Predicting keratinocyte carcinoma in patients with actinic keratosis: development and internal validation of a multivariable risk-prediction model

The causal effects of atopic dermatitis on the risk of skin cancers: A two-sample Mendelian randomization study

BACKGROUND

Observational and epidemiological studies show conflicting results on the relationship between atopic dermatitis and skin cancer. Additionally, observational studies are susceptible to the reverse causation and confounders, thus, may not interpret true causal relationships. The causal effects of atopic dermatitis on the risk of skin cancers remains unclear.

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the causal relationship between atopic dermatitis and skin cancer including cutaneous malignant melanoma, cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma, basal cell carcinoma and actinic keratosis.

METHODS

We performed a two-sample Mendelian randomization analysis based on summary datasets of public genome-wide association studies of European ancestry. The inverse variance-weighted approach was applied as the main analysis. MR-Egger and weighted median methods were used to complement the inverse variance-weighted results. A series of sensitivity analyses were used to ensure the robustness of the causality estimates.

RESULTS

Inverse variance-weighted method showed that genetically predicted dermatitis patients were significantly associated with an increased incidence of basal cell carcinoma (OR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.10-1.31; p = 4.07E-05) and cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (OR, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.10-1.19; p = 1.05E-11). However, we did not find a significant causality for atopic dermatitis on melanoma neither did we find actinic keratosis. Subsequent sensitive analyses supported these results.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study identified the causality between atopic dermatitis basal cell carcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma. Accordingly, regular skin cancer screening is recommended for patients with atopic dermatitis.

The Rotterdam Study. Design update and major findings between 2020 and 2024

The Rotterdam Study is a population-based cohort study, started in 1990 in the district of Ommoord in the city of Rotterdam, the Netherlands, with the aim to describe the prevalence and incidence, unravel the etiology, and identify targets for prediction, prevention or intervention of multifactorial diseases in mid-life and elderly. The study currently includes 17,931 participants (overall response rate 65%), aged 40 years and over, who are examined in-person every 3 to 5 years in a dedicated research facility, and who are followed-up continuously through automated linkage with health care providers, both regionally and nationally. Research within the Rotterdam Study is carried out along two axes. First, research lines are oriented around diseases and clinical conditions, which are reflective of medical specializations. Second, cross-cutting research lines transverse these clinical demarcations allowing for inter- and multidisciplinary research. These research lines generally reflect subdomains within epidemiology. This paper describes recent methodological updates and main findings from each of these research lines. Also, future perspective for coming years highlighted.

Evaluating the Efficacy and Safety of 4% 5-Fluorouracil Cream in Patients with Actinic Keratosis: An Expert Opinion

Actinic keratosis is a lesion that develops in sun-exposed areas of the skin and is considered to be a precancerous condition or an early in situ squamous cell carcinoma. Treatment of actinic keratosis is important for reducing skin cancer risk, with treatment choice based on patient-, lesion- and treatment-related considerations. Of the topical treatments used for field-directed therapy, those containing 5-fluorouracil are among the most effective and widely prescribed. The most recently developed topical 5-fluorouracil preparation (Tolak®; Pierre Fabre, France) contains 4% 5-fluorouracil in an aqueous cream. This narrative review discusses data on 4% 5-fluorouracil cream to treat actinic keratosis, and provides the authors' expert opinion on issues associated with it use. The effect of the cream has been evaluated in phase 2 and 3 trials of adult patients with actinic keratosis on the face, ears or scalp. These trials included patients with severe baseline disease, defined by high lesion counts and large-size treatment fields, which possibly affected the proportion of patients who were able to achieve complete clearance. Other efficacy parameters (e.g. percentage change in lesion count, ≥ 75% clearance of lesions or clinically significant changes in validated severity scales) should also be assessed to fully evaluate 4% 5-fluorouracil treatment efficacy in these patients. Nevertheless, 4% 5-fluorouracil is associated with high efficacy, a low level of recurrence and a satisfactory safety profile.

