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Yu X, Chen W, Han W, Wu P, Shen Y, Huang Y, Xin S, Wu S, Zhao S, Sun H, Lei G, Wang Z, Xue F, Zhang L, Gu W, Jiang J. Prediction of complications associated with general surgery using a Bayesian network. Surgery 2023; 174:1227-1234. [PMID: 37633812 DOI: 10.1016/j.surg.2023.07.022] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/02/2023] [Revised: 07/16/2023] [Accepted: 07/18/2023] [Indexed: 08/28/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Numerous attempts have been made to identify risk factors for surgery complications, but few studies have identified accurate methods of predicting complex outcomes involving multiple complications. METHODS We performed a prospective cohort study of general surgical inpatients who attended 4 regionally representative hospitals in China from January to June 2015 and January to June 2016. The risk factors were identified using logistic regression. A Bayesian network model, consisting of directed arcs and nodes, was used to analyze the relationships between risk factors and complications. Probability ratios for complications for a given node state relative to the baseline probability were calculated to quantify the potential effects of risk factors on complications or of complications on other complications. RESULTS We recruited 19,223 participants and identified 21 nodes, representing 9 risk factors and 12 complications, and 55 direct relationships between these. Respiratory failure was at the center of the network, directly affected by 5 risk factors, and directly affected 7 complications. Cardiopulmonary resuscitation and sepsis or septic shock also directly affected death. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the ability of the network to predict complications was >0.7. Notably, the probability of other severe complications or death significantly increased when a severe complication occurred. Most importantly, there was a 141-fold higher risk of death when cardiopulmonary resuscitation was required. CONCLUSION We have created a Bayesian network that displays how risk factors affect complications and their interrelationships and permits the accurate prediction of complications and the creation of appropriate preventive guidelines.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiaochu Yu
- Department of Nephrology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Wangyue Chen
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Institute of Basic Medical Sciences, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences/School of Basic Medicine, Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Wei Han
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Institute of Basic Medical Sciences, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences/School of Basic Medicine, Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Peng Wu
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Institute of Basic Medical Sciences, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences/School of Basic Medicine, Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Yubing Shen
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Institute of Basic Medical Sciences, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences/School of Basic Medicine, Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Yuguang Huang
- Department of Anaesthesiology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Shijie Xin
- Department of Vascular and Thyroid Surgery, The First Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, Liaoning Province, China
| | - Shizheng Wu
- Institute of Geriatric, Qinghai Provincial People's Hospital, Xining, China
| | - Shengxiu Zhao
- Department of Nursing, Qinghai Provincial People's Hospital, Xining, China
| | - Hong Sun
- Department of Otolaryngology-Skull Base Surgery, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan Province, China
| | - Guanghua Lei
- Department of Orthopaedics, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan Province, China
| | - Zixing Wang
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Institute of Basic Medical Sciences, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences/School of Basic Medicine, Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Fang Xue
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Institute of Basic Medical Sciences, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences/School of Basic Medicine, Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Luwen Zhang
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Institute of Basic Medical Sciences, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences/School of Basic Medicine, Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Wentao Gu
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Institute of Basic Medical Sciences, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences/School of Basic Medicine, Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Jingmei Jiang
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Institute of Basic Medical Sciences, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences/School of Basic Medicine, Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
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Gao S, Jiang Y, Yao Y, Li S, Cai X. Minimally invasive techniques for lateral maxillary sinus floor elevation: small lateral window and one-stage surgery-a 2-5-year retrospective study. Int J Oral Sci 2023; 15:28. [PMID: 37433766 DOI: 10.1038/s41368-023-00233-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/27/2023] [Revised: 06/15/2023] [Accepted: 06/15/2023] [Indexed: 07/13/2023] Open
Abstract
