Development of a model to predict electroencephalographic seizures in critically ill children

Survey of Pediatric ICU EEG Monitoring-Reassessment After a Decade

PURPOSE

In 2011, the authors conducted a survey regarding continuous EEG (CEEG) utilization in critically ill children. In the interim decade, the literature has expanded, and guidelines and consensus statements have addressed CEEG utilization. Thus, the authors aimed to characterize current practice related to CEEG utilization in critically ill children.

METHODS

The authors conducted an online survey of pediatric neurologists from 50 US and 12 Canadian institutions in 2022.

RESULTS

The authors assessed responses from 48 of 62 (77%) surveyed institutions. Reported CEEG indications were consistent with consensus statement recommendations and included altered mental status after a seizure or status epilepticus, altered mental status of unknown etiology, or altered mental status with an acute primary neurological condition. Since the prior survey, there was a 3- to 4-fold increase in the number of patients undergoing CEEG per month and greater use of written pathways for ICU CEEG. However, variability in resources and workflow persisted, particularly regarding technologist availability, frequency of CEEG screening, communication approaches, and electrographic seizure management approaches.

CONCLUSIONS

Among the surveyed institutions, which included primarily large academic centers, CEEG use in pediatric intensive care units has increased with some practice standardization, but variability in resources and workflow were persistent.

Periodic Discharges in Critically Ill Children: Predictors and Outcome

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to identify clinical and EEG monitoring characteristics associated with generalized, lateralized, and bilateral-independent periodic discharges (GPDs, LPDs, and BIPDs) and to determine which patterns were associated with outcomes in critically ill children.

METHODS

We performed a prospective observational study of consecutive critically ill children undergoing continuous EEG monitoring, including standardized scoring of GPDs, LPDs, and BIPDs. We identified variables associated with GPDs, LPDs, and BIPDs and assessed whether each pattern was associated with hospital discharge outcomes including the Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended Pediatric version (GOS-E-Peds), Pediatric Cerebral Performance Category (PCPC), and mortality.

RESULTS

PDs occurred in 7% (91/1,399) of subjects. Multivariable logistic regression indicated that patients with coma (odds ratio [OR], 3.45; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.55, 7.68) and abnormal EEG background category (OR, 6.85; 95% CI: 3.37, 13.94) were at increased risk for GPDs. GPDs were associated with mortality (OR, 3.34; 95% CI: 1.24, 9.02) but not unfavorable GOS-E-Peds (OR, 1.93; 95% CI: 0.88, 4.23) or PCPC (OR, 1.64; 95% CI: 0.75, 3.58). Patients with acute nonstructural encephalopathy did not experience LPDs, and LPDs were not associated with mortality or unfavorable outcomes. BIPDs were associated with mortality (OR, 3.68; 95% CI: 1.14, 11.92), unfavorable GOS-E-Peds (OR, 5.00; 95% CI: 1.39, 18.00), and unfavorable PCPC (OR, 5.96; 95% CI: 1.65, 21.46).

SIGNIFICANCE

Patients with coma or more abnormal EEG background category had an increased risk for GPDs and BIPDs, and no patients with an acute nonstructural encephalopathy experienced LPDs. GPDs were associated with mortality and BIPDs were associated with mortality and unfavorable outcomes, but LPDs were not associated with unfavorable outcomes.

EEG Monitoring in Critically Ill Children: Establishing High-Yield Subgroups

PURPOSE

Continuous EEG monitoring (CEEG) is increasingly used to identify electrographic seizures (ES) in critically ill children, but it is resource intense. We aimed to assess how patient stratification by known ES risk factors would impact CEEG utilization.

METHODS

This was a prospective observational study of critically ill children with encephalopathy who underwent CEEG. We calculated the average CEEG duration required to identify a patient with ES for the full cohort and subgroups stratified by known ES risk factors.

