Seizure forecasting and cyclic control of seizures

Forecasting High-Risk Behavioral and Medical Events in Children with Autism through Analysis of Digital Behavioral Records

Individuals with Autism Spectrum Disorder may display interfering behaviors that limit their inclusion in educational and community settings, negatively impacting their quality of life. These behaviors may also signal potential medical conditions or indicate upcoming high-risk behaviors. This study explores behavior patterns that precede high-risk, challenging behaviors or seizures the following day. We analyzed an existing dataset of behavior and seizure data from 331 children with profound ASD over nine years. We developed a deep learning-based algorithm designed to predict the likelihood of aggression, elopement, and self-injurious behavior (SIB) as three high-risk behavioral events, as well as seizure episodes as a high-risk medical event occurring the next day. The proposed model attained accuracies of 78.4%, 80.68%, 85.43%, and 69.95% for predicting the next-day occurrence of aggression, SIB, elopement, and seizure episodes, respectively. The results were proven significant for more than 95% of the population for all high-risk event predictions using permutation-based statistical tests. Our findings emphasize the potential of leveraging historical behavior data for the early detection of high-risk behavioral and medical events, paving the way for behavioral interventions and improved support in both social and educational environments.

Sleep physiology in patients with epilepsy: Influence of seizures on rapid eye movement (REM) latency and REM duration

OBJECTIVE

A well-established bidirectional relationship exists between sleep and epilepsy. Patients with epilepsy tend to have less efficient sleep and shorter rapid eye movement (REM) sleep. Seizures are far more likely to arise from sleep transitions and non-REM sleep compared to REM sleep. Delay in REM onset or reduction in REM duration may have reciprocal interactions with seizure occurrence. Greater insight into the relationship between REM sleep and seizure occurrence is essential to our understanding of circadian patterns and predictability of seizure activity. We assessed a cohort of adults undergoing evaluation of drug-resistant epilepsy to examine whether REM sleep prior to or following seizures is delayed in latency or reduced in quantity.

METHODS

We used a spectrogram-guided approach to review the video-electroencephalograms of patients' epilepsy monitoring unit admissions for sleep scoring to determine sleep variables.

RESULTS

In our cohort of patients, we found group- and individual-level delay of REM latency and reduced REM duration when patients experienced a seizure before the primary sleep period (PSP) of interest or during the PSP of interest. A significant increase in REM latency and decrease in REM quantity were observed on nights where a seizure occurred within 4 h of sleep onset. No change in REM variables was found when investigating seizures that occurred the day after the PSP of interest. Our study is the first to provide insight about a perisleep period, which we defined as 4-h periods before and after the PSP.

SIGNIFICANCE

Our results demonstrate a significant relationship between seizures occurring prior to the PSP, during the PSP, and in the 4-h perisleep period and a delay in REM latency. These findings have implications for developing a biomarker of seizure detection as well as longer term seizure risk monitoring.

Activatable Dual-Optical Molecular Probe for Bioimaging Superoxide Anion in Epilepsy

Superoxide anion (O2•-) plays a pivotal role in the generation of other reactive oxygen species within the body and is closely linked to epilepsy. Despite this connection, achieving precise imaging of O2•- during epilepsy pathology remains a formidable challenge. Herein, we develop an activatable molecular probe, CL-SA, to track the fluctuation of the level of O2•- in epilepsy through simultaneous fluorescence imaging and chemiluminescence sensing. The developed probe CL-SA demonstrated its efficacy in imaging of O2•- in neuronal cells, showcasing its dual optical imaging capability for O2•- in vitro. Furthermore, CL-SA was successfully used to observe aberrantly expressed O2•- in a mouse model of epilepsy. Overall, CL-SA provides us with a valuable tool for chemical and biomedical studies of O2•-, promoting the investigation of O2•- fluctuations in epilepsy, as well as providing a reliable means to explore the diagnosis and therapy of epilepsy.

Fear of disease in patients with epilepsy - a network analysis

Background

Disease-related fear among patients with epilepsy has significantly impacted their quality of life. The Disease-Related Fear Scale (D-RFS), comprising three dimensions, serves as a relatively well-established tool for assessing fear in these patients. However, certain problems potentially exist within the D-RFS's attribution of items, and its internal structure is still unclear. To establish an appropriate dimensional structure and gain deeper comprehension of its internal structure-particularly its core variables-is vital for developing more effective interventions aimed at alleviating disease-related fear among patients with epilepsy.

Methods

This study employed a cross-sectional survey involving 609 patients with epilepsy. All participants underwent assessment using the Chinese version of the D-RFS. We used exploratory network analysis to discover a new structure and network analysis to investigate the interrelationships among fear symptom domains. In addition to the regularized partial correlation network, we also estimated the node and bridge centrality index to identify the importance of each item within the network. Finally, it was applied to analyze the differences in network analysis outcomes among epilepsy patients with different seizure frequencies.