This study aimed to introduce a minimally invasive technique for maxillary sinus floor elevation using the lateral approach (lSFE) and to determine the factors that influence the stability of the grafted area in the sinus cavity. Thirty patients (30 implants) treated with lSFE using minimally invasive techniques from 2015 to 2019 were included in the study. Five aspects of the implant (central, mesial, distal, buccal, and palatal bone heights [BHs]) were measured using cone-beam computed tomography (CBCT) before implant surgery, immediately after surgery (T0), 6 months after surgery (T1), and at the last follow-up visit (T2). Patients' characteristics were collected. A small bone window (height, (4.40 ± 0.74) mm; length, (6.26 ± 1.03) mm) was prepared. No implant failed during the follow-up period (3.67 ± 1.75) years. Three of the 30 implants exhibited perforations. Changes in BH of the five aspects of implants showed strong correlations with each other and BH decreased dramatically before second-stage surgery. Residual bone height (RBH) did not significantly influence BH changes, whereas smoking status and type of bone graft materials were the potentially influential factors. During the approximate three-year observation period, lSFE with a minimally invasive technique demonstrated high implant survival rate and limited bone reduction in grafted area. In conclusion, lSFE using minimally invasive techniques was a viable treatment option. Patients who were nonsmokers and whose sinus cavity was filled with deproteinized bovine bone mineral (DBBM) had significantly limited bone resorption in grafted area.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shaojingya Gao
- State Key Laboratory of Oral Diseases, West China Hospital of Stomatology, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Yao Jiang
- Department of Demography, Zhou Enlai School of Government, Nankai University, Tianjin, China
| | - Yangxue Yao
- State Key Laboratory of Oral Diseases, West China Hospital of Stomatology, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Songhang Li
- State Key Laboratory of Oral Diseases, West China Hospital of Stomatology, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Xiaoxiao Cai
- State Key Laboratory of Oral Diseases, West China Hospital of Stomatology, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
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Facial biotype classification for orthodontic treatment planning using an alternative learning algorithm for tree augmented Naive Bayes. BMC Med Inform Decis Mak 2022; 22:316. [PMID: 36456974 PMCID: PMC9713997 DOI: 10.1186/s12911-022-02062-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/07/2022] [Accepted: 11/22/2022] [Indexed: 12/05/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND When designing a treatment in orthodontics, especially for children and teenagers, it is crucial to be aware of the changes that occur throughout facial growth because the rate and direction of growth can greatly affect the necessity of using different treatment mechanics. This paper presents a Bayesian network approach for facial biotype classification to classify patients' biotypes into Dolichofacial (long and narrow face), Brachyfacial (short and wide face), and an intermediate kind called Mesofacial, we develop a novel learning technique for tree augmented Naive Bayes (TAN) for this purpose. RESULTS The proposed method, on average, outperformed all the other models based on accuracy, precision, recall, [Formula: see text], and kappa, for the particular dataset analyzed. Moreover, the proposed method presented the lowest dispersion, making this model more stable and robust against different runs. CONCLUSIONS The proposed method obtained high accuracy values compared to other competitive classifiers. When analyzing a resulting Bayesian network, many of the interactions shown in the network had an orthodontic interpretation. For orthodontists, the Bayesian network classifier can be a helpful decision-making tool.
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Valentini P, Artzi Z. Sinus augmentation procedure via the lateral window technique-Reducing invasiveness and preventing complications: A narrative review. Periodontol 2000 2022; 91:167-181. [PMID: 35924476 DOI: 10.1111/prd.12443] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/26/2022] [Revised: 04/30/2022] [Accepted: 05/07/2022] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
Sinus augmentation has become an integrated surgical phase in posterior maxillary implant prosthesis reconstruction. Since the residual alveolar bony height usually requires additional volume particularly at this anatomical region, sinus floor augmentation is advocated routinely. Over the years, Implant success rate is proved to be comparable to the one in the pristine bone, which is well documented in the literature. Anatomical aspects as well as surgeon skills are at most importance to achieve predictable outcome. In this narrative review, the different osteotomy techniques, the indications toward 1 or 2-stage approaches, the control of the Schneiderian membrane integrity as well as the management of intra- and post-operative complications are thoroughly discussed according the current data. In light of the excellent long-term implant success rate concurrent with the application of contemporary advanced techniques of the sinus augmentation via the lateral wall osteotomy approach, reduce invasiveness and less complication occurrences are well documented. A well-codified patient selection involving the rhinologist as an integral medical team would be significantly beneficial toward early diagnosis. In-depth knowledge of the anatomy, execution of a well standardized surgical technique, and understanding the complication etiology and their management are prerequisites for reducing patient morbidity to minimal discomfort and predictable successful outcome.
