Evaluation of a pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic model for hypouricaemic effects of febuxostat using datasets obtained from real-world patients

The PHARMACOM-EPI Framework for Integrating Pharmacometric Modelling Into Pharmacoepidemiological Research Using Real-World Data: Application to Assess Death Associated With Valproate

In pharmacoepidemiology, it is usually expected that the observed association should be directly or indirectly related to the pharmacological effects of the drug/s under investigation. Pharmacological effects are, in turn, strongly connected to the pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic properties of a drug, which can be characterized and investigated using pharmacometric models. Recently, the use of pharmacometrics has been proposed to provide pharmacological substantiation of pharmacoepidemiological findings derived from real-world data. However, validated frameworks suggesting how to combine these two disciplines for the aforementioned purpose are missing. Therefore, we propose PHARMACOM-EPI, a framework that provides a structured approach on how to identify, characterize, and apply pharmacometric models with practical details on how to choose software, format dataset, handle missing covariates/dosing data, how to perform the external evaluation of pharmacometric models in real-world data, and how to provide pharmacological substantiation of pharmacoepidemiological findings. PHARMACOM-EPI was tested in a proof-of-concept study to pharmacologically substantiate death associated with valproate use in the Danish population aged ≥ 65 years. Pharmacological substantiation of death during a follow-up period of 1 year showed that in all individuals who died (n = 169) individual predictions were within the subtherapeutic range compared with 52.8% of those who did not die (n = 1,084). Of individuals who died, 66.3% (n = 112) had a cause of death possibly related to valproate and 33.7% (n = 57) with well-defined cause of death unlikely related to valproate. This proof-of-concept study showed that PHARMACOM-EPI was able to provide pharmacological substantiation for death associated with valproate use in the study population.

Evaluation of a pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic model for hypouricaemic effects of febuxostat using datasets obtained from real-world patients

AIM

Febuxostat is an active xanthine oxidase (XO) inhibitor which is widely used in the treatment of hyperuricaemia. We aimed to evaluate the predictive performance of a pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic (PK-PD) model of the hypouricaemic effects of febuxostat.

METHODS

Previously, we formulated a PK-PD model for predicting the hypouricaemic effects of febuxostat as a function of baseline serum urate levels, body weight, renal function and drug dose, using datasets reported in preapproval studies. Using an updated model with a sensitivity analysis, we examined the predictive performance of the PK-PD model, using datasets obtained from the medical records of patients who received febuxostat from March 2011 to December 2015 at Tokyo Women's Medical University Hospital. Multivariate regression analysis was performed to explore clinical variables to improve the predictive performance of the model.

RESULTS

A total of 1199 serum urate values were retrieved from 168 patients (age: 60.5 ± 17.7 years; 71.4% male) who were receiving febuxostat as a treatment for hyperuricaemia. There was a significant correlation (r = 0.68; P < 0.01) between the serum urate levels observed and those predicted by the modified PK-PD model. A multivariate regression analysis revealed that the predictive performance of the model could be improved further by considering comorbidities (such as diabetes mellitus), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and the coadministration of loop diuretics (r = 0.77, P < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

The PK-PD model may be useful for predicting individualized maintenance doses of febuxostat in real-world patients.