Intensity of surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma determines survival in patients at risk in a hepatitis B-endemic area

Improved Survival in At-Risk Patients Undergoing Surveillance for Hepatocellular Carcinoma - A Nationwide Swedish Register-Based Study

Purpose

Surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is recommended in at-risk patients, but its effectiveness in Western populations has been questioned. The purpose was to evaluate the effect of surveillance in patients with HCC in a Northern European setting.

Patients and Methods

Data on patients diagnosed with HCC between 2009 and 2019 were collected from the nationwide Swedish National Registry for Tumors of the Liver and Bile Ducts (SweLiv). Patients who had undergone HCC surveillance were compared to those who had not (but had an obvious indication for surveillance, ie, liver cirrhosis or hepatic porphyria and an age of ≥50 years) regarding etiology, tumor burden, presence of extrahepatic spread, treatment and lead-time adjusted overall survival.

Results

A total of 4979 patients with index HCC were identified and information regarding surveillance was available in 4116 patients. Among these, 1078 had got their HCC diagnosis during surveillance, whereas 1647 had been diagnosed without surveillance despite a presumed indication. The most common underlying etiologies for HCC were hepatitis C (28.2%) and alcoholic liver disease (26.9%), and 94.8% had cirrhosis. The surveillance cohort more frequently met the University of California San Francisco-criteria (79% vs 53%, p <0.001), more often received a potentially curative treatment (62% vs 28%, p <0.001) and had less extrahepatic spread (7.6% vs 22.4% p <0.001). After adjustment for lead-time bias (sojourn time of 270 days), the surveillance group had a significantly longer estimated median survival time than the non-surveillance group (34 months vs 11 months, p <0.001). A multivariable cox regression analysis showed an adjusted hazard ratio of 0.59 (95% CI 0.51-0.67) in favor of surveillance.

Conclusion

Surveillance for HCC in at-risk patients is associated with diagnosis at an earlier tumor stage, treatment with curative intent and with improved lead-time adjusted overall survival. These findings encourage HCC surveillance of at-risk patients also in a Western population.

Proteome Multimarker Panel for the Early Detection of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Multicenter Derivation, Validation, and Comparison

Conventional methods for the surveillance of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) by imaging, with and without serum tumor markers, are suboptimal with regard to accuracy. We aimed to develop and validate a reliable serum biomarker panel for the early detection of HCC using a proteomic technique. This multicenter case-control study comprised 727 patients with HCC and patients with risk factors but no HCC. We developed a multiple reaction monitoring-mass spectrometry (MRM-MS) multimarker panel using 17 proteins from the sera of 398 patients. Area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) values of this MRM-MS panel with and without α-fetoprotein (AFP) and protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II) were compared. The combination and standalone MRM-MS panels had higher AUROC values than AFP in the training (0.940 and 0.929 vs 0.775, both P < 0.05), test (0.894 and 0.893 vs 0.593, both P < 0.05), and confirmation sets (0.961 and 0.937 vs 0.806, both P < 0.05) in detecting small single HCC. The combination and standalone MRM-MS panels had significantly higher AUROC values than the GALAD score (0.945 and 0.931 vs 0.829, both P < 0.05). Our proteome 17-protein multimarker panel distinguished HCC patients from high-risk controls and had high accuracy in the early detection of HCC.

Initial Evaluation, Long-Term Monitoring, and Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance of Chronic Hepatitis B in Routine Practice: A Nationwide US Study

INTRODUCTION

Previous studies, mostly small and single center, have shown gaps in the evaluation and monitoring of patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) virus infection. We aimed to examine the rates and predictors of adherence to guidelines for CHB care in a large nationwide cohort.

METHODS

We identified adult patients with CHB infection from the Truven MarketScan databases of commercially insured and Medicare patients with private insurance supplement (2007-2014) using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification codes. The initial evaluation cohort had at least 6 months follow-up, whereas at least 12 months was required for the long-term monitoring cohort.

