1
|
Robertson PA, Mill AC, Adriaens T, Moore N, Vanderhoeven S, Essl F, Booy O. Risk Management Assessment Improves the Cost-Effectiveness of Invasive Species Prioritisation. BIOLOGY 2021; 10:biology10121320. [PMID: 34943234 PMCID: PMC8698869 DOI: 10.3390/biology10121320] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/13/2021] [Revised: 11/05/2021] [Accepted: 12/10/2021] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
Simple Summary International agreements commit nations to control or eradicate invasive alien species. The scale of this challenge exceeds available resources and so it is essential to prioritise the management of invasive alien species. Species prioritisation for management may consider the likelihood and scale of impact (risk assessment) and the feasibility, costs and effectiveness of management (risk management). Risk assessment processes are widely used, risk management less so. To assess the cost effectiveness of prioritisation, we considered 26 high-risk species considered for eradication from Great Britain (GB) with pre-existing risk assessment and risk management outputs. We used these to consider the relative reduction in risk per unit cost when managing prioritised species based on different criteria. We showed that the cost effectiveness of prioritisation within our sample using risk assessment scores alone performed no better than a random ranking of the species. In contrast, prioritisation including management feasibility produced nearly two orders of magnitude improvement compared to random ranking. We concluded that basing management actions on priorities based solely on risk assessment without considering management feasibility risks the inefficient use of limited resources. In this study, the cost effectiveness of species prioritisation action was greatly increased by the inclusion of a risk management assessment. Abstract International agreements commit nations to control or eradicate invasive alien species. The scale of this challenge exceeds available resources and so it is essential to prioritise the management of invasive alien species. Species prioritisation for management typically involves a hierarchy of processes that consider the likelihood and scale of impact (risk assessment) and the feasibility, costs and effectiveness of management (risk management). Risk assessment processes are widely used, risk management less so, but are a crucial component of resource decision making. To assess the cost-effectiveness of prioritisation, we considered 26 high-risk species considered for eradication from Great Britain (GB) with pre-existing risk assessment and risk management outputs. We extracted scores to reflect the overall risk to GB posed by the species, together with the estimated cost and the overall feasibility of eradication. We used these to consider the relative reduction in risk per unit cost when managing prioritised species based on different criteria. We showed that the cost-effectiveness of prioritisation within our sample using risk assessment scores alone, performed no better than a random ranking of the species. In contrast, prioritisation including management feasibility produced nearly two orders of magnitude improvement compared to random. We conclude that basing management actions on priorities based solely on risk assessment without considering management feasibility risks the inefficient use of limited resources. In this study, the cost-effectiveness of species prioritisation for action was greatly increased by the inclusion of risk management assessment.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Peter A. Robertson
- Modelling, Evidence and Policy Group, Natural and Environmental Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne NE1 7RU, UK; (A.C.M.); (O.B.)
- Correspondence:
| | - Aileen C. Mill
- Modelling, Evidence and Policy Group, Natural and Environmental Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne NE1 7RU, UK; (A.C.M.); (O.B.)
| | - Tim Adriaens
- Research Institute for Nature and Forest (INBO), Havenlaan 88 Bus 73, B-1000 Brussel, Belgium;
| | - Niall Moore
- GB Non-Native Species Secretariat, Animal and Plant Health Agency, Sand Hutton, York YO41 1JW, UK;
| | - Sonia Vanderhoeven
- Belgian Biodiversity Platform, Walloon Research Department for Nature and Agricultural Area (DEMNA), Service Public de Wallonie, Avenue Maréchal Juin, 23, B-5030 Gembloux, Belgium;
| | - Franz Essl
- Bioinvasions Global Change, Macroecology-Group, Department of Botany and Biodiversity Research, University of Vienna, Rennweg 14, 1030 Vienna, Austria;
| | - Olaf Booy
- Modelling, Evidence and Policy Group, Natural and Environmental Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne NE1 7RU, UK; (A.C.M.); (O.B.)