Results

The research findings indicate that nodes within the network of disease-related fear symptoms are interconnected, and there are no isolated nodes. Nodes within groups 3 and 4 present the strongest centrality. Additionally, a tight interconnection exists among fear symptoms within each group. Moreover, the frequency of epileptic episodes does not significantly impact the network structure.

Conclusion

In this study, a new 5-dimension structure was constructed for D-RFS, and the fear of disease in patients with epilepsy has been conceptualized through a network perspective. The goal is to identify potential targets for relevant interventions and gain insights for future research.

Comparison between epileptic seizure prediction and forecasting based on machine learning

Epilepsy affects around 1% of the population worldwide. Anti-epileptic drugs are an excellent option for controlling seizure occurrence but do not work for around one-third of patients. Warning devices employing seizure prediction or forecasting algorithms could bring patients new-found comfort and quality of life. These algorithms would attempt to detect a seizure's preictal period, a transitional moment between regular brain activity and the seizure, and relay this information to the user. Over the years, many seizure prediction studies using Electroencephalogram-based methodologies have been developed, triggering an alarm when detecting the preictal period. Recent studies have suggested a shift in view from prediction to forecasting. Seizure forecasting takes a probabilistic approach to the problem in question instead of the crisp approach of seizure prediction. In this field of study, the triggered alarm to symbolize the detection of a preictal period is substituted by a constant risk assessment analysis. The present work aims to explore methodologies capable of seizure forecasting and establish a comparison with seizure prediction results. Using 40 patients from the EPILEPSIAE database, we developed several patient-specific prediction and forecasting algorithms with different classifiers (a Logistic Regression, a 15 Support Vector Machines ensemble, and a 15 Shallow Neural Networks ensemble). Results show an increase of the seizure sensitivity in forecasting relative to prediction of up to 146% and in the number of patients that displayed an improvement over chance of up to 300%. These results suggest that a seizure forecasting methodology may be more suitable for seizure warning devices than a seizure prediction one.

Heart Rate Variability as a Tool for Seizure Prediction: A Scoping Review

The most critical burden for People with Epilepsy (PwE) is represented by seizures, the unpredictability of which severely impacts quality of life. The design of real-time warning systems that can detect or even predict ictal events would enhance seizure management, leading to high benefits for PwE and their caregivers. In the past, various research works highlighted that seizure onset is anticipated by significant changes in autonomic cardiac control, which can be assessed through heart rate variability (HRV). This manuscript conducted a scoping review of the literature analyzing HRV-based methods for detecting or predicting ictal events. An initial search on the PubMed database returned 402 papers, 72 of which met the inclusion criteria and were included in the review. These results suggest that seizure detection is more accurate in neonatal and pediatric patients due to more significant autonomic modifications during the ictal transitions. In addition, conventional metrics are often incapable of capturing cardiac autonomic variations and should be replaced with more advanced methodologies, considering non-linear HRV features and machine learning tools for processing them. Finally, studies investigating wearable systems for heart monitoring denoted how HRV constitutes an efficient biomarker for seizure detection in patients presenting significant alterations in autonomic cardiac control during ictal events.

Seizure forecasting: Where do we stand?

A lot of mileage has been made recently on the long and winding road toward seizure forecasting. Here we briefly review some selected milestones passed along the way, which were discussed at the International Conference for Technology and Analysis of Seizures-ICTALS 2022-convened at the University of Bern, Switzerland. Major impetus was gained recently from wearable and implantable devices that record not only electroencephalography, but also data on motor behavior, acoustic signals, and various signals of the autonomic nervous system. This multimodal monitoring can be performed for ultralong timescales covering months or years. Accordingly, features and metrics extracted from these data now assess seizure dynamics with a greater degree of completeness. Most prominently, this has allowed the confirmation of the long-suspected cyclical nature of interictal epileptiform activity, seizure risk, and seizures. The timescales cover daily, multi-day, and yearly cycles. Progress has also been fueled by approaches originating from the interdisciplinary field of network science. Considering epilepsy as a large-scale network disorder yielded novel perspectives on the pre-ictal dynamics of the evolving epileptic brain. In addition to discrete predictions that a seizure will take place in a specified prediction horizon, the community broadened the scope to probabilistic forecasts of a seizure risk evolving continuously in time. This shift of gears triggered the incorporation of additional metrics to quantify the performance of forecasting algorithms, which should be compared to the chance performance of constrained stochastic null models. An imminent task of utmost importance is to find optimal ways to communicate the output of seizure-forecasting algorithms to patients, caretakers, and clinicians, so that they can have socioeconomic impact and improve patients' well-being.

Development of a Multivariable Seizure Likelihood Assessment Based on Clinical Information and Short Autonomic Activity Recordings for Children With Epilepsy

BACKGROUND

Predicting seizure likelihood for the following day would enable clinicians to extend or potentially schedule video-electroencephalography (EEG) monitoring when seizure risk is high. Combining standardized clinical data with short-term recordings of wearables to predict seizure likelihood could have high practical relevance as wearable data is easy and fast to collect. As a first step toward seizure forecasting, we classified patients based on whether they had seizures or not during the following recording.