RESULTS

ES occurred in 345 of 1,399 patients (25%). For the full cohort, an average of 90 hours of CEEG would be required to identify 90% of patients with ES. If subgroups of patients were stratified by age, clinically evident seizures before CEEG initiation, and early EEG risk factors, then 20 to 1,046 hours of CEEG would be required to identify a patient with ES. Patients with clinically evident seizures before CEEG initiation and EEG risk factors present in the initial hour of CEEG required only 20 (<1 year) or 22 (≥1 year) hours of CEEG to identify a patient with ES. Conversely, patients with no clinically evident seizures before CEEG initiation and no EEG risk factors in the initial hour of CEEG required 405 (<1 year) or 1,046 (≥1 year) hours of CEEG to identify a patient with ES. Patients with clinically evident seizures before CEEG initiation or EEG risk factors in the initial hour of CEEG required 29 to 120 hours of CEEG to identify a patient with ES.

CONCLUSIONS

Stratifying patients by clinical and EEG risk factors could identify high- and low-yield subgroups for CEEG by considering ES incidence, the duration of CEEG required to identify ES, and subgroup size. This approach may be critical for optimizing CEEG resource allocation.

Late-Onset Findings During Extended EEG Monitoring Are Rare in Critically Ill Children

PURPOSE

Electrographic seizures (ES) are common in critically ill children undergoing continuous EEG (CEEG) monitoring, and previous studies have aimed to target limited CEEG resources to children at highest risk of ES. However, previous studies have relied on observational data in which the duration of CEEG was clinically determined. Thus, the incidence of late occurring ES is unknown. The authors aimed to assess the incidence of ES for 24 hours after discontinuation of clinically indicated CEEG.

METHODS

This was a single-center prospective study of nonconsecutive children with acute encephalopathy in the pediatric intensive care unit who underwent 24 hours of extended research EEG after the end of clinical CEEG. The authors assessed whether there were new findings that affected clinical management during the extended research EEG, including new-onset ES.

RESULTS

Sixty-three subjects underwent extended research EEG. The median duration of the extended research EEG was 24.3 hours (interquartile range 24.0-25.3). Three subjects (5%) had an EEG change during the extended research EEG that resulted in a change in clinical management, including an increase in ES frequency, differential diagnosis of an event, and new interictal epileptiform discharges. No subjects had new-onset ES during the extended research EEG.

CONCLUSIONS

No subjects experienced new-onset ES during the 24-hour extended research EEG period. This finding supports observational data that patients with late-onset ES are rare and suggests that ES prediction models derived from observational data are likely not substantially underrepresenting the incidence of late-onset ES after discontinuation of clinically indicated CEEG.

Optimizing EEG monitoring in critically ill children at risk for electroencephalographic seizures

OBJECTIVE

Strategies are needed to optimally deploy continuous EEG monitoring (CEEG) for electroencephalographic seizure (ES) identification and management due to resource limitations. We aimed to construct an efficient multi-stage prediction model guiding CEEG utilization to identify ES in critically ill children using clinical and EEG covariates.

METHODS

The largest prospective single-center cohort of 1399 consecutive children undergoing CEEG was analyzed. A four-stage model was developed and trained to predict whether a subject required additional CEEG at the conclusion of each stage given their risk of ES. Logistic regression, elastic net, random forest, and CatBoost served as candidate methods for each stage and were evaluated using cross validation. An optimal multi-stage model consisting of the top-performing stage-specific models was constructed.

RESULTS

When evaluated on a test set, the optimal multi-stage model achieved a cumulative specificity of 0.197 and cumulative F1 score of 0.326 while maintaining a high minimum cumulative sensitivity of 0.938. Overall, 11 % of test subjects with ES were removed from the model due to a predicted low risk of ES (falsely negative subjects). CEEG utilization would be reduced by 32 % and 47 % compared to performing 24 and 48 h of CEEG in all test subjects, respectively. We developed a web application called EEGLE (EEG Length Estimator) that enables straightforward implementation of the model.

CONCLUSIONS

Application of the optimal multi-stage ES prediction model could either reduce CEEG utilization for patients at lower risk of ES or promote CEEG resource reallocation to patients at higher risk for ES.

