Survival is excellent for most patients with thin melanoma, but patients may die from thin melanoma

A Prognostic Model for Cancer-Specific Survival Among Patients with Nodular Melanoma in Head and Neck

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to evaluate the correlation between risk factors and treatment methods affecting nodular melanoma (NM) in the head and neck, as well as cancer-specific survival (CSS), and provide personalized predictive tools for clinical physicians.

METHODS

The retrospective study data of 1848 patients were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. All variables were included in the correlation analysis using the Spearman method. Significant prognostic factors were extracted and integrated through Cox risk regression analysis to construct a nomogram. To assess the performance of the nomogram, Harrell's concordance index (C-index) and a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis were employed.

RESULTS

Spearman's correlation analysis revealed a positive correlation between radiotherapy and lymph node metastasis, whereas chemotherapy showed a stronger association with distant metastasis. However, Cox risk regression analysis demonstrated that Mohs surgery and wide excision with margins exceeding 1 cm yielded substantial therapeutic advantages. Five independent risk prognostic factors (Breslow thickness, ulceration, N classification, M classification, and surgery type) were employed to construct a nomogram. The C-index for this nomogram was 0.713 for the training set and 0.720 for the validation set. In the training set, the 3-, 5-, and 8-year areas under the curve (AUCs) for CSS were 0.752, 0.723, and 0.720, whereas the validation set's AUCs were 0.754, 0.763, and 0.760, respectively. Calibration curves indicated the nomogram's strong discriminative ability for predicting CSS.

CONCLUSION

In this study, we identified independent prognostic factors for patients with NM in head and neck and developed a relatively accurate model to predict the survival probability of them, which could contribute to the tumor assessment and clinical decision-making.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

3 Laryngoscope, 134:3611-3619, 2024.

Topographical and Chronological Analysis of Thin Cutaneous Melanoma's Progressions: A Multicentric Study

A great portion of cutaneous melanoma's diagnoses nowadays is attributed to thin tumors with up to 1 mm in Breslow thickness (hereafter thin CMs), which occasionally metastasize. The objective of this study was to identify thin CM's metastatic patterns from a topographical and chronological standpoint. A total of 204 cases of metastatic thin CMs from five specialized centers were included in the study, and corresponding data were collected (clinical, epidemiological, histopathological information of primary tumor and the number, anatomical site, and time intervals of their progressions). First progressions occurred locally, in regional lymph nodes, and in a distant site in 24%, 15% and 61% of cases, respectively, with a median time to first progression of 3.10 years (IQR: 1.09-5.24). The median elapsed time between the first and second progression and between the second and third progression was 0.82 (IQR: 0.34-1.97) and 0.49 (IQR: 0.21-2.30) years, respectively, while the median survival time was about 4 years since first progression. Furthermore, the sequences of locations and time intervals of the progressions were associated with the clinicopathological and demographic features of the primary tumors along with the features of the preceding progressions. In conclusion, the findings of this study describe the natural history of thin CMs, thus highlighting the necessity to identify subgroups of thin CMs at a higher risk for metastasis and contributing to the optimization of the management and follow-up of thin CM patients.