METHODS

Pediatric patients admitted to the epilepsy monitoring unit wore a wearable that recorded the heart rate (HR), heart rate variability (HRV), electrodermal activity (EDA), and peripheral body temperature. We utilized short recordings from 9:00 to 9:15 pm and compared mean values between patients with and without impending seizures. In addition, we collected clinical data: age, sex, age at first seizure, generalized slowing, focal slowing, and spikes on EEG, magnetic resonance imaging findings, and antiseizure medication reduction. We used conventional machine learning techniques with cross-validation to classify patients with and without impending seizures.

RESULTS

We included 139 patients: 78 had no seizures and 61 had at least one seizure after 9 pm during the concurrent video-EEG and E4 recordings. HR (P < 0.01) and EDA (P < 0.01) were lower and HRV (P = 0.02) was higher for patients with than for patients without impending seizures. The average accuracy of group classification was 66%, and the mean area under the receiver operating characteristics was 0.72.

CONCLUSIONS

Short-term wearable recordings in combination with clinical data have great potential as an easy-to-use seizure likelihood assessment tool.

Individualized Seizure Cluster Prediction Using Machine Learning and Chronic Ambulatory Intracranial EEG

Epilepsy patients often experience acute repetitive seizures, known as seizure clusters, which can progress to prolonged seizures or status epilepticus if left untreated. Predicting the onset of seizure clusters is crucial to enable patients to receive preventative treatments. Additionally, studying the patterns of seizure clusters can help predict the seizure type (isolated or cluster) after observing a just occurred seizure. This paper presents machine learning models that use bivariate intracranial EEG (iEEG) features to predict seizure clustering. Specifically, we utilized relative entropy (REN) as a bivariate feature to capture potential differences in brain region interactions underlying isolated and cluster seizures. We analyzed a large ambulatory iEEG dataset collected from 15 patients and spanned up to 2 years of recordings for each patient, consisting of 3341 cluster seizures (from 427 clusters) and 369 isolated seizures. The dataset's substantial number of seizures per patient enabled individualized analyses and predictions. We observed that REN was significantly different between isolated and cluster seizures in majority of the patients. Machine learning models based on REN: 1) predicted whether a seizure will occur soon after a given seizure with up to 69.5% Area under the ROC Curve (AUC), 2) predicted if a seizure is the first one in a cluster with up to 55.3% AUC, outperforming baseline techniques. Overall, our findings could be beneficial in addressing the clinical burden associated with seizure clusters, enabling patients to receive timely treatments and improving their quality of life.

Novel Near-Infrared Fluorescence Probe for Bioimaging and Evaluating Superoxide Anion Fluctuations in Ferroptosis-Mediated Epilepsy

Ferroptosis is an iron-regulated, caspase-mediated pathway of cell death that is associated with the excessive aggregation of lipid-reactive oxygen species and is extensively involved in the evolution of many diseases, including epilepsy. The superoxide anion (O2•-), as the primary precursor of ROS, is closely related to ferroptosis-mediated epilepsy. Therefore, it is crucial to establish a highly effective and convenient method for the real-time dynamic monitoring of O2•- during the ferroptosis process in epilepsy for the diagnosis and therapy of ferroptosis-mediated epilepsy. Nevertheless, no probes for detecting O2•- in ferroptosis-mediated epilepsy have been reported. Herein, we systematically conceptualized and developed a novel near-infrared (NIR) fluorescence probe, NIR-FP, for accurately tracking the fluctuation of O2•- in ferroptosis-mediated epilepsy. The probe showed exceptional sensitivity and outstanding selectivity toward O2•-. In addition, the probe has been utilized effectively to bioimage and evaluate endogenous O2•- variations in three types of ferroptosis-mediated epilepsy models (the kainic acid-induced chronic epilepsy model, the pentylenetetrazole-induced acute epilepsy model, and the pilocarpine-induced status epilepticus model). The above applications illustrated that NIR-FP could serve as a reliable and suitable tool for guiding the accurate diagnosis and therapy of ferroptosis-mediated epilepsy.

