Evaluation of the performance of a prior tacrolimus population pharmacokinetic kidney transplant model among adult allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant patients

External evaluation of tacrolimus population pharmacokinetic models in adult lung transplant patients: How to enhance the predictive ability of the model?

PURPOSE

Tacrolimus is the cornerstone of current immunosuppressive strategies after lung transplantation. However, its narrow therapeutic range and considerable pharmacokinetic variability pose challenges for individualized treatment. Several tacrolimus population pharmacokinetic (popPK) models have been developed for precision dosing in adult lung transplant patients. However, their applicability across different clinical settings remains uncertain. The aim of this study was to evaluate the external predictability of these models and identify influential factors.

METHODS

Published models were systematically retrieved and assessed based on an external dataset of 39 patients (1240 tacrolimus trough concentrations) using three approaches: (1) prediction-based diagnosis using dosing records and patient characteristics; (2) simulation-based diagnosis, with prediction- and variability-corrected visual predictive checks (pvcVPC) and normalized prediction distribution error tests (NPDE); and (3) Bayesian forecasting using one to four observations for posterior predictions. We also investigated the impact of model structure and covariates on predictability.

RESULTS

The predictive performance of six published models was externally evaluated, but none demonstrated satisfactory accuracy in prediction- and simulation-based diagnosis. Bayesian forecasting yielded satisfactory results with only one prior observation and optimal predictive performance with 2-3 priors for all included models. The structural model parameterized on plasma tacrolimus concentration outperformed others. Significant correlations were observed between prediction-error and daily tacrolimus dose, postoperative day, and voriconazole co-administration.

CONCLUSIONS

The overall predictive performance of all published models was unsatisfactory, making direct extrapolation inappropriate. However, Bayesian forecasting significantly improves predictive performance. Utilizing plasma tacrolimus concentration for parameter estimation can improve the predictive ability of tacrolimus popPK models.

Pharmacokinetic Model of Drug Interaction of Tacrolimus with Combined Administration of CYP3A4 Inhibitors Voriconazole and Clarithromycin After Bone Marrow Transplantation

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

A pharmacokinetic model has been developed to quantify the drug-drug interactions of tacrolimus with concentration-dependent inhibition of cytochrome P450 (CYP) 3A4 from voriconazole and clarithromycin based on the CYP3A5 and CYP2C19 genotypes.

METHODS

This retrospective study recruited unrelated bone marrow transplant recipients receiving oral tacrolimus concomitantly with voriconazole and clarithromycin. The published population pharmacokinetic model that implemented genotypes of CYP3A5 (tacrolimus) and CYP2C19 (voriconazole) was integrated. The tested CYP3A4 inhibition models (Sigmoid efficacy maximum [Emax], Emax, log-linear, and linear) were a function of competitive inhibition of voriconazole and mechanism-based inhibition of clarithromycin in a virtual enzyme compartment.

RESULTS

The total tacrolimus trough concentrations were 119 points, with a median of 4.3 (range: 2.0-9.9) ng/mL (n = 3). The final model comprised the Sigmoid Emax model for voriconazole and clarithromycin, which depicted time-course alterations in tacrolimus concentration and clearance when given voriconazole and clarithromycin.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings could facilitate the model-informed precision dosing of tacrolimus after unrelated bone marrow transplant.

Adaptation of a population pharmacokinetic model to inform tacrolimus therapy in heart transplant recipients

AIM

Existing tacrolimus population pharmacokinetic models are unsuitable for guiding tacrolimus dosing in heart transplant recipients. This study aimed to develop and evaluate a population pharmacokinetic model for tacrolimus in heart transplant recipients that considers the tacrolimus-azole antifungal interaction.