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Affiliation(s)
- Pascal Valentini
- Department of Implant Surgery, Tattone Hospital, Institute of Health, University of Corsica Pasquale Paoli, Corte, France
| | - Zvi Artzi
- Department of Periodontology and Oral Implantology, School of Dental Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel
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Advantages of Porcine Xenograft over Autograft in Sinus Lift: A Randomised Clinical Trial. MATERIALS 2021; 14:ma14123439. [PMID: 34205826 PMCID: PMC8234120 DOI: 10.3390/ma14123439] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/25/2021] [Revised: 06/16/2021] [Accepted: 06/17/2021] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
This study aimed to compare the performance of intra-oral autologous bone grafts versus porcine xenografts in a two-step lateral window sinus lift. This split-mouth randomised controlled trial sequentially enrolled 12 patients with a 6-month follow-up. For each patient, a simultaneous randomised bilateral maxillary sinus lift was performed and filled with autologous bone from the mandible (control) or a porcine xenograft (test). A bone biopsy sample was collected during the implant placement for histological and histomorphometric analysis. CT scans were performed at the beginning and at the end of the trial to assess radiological evolution. A comparison of initial and six-month CT scans indicated statistically significant increases in bone level for both materials (7.8 ± 2.4 mm for autologous and 8.7 ± 2.2 mm for xenograft, p < 0.05), and there were no significant differences between the performance of the two materials over time (p = 0.26). The histological analysis showed various stages of the remodelling process and no cells or other signs of inflammation or infection were visible in both groups. The porcine xenografts presented similar results for the studied variables when compared to autologous bone, being a reasonable alternative for a sinus lift.
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A comprehensive scoping review of Bayesian networks in healthcare: Past, present and future. Artif Intell Med 2021; 117:102108. [PMID: 34127238 DOI: 10.1016/j.artmed.2021.102108] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/10/2020] [Revised: 05/07/2021] [Accepted: 05/10/2021] [Indexed: 12/15/2022]
Abstract
No comprehensive review of Bayesian networks (BNs) in healthcare has been published in the past, making it difficult to organize the research contributions in the present and identify challenges and neglected areas that need to be addressed in the future. This unique and novel scoping review of BNs in healthcare provides an analytical framework for comprehensively characterizing the domain and its current state. A literature search of health and health informatics literature databases using relevant keywords found 3810 articles that were reduced to 123. This was after screening out those presenting Bayesian statistics, meta-analysis or neural networks, as opposed to BNs and those describing the predictive performance of multiple machine learning algorithms, of which BNs were simply one type. Using the novel analytical framework, we show that: (1) BNs in healthcare are not used to their full potential; (2) a generic BN development process is lacking; (3) limitations exist in the way BNs in healthcare are presented in the literature, which impacts understanding, consensus towards systematic methodologies, practice and adoption; and (4) a gap exists between having an accurate BN and a useful BN that impacts clinical practice. This review highlights several neglected issues, such as restricted aims of BNs, ad hoc BN development methods, and the lack of BN adoption in practice and reveals to researchers and clinicians the need to address these problems. To map the way forward, the paper proposes future research directions and makes recommendations regarding BN development methods and adoption in practice.
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Kyrimi E, Dube K, Fenton N, Fahmi A, Neves MR, Marsh W, McLachlan S. Bayesian networks in healthcare: What is preventing their adoption? Artif Intell Med 2021; 116:102079. [PMID: 34020755 DOI: 10.1016/j.artmed.2021.102079] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/10/2020] [Revised: 04/14/2021] [Accepted: 04/20/2021] [Indexed: 12/15/2022]
Abstract
There has been much research effort expended toward the use of Bayesian networks (BNs) in medical decision-making. However, because of the gap between developing an accurate BN and demonstrating its clinical usefulness, this has not resulted in any widespread BN adoption in clinical practice. This paper investigates this problem with the aim of finding an explanation and ways to address the problem through a comprehensive literature review of articles describing BNs in healthcare. Based on the literature collection that has been systematically narrowed down from 3810 to 116 most relevant articles, this paper analyses the benefits, barriers and facilitating factors (BBF) for implementing BN-based systems in healthcare using the ITPOSMO-BBF framework. A key finding is that works in the literature rarely consider barriers and even when these were identified they were not connected to facilitating factors. The main finding is that the barriers can be grouped into: (1) data inadequacies; (2) clinicians' resistance to new technologies; (3) lack of clinical credibility; (4) failure to demonstrate clinical impact; (5) absence of an acceptable predictive performance; and (6) absence of evidence for model's generalisability. The facilitating factors can be grouped into: (1) data collection improvements; (2) software and technological improvements; (3) having interpretable and easy to use BN-based systems; (4) clinical involvement in the development or review of the model; (5) investigation of model's clinical impact; (6) internal validation of the model's performance; and (7) external validation of the model. These groupings form a strong basis for a generic framework that could be used for formulating strategies for ensuring BN-based clinical decision-support system adoption in frontline care settings. The output of this review is expected to enhance the dialogue among researchers by providing a deeper understanding for the neglected issue of BN adoption in practice and promoting efforts for implementing BN-based systems.
