Comparison of the three conventional methods for the postoperative atrial fibrillation prediction

Left atrial functional measurements' utility in predicting long-term risk of atrial fibrillation after isolated CABG

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia following coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). We hypothesized that measures of left atrial (LA) function would be useful in predicting AF in patients undergoing CABG.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In the study, 611 patients were included after CABG. All patients had echocardiograms performed preoperatively and LA functional measurements were assessed. These measurements were LA maximum volume index (LAVmax), LA minimum volume index (LAVmin) and LA emptying fraction (LAEF). The endpoint was AF occurring >14 days after surgery. During the follow-up period of a median of 3.7 years, 52 (9%) developed AF. The mean age was 67 years, 84% were male and the average left ventricle ejection fraction was 50%. Patients who developed AF had a lower CCS class and lower LAEF (40 vs. 45%), otherwise no clinical differences were observed between outcome groups. No functional LA measurements were significant predictors of AF in the whole CABG population. However, in patients with normal-sized LA (n = 532, events: 49), both LAEF and LAVmin were univariable predictors of AF. When the functional measurements were adjusted for the CHADS₂ score, both LAVmin (HR = 1.07 [1.01-1.13], p = .014) and LAEF (HR: 1.02 [1.00-1.03], p = .023), remained significant predictors.

CONCLUSION

No echocardiographic measurements were significant predictors of AF after CABG. In patients with a normal LA size, LAVmin as well as LAEF were significant predictors of AF.

Predictors of atrial fibrillation post coronary artery bypass graft surgery: new scoring system

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) following coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG) is common and results in significant increases in hospital stay and financial encumbrance.

OBJECTIVE

Determine and use the predictors of postoperative AF (POAF) following CABG to develop a new predictive screening tool.

METHOD

A retrospective case-control study evaluated 388 patients (98 developed POAF and 290 remained in sinus rhythm) who undertook CABG surgery at Townsville University Hospital between 2016 and 2017. The demographic profile, risk factors for AF including hypertension, age≥75 years, transient ischaemic attack or stroke, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (HATCH) score, electrocardiography features and perioperative factors were determined.

RESULTS

Patients who developed POAF were significantly older. On univariate analysis HATCH score, aortic regurgitation, increased p-wave duration and amplitude in lead II and terminal p-wave amplitude in lead V1 were associated with POAF; as were increased cardiopulmonary bypass time (103.5±33.9 vs 90.6±26.4 min, p=0.001) and increased cross clamp time. On multivariate analysis age (p=0.038), p-wave duration ≥100 ms (p=0.005), HATCH score (p=0.049) and CBP Time ≥100 min (p=0.001) were associated with POAF. Receiver operating characteristic curve demonstrated that with a cut-off of ≥2 for HATCH score, POAF could be predicted with a sensitivity of 72.8% and a specificity of 34.7%. Adding p-wave duration in lead II >100 ms and cardiopulmonary bypass time >100 min to the HATCH score increased the sensitivity to 83.7% with a specificity of 33.1%. This was termed the HATCH-PC score.

CONCLUSION

Patients with HATCH scores ≥2, and those with p-wave duration >100 ms, or cardiopulmonary bypass time >100 min were at greater risk of developing POAF following CABG.

Role of pre-operative transthoracic echocardiography in predicting post-operative atrial fibrillation after cardiac surgery: a systematic review of the literature and meta-analysis

AIMS

This systematic review and meta-analysis aims to evaluate the role of pre-operative transthoracic echocardiography in predicting post-operative atrial fibrillation (POAF) after cardiac surgery.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Electronic databases were searched for studies reporting on pre-operative echocardiographic predictors of POAF in PubMed, Cochrane library, and Embase. A meta-analysis of echocardiographic predictors of POAF that were identified by at least five different publications was performed. Forty-three publications were included in this systematic review. Echocardiographic predictors for POAF included surrogate parameters for total atrial conduction time (TACT), structural cardiac changes, and functional disturbances. Meta-analysis showed that prolonged pre-operative PA-TDI interval [5 studies, Cohen's d = 1.4, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.9-1.9], increased left atrial volume indexed for body surface area (LAVI) (23 studies, Cohen's d = 0.8, 95% CI 0.6-1.0), and reduced peak atrial longitudinal strain (PALS) (5 studies, Cohen's d = 1.4, 95% CI 1.0-1.8), were associated with POAF incidence. Left atrial volume indexed for body surface was the most important predicting factor in patients without a history of AF. These parameters remained important predictors of POAF in heterogeneous populations with variable age and comorbidities such as coronary artery disease and valvular disease.