METHODS

Data from heart transplant recipients (n = 87) administered the oral immediate-release formulation of tacrolimus (Prograf®) were collected. Routine drug monitoring data, principally trough concentrations, were used for model building (n = 1099). A published tacrolimus model was used to inform the estimation of Ka , V2 /F, Q/F and V3 /F. The effect of concomitant azole antifungal use on tacrolimus CL/F was quantified. Fat-free mass was implemented as a covariate on CL/F, V2 /F, V3 /F and Q/F on an allometry scale. Subsequently, stepwise covariate modelling was performed. Significant covariates influencing tacrolimus CL/F were included in the final model. Robustness of the final model was confirmed using prediction-corrected visual predictive check (pcVPC). The final model was externally evaluated for prediction of tacrolimus concentrations of the fourth dosing occasion (n = 87) from one to three prior dosing occasions.

RESULTS

Concomitant azole antifungal therapy reduced tacrolimus CL/F by 80%. Haematocrit (∆OFV = -44, P < .001) was included in the final model. The pcVPC of the final model displayed good model adequacy. One recent drug concentration is sufficient for the model to guide tacrolimus dosing.

CONCLUSION

A population pharmacokinetic model that adequately describes tacrolimus pharmacokinetics in heart transplant recipients, considering the tacrolimus-azole antifungal interaction was developed. Prospective evaluation is required to assess its clinical utility to improve patient outcomes.

Pharmacogenomic prescribing opportunities in percutaneous coronary intervention and bone marrow transplant patients

Aim: To evaluate the potential impact of preemptive multigene pharmacogenomic (PGx) testing on medication prescribing in real-world clinical settings. Patients & methods: Prescription frequencies for 65 medications with actionable PGx recommendations were collected in 215 percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and 131 allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplant (allo-HCT) patients. A simulation projected the number of PGx-guided prescribing opportunities. Results: In PCI and allo-HCT patients, respectively, 66.5 and 90.1% were prescribed at least one medication with actionable PGx prescribing recommendations. Simulations projected 26.5 and 41.2 total PGx-guided prescribing opportunities per 100 PCI and allo-HCT patients, respectively, if multigene PGx results were available. Conclusion: A multigene PGx testing strategy offers potential to optimize medication prescribing beyond clopidogrel and tacrolimus in PCI and allo-HCT patients.

Evaluation of published population pharmacokinetic models to inform tacrolimus dosing in adult heart transplant recipients

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Identification of the most appropriate population pharmacokinetic model-based Bayesian estimation is required prior to its implementation in routine clinical practice to inform tacrolimus dosing decisions. This study aimed to determine the predictive performances of relevant population pharmacokinetic models of tacrolimus developed from various solid organ transplant recipient populations in adult heart transplant recipients, stratified based on concomitant azole antifungal use. Concomitant azole antifungal therapy alters tacrolimus pharmacokinetics substantially, necessitating dose adjustments.

METHODS

Population pharmacokinetic models of tacrolimus were selected (n = 17) for evaluation from a recent systematic review. The models were transcribed and implemented in NONMEM version 7.4.3. Data from 85 heart transplant recipients (2387 tacrolimus concentrations) administered the oral immediate-release formulation of tacrolimus (Prograf) were obtained up to 391 days post-transplant. The performance of each model was evaluated using: (i) prediction-based assessment (bias and imprecision) of the individual predicted tacrolimus concentration of the fourth dosing occasion (MAXEVAL = 0, FOCE-I) from 1-3 prior dosing occasions; and (ii) simulation-based assessment (prediction-corrected visual predictive check). Both assessments were stratified based on concomitant azole antifungal use.

RESULTS

Regardless of the number of prior dosing occasions (1-3) and concomitant azole antifungal use, all models demonstrated unacceptable individual predicted tacrolimus concentration of the fourth dosing occasion (n = 152). The prediction-corrected visual predictive check graphics indicated that these models inadequately predicted observed tacrolimus concentrations.

CONCLUSION

All models evaluated were unable to adequately describe tacrolimus pharmacokinetics in adult heart transplant recipients included in this study. Further work is required to describe tacrolimus pharmacokinetics for our heart transplant recipient cohort.