Computational modeling allows unsupervised classification of epileptic brain states across species

Current advances in epilepsy treatment aim to personalize and responsively adjust treatment parameters to overcome patient heterogeneity in treatment efficiency. For tailoring treatment to the individual and the current brain state, tools are required that help to identify the patient- and time-point-specific parameters of epilepsy. Computational modeling has long proven its utility in gaining mechanistic insight. Recently, the technique has been introduced as a diagnostic tool to predict individual treatment outcomes. In this article, the Wendling model, an established computational model of epilepsy dynamics, is used to automatically classify epileptic brain states in intracranial EEG from patients (n = 4) and local field potential recordings from in vitro rat data (high-potassium model of epilepsy, n = 3). Five-second signal segments are classified to four types of brain state in epilepsy (interictal, preonset, onset, ictal) by comparing a vector of signal features for each data segment to four prototypical feature vectors obtained by Wendling model simulations. The classification result is validated against expert visual assessment. Model-driven brain state classification achieved a classification performance significantly above chance level (mean sensitivity 0.99 on model data, 0.77 on rat data, 0.56 on human data in a four-way classification task). Model-driven prototypes showed similarity with data-driven prototypes, which we obtained from real data for rats and humans. Our results indicate similar electrophysiological patterns of epileptic states in the human brain and the animal model that are well-reproduced by the computational model, and captured by a key set of signal features, enabling fully automated and unsupervised brain state classification in epilepsy.

Chronic intracranial EEG recordings and interictal spike rate reveal multiscale temporal modulations in seizure states

Many biological processes are modulated by rhythms on circadian and multidien timescales. In focal epilepsy, various seizure features, such as spread and duration, can change from one seizure to the next within the same patient. However, the specific timescales of this variability, as well as the specific seizure characteristics that change over time, are unclear. Here, in a cross-sectional observational study, we analysed within-patient seizure variability in 10 patients with chronic intracranial EEG recordings (185-767 days of recording time, 57-452 analysed seizures/patient). We characterized the seizure evolutions as sequences of a finite number of patient-specific functional seizure network states. We then compared seizure network state occurrence and duration to (1) time since implantation and (2) patient-specific circadian and multidien cycles in interictal spike rate. In most patients, the occurrence or duration of at least one seizure network state was associated with the time since implantation. Some patients had one or more seizure network states that were associated with phases of circadian and/or multidien spike rate cycles. A given seizure network state's occurrence and duration were usually not associated with the same timescale. Our results suggest that different time-varying factors modulate within-patient seizure evolutions over multiple timescales, with separate processes modulating a seizure network state's occurrence and duration. These findings imply that the development of time-adaptive treatments in epilepsy must account for several separate properties of epileptic seizures and similar principles likely apply to other neurological conditions.

Observers for Phenomenological Models of Epileptic Seizures

Progress towards effective treatment of epileptic seizures has seen much improvement in the past decade. In particular, the emergence of phenomenological models of epileptic seizures specifically designed to capture the electrical seizure dynamics in the Epileptor model is inspiring new approaches to predicting and controlling seizures. These new models present in various forms and contain important but unmeasurable variables that control the occurrence of seizures. These models have been used mostly as nodes in large networks to study the complex brain behaviour of seizures. In order to use this model for the purposes of seizure forecasting or to control seizures through deep brain stimulation, the states of the model will need to be estimated. Although devices such as EEG electrodes can be related to some of the states of the model, most remain unmeasured and would require an observer (as defined in control theory) for their estimation. Additionally, we would like to consider the case for large nodes of systems where the number of electrodes is far smaller than the number of nodes being estimated. In this paper, we provide methods towards obtaining the full states of these phenomenological models using nonlinear observers. In particular, we explore the effectiveness of the Extended Kalman Filter for small networks of nodes of a smoothed sixth order Epileptor model. We show that observer design is possible for this family of systems and identify the difficulties in doing so.Clinical relevance-The methods presented here can be applied with an individual epileptic patient's EEG to reveal previously hidden biomarkers of epilepsy for seizure forecasting.

Pre-ictal fluctuation of EEG functional connectivity discriminates seizure phenotypes in mesial temporal lobe epilepsy

OBJECTIVE

We explored whether quantifiable differences between clinical seizures (CSs) and subclinical seizures (SCSs) occur in the pre-ictal state.

METHODS

We analyzed pre-ictal stereo-electroencephalography (SEEG) retrospectively across mesial temporal lobe epilepsy patients with recorded CSs and SCSs. Power spectral density and functional connectivity (FC) were quantified within and between the seizure onset zone (SOZ) and the early propagation zone (PZ), respectively. To evaluate the fluctuation of neural connectivity, FC variability was computed. Measures were further verified by a logistic regression model to evaluate their classification potentiality through the area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curve (AUC).

RESULTS

Fifty-four pre-ictal SEEG epochs (27 CSs and 27 SCSs) were selected among 14 patients. Within the SOZ, pre-ictal FC variability of CSs was larger than SCSs in 1-45 Hz during 30 seconds before seizure onset. Pre-ictal FC variability between the SOZ and PZ was larger in SCSs than CSs in 55-80 Hz within 1 minute before onset. Using these two variables, the logistic regression model achieved an AUC of 0.79 when classifying CSs and SCSs.

CONCLUSIONS

Pre-ictal FC variability within/between epileptic zones, not signal power or FC value, distinguished SCSs from CSs.

SIGNIFICANCE

Pre-ictal epileptic network stability possibly marks seizure phenotypes, contributing insights into ictogenesis and potentially helping seizure prediction.