Electrographic Seizure Characteristics and Electrographic Status Epilepticus Prediction

PURPOSE

We aimed to characterize electrographic seizures (ES) and electrographic status epilepticus (ESE) and determine whether a model predicting ESE exclusively could effectively guide continuous EEG monitoring (CEEG) utilization in critically ill children.

METHODS

This was a prospective observational study of consecutive critically ill children with encephalopathy who underwent CEEG. We used descriptive statistics to characterize ES and ESE, and we developed a model for ESE prediction.

RESULTS

ES occurred in 25% of 1,399 subjects. Among subjects with ES, 23% had ESE, including 37% with continuous seizures lasting >30 minutes and 63% with recurrent seizures totaling 30 minutes within a 1-hour epoch. The median onset of ES and ESE occurred 1.8 and 0.18 hours after CEEG initiation, respectively. The optimal model for ESE prediction yielded an area under the receiver operating characteristic curves of 0.81. A cutoff selected to emphasize sensitivity (91%) yielded specificity of 56%. Given the 6% ESE incidence, positive predictive value was 11% and negative predictive value was 99%. If the model were applied to our cohort, then 53% of patients would not undergo CEEG and 8% of patients experiencing ESE would not be identified.

CONCLUSIONS

ESE was common, but most patients with ESE had recurrent brief seizures rather than long individual seizures. A model predicting ESE might only slightly improve CEEG utilization over models aiming to identify patients at risk for ES but would fail to identify some patients with ESE. Models identifying ES might be more advantageous for preventing ES from evolving into ESE.

Review of Noninvasive Neuromonitoring Modalities in Children II: EEG, qEEG

Critically ill children with acute neurologic dysfunction are at risk for a variety of complications that can be detected by noninvasive bedside neuromonitoring. Continuous electroencephalography (cEEG) is the most widely available and utilized form of neuromonitoring in the pediatric intensive care unit. In this article, we review the role of cEEG and the emerging role of quantitative EEG (qEEG) in this patient population. cEEG has long been established as the gold standard for detecting seizures in critically ill children and assessing treatment response, and its role in background assessment and neuroprognostication after brain injury is also discussed. We explore the emerging utility of both cEEG and qEEG as biomarkers of degree of cerebral dysfunction after specific injuries and their ability to detect both neurologic deterioration and improvement.

Validation of a Model for Targeted EEG Monitoring Duration in Critically Ill Children

PURPOSE

Continuous EEG monitoring (CEEG) to identify electrographic seizures (ES) in critically ill children is resource intense. Targeted strategies could enhance implementation feasibility. We aimed to validate previously published findings regarding the optimal CEEG duration to identify ES in critically ill children.

METHODS

This was a prospective observational study of 1,399 consecutive critically ill children with encephalopathy. We validated the findings of a multistate survival model generated in a published cohort ( N = 719) in a new validation cohort ( N = 680). The model aimed to determine the CEEG duration at which there was <15%, <10%, <5%, or <2% risk of experiencing ES if CEEG were continued longer. The model included baseline clinical risk factors and emergent EEG risk factors.

RESULTS

A model aiming to determine the CEEG duration at which a patient had <10% risk of ES if CEEG were continued longer showed similar performance in the generation and validation cohorts. Patients without emergent EEG risk factors would undergo 7 hours of CEEG in both cohorts, whereas patients with emergent EEG risk factors would undergo 44 and 36 hours of CEEG in the generation and validation cohorts, respectively. The <10% risk of ES model would yield a 28% or 64% reduction in CEEG hours compared with guidelines recommending CEEG for 24 or 48 hours, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

This model enables implementation of a data-driven strategy that targets CEEG duration based on readily available clinical and EEG variables. This approach could identify most critically ill children experiencing ES while optimizing CEEG use.