RESULTS

We analyzed 55,317 eligible patients with CHB infection: mean age 46 ± 12 years, 58% men, and 14.8% with cirrhosis. Over a mean follow-up of 3.2 ± 2.3 years, 55.8% had specialist (gastroenterology or infectious diseases) visits. For initial evaluation, 59% of patients received both alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA tests, whereas only 33% had ALT, HBV DNA, and hepatitis B e antigen tests, with higher frequencies among patients with specialist visits. For long-term monitoring, only 25% had both ALT and HBV DNA tests performed annually. Among patients at higher risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (patients with cirrhosis, male patients without cirrhosis older than 40 years, and female patients without cirrhosis older than 50), less than 40% underwent annual hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance, with 25% never receiving surveillance during the study period. Predictors of optimal initial evaluation and long-term monitoring were compensated cirrhosis (odds ratio: 1.60 and 1.47, respectively) and specialist visits (odds ratio: 1.86 and 1.31, respectively) (both P < 0.001).

DISCUSSION

In this large cohort of patients with CHB infection with private insurance or Medicare with private insurance supplement, we observed poor adherence to the recommended initial evaluation and long-term monitoring. Among the predictors of adherence were specialist visits. Further efforts are needed to identify barriers and improve access to care.

Argentinian clinical practice guideline for surveillance, diagnosis, staging and treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma

The A.A.E.E.H has developed this guideline for the best care of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) from Argentina. It was done from May 2018 to March 2020. Specific clinical research questions were systematically searched. The quality of evidence and level of recommendations were organized according to GRADE. HCC surveillance is strongly recommended with abdominal ultrasound (US) every six months in the population at risk for HCC (cirrhosis, hepatitis B or hepatitis C); it is suggested to add alpha-feto protein (AFP) levels in case of inexeperienced sonographers. Imaging diagnosis in patients at risk for HCC has high specificity and tumor biopsy is not mandatory. The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer algorithm is strongly recommended for HCC staging and treatment-decision processes. Liver resection is strongly recommended for patients without portal hypertension and preserved liver function. Composite models are suggested for liver transplant selection criteria. Therapies for HCC with robust clinical evidence include transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) and first to second line systemic treatment options (sorafenib, lenvatinib, regorafenib, cabozantinib and ramucirumab). Immunotherapy with nivolumab and pembrolizumab has failed to show statistical benefit but the novel combination of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab has recently shown survival benefit over sorafenib in frontline.

Efficacy of microwave ablation versus radiofrequency ablation for hepatocellular carcinoma: a propensity score analysis

Purpose

To evaluate the efficacy and safety of radiofrequency ablation (RFA) and new-generation microwave ablation (MWA) for the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods

The propensity score matching method was applied to patients with HCC treated with MWA (93 patients) or RFA (156 patients) at a single institution from January 2014 to April 2020. The local tumor progression (LTP), intrahepatic distant recurrence (IDR), and recurrence-free survival (RFS) of the two matched therapies were analyzed using the Kaplan–Meier method. Cox proportional hazard models were used to identify risk factors for LTP and RFS. The therapeutic effects and complications of the two treatments were also compared.

Results

The LTP, IDR, and RFS of MWA and RFA were equivalent (LTP: hazard ratio [HR] = 0.87; 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.36- 2.07; P = 0.746, IDR: HR = 1.03; 95% CI 0.61–1.73; P = 0.890, RFS: HR = 1.15; 95% CI 0.69–1.91; P = 0.566). Para-vessel lesions was the only risk factor for LTP, whereas age, previous treatment, Albumin-Bilirubin score, and tumor diameter were risk factors for RFS. On the other hand, the ablation time per nodule (6.79 ± 2.73 and 9.21 ± 4.90 min; P = 0.008) and number of sessions per nodule required to achieve technical success (1.16 ± 0.39 and 1.34 ± 0.57; P = 0.009) were significantly lower in MWA than in RFA. The major complication rate of MWA and RFA was also equivalent.

Conclusion

MWA and RFA have similar therapeutic effects and safety, although MWA has advantages over RFA regarding efficacy, including shorter ablation time and fewer sessions required.

Prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma patients diagnosed under regular surveillance: potential implications for surveillance goal

AIMS

The goal of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance is to diagnose cancer at an early stage when treatment is likely to provide the best outcome and thereby, reduce mortality. However, no specific criteria define the 'early stage' for tumors diagnosed under HCC surveillance. We aimed to analyze factors that determined the outcome of HCC patients diagnosed under regular surveillance, to find out how early it is necessary to detect tumors during surveillance.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort of 874 HCC patients with preserved liver function (Child-Pugh A) who were diagnosed under regular HCC surveillance at Samsung Medical Center from 2014 to 2016 and did not receive liver transplantation as an initial treatment were analyzed. The primary outcome was overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

Tumor size, presence of vascular invasion, albumin-bilirubin grade, and initial treatment modality were independent factors for OS in multivariable analysis. When categorized according to the tumor size, the risk of mortality increased for tumors of > 3 cm, while tumors of 2-3 cm showed similar mortality risks as tumors of ≤2 cm. When categorized according to the tumor factors, curative-intent treatment (resection or ablation) can be applied to 84.5% with excellent outcomes (5-year OS rate, 93.4%), for tumors of ≤3 cm without vascular invasion.

CONCLUSIONS

When tumors of ≤3 cm were detected and had no vascular invasion, curative-intent treatment was applied for most patients and showed excellent OS. This finding suggests that to detect tumors of <3 cm without vascular invasion may be considered as the goal of HCC surveillance.

Postoperative imaging surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma: How much is enough?

BACKGROUND

The objective of the current study was to define trends in postoperative surveillance imaging following liver-directed treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and characterize the impact of high-intensity surveillance on long-term survival.

METHODS

Patients who underwent liver- directed therapy for HCC between 2004 and 2016 were identified using the SEER-Medicare database. Trends in surveillance intensity over time, factors associated with high surveillance intensity and the impact of surveillance on long-term outcomes were examined.

RESULTS

Utilization of high-intensity surveillance abdominal imaging (≥6 scans over 2 years) following liver-directed therapy of HCC decreased over time (2004-2007: n = 130, 36.1% vs. 2008-2011: n = 181, 29.5% vs. 2012-2016: n = 111, 24.5%; p_trend  < 0.001). History of chronic viral hepatitis (hepatitis B: odds ratio [OR], 1.98; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.15-3.43; hepatitis C: OR, 1.79; 95% CI: 1.32-2.43), presence of regional (vs. local-only) disease (OR, 1.47; 95% CI: 1.09-1.98) and receipt of transplantation (OR, 2.23; 95% CI: 1.57-3.17) were associated with higher odds of high intensity surveillance. Intensity of surveillance imaging was not associated with long-term survival (5-year overall survival: low-intensity, 48.1% vs. high-intensity, 48.9%; hazards ratio, 0.94; 95% CI: 0.78-1.13).

CONCLUSION

Utilization of posttreatment surveillance imaging decreased over time following liver-directed therapy for HCC. While utilization of high-intensity screening varied by HCC procedure performed, intensity of surveillance had no effect on survival.

The Impact of National Surveillance for Liver Cancer: Results from Real-World Setting in Korea

Background/Aims

The National Liver Cancer Surveillance Program (NLCSP) was established in 2003 to reduce the socioeconomic burden imposed by liver cancer (LC). We aimed to investigate the effectiveness of the NLCSP in South Korea with respect to survival benefits and cost, after adjusting for various confounding factors.

Methods

We used the National Health Insurance Service claims data linked with the NLCSP from 2004 to 2015. The Cox proportional hazard model and generalized linear model were used to determine the effects of the NLCSP on the early detection of LC, survival, and medical costs.

Results

From 2006 to 2010, 66,632 patients (surveillance group: 10,527 and no surveillance group: 56,105) newly diagnosed with LC were included in the study. The odds of the early detection of LC was 1.82 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.73 to 1.93) times higher among patients who participated in the NLCSP once within the 2-year period prior to the diagnosis of LC than among those who did not participate in the surveillance program. The mortality rate of patients who participated in the NLCSP was 22.0% lower (hazard ratio, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.76 to 0.80) than that of those who did not participate. When compared with the group who did not participate in surveillance, the group who participated in the NLCSP had higher total medical costs; however, their cost per day was lower after adjustment during the follow-up period.

Conclusions

This study highlights the survival benefit in patients who participated in the NLCSP and the need for continuous improvements of the NLCSP in South Korea.