Removing artefacts and periodically retraining improve performance of neural network-based seizure prediction models

The development of seizure prediction models is often based on long-term scalp electroencephalograms (EEGs) since they capture brain electrical activity, are non-invasive, and come at a relatively low-cost. However, they suffer from major shortcomings. First, long-term EEG is usually highly contaminated with artefacts. Second, changes in the EEG signal over long intervals, known as concept drift, are often neglected. We evaluate the influence of these problems on deep neural networks using EEG time series and on shallow neural networks using widely-used EEG features. Our patient-specific prediction models were tested in 1577 hours of continuous EEG, containing 91 seizures from 41 patients with temporal lobe epilepsy who were undergoing pre-surgical monitoring. Our results showed that cleaning EEG data, using a previously developed artefact removal method based on deep convolutional neural networks, improved prediction performance. We also found that retraining the models over time reduced false predictions. Furthermore, the results show that although deep neural networks processing EEG time series are less susceptible to false alarms, they may need more data to surpass feature-based methods. These findings highlight the importance of robust data denoising and periodic adaptation of seizure prediction models.

Decrease in wearable-based nocturnal sleep efficiency precedes epileptic seizures

Introduction

While it is known that poor sleep is a seizure precipitant, this association remains poorly quantified. This study investigated whether seizures are preceded by significant changes in sleep efficiency as measured by a wearable equipped with an electrocardiogram, respiratory bands, and an accelerometer.

Methods

Nocturnal recordings from 47 people with epilepsy hospitalized at our epilepsy monitoring unit were analyzed (304 nights). Sleep metrics during nights followed by epileptic seizures (24 h post-awakening) were compared to those of nights which were not.

Results

Lower sleep efficiency (percentage of sleep during the night) was found in the nights preceding seizure days (p < 0.05). Each standard deviation decrease in sleep efficiency and increase in wake after sleep onset was respectively associated with a 1.25-fold (95 % CI: 1.05 to 1.42, p < 0.05) and 1.49-fold (95 % CI: 1.17 to 1.92, p < 0.01) increased odds of seizure occurrence the following day. Furthermore, nocturnal seizures were associated with significantly lower sleep efficiency and higher wake after sleep onset (p < 0.05), as well as increased odds of seizure occurrence following wake (OR: 5.86, 95 % CI: 2.99 to 11.77, p < 0.001).

Discussion

Findings indicate lower sleep efficiency during nights preceding seizures, suggesting that wearable sensors could be promising tools for sleep-based seizure-day forecasting in people with epilepsy.

Seizure forecasting using machine learning models trained by seizure diaries

Objectives.People with refractory epilepsy are overwhelmed by the uncertainty of their next seizures. Accurate prediction of future seizures could greatly improve the quality of life for these patients. New evidence suggests that seizure occurrences can have cyclical patterns for some patients. Even though these cyclicalities are not intuitive, they can be identified by machine learning (ML), to identify patients with predictable vs unpredictable seizure patterns.Approach.Self-reported seizure logs of 153 patients from the Human Epilepsy Project with more than three reported seizures (totaling 8337 seizures) were used to obtain inter-seizure interval time-series for training and evaluation of the forecasting models. Two classes of prediction methods were studied: (1) statistical approaches using Bayesian fusion of population-wise and individual-wise seizure patterns; and (2) ML-based algorithms including least squares, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, support vector machine (SVM) regression, and long short-term memory regression. Leave-one-person-out cross-validation was used for training and evaluation, by training on seizure diaries of all except one subject and testing on the left-out subject.Main results.The leading forecasting models were the SVM regression and a statistical model that combined the median of population-wise seizure time-intervals with a test subject's prior seizure intervals. SVM was able to forecast 50%, 70%, 81%, 84%, and 87% of seizures of unseen subjects within 0, 1, 2, 3 to 4 d of mean absolute forecasting error, respectively. The subject-wise performances show that patients with more frequent seizures were generally better predicted.Significance.ML models can leverage non-random patterns within self-reported seizure diaries to forecast future seizures. While diary-based seizure forecasting alone is only one of many aspects of clinical care of patients with epilepsy, studying the level of predictability across seizures and patients paves the path towards a better understanding of predictable vs unpredictable seizures on individualized and population-wise bases.

Evaluation of the knowledge, awareness, and attitudes toward epilepsy among nurses

BACKGROUND

The standard of care provided to patients with chronic epilepsy might be affected by clinical nurses' understanding, awareness, and attitudes toward the condition. The objective of this study was to assess the knowledge, awareness, and attitudes toward chronic epilepsy among clinical nurses in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine, China.

METHODS

Two hundred and thirty-eight nurses from the neurosurgery, neurology, epilepsy center, other internal medicine and other surgery department working at our hospital participated in this descriptive and cross-sectional study in 2022. The data were collected through an electronic questionnaire, which comprised four domains including demographic and clinical epilepsy-related questions, awareness of epilepsy section, 18 items for knowledge and a 15-item scale for attitudes. Mann-Whitney U tests, Kruskal-Wallis H tests, post hoc analysis, Pearson correlation analysis, and descriptive statistics were used to analyze the non-normal distribution of the dataset.