- GB Non-Native Species Secretariat, Animal and Plant Health Agency, Sand Hutton, York YO41 1JW, UK;
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Sigaud M, Mason THE, Barnier F, Cherry SG, Fortin D. Emerging conflict between conservation programmes: when a threatened vertebrate facilitates the dispersal of exotic species in a rare plant community. Anim Conserv 2020. [DOI: 10.1111/acv.12579] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- M. Sigaud
- Département de Biologie et Centre d’Étude de la Forêt Université Laval Québec QC Canada
- Primate Research Institute Kyoto University Inuyama Japan
| | - T. H. E. Mason
- Département de Biologie et Centre d’Étude de la Forêt Université Laval Québec QC Canada
- Biological and Environmental Sciences School of Natural Sciences University of Stirling Stirling UK
| | - F. Barnier
- Département de Biologie et Centre d’Étude de la Forêt Université Laval Québec QC Canada
- UMS Patrimoine Naturel Muséum National d'Histoire Naturelle Paris France
| | - S. G. Cherry
- Parks Canada Agency Radium Hot Springs BC Canada
| | - D. Fortin
- Département de Biologie et Centre d’Étude de la Forêt Université Laval Québec QC Canada
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Hester SM, Cacho OJ. The contribution of passive surveillance to invasive species management. Biol Invasions 2017. [DOI: 10.1007/s10530-016-1362-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 28] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
|
4
|
Dodd AJ, Ainsworth N, Hauser CE, Burgman MA, McCarthy MA. Prioritizing plant eradication targets by re-framing the project prioritization protocol (PPP) for use in biosecurity applications. Biol Invasions 2016. [DOI: 10.1007/s10530-016-1335-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/18/2022]
|
5
|
Novoa A, Kumschick S, Richardson DM, Rouget M, Wilson JR. Native range size and growth form in Cactaceae predict invasiveness and impact. NEOBIOTA 2016. [DOI: 10.3897/neobiota.30.7253] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/20/2023]
|
6
|
Dodd AJ, McCarthy MA, Ainsworth N, Burgman MA. Identifying hotspots of alien plant naturalisation in Australia: approaches and predictions. Biol Invasions 2015. [DOI: 10.1007/s10530-015-1035-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]
|
7
|
Estimating eradication probabilities and trade-offs for decision analysis in invasive species eradication programs. Biol Invasions 2014. [DOI: 10.1007/s10530-014-0719-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
|
8
|
Kaplan H, van Niekerk A, Le Roux JJ, Richardson DM, Wilson JRU. Incorporating risk mapping at multiple spatial scales into eradication management plans. Biol Invasions 2013. [DOI: 10.1007/s10530-013-0611-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/25/2022]
|
9
|
Potts JM, Cox MJ, Barkley P, Christian R, Telford G, Burgman MA. Model-based search strategies for plant diseases: a case study using citrus canker (Xanthomonas citri). DIVERS DISTRIB 2013. [DOI: 10.1111/ddi.12065] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/13/2023] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Joanne M. Potts
- Australian Centre of Excellence for Risk Analysis; School of Botany; University of Melbourne; Melbourne; Vic.; Australia
| | - Martin J. Cox
- Australian Centre of Excellence for Risk Analysis; School of Botany; University of Melbourne; Melbourne; Vic.; Australia
| | | | | | - Grant Telford
- Biosecurity Solutions Australia Pty Ltd; 42 Tuckett Road; Salisbury QLD 4107
| | - Mark A. Burgman
- Australian Centre of Excellence for Risk Analysis; School of Botany; University of Melbourne; Melbourne; Vic.; Australia
| |
Collapse
|
10
|
Lyon A, Grossel G, Burgman M, Nunn M. Using internet intelligence to manage biosecurity risks: a case study for aquatic animal health. DIVERS DISTRIB 2013. [DOI: 10.1111/ddi.12057] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/29/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Aidan Lyon
- Department of Philosophy; University of Maryland; College Park; MD; USA
| | - Geoff Grossel
- Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry; Animal Biosecurity; Canberra; ACT; Australia
| | - Mark Burgman
- School of Botany; University of Melbourne; Parkville; Vic; Australia
| | - Mike Nunn
- Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry; Animal Biosecurity; Canberra; ACT; Australia
| |
Collapse
|
11
|
Nicholson E, Lindenmayer DB, Frank K, Possingham HP. Testing the focal species approach to making conservation decisions for species persistence. DIVERS DISTRIB 2013. [DOI: 10.1111/ddi.12066] [Citation(s) in RCA: 40] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/28/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
| | - David B. Lindenmayer
- Fenner School of Environment and Society; ARC Centre of Excellence for Environmental Decisions and National Environmental Research Program; The Australian National University; Canberra; ACT 0200; Australia
| | - Karin Frank
