonstrated feasibility, validity and reliability. Diagnostic codes used in SCARF and CCI have considerable overlap. Prevalence of frailty determined by each differed; SCARF allocating 55.4% of the population to the lowest risk group compared with 85.1% (HFRS) and 81.2% (FS). HFRS and FS demonstrated the greatest difference in 1-year overall survival between those with the lowest and highest measured levels of frailty. Differences in model performance were marginal.

CONCLUSIONS

HFRS, SCARF and FS all have value in quantifying frailty in routine administrative health care datasets. The most suitable measure will depend on the context and requirements of each individual epidemiological study.

Geriatric Assessment in Colorectal Surgery: A Systematic Review

INTRODUCTION

The prevalence of colorectal surgery among older adults is expected to rise due to the aging population. Geriatric conditions (e.g., frailty) are risk factors for poor surgical outcomes. The goal of this systematic review is to examine how current literature describes geriatric assessment interventions in colorectal surgery and associated outcomes.

METHODS

Systematic searches of Ovid MEDLINE, Cochrane Library, CINAHL, Embase, and Web of Science were completed. Review was performed according to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines and prospectively registered in PROSPERO, the international prospective register of systematic reviews in health and social care. All cohort studies and randomized trials of adult colorectal surgery patients where geriatric assessment was performed were included. Geriatric assessment with/without management interventions were identified and described.

RESULTS

Seven-hundred ninety-three studies were identified. Duplicates (197) were removed. An additional 525 were excluded after title/abstract review. After full-text review, 20 studies met the criteria. Reference list review increased final total to 25 studies. All 25 studies were cohort studies. No randomized clinical trials were identified. Heterogeneous assessments were organized into geriatrics domains (mind, mobility, medications, matters most, and multi-complexity). Incomplete evaluations across geriatric domains were performed with few studies describing the use of assessments to impact management decisions.

CONCLUSIONS

There are no randomized trials assessing the impact of geriatric assessment to tailor management strategies and improve outcomes in colorectal surgery. Few studies performed assessments to evaluate the geriatric domain matters most. These findings represent a gap in evidence for the efficacy of geriatric assessment and management strategies in colorectal surgical care.

Impact of frailty on short-term postoperative outcomes in patients undergoing colorectal cancer surgery: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Colorectal cancer is a major global health challenge that predominantly affects older people. Surgical management, despite advancements, requires careful consideration of preoperative patient status for optimal outcomes.

AIM

To summarize existing evidence on the association of frailty with short-term postoperative outcomes in patients undergoing colorectal cancer surgery.

METHODS

A literature search was conducted using PubMed, EMBASE and Scopus databases for observational studies in adult patients aged ≥ 18 years undergoing planned or elective colorectal surgery for primary carcinoma and/or secondary metastasis. Only studies that conducted frailty assessment using recognized frailty assessment tools and had a comparator group, comprising nonfrail patients, were included. Pooled effect sizes were reported as weighted mean difference or relative risk (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

A total of 24 studies were included. Compared with nonfrail patients, frailty was associated with an increased risk of mortality at 30 d (RR: 1.99, 95%CI: 1.47-2.69), at 90 d (RR: 4.76, 95%CI: 1.56-14.6) and at 1 year (RR: 5.73, 95%CI: 2.74-12.0) of follow up. Frail patients had an increased risk of any complications (RR: 1.81, 95%CI: 1.57-2.10) as well as major complications (Clavien-Dindo classification grade ≥ III) (RR: 2.87, 95%CI: 1.65-4.99) compared with the control group. The risk of reoperation (RR: 1.18, 95%CI: 1.07-1.31), readmission (RR: 1.70, 95%CI: 1.36-2.12), need for blood transfusion (RR: 1.67, 95%CI: 1.52-1.85), wound complications (RR: 1.49, 95%CI: 1.11-1.99), delirium (RR: 4.60, 95%CI: 2.31-9.16), risk of prolonged hospitalization (RR: 2.09, 95%CI: 1.22-3.60) and discharge to a skilled nursing facility or rehabilitation center (RR: 3.19, 95%CI: 2.0-5.08) was all higher in frail patients.