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Affiliation(s)
- Evangelia Kyrimi
- School of Electronic Engineering & Computer Science, Queen Mary University of London, Mile End Road, London, E1 4NS, UK.
| | - Kudakwashe Dube
- Health Informatics and Knowledge Engineering Research (HiKER) Group; School of Fundamental Sciences, Massey University, Palmerston North, 4442, New Zealand
| | - Norman Fenton
- School of Electronic Engineering & Computer Science, Queen Mary University of London, Mile End Road, London, E1 4NS, UK
| | - Ali Fahmi
- School of Electronic Engineering & Computer Science, Queen Mary University of London, Mile End Road, London, E1 4NS, UK
| | - Mariana Raniere Neves
- School of Electronic Engineering & Computer Science, Queen Mary University of London, Mile End Road, London, E1 4NS, UK
| | - William Marsh
- School of Electronic Engineering & Computer Science, Queen Mary University of London, Mile End Road, London, E1 4NS, UK
| | - Scott McLachlan
- School of Electronic Engineering & Computer Science, Queen Mary University of London, Mile End Road, London, E1 4NS, UK; Health Informatics and Knowledge Engineering Research (HiKER) Group
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Rengo C, Fiorino A, Cucchi A, Nappo A, Randellini E, Calamai P, Ferrari M. Patient-reported outcomes and complication rates after lateral maxillary sinus floor elevation: a prospective study. Clin Oral Investig 2021; 25:4431-4444. [PMID: 33620600 PMCID: PMC8310489 DOI: 10.1007/s00784-020-03755-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/17/2020] [Accepted: 12/21/2020] [Indexed: 01/29/2023]
Abstract
Objectives Oral surgery morbidity is highly variable based on patients’ characteristics and kind of surgical intervention. However, poor data are available in the literature regarding patient outcomes after oral surgery. The aim of this retrospective study was to evaluate patient-reported outcome and complication rates after maxillary sinus floor elevation. Materials and methods Data from the records of patients undergoing maxillary sinus elevation have been collected from a private dental office. Patient-reported outcome has been assessed using a 100-mm visual analog scale to evaluate the post-operative pain (VASpain) experienced in the first week following surgery and visual rating scales to evaluate discomfort level (VRSdiscomfort: 0 to 4) and willingness to repeat the same surgical procedure (VRSwillingness: 0 to 3). Analgesics intake, swelling onset and duration, and ecchymosis have been also recorded. Results VASpain showed moderate values in the first 2 days (< 50) post-surgery, with a tendency to progressively decrease over the next 2 days. Average assumption of painkillers was 3.93 ± 3.03. Discomfort level (VRSdiscomfort) after surgery was low (median: 1; IR: 1–0), while willingness to undergo the same surgical procedure was very high (77.63% of patients). Swelling and ecchymosis were experienced by 97.36% and 51.32% of patients, respectively, with a mean duration of 4.09 ± 1.43 and 2.21 ± 2.31 days, respectively. Membrane perforation occurred in 4 cases. Other post-operative complications were not observed. Conclusions Maxillary sinus grafting is a safe procedure, with a low complication rate and moderate morbidity that is well tolerated by patients. Particular attention is needed in case selection, surgical planning and operator expertise. Clinical relevance The analysis of patient-reported outcomes can be of great help in surgical planning and in providing correct and adequate treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Carlo Rengo
- Department of Prosthodontics and Dental Materials, University of Siena, Viale Bracci, 53100, Siena, Italy.
| | - Antonino Fiorino
- Dentistry Unit, Catholic University of Sacred Heart, Rome, Italy
| | | | - Antonio Nappo
- Department of Prosthodontics and Dental Materials, University of Siena, Viale Bracci, 53100, Siena, Italy
| | | | | | - Marco Ferrari
- Department of Prosthodontics and Dental Materials, University of Siena, Viale Bracci, 53100, Siena, Italy
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Bayesian networks in healthcare: Distribution by medical condition. Artif Intell Med 2020; 107:101912. [DOI: 10.1016/j.artmed.2020.101912] [Citation(s) in RCA: 42] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/16/2020] [Revised: 04/27/2020] [Accepted: 06/09/2020] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
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