Surveillance Strategy for Patients With BCLC Stage B Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Achieving Complete Remission: Data From the Real World

Purpose: There is a lack of consensus on the surveillance strategy for Barcelona Clinic liver cancer (BCLC) stage B hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with complete remission (CR). We performed a real-world, retrospective analysis of the surveillance strategy for BCLC stage B HCC patients after radical therapy with CR to support clinical decision-making.

Materials and Methods: We analyzed 546 BCLC stage B HCC patients with CR after radical treatments (surgery/ablation) at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, from January 2007 to December 2019. The intensity of surveillance interval was defined as the mean of surveillance interval within 2 years. The primary endpoint of the study was overall survival (OS) and extra-Milan criteria relapse.

Results: During a median follow-up time of 23.9 months (range = 3.1–148.3 months), there were 11.9% of patients died, 56.6% of patients developed recurrence, the vast majority of patients experienced recurrence within 2 years, and 27.8% patients developed extra-Milan criteria recurrence. The median disease-free survival and OS were 33.6 and 60.0 months, respectively. Patients were divided into regular surveillance group (RS) (≤4.3 months) and irregular surveillance (IRS) group (>4.3 months) based on the optimal cutoff value of the intensity of surveillance interval. The RS group owned a lower incident of extra-Milan criteria relapse and smaller and fewer tumors at recurrence than IRS group, which contributed to the prolonged OS. Besides, the cutoff values of surveillance interval that could lead to significant differences in the incidence of extra-Milan criteria relapse during 0–6, 6–12, and 12–18 months after CR were 2.6, 2.9, and 3 months, respectively.

Conclusions: The average surveillance interval for patients with BCLC stage B HCC achieved CR should not exceed 4.3 months during the first 2 years' follow-up. During three different phases of the initial 18 months after CR, individualized surveillance showed intervals no more than 3 months were required to reduce the incidence of extra-Milan criteria relapse.

Improved detection of hepatocellular carcinoma by dynamic computed tomography in cirrhotic patients with chronic hepatitis B: A multicenter study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Current guidelines for chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients are to undergo surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with 6-monthly ultrasonography (US). However, sensitivities of US to detect early-stage HCC in cirrhotic patients are suboptimal. We aimed to compare overall survival and detection rates of very-early-stage HCC in two groups: group A, undergoing 6-monthly US versus group B, undergoing 6-monthly US alternating with dynamic computed tomography (CT).

METHODS

This retrospective multicenter study assessed 1235 cirrhotic patients with CHB under entecavir/tenofovir therapy from 2007 to 2016. The primary endpoint was overall survival rates between the two groups. The Cox proportional hazards model and propensity score matching analyses were used to assess the effect of surveillance modalities on overall survival and detection of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage 0 HCC after balancing.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 4.5 years, 10-year cumulative HCC incidence rates of 16.3% were significantly higher in group B (n = 576) than 13.7% in group A (n = 659; P < 0.001). However, in patients with HCC, 10-year overall survival rates of 85.1% were significantly higher in group B than 65.6% in group A (P = 0.001 by log-rank test). CT exam alternating with US was independently associated with reduced overall mortality (hazard ratio 0.47, P = 0.02). Cumulative incidence of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage 0 HCC was significantly higher in group B than in group A (hazard ratio 2.82, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

In cirrhotic patients with CHB, dynamic CT exam alternating with US led to higher detection rates of very-early-stage HCC and benefit of overall survival than did US exams.

Only one-third of hepatocellular carcinoma cases are diagnosed via screening or surveillance: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND/OBJECTS

Early hepatocellular carcinoma diagnosis is associated with better long-term survival. Studies of at-risk patients who are monitored in routine practice have reported an overall adherence rate to hepatocellular carcinoma screening/surveillance of approximately 60% and suboptimal diagnostic efficacy of the current screening/surveillance tools. However, it is unclear how many hepatocellular carcinoma patients were actually diagnosed via screening/surveillance given these obstacles. Therefore, via a systematic review of PubMed and Scopus databases from 2000 to 2019, we aimed to identify the proportion of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma diagnosed via screening/surveillance in routine practice.

METHODS

We included original research articles of studies of patients already diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma that reported the proportion of hepatocellular carcinoma diagnosed via screening/surveillance.