CONCLUSION

Frailty in colorectal cancer surgery patients was associated with more complications, longer hospital stays, higher reoperation risk, and increased mortality. Integrating frailty assessment appears crucial for tailored surgical management.

Combined Resection Approaches: Decision Making for Synchronous Resection, Timing of Staged Intervention to Optimize Outcome

Advancement in systemic and regional radiation therapy, surgical technique, and anesthesia has provided a path for increased long-term survival and potential cure for more patients with stage IV rectal cancer in recent years. When patients have resectable disease, the sequence for surgical resection is classified in three strategies: classic, simultaneous, or combined, and reversed. The classic approach consists of rectal cancer resection followed by metastatic disease at a subsequent operation. Simultaneous resection addresses both rectal and metastatic disease in a single surgery. The reversed approach treats metastatic disease first, followed by the primary tumor in several months. Simultaneous resection is appropriate for selected patients to avoid delay of definitive surgery, and reduce number of surgeries, hospital stay, and cost to the health care system. It may also improve patients' psychological effect. Multidisciplinary discussions including colorectal and liver surgeons to review patients' baseline medical conditions, tumor biology and behavior, and disease burden and distribution is imperative to guide proper patient selection for simultaneous resection and perioperative treatments.

Associations of physical frailty with incidence and mortality of overall and site-specific cancers: A prospective cohort study from UK biobank

OBJECTIVE

Evidence regarding the role of physical frailty in cancer-related outcomes is limited. We aimed to examine the association of frailty with cancer incidence and mortality risk.

METHODS

This prospective study included 348,144 participants free of cancer at baseline from the UK Biobank. Frailty phenotypes (non-frail, pre-frail, and frail) were constructed from 5 components: weight loss, exhaustion, low physical activity, slow gait speed, and low grip strength. The outcome was incidence and mortality of overall and cite-specific cancers. Cox proportional hazard regression was used to estimate the association of frailty phenotypes with cancer incidence and mortality risk.

RESULTS

A total of 43,304 incident cancer cases and 10,152 cancer deaths were documented during a median of 12.0 years of follow-up. For overall cancer, compared with non-frailty, the incidence risk increased by 4% for pre-frailty and 11% for frailty, and the mortality risk increased by 11% for pre-frailty and 39% for frailty. Frailty phenotypes were also dose-dependently associated with a higher risk of incidence and mortality of some site-specific cancers (including liver and lung), with significant sex differences. We observed a synergetic association of frailty phenotypes and smoking with overall cancer incidence and mortality risk.

CONCLUSIONS

Frailty phenotypes contributed significantly to a higher risk of overall and some site-specific cancers incidence and mortality in a stepwise manner or within individual categories. Future studies are warranted to emphasize the identification, management and prevention of frailty in the whole population and complements of lifestyle-targeted interventions such as quitting smoking.

Predictive value of frailty assessment tools in patients undergoing surgery for gastrointestinal cancer: An observational cohort study

BACKGROUND

Few studies have simultaneously compared the predictive value of various frailty assessment tools for outcome measures in patients undergoing gastrointestinal cancer surgery. Therefore, it is difficult to determine which assessment tool is most relevant to the prognosis of this population.

AIM

To investigate the predictive value of three frailty assessment tools for patient prognosis in patients undergoing gastrointestinal cancer surgery.

METHODS

This single-centre, observational, prospective cohort study was conducted at the Affiliated Lianyungang Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University from August 2021 to July 2022. A total of 229 patients aged ≥ 18 years who underwent surgery for gastrointestinal cancer were included in this study. We collected baseline data on the participants and administered three scales to assess frailty: The comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA), Fried phenotype and FRAIL scale. The outcome measures were the postoperative severe complications and increased hospital costs.