Where Artificial Intelligence Can Take Us in the Management and Understanding of Cancerization Fields

Squamous cell carcinoma and its precursor lesion actinic keratosis are often found together in areas of skin chronically exposed to sun, otherwise called cancerisation fields. The clinical assessment of cancerisation fields and the correct diagnosis of lesions within these fields is usually challenging for dermatologists. The recent adoption of skin cancer diagnostic imaging techniques, particularly LC-OCT, helps clinicians in guiding treatment decisions of cancerization fields in a non-invasive way. The combination of artificial intelligence and non-invasive skin imaging opens up many possibilities as AI can perform tasks impossible for humans in a reasonable amount of time. In this text we review past examples of the application of AI to dermatological images for actinic keratosis/squamous cell carcinoma diagnosis, and we discuss about the prospects of the application of AI for the characterization and management of cancerization fields.

Longitudinal Assessment of the Prevalence of Actinic Keratosis and Extensive Risk Factor Evaluation: An Update from the Rotterdam Study

Population-based studies available to analyze the prevalence, risk factors, and longitudinal outlook of actinic keratoses (AKs) are limited. These features mentioned earlier were assessed using Rotterdam study participants aged ≥40 years who underwent a full-body skin examination by a dermatology-trained physician. ORs with 95% confidence intervals were calculated for the associations between risk factors and the presence of AK. Among 8,239 eligible participants, the prevalence of one or more AKs was 21.1% (95% confidence interval = 20.2-22.0) and was higher in men. Male sex, age, lighter hair and eye color, baldness, genetic risk score, and digital photoaging measures (digitally assessed pigmented spots, telangiectasias, and global facial wrinkling) had a positive association with AK. Cigarette smokers had reduced odds of having AK, with current smokers having the lowest risk. Among patients with two AK assessments, there was no difference in the presence of AK during follow-up between treated and untreated participants. In conclusion, genetic risk score and digital photoaging measures showed associations with increased lesion count. At the individual level, patients were most likely to decrease in AK severity group over time, possibly regardless of whether or not participants were treated.

Patterns and cost of care according to keratinocyte cancer risk stratification in a volunteer population screening clinic: Real-world data from the TRoPICS study

BACKGROUND

Risk prediction tools have been developed for keratinocyte cancers (KCs) to effectively categorize individuals with different levels of skin cancer burden. Few have been clinically validated nor routinely used in clinical settings.

OBJECTIVES

To assess whether risk prediction tool categories associate with interventions including chemoprophylaxis for skin cancer, and health-care costs in a dermatologist-run screening clinic.

METHODS

Adult participants who presented to a walk-in screening facility were invited to participate. A self-completed KC risk prediction tool was used to classify participants into one of the five risk categories. Participants subsequently underwent full skin examination by a dermatologist. Dermatological interventions and skin cancer-related medical prescriptions were documented. Total health-care costs, both to the health-care system and patients were evaluated.

RESULTS

Of the 507 participants recruited, 5-fluorouracil cream and nicotinamide were more frequently prescribed in the higher risk groups as chemoprophylaxis (p < 0.005). A significant association with high predicted risk was also observed in the use of cryotherapy and curettage and cautery (p < 0.05). The average health-care costs associated with a skin check visit increased from $90 ± 37 (standard deviation) in the lowest risk group to $149 ± 97 in the highest risk group (p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

We observed a positive association between higher predicted risk of skin cancer and the prescription of chemoprophylaxis and health-care costs involved with opportunistic community skin cancer screening. A clinical use of risk stratification may be to provide an opportunity for clinicians to discuss skin cancer prevention and chemoprophylaxis with individual patients.

Sun exposure and protection habits in transplant athletes: An international survey

BACKGROUND

Transplant recipients are particularly prone to the development of skin cancer, and overexposure to UV radiation during outdoor activities increases the risk of carcinogenesis.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to analyze sun-related behaviors and knowledge in transplant athletes, examine the frequency of sunburns, and explore associations with a history of skin cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Cross-sectional descriptive study. Participants (n = 170) in the XXI World Transplant Games from >50 countries completed a questionnaire on sun protection habits and knowledge, type of transplant, immunosuppressive therapy, and personal history of skin cancer.