RESULTS

The study included 60 studies and 50 554 hepatocellular carcinoma cases. The pooled proportion of hepatocellular carcinoma diagnosed by screening/surveillance was 37% (95% confidence interval: 31%-44%) and differed by geographic region (North America/Asia/Europe/Oceania/Africa/South America, 31%/42%/41%/30%/29%/47%, P = 0.017, respectively) and by surveillance interval (<12 months 39% vs. 12 months 19%, P < 0.01) but not by disease etiology, cirrhosis status, clinical setting, practice setting, hepatocellular carcinoma diagnosis period, or surveillance method.

CONCLUSION

Globally, hepatocellular carcinoma was diagnosed via screening/surveillance in less than half of the patients (37%) regardless of healthcare setting or liver disease etiology and without improvement over time despite several recent guideline updates. Research is needed to understand the barriers to screening/surveillance to include medical as well as social and cultural influences.

Surveillance for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Does the Place Where Ultrasound Is Performed Impact Its Effectiveness?

BACKGROUND

Biannual ultrasound (US) is recommended as the clinical screening tool for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The effectiveness of surveillance according to the place where US is performed has not been previously reported.

AIMS

To compare the effectiveness of US performed in the center responsible for follow-up as opposed to US proceeding from centers other than that of follow-up.

METHODS

This is a multicenter cohort study from Argentina. The last US was categorized as done in the same center or done in a different center from the institution of the patient's follow-up. Surveillance failure was defined as HCC diagnosis not meeting Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stages 0-A or when no nodules were observed at HCC diagnosis.

RESULTS

From 533 patients with HCC, 62.4% were under routine surveillance with a surveillance failure of 38.8%. After adjusting for a propensity score matching, BCLC stage and lead-time survival bias, surveillance was associated with a significant survival benefit [HR of 0.51 (CI 0.38; 0.69)]. Among patients under routine surveillance (n = 345), last US was performed in the same center in 51.6% and in a different center in 48.4%. Similar rates of surveillance failure were observed between US done in the same or in a different center (32% vs. 26.3%; P = 0.25). Survival was not significantly different between both surveillance modalities [HR 0.79 (CI 0.53; 1.20)].

CONCLUSIONS

Routine surveillance for HCC in the daily practice improved survival either when performed in the same center or in a different center from that of patient's follow-up.

Microwave vs radiofrequency ablation for hepatocellular carcinoma within the Milan criteria: a propensity score analysis

BACKGROUND

Whether microwave ablation (MWA) challenges the standard role of radiofrequency ablation (RFA) in treating early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains unclear.

AIM

To compare the efficacy of MWA vs RFA for treating primary HCC within the Milan criteria.

METHODS

From January 2002 to January 2017, the oncological outcomes after MWA (126 patients) and RFA (436 patients) were analysed by propensity score matching.

RESULTS

Before propensity score matching, for overall patients, MWA resulted in similar 5-year overall survival to RFA (80.1% vs 75.8%, P = 0.190) but better 5-year recurrence-free survival (28.1% vs 19.6%, P = 0.036). For solitary HCC ≤ 3 cm, MWA resulted in comparable 5-year overall survival (81.8% vs 77.1%, P = 0.170) to RFA but better 5-year recurrence-free survival (34.6% vs 24.0%, P = 0.042). After propensity score matching, MWA resulted in better 5-year overall survival (79.3% vs 68.4%, P = 0.021) and 5-year recurrence-free survival (27.9% vs 6.4%, P < 0.001) than RFA for HCC. For solitary HCC ≤3 cm, MWA resulted in comparable 5-year overall survival (81.2% vs 66.3%, P = 0.062) and 5-year recurrence-free survival (37.7% vs 17.4%, P = 0.088) to RFA. In Cox analysis, RFA modality, tumours located in risk areas and low serum albumin levels were unfavourable prognostic factors for overall survival. RFA modality, multiple tumours, tumour size and low serum albumin levels were unfavourable prognostic factors for recurrence-free survival (all P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

RFA is inferior to MWA for treating HCC within the Milan criteria, but has comparable efficacy to MWA for solitary HCC ≤ 3 cm.