RESULTS

The prevalence of frailty when assessed with the CGA was 65.9%, 47.6% when assessed with the Fried phenotype, and 34.9% when assessed with the FRAIL scale. Using the CGA as a reference, kappa coefficients were 0.398 for the Fried phenotype and 0.291 for the FRAIL scale (both P < 0.001). Postoperative severe complications and increased hospital costs were observed in 29 (12.7%) and 57 (24.9%) patients, respectively. Multivariate logistic analysis confirmed that the CGA was independently associated with increased hospital costs (odds ratio = 2.298, 95% confidence interval: 1.044-5.057; P = 0.039). None of the frailty assessment tools were associated with postoperative severe complications.

CONCLUSION

The CGA was an independent predictor of increased hospital costs in patients undergoing surgery for gastrointestinal cancer.

Anesthesia and perioperative pain relief in the frail elderly patient

Demand for anesthesia and analgesia for the frail elderly is continuously increasing as the likelihood of encountering very elderly, very vulnerable, and very compromised patients has, ever so subtly, increased over the last three decades. The anesthesiologist has, increasingly, been obliged to offer professional services to frail patients. Fortunately, there has been a dramatic improvement in medications, methods of drug delivery, critical monitoring, and anesthesia techniques. Specific methodologies peculiar to the frail are now taught and practiced across all anesthesia subspecialties. However, administering anesthesia for the frail elderly is vastly different to giving an anesthetic to the older patient. Frail patients are increasingly cared for in specialized units-geriatric intensive therapy units, post-acute care services, palliative, hospices, and supportive care and aged care facilities. Several medications (e.g., morphine-sparing analgesics) more suited to the frail have become universally available in most centers worldwide so that best-practice, evidence-based anesthesia combinations of drugs and techniques are now increasingly employed. Every anesthetic and pain management techniques in the frail elderly patient are going to be discussed in this review.

Evaluation of Agreement Among Frailty Assessment Tools in Head and Neck Surgery

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate intertest agreement among hand grip strength (HGS), the modified Frailty Index (mFI), and the Edmonton Frail Scale (EFS) in patients presenting for presurgical assessment in a head and neck surgery clinic.

STUDY DESIGN

Prospective observational study.

SETTING

Academic tertiary medical center.

METHODS

Prospective data relating to 3 frailty measurements were collected for 96 consecutive adults presenting for presurgical counseling at a single high-volume head and neck surgical oncology clinic. Frailty was determined with previously validated thresholds for the mFI (≥3) and EFS (>7). The highest of 2 HGS measurements performed for the dominant hand was used to determine frail status based on previously validated sex- and body mass index-specific thresholds. Baseline characteristics were identified to determine the association of such variables to each tool. Agreement among frailty assessment tools was examined.

RESULTS

The frequency of frailty in the cohort varied among tools, ranging from 29.2% (28/96) for HGS to 12.5% (12/96) for the mFI and 4.2% (4/96) for the EFS. The overall agreement among the 3 frailty tools via the Fleiss index was poor (kappa, 0.088; 95% CI, -0.028 to 0.203).

CONCLUSION

Assessment of frailty is complex, and established frailty assessment tools may not agree on which patients are frail. When assessing a patient as frail, clinicians must be vigilant to the influence of frailty assessment tools on such determinations, which may contribute critical input during shared decision making for patients considering head and neck surgery or nonsurgical alternatives.

Frailty in older Turkish cancer patients undergoing post-surgical adjuvant chemotherapy

Background:

Understanding the frailty levels of older patients undergoing surgery and chemotherapy will contribute to timely and reliable care practices and improve care outcomes.

Aims:

To determine the frailty of cancer patients who received chemotherapy treatment after surgery.

Methods:

This descriptive study included 192 Turkish patients aged over 60 years who received chemotherapy after surgery for cancer. Data were collected using a patient survey and the Edmonton Frailty Scale.