Leveraging electronic medical record-embedded standardised electroencephalogram reporting to develop neonatal seizure prediction models: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Accurate prediction of seizures can help to direct resource-intense continuous electroencephalogram (CEEG) monitoring to neonates at high risk of seizures. We aimed to use data from standardised EEG reports to generate seizure prediction models for vulnerable neonates.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study, we included neonates who underwent CEEG during the first 30 days of life at the Children's Hospital of Philadelphia (Philadelphia, PA, USA). The hypoxic ischaemic encephalopathy subgroup included only patients with CEEG data during the first 5 days of life, International Classification of Diseases, revision 10, codes for hypoxic ischaemic encephalopathy, and documented therapeutic hypothermia. In January, 2018, we implemented a novel CEEG reporting system within the electronic medical record (EMR) using common data elements that incorporated standardised terminology. All neonatal CEEG data from Jan 10, 2018, to Feb 15, 2022, were extracted from the EMR using age at the time of CEEG. We developed logistic regression, decision tree, and random forest models of neonatal seizure prediction using EEG features on day 1 to predict seizures on future days.

FINDINGS

We evaluated 1117 neonates, including 150 neonates with hypoxic ischaemic encephalopathy, with CEEG data reported using standardised templates between Jan 10, 2018, and Feb 15, 2022. Implementation of a consistent EEG reporting system that documents discrete and standardised EEG variables resulted in more than 95% reporting of key EEG features. Several EEG features were highly correlated, and patients could be clustered on the basis of specific features. However, no simple combination of features adequately predicted seizure risk. We therefore applied computational models to complement clinical identification of neonates at high risk of seizures. Random forest models incorporating background features performed with classification accuracies of up to 90% (95% CI 83-94) for all neonates and 97% (88-99) for neonates with hypoxic ischaemic encephalopathy; recall (sensitivity) of up to 97% (91-100) for all neonates and 100% (100-100) for neonates with hypoxic ischaemic encephalopathy; and precision (positive predictive value) of up to 92% (84-96) in the overall cohort and 97% (80-99) in neonates with hypoxic ischaemic encephalopathy.

INTERPRETATION

Using data extracted from the standardised EEG report on the first day of CEEG, we predict the presence or absence of neonatal seizures on subsequent days with classification performances of more than 90%. This information, incorporated into routine care, could guide decisions about the necessity of continuing EEG monitoring beyond the first day, thereby improving the allocation of limited CEEG resources. Additionally, this analysis shows the benefits of standardised clinical data collection, which can drive learning health system approaches to personalised CEEG use.

FUNDING

Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, the Hartwell Foundation, the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke, and the Wolfson Foundation.

Continuous electroencephalography in the intensive care unit: A critical review and position statement from an Australian and New Zealand perspective

Objectives

This article aims to critically review the literature on continuous electroencephalography (cEEG) monitoring in the intensive care unit (ICU) from an Australian and New Zealand perspective and provide recommendations for clinicians.

Design and review methods

A taskforce of adult and paediatric neurologists, selected by the Epilepsy Society of Australia, reviewed the literature on cEEG for seizure detection in critically ill neonates, children, and adults in the ICU. The literature on routine EEG and cEEG for other indications was not reviewed. Following an evaluation of the evidence and discussion of controversial issues, consensus was reached, and a document that highlighted important clinical, practical, and economic considerations regarding cEEG in Australia and New Zealand was drafted.

Results

This review represents a summary of the literature and consensus opinion regarding the use of cEEG in the ICU for detection of seizures, highlighting gaps in evidence, practical problems with implementation, funding shortfalls, and areas for future research.

Conclusion

While cEEG detects electrographic seizures in a significant proportion of at-risk neonates, children, and adults in the ICU, conferring poorer neurological outcomes and guiding treatment in many settings, the health economic benefits of treating such seizures remain to be proven. Presently, cEEG in Australian and New Zealand ICUs is a largely unfunded clinical resource that is subsequently reserved for the highest-impact patient groups. Wider adoption of cEEG requires further research into impact on functional and health economic outcomes, education and training of the neurology and ICU teams involved, and securement of the necessary resources and funding to support the service.