CONCLUSION

This meta-analysis shows that increased TACT, increased LAVI, and reduced PALS are valuable parameters for predicting POAF in the early post-operative phase in a large variety of patients.

The role of the right atrium in development of postoperative atrial fibrillation: A speckle tracking echocardiography study

PURPOSE

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is relatively frequent in the postoperative period, and is associated with an increased frequency of adverse events. The role of right atrial (RA) volume and functions in the development of AF is unknown. In this study, we investigated the effect of RA echocardiographic indices on AF development in the postoperative period.

METHOD

We enrolled 142 consecutive patients who underwent coronary artery bypass surgery, and assigned them into two groups depending on the occurrence or not of AF development in the postoperative period.

RESULTS

A propensity score matching analysis was performed to balance the groups, and 37 pairs were eventually included in the analysis. The median age was 67.5 (63-75) years and 73.3% of them were males. In the univariate analysis, right atrial volume index (RAVi), right atrial strain during reservoir phase (RASr), left ventricular global longitudinal strain, right ventricular strain, left atrial volume index, left atrial strain during reservoir phase, and systolic pulmonary artery pressure were associated with AF development. In the regression analysis, we found that RAVi (OR: 3.1, 95% CI: 2.2-6.3, P: .033) and RASr (OR: 0.82, 95% CI: 0.67-0.93, P: .048) were independent predictors of AF development.

CONCLUSIONS

RA structure and functions are closely associated with AF development in the postoperative period, and screening of RA functions prior to surgery may be useful for preventing AF development.

Acute cardiac effects of high dose steroid treatment: A speckle tracking echocardiography study

PURPOSE

High-dose steroid therapy (HDST) has frequent side-effects that appear at its cessation and depend on its dose. However, there is a lack of studies about the acute effects of HDST on cardiac function in adult patients.

METHODS

We included in this study 30 patients who underwent HDST (intravenously at doses ranging from 250 to 1000 mg) and 30 healthy control subjects with similar demographic and clinical characteristics, between September and December 2016. Echocardiographic measurements were made before and during the first 3 hours after the end of treatment, and results were compared between patients and controls.

RESULTS

There was no difference in baseline biochemical and echocardiographic characteristics between the patient and control groups. While left ventricular global longitudinal strain (LVGLS) and strain rate E were higher after treatment, no significant change was observed in conventional echocardiographic variables.

CONCLUSIONS

LVGLS, but not conventional echocardiographic variables, showed an increase in cardiac systolic function at the acute phase of HDST.

Atrial contractility and fibrotic biomarkers are associated with atrial fibrillation after elective coronary artery bypass grafting

OBJECTIVE

New-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation is common after cardiac surgery. Less has been reported about the relationship among fibrosis, inflammation, calcium-induced left atrial and right atrial contractile forces, and postoperative atrial fibrillation. We sought to identify predictors of postoperative atrial fibrillation.

METHODS

From August 2016 to February 2018, we evaluated 229 patients who had preoperative sinus rhythm before elective primary coronary artery bypass grafting. Of 229 patients, 191 maintained sinus rhythm postoperatively, whereas 38 patients developed atrial fibrillation. Preoperative tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase-1, pentraxin-3, matrix metallopeptidase-9, galectin-3, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, growth differentiation factor 15, and transforming growth factor-ß were measured. Clinical and echocardiographic findings (tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion for right heart function) and calcium-induced force measurements from left atrial and right atrial-derived skinned myocardial fibers were recorded.

RESULTS

Patients with atrial fibrillation were older (P = .001), had enlarged left atrial (P = .0001) and right atrial areas (P = .0001), and had decreased tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (P = .001). Levels of matrix metallopeptidase-9 and pentraxin-3 were decreased (P < .05), whereas growth differentiation factor 15 was increased (P = .001). We detected lower left atrial force values at calcium-induced force measurements 5.5 (P < .05), 5.4 (P < .01), and 5.3 to 4.52 (P = .0001) and right atrial force values at calcium-induced force measurements 5.0 to 4.52 (P < .05) in patients with postoperative atrial fibrillation. Multivariable analysis showed that advanced age (P = .033), decreased left atrial force value at calcium-induced force measurement of 5.5 (P = .033), enlarged left atrial (P = .013) and right atrial (P = .081) areas, and reduced tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (P = .010) independently predicted postoperative atrial fibrillation.

CONCLUSIONS

Advanced age, decreased left atrial force value at calcium-induced force measurement of 5.5, enlarged left atrial and right atrial areas, and reduced tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion were identified as independent predictors for postoperative atrial fibrillation.