Results:

The average age of the participants was 66.3±5.3 years. Around 40% (40.6%) of the sample were diagnosed with breast cancer. The Edmonton Frailty Scale score of the group was 6.6 (SD±3.7). A quarter of the sample (22.9%) were at risk of frailty. Frailty levels were higher in older individuals with gastrointestinal cancers and other cancer groups compared with patients with breast cancer (p<0.001); patients with additional chronic diseases other than cancer (p=0.004); and in those with a history of falling and hospitalisation in the past year (p<0.001).

Conclusions:

Older patients with gastrointestinal cancer, additional chronic disease and a history of falling and hospitalisation within the past year should be evaluated closely for frailty before and during chemotherapy. It is crucial to consider the patient's vulnerability when making care and treatment decisions for older patients with cancer. Understanding the frailty levels of older patients who undergo surgery and receive chemotherapy can help health professionals to decide on timely and reliable care practices and improve care outcomes.

Potentially Inappropriate Medication Administration Is Associated With Adverse Postoperative Outcomes in Older Surgical Patients: A Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

The American Geriatrics Society (AGS) Beers Criteria is an explicit list of potentially inappropriate medications (PIMs) best avoided in adults ≥65 years of age. Cognitively impaired and frail surgical patients often experience poor outcomes after surgery, but the impacts of PIMs on these patients are unclear. Our objective was to assess whether perioperative PIM administration was associated with poor outcomes in geriatric surgical patients. We then evaluated the association between PIM administration and postoperative outcomes in subgroups of patients who were frail or cognitively impaired.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study of patients ≥65 years of age who underwent elective inpatient surgery at a large academic medical center from February 2018 to January 2020. Edmonton Frail Scale and Mini-Cog screening tools were administered to all patients at their preoperative clinic visit. A Mini-Cog score of 0 to 2 was considered cognitive impairment, and frailty was defined by an Edmonton Frail Scale score of ≥8. Patients were divided into 2 groups depending on whether they received at least 1 PIM (PIM+), based on the 2019 AGS Beers Criteria, in the perioperative period or none (PIM-). We assessed the association of preoperative frailty, cognitive impairment, and perioperative PIM administration with the length of hospital stay and discharge disposition using multiple regression analyses adjusted for age, sex, ASA physical status, and intensive care unit (ICU) admission.

RESULTS

Of the 1627 included patients (mean age, 73.7 years), 69.3% (n = 1128) received at least 1 PIM. A total of 12.7% of patients were frail, and 11.1% of patients were cognitively impaired; 64% of the frail patients and 58% of the cognitively impaired patients received at least 1 PIM. Perioperative PIM administration was associated with longer hospital stay after surgery (PIM-, 3.56 ± 5.2 vs PIM+, 4.93 ± 5.66 days; P < .001; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.360-0.546). Frail patients who received PIMs had an average length of stay (LOS) that was nearly 2 days longer than frail patients who did not receive PIMs (PIM-, 4.48 ± 5.04 vs PIM+, 6.33 ± 5.89 days; P = .02). Multiple regression analysis revealed no significant association between PIM administration and proportion of patients discharged to a care facility (PIM+, 26.3% vs PIM-, 28.7%; P = .87; 95% CI, -0.046 to 0.054).

CONCLUSIONS

Perioperative PIM administration was common in older surgical patients, including cognitively impaired and frail patients. PIM administration was associated with an increased hospital LOS, particularly in frail patients. There was no association found between PIM administration and discharge disposition.

The prevalence and prognostic value of frailty screening measures in patients undergoing surgery for colorectal cancer: observations from a systematic review

Introduction

Frailty is a complex multifactorial syndrome characterised by a significant increase in vulnerability and worsened health outcomes. Despite a range of proposed frailty screening measures, the prevalence and prognostic value of frailty in patients undergoing surgery for colorectal cancer is not clear.

Aim

The aim of this present review was to examine the use of commonly employed frailty screening measures in patients undergoing surgery for colorectal cancer.