Neuromonitoring in Children with Cerebrovascular Disorders

BACKGROUND

Cerebrovascular disorders are an important cause of morbidity and mortality in children. The acute care of a child with an ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke or cerebral sinus venous thrombosis focuses on stabilizing the patient, determining the cause of the insult, and preventing secondary injury. Here, we review the use of both invasive and noninvasive neuromonitoring modalities in the care of pediatric patients with arterial ischemic stroke, nontraumatic intracranial hemorrhage, and cerebral sinus venous thrombosis.

METHODS

Narrative review of the literature on neuromonitoring in children with cerebrovascular disorders.

RESULTS

Neuroimaging, near-infrared spectroscopy, transcranial Doppler ultrasonography, continuous and quantitative electroencephalography, invasive intracranial pressure monitoring, and multimodal neuromonitoring may augment the acute care of children with cerebrovascular disorders. Neuromonitoring can play an essential role in the early identification of evolving injury in the aftermath of arterial ischemic stroke, intracranial hemorrhage, or sinus venous thrombosis, including recurrent infarction or infarct expansion, new or recurrent hemorrhage, vasospasm and delayed cerebral ischemia, status epilepticus, and intracranial hypertension, among others, and this, is turn, can facilitate real-time adjustments to treatment plans.

CONCLUSIONS

Our understanding of pediatric cerebrovascular disorders has increased dramatically over the past several years, in part due to advances in the neuromonitoring modalities that allow us to better understand these conditions. We are now poised, as a field, to take advantage of advances in neuromonitoring capabilities to determine how best to manage and treat acute cerebrovascular disorders in children.

Periodic and rhythmic patterns in critically ill children: Incidence, interrater agreement, and seizures

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to determine the incidence of periodic and rhythmic patterns (PRP), assess the interrater agreement between electroencephalographers scoring PRP using standardized terminology, and analyze associations between PRP and electrographic seizures (ES) in critically ill children.

METHODS

This was a prospective observational study of consecutive critically ill children undergoing continuous electroencephalographic monitoring (CEEG). PRP were identified by one electroencephalographer, and then two pediatric electroencephalographers independently scored the first 1-h epoch that contained PRP using standardized terminology. We determined the incidence of PRPs, evaluated interrater agreement between electroencephalographers scoring PRP, and evaluated associations between PRP and ES.

RESULTS

One thousand three hundred ninety-nine patients underwent CEEG. ES occurred in 345 (25%) subjects. PRP, ES + PRP, and ictal-interictal continuum (IIC) patterns occurred in 142 (10%), 81 (6%), and 93 (7%) subjects, respectively. The most common PRP were generalized periodic discharges (GPD; 43, 30%), lateralized periodic discharges (LPD; 34, 24%), generalized rhythmic delta activity (GRDA; 34, 24%), bilateral independent periodic discharges (BIPD; 14, 10%), and lateralized rhythmic delta activity (LRDA; 11, 8%). ES risk varied by PRP type (p < .01). ES occurrence was associated with GPD (odds ratio [OR] = 6.35, p < .01), LPD (OR = 10.45, p < .01), BIPD (OR = 6.77, p < .01), and LRDA (OR = 6.58, p < .01). Some modifying features increased the risk of ES for each of those PRP. GRDA was not significantly associated with ES (OR = 1.34, p = .44). Each of the IIC patterns was associated with ES (OR = 6.83-8.81, p < .01). ES and PRP occurred within 6 h (before or after) in 45 (56%) subjects.

SIGNIFICANCE

PRP occurred in 10% of critically ill children who underwent CEEG. The most common patterns were GPD, LPD, GRDA, BIPD, and LRDA. The GPD, LPD, BIPD, LRDA, and IIC patterns were associated with ES. GRDA was not associated with ES.

Multimodal monitoring including early EEG improves stratification of brain injury severity after pediatric cardiac arrest

AIMS

Assessment of brain injury severity early after cardiac arrest (CA) may guide therapeutic interventions and help clinicians counsel families regarding neurologic prognosis. We aimed to determine whether adding EEG features to predictive models including clinical variables and examination signs increased the accuracy of short-term neurobehavioral outcome prediction.