RESULTS

The most common transplanted organs were the kidney (n = 79), the liver (n = 33), and the heart (n = 31). Overall, 61.3% of athletes had been doing sport for >15 years and 79.5% spent >1-2 h a day outdoors. Fifteen % of athletes had a history of skin cancer. The prevalence of sunburn in the previous year was 28.9%, higher in athletes aged <50 years (37.2%); without a primary school education (58.3%), not taking cyclosporin (32.6%), and athletes who played basketball (75%). The main sun protection measures used were sunscreen (68.9%) and sunglasses (67.3%). Use of a hat or cap was the only measure significantly associated with a reduced prevalence of sunburn.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite high awareness that sun exposure increases the risk of skin cancer, sunburn was common in transplant athletes. Efforts should be made to strengthen multidisciplinary sun protection education strategies and ensure periodic dermatologic follow-up to prevent sun-induced skin cancer in this population.

The Multidisciplinary Management of Cutaneous Squamous Cell Carcinoma: A Comprehensive Review and Clinical Recommendations by a Panel of Experts

Cutaneous squamous cell carcinomas (CSCC) account for about 20% of all keratinocyte carcinomas, which are the most common form of cancer. Heterogeneity of treatments and low mortality are a challenge in obtaining accurate incidence data and consistent registration in cancer registries. Indeed, CSCC mostly presents as an indolent, low-risk lesion, with five-year cure rates greater than 90% after surgical excision, and only few tumors are associated with a high-risk of local or distant relapse; therefore, it is particularly relevant to identify high-risk lesions among all other low-risk CSCCs for the proper diagnostic and therapeutic management. Chemotherapy achieves mostly short-lived responses that do not lead to a curative effect and are associated with severe toxicities. Due to an etiopathogenesis largely relying on chronic UV radiation exposure, CSCC is among the tumors with the highest rate of somatic mutations, which are associated with increased response rates to immunotherapy. Thanks to such strong pre-clinical rationale, clinical trials led to the approval of anti-PD-1 cemiplimab by the FDA (Food and Drug Administration) and EMA (European Medicines Agency), and anti-PD-1 pembrolizumab by the FDA only. Here, we provide a literature review and clinical recommendations by a panel of experts regarding the diagnosis, treatment, and follow-up of CSCC.

Farm vehicle crashes on public roads: Analysis of farm-level factors

PURPOSE

Rural public roads experience higher crash fatality rates than other roadways, with agricultural equipment adding greater risk of injury and fatality. This study set out to describe farmers' experiences with farm equipment crashes and predictors of crashes at the farm level.

METHODS

A survey of farm operators was conducted in 9 Midwestern states (IL, IA, KS, MN, MO, NE, ND, SD, and WI) in collaboration with the US Department of Agriculture's National Agricultural Statistical Service.

FINDINGS

From 1,282 farms operating equipment on public roads in 2013, 7.6% of farmers reported that equipment from their farm had ever been in a crash (n = 97). Crashes occurred most often in June-August (44.0%) and were most often reported as being during the daytime (71.3%), on dry roads (79.4%), or in clear weather (71.4%). While most farmers responded that they were driving the farm equipment at the time of the crash (52.0%), nearly half of crashes involved their employees as the driver (48.0%). Crashes often went unreported to law enforcement (28.6%).

CONCLUSION

To illustrate crash probabilities for farms with different profiles, we included farm acreage, crop farming, vehicle horsepower, annual miles driven, and the total number of farm vehicles driven on public roads in a predictive model. Large crop farms of 241+ acres, those who drove farm vehicles 1,430+ miles per year, and those with 20 or more farm vehicles had the highest probability of crash of 0.14.