Methods

A systematic search of PubMed and Medline was carried out to identify studies reporting the use of frailty screening tools or measures in patients undergoing surgery for colorectal cancer. The screening measure used and prevalence of frailty within the population were recorded. Outcomes of interest were the incidence of post-operative complications, 30-day mortality and overall survival.

Results

Of the 15 studies included (n = 97, 898 patients), 9 studies were retrospective and included patients aged 70 years or older (n = 96, 120 patients). 5 of 12 studies reported that frailty was independently associated with the incidence of post-operative complications. There was also evidence that frailty was independently associated with 30-day mortality (1 of 4 studies, n = 9, 252 patients) and long-term survival (2 of 3 studies, n = 1, 420 patients).

Conclusions

Frailty was common in patients with colorectal cancer and the assessment of frailty may have prognostic value in patients undergoing surgery. However, the basis of the relationship between frailty and post-operative outcomes is not clear and merits further study.

Patient Frailty and Functional Use of Hemodialysis Vascular Access: A Retrospective Study of the US Renal Data System

Rationale & Objective:

Despite the high prevalence of frailty among dialysis patients, it is unknown whether frailty is associated with dialysis vascular access failure. This study examined the association between frailty and functional use of vascular access.

Study Design:

Retrospective observational study.

Setting & Participants:

Patients who initiated hemodialysis through a tunneled catheter in the US Renal Data System database from 2012 through 2017 and underwent subsequent creation of an arteriovenous fistula or graft.

Predictors:

The “claims-based frailty indicator” (CFI) was calculated using a validated claims-based disability status model anchored to a well-described frailty phenotype.

Outcomes:

Time to functional use for fistulas and grafts defined as the time from initiation of hemodialysis to treatments using the index vascular access with 2 needles.

Analytical Approach:

Fine and Gray competing risk models separately examining fistula and graft outcomes. Patient survival was modeled for the entire cohort using Cox proportional hazards regression.

Results:

A total of 41,471 patients met inclusion criteria, including 33,212 who underwent fistula creation and 8,259 who underwent graft placement. Higher CFI quartiles were associated with a greater rate of mortality. Patients in the highest CFI quartile had more than 2 times the rate of mortality compared with patients in the lowest CFI quartile (hazard ratio [HR], 2.49 [95% CI, 2.41–2.58]). In multivariable analyses, the highest CFI quartile was significantly associated with longer time to functional use of fistulas (HR, 0.65 [95% CI, 0.62–0.69]) and grafts (HR, 0.88 [95% CI, 0.79–0.98]).

Limitations:

Generalizability may be limited by the requirement of 12 months of Medicare claims availability before initiation of dialysis. There were no data on patient anatomic characteristics or surgeon characteristics and limited patient-specific sociodemographic data.

Conclusions:

Higher degrees of frailty are associated with longer times to vascular access functional use. Frailty may be useful for informing clinical decision-making regarding choice of vascular access.

[Perioperative Medicine in Visceral Surgery in the Elderly Patient from an Anaesthesiological Perspective]

Demographic change is leading to an increasing number of old patients both in our society and in hospitals. With increasing age, not only the number of pre-existing conditions increases, but also the postoperative complication rate and mortality. Ultimately, however, it is not age that is decisive, but the condition of the patient and his or her capacity to face the physical and mental challenges of a surgical procedure. Frail patients are particularly at risk of complications, and an essential strategy - known as prehabilitation - is to put them in a better state pre-operatively through physical and mental training, as well as nutritional counselling. Delirium is one of the most frequent postoperative complications. Measures such as refraining from premedication with benzodiazepines, measuring the depth of anaesthesia, refraining from long-acting opioids, performing fast-track surgery, and providing glasses/hearing aids quickly postoperatively can reduce the risk of delirium. Close interdisciplinary consultation between surgeons, anaesthetists, geriatricians and physiotherapists is essential to coordinate the perioperative procedure and reduce the perioperative risk for elderly patients.