METHODS

This was a prospective, observational, single-center study of consecutive infants and children resuscitated from CA. Standardized EEG scoring was performed by an electroencephalographer for the initial EEG timepoint after return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) and each 12-h segment from the time of ROSC up to 48 h. EEG Background Category was scored as: (1) normal; (2) slow-disorganized; (3) discontinuous or burst-suppression; or (4) attenuated-featureless. The primary outcome was neurobehavioral outcome at discharge from the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit. To develop the final predictive model, we compared areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROC) from models with varying combinations of Demographic/Arrest Variables, Examination Signs, and EEG Features.

RESULTS

We evaluated 89 infants and children. Initial EEG Background Category was normal in 9 subjects (10%), slow-disorganized in 44 (49%), discontinuous or burst suppression in 22 (25%), and attenuated-featureless in 14 (16%). The final model included Demographic/Arrest Variables (witnessed status, doses of epinephrine, initial lactate after ROSC) and EEG Background Category which achieved AUROC of 0.9 for unfavorable neurobehavioral outcome and 0.83 for mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

The addition of standardized EEG Background Categories to readily available CA variables significantly improved early stratification of brain injury severity after pediatric CA.

Electrographic Seizures and Outcome in Critically Ill Children

OBJECTIVE

To determine the association between electroencephalographic seizure (ES) and electroencephalographic status epilepticus (ESE) exposure and unfavorable neurobehavioral outcomes in critically ill children with acute encephalopathy.

METHODS

This was a prospective cohort study of acutely encephalopathic critically ill children undergoing continuous EEG monitoring (CEEG). ES exposure was assessed as (1) no ES/ESE, (2) ES, or (3) ESE. Outcomes assessed at discharge included the Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended Pediatric Version (GOS-E-Peds), Pediatric Cerebral Performance Category (PCPC), and mortality. Unfavorable outcome was defined as a reduction in GOS-E-Peds or PCPC score from preadmission to discharge. Stepwise selection was used to generate multivariate logistic regression models that assessed associations between ES exposure and outcomes while adjusting for multiple other variables.

RESULTS

Among 719 consecutive critically ill patients, there was no evidence of ES in 535 patients (74.4%), ES occurred in 140 patients (19.5%), and ESE in 44 patients (6.1%). The final multivariable logistic regression analyses included ES exposure, age dichotomized at 1 year, acute encephalopathy category, initial EEG background category, comatose at CEEG initiation, and Pediatric Index of Mortality 2 score. There was an association between ESE and unfavorable GOS-E-Peds (odds ratio 2.21, 95% confidence interval 1.07-4.54) and PCPC (odds ratio 2.17, 95% confidence interval 1.05-4.51) but not mortality. There was no association between ES and unfavorable outcome or mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Among acutely encephalopathic critically ill children, there was an association between ESE and unfavorable neurobehavioral outcomes, but no association between ESE and mortality. ES exposure was not associated with unfavorable neurobehavioral outcomes or mortality.

Machine learning models to predict electroencephalographic seizures in critically ill children

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether machine learning techniques would enhance our ability to incorporate key variables into a parsimonious model with optimized prediction performance for electroencephalographic seizure (ES) prediction in critically ill children.

METHODS

We analyzed data from a prospective observational cohort study of 719 consecutive critically ill children with encephalopathy who underwent clinically-indicated continuous EEG monitoring (CEEG). We implemented and compared three state-of-the-art machine learning methods for ES prediction: (1) random forest; (2) Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO); and (3) Deep Learning Important FeaTures (DeepLIFT). We developed a ranking algorithm based on the relative importance of each variable derived from the machine learning methods.

RESULTS

Based on our ranking algorithm, the top five variables for ES prediction were: (1) epileptiform discharges in the initial 30 minutes, (2) clinical seizures prior to CEEG initiation, (3) sex, (4) age dichotomized at 1 year, and (5) epileptic encephalopathy. Compared to the stepwise selection-based approach in logistic regression, the top variables selected by our ranking algorithm were more informative as models utilizing the top variables achieved better prediction performance evaluated by prediction accuracy, AUROC and F1 score. Adding additional variables did not improve and sometimes worsened model performance.