In-Vivo LC-OCT Evaluation of the Downward Proliferation Pattern of Keratinocytes in Actinic Keratosis in Comparison with Histology: First Impressions from a Pilot Study

It is known that actinic keratoses (AKs) can progress to invasive squamous cell carcinoma (SCC). The histological PRO grading of AKs is based on the growth pattern of basal keratinocytes and relates to their progression risk. AKs can be non-invasively characterized by line-field confocal optical coherence tomography (LC-OCT). The aim of the study was to define criteria for an LC-OCT grading of AKs based on the PRO classification and to correlate it with its histological counterpart. To evaluate the interobserver agreement for the LC-OCT PRO classification, fifty AKs were imaged by LC-OCT and biopsied for histopathology. PRO histological grading was assessed by an expert consensus, while two evaluator groups separately performed LC-OCT grading on vertical sections. The agreement between LC-OCT and histological PRO grading was 75% for all lesions (weighted kappa 0.66, 95% CI 0.48-0.83, p ≤ 0.001) and 85.4% when comparing the subgroups PRO I vs. PRO II/III (weighted kappa 0.64, 95% CI 0.40-0.88, p ≤ 0.001). The interobserver agreement for LC-OCT was 90% (Cohen's kappa 0.84, 95% CI 0.71-0.91, p ≤ 0.001). In this pilot study, we demonstrated that LC-OCT is potentially able to classify AKs based on the basal growth pattern of keratinocytes, in-vivo reproducing the PRO classification, with strong interobserver agreement and a good correlation with histopathology.

Assessment of Cutaneous Squamous Cell Carcinoma (cSCC) In situ Incidence and the Risk of Developing Invasive cSCC in Patients With Prior cSCC In situ vs the General Population in the Netherlands, 1989-2017

Importance

The incidence rates of keratinocyte cancer are increasing globally; however, the incidence rates of cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC) in situ and the risk of developing subsequent invasive cSCC remain unknown.

Objective

To estimate annual population-based age-standardized incidence rates of histopathologically confirmed cSCC in situ stratified by sex, age, and body site and to assess the risk of developing invasive cSCC among patients with cSCC in situ compared with the general population.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This nationwide epidemiological population-based cohort study used cancer registry data to identify all patients with a first incident of histopathologically confirmed cSCC in situ between January 1, 1989, and December 31, 2017. In addition, all patients with cSCC in situ who subsequently had a first incident of invasive cSCC were identified up to June 11, 2019. Data were analyzed between March 18 and November 12, 2019.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Age-standardized incidence rates per year for cSCC in situ, standardized to the 2013 edition of the European Standard Population, were calculated by sex, age, and body site. Cumulative risks, standardized incidence ratios, and absolute excess risks were calculated to assess the risk of invasive cSCC in patients with cSCC in situ compared with the general population.

Results

In this population-based cohort study of 88 754 patients with a first incident of cSCC in situ between January 1, 1989, and December 31, 2017, 58.8% were women; the median age was 75 years (interquartile range [IQR], 67-82 years) for women and 73 years (IQR, 65-80 years) for men. Increasing incidence rates were observed, with the highest incidence rates in 2017 among women in general (71.7 cases per 100 000 person-years) and among men 80 years and older (540.9 cases per 100 000 person-years). The most common body site among women was the face (15.9 cases per 100 000 person-years) and among men was the scalp and/or neck (12.3 cases per 100 000 person-years). After 5 years of follow-up, among patients with cSCC in situ, the cumulative risk of developing an invasive cSCC at any anatomic location was 11.7% (95% CI, 11.6%-11.9%) in men and 6.9% (95% CI, 6.8%-7.0%) in women (P < .001). The standardized incidence ratio was highest in the first year of follow-up among both men (16.6; 95% CI, 15.7-17.5) and women (15.1; 95% CI, 14.2-16.1).

Conclusions and Relevance

This study reports the first nationwide incidence rates of cSCC in situ to date. The increasing incidence rates of cSCC in situ and the high risk of developing invasive cSCC among patients with cSCC in situ may increase the health care burden associated with precursors of keratinocyte cancer and highlight the need to include cutaneous skin cancer precursor lesions when exploring policies to address skin cancer care.