Validation of the Surgical Outcome Risk Tool (SORT) for Predicting Postoperative Mortality in Colorectal Cancer Patients Undergoing Surgery and Subgroup Analysis

BACKGROUND

The accurate evaluation of perioperative risk is crucial to facilitate the shared decision-making process. Surgical outcome risk tool (SORT) has been developed to provide enhanced and more feasible identification of high-risk surgical patients. Nonetheless, SORT has not been validated for patients with colorectal cancer undergoing surgery. Our aim was to determine whether SORT can accurately predict mortality after surgery for colorectal cancer and to compare it with traditional risk models.

METHOD

526 patients undergoing surgery performed by a colorectal surgical team in a single Greek tertiary hospital (2011-2019) were included. Five risk models were evaluated: (1) SORT, (2) Physiology and Operative Severity Score for the enumeration of Mortality and Morbidity (POSSUM), (3) Portsmouth POSSUM (P-POSSUM), (4) Colorectal POSSUM (CR-POSSUM), and (5) the Association of Great Britain and Ireland (ACPGBI) score. Model accuracy was assessed by observed to expected (O:E) ratios, and area under Receiver Operating Characteristic curve (AUC).

RESULTS

Ten patients (1.9%) died within 30 days of surgery. SORT was associated with an excellent level of discrimination [AUC:0.81 (95% CI:0.68-0.94); p = 0.001] and provided the best performing calibration of all models in the entire dataset analysis (H-L:2.82; p = 0.83). Nonetheless, SORT underestimated mortality. SORT model demonstrated excellent discrimination and calibration predicting perioperative mortality in patients undergoing (1) open surgery, (2) emergency/acute surgery, and (3) in cases with colon-located cancer.

CONCLUSION

SORT is an easily adopted risk-assessment tool, associated with enhanced accuracy, that could be implemented in the perioperative pathway of patients undergoing surgery for colorectal cancer.

Comparing the Performance of Different Instruments for Diagnosing Frailty and Predicting Adverse Outcomes among Elderly Patients with Gastric Cancer

OBJECTIVES

To examine the diagnostic performance of the Tilburg Frailty Indicator (TFI), 11-factor modified frailty index (mFI-11), and 5-factor modified frailty index (mFI-5) for frailty defined by Frailty Phenotype (FP), as well as to compare the predictive ability of TFI, mFI-11, and mFI-5 for adverse outcomes in hospital among elderly patients undergoing gastric cancer surgery.

DESIGN

A prospective cohort study.

SETTING

Hospitalization setting, Nanjing, China.

PARTICIPANTS

We recruited 259 elderly patients undergoing gastric cancer surgery from a tertiary hospital.

MEASUREMENTS

Frailty was assessed by the FP, TFI, mFI-11, and mFI-5 before surgery, respectively. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted to compared the diagnostic performance of TFI, mFI-11, and mFI-5 using FP as the reference. ROC curves were used to examine the performance of TFI, mFI-11, and mFI-5 in predicting adverse outcomes. The area under the curve (AUC)>0.70 was regarded as an indicator of good performance.

RESULTS

The prevalence of frailty ranged from 8.5% (mFI-11) to 45.9% (TFI). The AUCs of TFI (AUC: 0.764, p<0.001) was significantly greater than that of mFI-11 (AUC: 0.600, p=0.033) and mFI-5 (AUC: 0.600, p=0.0311) in the detection of frailty defined by FP, with quite different sensitivity and specificity at their original cutoffs. TFI and mFI-11 both had statistically significant but similarly inadequate predictive accuracy for adverse outcomes in hospital, including total complications (AUCs: 0.618; 0.621), PLOS (AUCs: 0.593; 0.639), increased hospital costs (AUCs: 0.594; 0.624), and hypoproteinemia (AUCs: 0.573; 0.600). For the mFI-5, only the predictive ability for hypoproteinemia was statistically significant, with poor accuracy (AUC: 0.592, p<0.0055).

CONCLUSION

The TFI performed slightly better than mFI-11 and mFI-5 in our study. Moreover, future studies are needed to further determine an optimal frailty instrument with great diagnostic and predictive accuracy.