- Helmholz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ; Permoserstraße 15; Leipzig; 04318; Germany
| | - Hugh P. Possingham
- School of Biological Sciences; ARC Centre of Excellence for Environmental Decisions and National Environmental Research Program; The University of Queensland; St Lucia; Qld; 4072; Australia
| |
Collapse
|
12
|
Burgman MA, McCarthy MA, Robinson A, Hester SM, McBride MF, Elith J, Dane Panetta F. Improving decisions for invasive species management: reformulation and extensions of the Panetta-Lawes eradication graph. DIVERS DISTRIB 2013. [DOI: 10.1111/ddi.12055] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/28/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Mark A. Burgman
- Australian Centre of Excellence for Risk Analysis; School of Botany; University of Melbourne; Parkville; VIC; 3010; Australia
| | - Michael A. McCarthy
- Australian Centre of Excellence for Risk Analysis; School of Botany; University of Melbourne; Parkville; VIC; 3010; Australia
| | | | - Susan M. Hester
- UNE Business School, Economics and Public Policy; University of New England; Armidale; NSW; 2351; Australia
| | - Marissa F. McBride
- Australian Centre of Excellence for Risk Analysis; School of Botany; University of Melbourne; Parkville; VIC; 3010; Australia
| | - Jane Elith
- Australian Centre of Excellence for Risk Analysis; School of Botany; University of Melbourne; Parkville; VIC; 3010; Australia
| | - F. Dane Panetta
- Biosecurity Queensland; Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry; Ecosciences Precinct; GPO Box 267; Brisbane; QLD; 4001; Australia
| |
Collapse
|
13
|
Whittle PJL, Stoklosa R, Barrett S, Jarrad FC, Majer JD, Martin PAJ, Mengersen K. A method for designing complex biosecurity surveillance systems: detecting non-indigenous species of invertebrates on Barrow Island. DIVERS DISTRIB 2013. [DOI: 10.1111/ddi.12056] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/27/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
| | - Richard Stoklosa
- E-Systems Pty Ltd; 205 Davey Street; Hobart; Tas.; 7000; Australia
| | | | | | | | - P. A. J. Martin
- Department of Agriculture and Food; P.O. Box 1231; Bunbury; WA; 6231; Australia
| | | |
Collapse
|
14
|
Yemshanov D, Koch FH, Ducey M, Koehler K. Mapping ecological risks with a portfolio-based technique: incorporating uncertainty and decision-making preferences. DIVERS DISTRIB 2013. [DOI: 10.1111/ddi.12061] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Denys Yemshanov
- Natural Resources Canada; Canadian Forest Service; Great Lakes Forestry Centre; 1219 Queen Street East; Sault Ste. Marie; ON; P6A 2E5; Canada
| | - Frank H. Koch
- USDA Forest Service; Southern Research Station; Eastern Forest Environmental Threat Assessment Center; 3041 Cornwallis Road; Research Triangle Park; NC; 27709; USA
| | - Mark Ducey
- Department of Natural Resources and the Environment; University of New Hampshire; 114 James Hall; Durham; NH; 03824; USA
| | - Klaus Koehler
- Canadian Food Inspection Agency; 59 Camelot Drive; Ottawa; ON; K1A 0Y9; Canada
| |
Collapse
|
15
|
Affiliation(s)
- Mark A. Burgman
- Australian Centre of Excellence for Risk Analysis; School of Botany; University of Melbourne; Parkville; Vic.; 3010; Australia
| | - Denys Yemshanov
- Natural Resources Canada; Canadian Forest Service; Great Lakes Forestry Centre; 1216 Queen Street East; Sault Ste. Marie; ON; Canada
| |
Collapse
|
16
|
Heard GW, McCarthy MA, Scroggie MP, Baumgartner JB, Parris KM. A Bayesian model of metapopulation viability, with application to an endangered amphibian. DIVERS DISTRIB 2013. [DOI: 10.1111/ddi.12052] [Citation(s) in RCA: 54] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/29/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Geoffrey W. Heard
- School of Botany; University of Melbourne; Melbourne; Vic. 3010; Australia
| | | | - Michael P. Scroggie
- Arthur Rylah Institute for Environmental Research; Department of Sustainability and Environment; P.O. Box 137; Heidelberg; Vic. 3084; Australia
| | | | - Kirsten M. Parris
- School of Botany; University of Melbourne; Melbourne; Vic. 3010; Australia
| |
Collapse
|
17
|
Naujokaitis-Lewis IR, Curtis JMR, Tischendorf L, Badzinski D, Lindsay K, Fortin MJ. Uncertainties in coupled species distribution-metapopulation dynamics models for risk assessments under climate change. DIVERS DISTRIB 2013. [DOI: 10.1111/ddi.12063] [Citation(s) in RCA: 33] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
| | - Janelle M. R. Curtis
- Conservation Biology Section; Pacific Biological Station; Fisheries and Oceans Canada; Nanaimo; V9T 6N7; BC; Canada
| | - Lutz Tischendorf
- Elutis Modelling and Consulting Inc.; Ottawa; K2A 1X4; ON; Canada
| | | | - Kathryn Lindsay
- National Wildlife Research Centre; Environment Canada; Ottawa; K1A 0H3; ON; Canada
| | - Marie-Josée Fortin
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology; University of Toronto; Toronto; M5S 3B2; ON; Canada
| |
Collapse
|