CONCLUSION

The ranking algorithm was helpful in deriving a parsimonious model for ES prediction with optimal performance. However, application of state-of-the-art machine learning models did not substantially improve model performance compared to prior logistic regression models. Thus, to further improve the ES prediction, we may need to collect more samples and variables that provide additional information.

Prediction of EEG Seizures in Critically Ill Children

In a prospective observational study, investigators from the Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia devised a predictive model for capturing electrographic seizures in critically ill pediatric patients.

Validation of a model to predict electroencephalographic seizures in critically ill children

OBJECTIVE

Electroencephalographic seizures (ESs) are common in encephalopathic critically ill children, but identification requires extensive resources for continuous electroencephalographic monitoring (CEEG). In a previous study, we developed a clinical prediction rule using three clinical variables (age, acute encephalopathy category, clinically evident seizure[s] prior to CEEG initiation) and two electroencephalographic (EEG) variables (EEG background category and interictal discharges within the first 30 minutes of EEG) to identify patients at high risk for ESs for whom CEEG might be essential. In the current study, we aimed to validate the ES prediction model using an independent cohort.

METHODS

The prospectively acquired validation cohort consisted of 314 consecutive critically ill children treated in the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit of a quaternary care referral hospital with acute encephalopathy undergoing clinically indicated CEEG. We calculated test characteristics using the previously developed prediction model in the validation cohort. As in the generation cohort study, we selected a 0.10 cutpoint to emphasize sensitivity.

RESULTS

The incidence of ESs in the validation cohort was 22%. The generation and validation cohorts were alike in most clinical and EEG characteristics. The ES prediction model was well calibrated and well discriminating in the validation cohort. The model had a sensitivity of 90%, specificity of 37%, positive predictive value of 28%, and negative predictive value of 93%. If applied, the model would limit 31% of patients from undergoing CEEG while failing to identify 10% of patients with ESs. The model had similar performance characteristics in the generation and validation cohorts.

SIGNIFICANCE

A model employing five readily available clinical and EEG variables performed well when validated in a new consecutive cohort. Implementation would substantially reduce CEEG utilization, although some patients with ESs would not be identified. This model may serve a critical role in targeting limited CEEG resources to critically ill children at highest risk for ESs.

EEG monitoring duration to identify electroencephalographic seizures in critically ill children

OBJECTIVES

To determine the optimal duration of continuous EEG monitoring (CEEG) for electrographic seizure (ES) identification in critically ill children.

METHODS

We performed a prospective observational cohort study of 719 consecutive critically ill children with encephalopathy. We evaluated baseline clinical risk factors (age and prior clinically evident seizures) and emergent CEEG risk factors (epileptiform discharges and ictal-interictal continuum patterns) using a multistate survival model. For each subgroup, we determined the CEEG duration for which the risk of ES was <5% and <2%.

RESULTS

ES occurred in 184 children (26%). Patients achieved <5% risk of ES after (1) 6 hours if ≥1 year without prior seizures or EEG risk factors; (2) 1 day if <1 year without prior seizures or EEG risks; (3) 1 day if ≥1 year with either prior seizures or EEG risks; (4) 2 days if ≥1 year with prior seizures and EEG risks; (5) 2 days if <1 year without prior seizures but with EEG risks; and (6) 2.5 days if <1 year with prior seizures regardless of the presence of EEG risks. Patients achieved <2% risk of ES at the same durations except patients without prior seizures or EEG risk factors would require longer CEEG (1.5 days if <1 year of age, 1 day if ≥1 year of age).

CONCLUSIONS

A model derived from 2 baseline clinical risk factors and emergent EEG risk factors would allow clinicians to implement personalized strategies that optimally target limited CEEG resources. This would enable more widespread use of CEEG-guided management as a potential neuroprotective strategy.

CLINICALTRIALSGOV IDENTIFIER

NCT03419260.