RESULTS

The clinical nurses' average score on the awareness of epilepsy section was 14.93 ± 2.69 (maximum score: 20), the knowledge of epilepsy section scored 15.41 ± 2.30 (maximum score: 18), and the epilepsy attitude section scored 30.65 ± 7.40. The knowledge and awareness accuracy of the responses to the epilepsy-related questions were positively and significantly correlated (r = 0.251, p < 0.001). The multiple linear regression model found that the department (p < 0.001) and rank (p = 0.015) of nurses were independently associated with awareness toward epilepsy. Meanwhile, there was a statistically significant difference between the departments of nurses and accuracy on the Epilepsy Knowledge Scale (H = 18.340, p < 0.001). In addition, 92.77% of nurses agreed that people with chronic epilepsy have the same rights as all people. Unfortunately, over 30% of nurses maintained an uncertain attitude toward the employment, marriage, and emotion related to epilepsy.

CONCLUSION

Our findings revealed that nurses had a general awareness and understanding of epilepsy, attitudes toward epilepsy. Specifically, nurses working in the Neurology Department and the Epilepsy Center were predisposed to have a considerably better level of awareness and knowledge of epilepsy. Additionally, as their understanding of epilepsy grew, so did their sensitivity to those who suffer from the condition. The study also recommends that epilepsy experts deliver additional lectures and training sessions to enhance nurses' knowledge of first-aid for seizures.

Seizure-related differences in biosignal 24-h modulation patterns

A seizure likelihood biomarker could improve seizure monitoring and facilitate adjustment of treatments based on seizure risk. Here, we tested differences in patient-specific 24-h-modulation patterns of electrodermal activity (EDA), peripheral body temperature (TEMP), and heart rate (HR) between patients with and without seizures. We enrolled patients who underwent continuous video-EEG monitoring at Boston Children's Hospital to wear a biosensor. We divided patients into two groups: those with no seizures and those with at least one seizure during the recording period. We assessed the 24-h modulation level and amplitude of EDA, TEMP, and HR. We performed machine learning including physiological and clinical variables. Subsequently, we determined classifier performance by cross-validated machine learning. Patients with seizures (n = 49) had lower EDA levels (p = 0.031), EDA amplitudes (p = 0.045), and trended toward lower HR levels (p = 0.060) compared to patients without seizures (n = 68). Averaged cross-validated classification accuracy was 69% (AUC-ROC: 0.75). Our results show the potential to monitor and forecast risk for epileptic seizures based on changes in 24-h patterns in wearable recordings in combination with clinical variables. Such biomarkers might be applicable to inform care, such as treatment or seizure injury risk during specific periods, scheduling diagnostic tests, such as admission to the epilepsy monitoring unit, and potentially other neurological and chronic conditions.

Accurate detection of heart rate using in-ear photoplethysmography in a clinical setting

Background

Recent research has shown that photoplethysmography (PPG) based wearable sensors offer a promising potential for chronic disease monitoring. The aim of the present study was to assess the performance of an in-ear wearable PPG sensor in acquiring valid and reliable heart rate measurements in a clinical setting, with epileptic patients.

Methods

Patients undergoing video-electroencephalography (EEG) monitoring with concomitant one-lead electrocardiographic (ECG) recordings were equipped with an in-ear sensor developed by cosinuss°.

Results

In total, 2,048 h of recording from 97 patients with simultaneous ECG and in-ear heart rate data were included in the analysis. The comparison of the quality-filtered in-ear heart rate data with the reference ECG resulted in a bias of 0.78 bpm with a standard deviation of ±2.54 bpm; Pearson’s Correlation Coefficient PCC = 0.83; Intraclass Correlation Coefficient ICC = 0.81 and mean absolute percentage error MAPE = 2.57.

Conclusion

These data confirm that the in-ear wearable PPG sensor provides accurate heart rate measurements in comparison with ECG under realistic clinical conditions, especially with a signal quality indicator. Further research is required to investigate whether this technology is helpful in identifying seizure-related cardiovascular changes.

A multimodal clinical data resource for personalized risk assessment of sudden unexpected death in epilepsy

Epilepsy affects ~2-3 million individuals in the United States, a third of whom have uncontrolled seizures. Sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP) is a catastrophic and fatal complication of poorly controlled epilepsy and is the primary cause of mortality in such patients. Despite its huge public health impact, with a ~1/1,000 incidence rate in persons with epilepsy, it is an uncommon enough phenomenon to require multi-center efforts for well-powered studies. We developed the Multimodal SUDEP Data Resource (MSDR), a comprehensive system for sharing multimodal epilepsy data in the NIH funded Center for SUDEP Research. The MSDR aims at accelerating research to address critical questions about personalized risk assessment of SUDEP. We used a metadata-guided approach, with a set of common epilepsy-specific terms enforcing uniform semantic interpretation of data elements across three main components: (1) multi-site annotated datasets; (2) user interfaces for capturing, managing, and accessing data; and (3) computational approaches for the analysis of multimodal clinical data. We incorporated the process for managing dataset-specific data use agreements, evidence of Institutional Review Board review, and the corresponding access control in the MSDR web portal. The metadata-guided approach facilitates structural and semantic interoperability, ultimately leading to enhanced data reusability and scientific rigor. MSDR prospectively integrated and curated epilepsy patient data from seven institutions, and it currently contains data on 2,739 subjects and 10,685 multimodal clinical data files with different data formats. In total, 55 users registered in the current MSDR data repository, and 6 projects have been funded to apply MSDR in epilepsy research, including three R01 projects and three R21 projects.

Weak self-supervised learning for seizure forecasting: a feasibility study

This paper proposes an artificial intelligence system that continuously improves over time at event prediction using initially unlabelled data by using self-supervised learning. Time-series data are inherently autocorrelated. By using a detection model to generate weak labels on the fly, which are concurrently used as targets to train a prediction model on a time-shifted input data stream, this autocorrelation can effectively be harnessed to reduce the burden of manual labelling. This is critical in medical patient monitoring, as it enables the development of personalized forecasting models without demanding the annotation of long sequences of physiological signal recordings. We perform a feasibility study on seizure prediction, which is identified as an ideal test case, as pre-ictal brainwaves are patient-specific, and tailoring models to individual patients is known to improve forecasting performance significantly. Our self-supervised approach is used to train individualized forecasting models for 10 patients, showing an average relative improvement in sensitivity by 14.30% and a reduction in false alarms by 19.61% in early seizure forecasting. This proof-of-concept on the feasibility of using a continuous stream of time-series neurophysiological data paves the way towards a low-power neuromorphic neuromodulation system.

Neurostimulation as a Method of Treatment and a Preventive Measure in Canine Drug-Resistant Epilepsy: Current State and Future Prospects

Modulation of neuronal activity for seizure control using various methods of neurostimulation is a rapidly developing field in epileptology, especially in treatment of refractory epilepsy. Promising results in human clinical practice, such as diminished seizure burden, reduced incidence of sudden unexplained death in epilepsy, and improved quality of life has brought neurostimulation into the focus of veterinary medicine as a therapeutic option. This article provides a comprehensive review of available neurostimulation methods for seizure management in drug-resistant epilepsy in canine patients. Recent progress in non-invasive modalities, such as repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation and transcutaneous vagus nerve stimulation is highlighted. We further discuss potential future advances and their plausible application as means for preventing epileptogenesis in dogs.

Alterations of Cerebral Perfusion and Functional Connectivity in Children With Idiopathic Generalized Epilepsy

Background

Studies have demonstrated that adults with idiopathic generalized epilepsy (IGE) have functional abnormalities; however, the neuropathological pathogenesis differs between adults and children. This study aimed to explore alterations in the cerebral blood flow (CBF) and functional connectivity (FC) to comprehensively elucidate the neuropathological mechanisms of IGE in children.

Methods

We obtained arterial spin labeling (ASL) and resting state functional magnetic resonance imaging data of 28 children with IGE and 35 matched controls. We used ASL to determine differential CBF regions in children with IGE. A seed-based whole-brain FC analysis was performed for regions with significant CBF changes. The mean CBF and FC of brain areas with significant group differences was extracted, then its correlation with clinical variables in IGE group was analyzed by using Pearson correlation analysis.

Results

Compared to controls, children with IGE had CBF abnormalities that were mainly observed in the right middle temporal gyrus, right middle occipital gyrus (MOG), right superior frontal gyrus (SFG), left inferior frontal gyrus (IFG), and triangular part of the left IFG (IFGtriang). We observed that the FC between the left IFGtriang and calcarine fissure (CAL) and that between the right MOG and bilateral CAL were decreased in children with IGE. The CBF in the right SFG was correlated with the age at IGE onset. FC in the left IFGtriang and left CAL was correlated with the IGE duration.

Conclusion

This study found that CBF and FC were altered simultaneously in the left IFGtriang and right MOG of children with IGE. The combination of CBF and FC may provide additional information and insight regarding the pathophysiology of IGE from neuronal and vascular integration perspectives.

Fluctuations in EEG band power at subject-specific timescales over minutes to days explain changes in seizure evolutions

Epilepsy is recognised as a dynamic disease, where both seizure susceptibility and seizure characteristics themselves change over time. Specifically, we recently quantified the variable electrographic spatio-temporal seizure evolutions that exist within individual patients. This variability appears to follow subject-specific circadian, or longer, timescale modulations. It is therefore important to know whether continuously recorded interictaliEEG features can capture signatures of these modulations over different timescales. In this study, we analyse continuous intracranial electroencephalographic (iEEG) recordings from video-telemetry units and find fluctuations in iEEG band power over timescales ranging from minutes up to 12 days. As expected and in agreement with previous studies, we find that all subjects show a circadian fluctuation in their iEEG band power. We additionally detect other fluctuations of similar magnitude on subject-specific timescales. Importantly, we find that a combination of these fluctuations on different timescales can explain changes in seizure evolutions in most subjects above chance level. These results suggest that subject-specific fluctuations in iEEG band power over timescales of minutes to days may serve as markers of seizure modulating processes. We hope that future study can link these detected fluctuations to their biological driver(s). There is a critical need to better understand seizure modulating processes, as this will enable the development of novel treatment strategies that could minimise the seizure spread, duration or severity and therefore the clinical impact of seizures.

Mobile Applications for Epilepsy: Where Are We? Where Should We Go? A Systematic Review

The development of mobile health for epilepsy has grown in the last years, bringing new applications (apps) to the market and improving already existing ones. In this systematic review, we analyse the scope of mobile apps for seizure detection and epilepsy self-management, with two research questions in mind: what are the characteristics of current solutions and do they meet users’ requirements? What should be considered when designing mobile health for epilepsy? We used PRISMA methodology to search within App Store and Google Play Store from February to April of 2021, reaching 55 potential apps. A more thorough analysis regarding particular features was performed on 26 of those apps. The content of these apps was evaluated in five categories, regarding if there was personalisable content; features related to medication management; what aspects of seizure log were present; what type of communication prevailed; and if there was any content related to seizure alarm or seizure action plans. Moreover, the 26 apps were evaluated through using MARS by six raters, including two neurologists. The analysis of MARS categories was performed for the top and bottom apps, to understand the core differences. Overall, the lowest MARS scores were related to engagement and information, which play a big part in long-term use, and previous studies raised the concern of assuring continuous use, especially in younger audiences. With that in mind, we identified conceptual improvement points, which were divided in three main topics: customisation, simplicity and healthcare connection. Moreover, we summarised some ideas to improve m-health apps catered around long-term adherence. We hope this work contributes to a better understanding of the current scope in mobile epilepsy management, endorsing healthcare professionals and developers to provide off-the-shelf solutions that engage patients and allows them to better manage their condition.

Tree based Ensemble for Enhanced Prediction (TEEP) of epileptic seizures

Accurate and timely prediction of seizures can improve the quality of life of epileptic patients to a huge extent. This work presents a seizure prediction model that performs data extraction and feature engineering to enable effective demarcation of preictal signals from interictal signals. The proposed Tree based Ensemble for Enhanced Prediction (TEEP) model is composed of three major phases; the feature extraction phase, feature selection phase and the prediction phase. The data is preprocessed, and features are extracted based on the nature of the data. This enables the prediction algorithm to perform time-based predictions. Further, statistical features are also extracted, followed by the process of feature aggregation. The resultant data is passed to the feature selection module to identify the attributes that exhibit highest correlation with the prediction variable. Incorporation of these two modules enhances the generalization capability of the TEEP model. The resultant features are passed to the boosted ensemble model for training and prediction. The TEEP model is analyzed using the Epileptic Seizure Recognition Data from University Hospital of Bonn and the NIH Seizure Prediction data from Melbourne University, Australia. Results from both the datasets indicate effective performances. Comparisons with the existing state-of-the-art models in literature exhibits the enhanced prediction levels of the TEEP model.

Respiratory alkalosis provokes spike-wave discharges in seizure-prone rats

Hyperventilation reliably provokes seizures in patients diagnosed with absence epilepsy. Despite this predictable patient response, the mechanisms that enable hyperventilation to powerfully activate absence seizure-generating circuits remain entirely unknown. By utilizing gas exchange manipulations and optogenetics in the WAG/Rij rat, an established rodent model of absence epilepsy, we demonstrate that absence seizures are highly sensitive to arterial carbon dioxide, suggesting that seizure-generating circuits are sensitive to pH. Moreover, hyperventilation consistently activated neurons within the intralaminar nuclei of the thalamus, a structure implicated in seizure generation. We show that intralaminar thalamus also contains pH-sensitive neurons. Collectively, these observations suggest that hyperventilation activates pH-sensitive neurons of the intralaminar nuclei to provoke absence seizures.

Rapid Response EEG: Current State and Future Directions

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

To critically appraise the literature on the application, methods, and advances in emergency electroencephalography (EEG).

RECENT FINDINGS

The development of rapid EEG (rEEG) technologies and other reduced montage approaches, along with advances in machine learning over the past decade, has increased the rate and access to EEG acquisition. These achievements have made EEG in the emergency setting a practical diagnostic technique for detecting seizures, suspected nonconvulsive status epilepticus (NCSE), altered mental status, stroke, and in the setting of sedation. Growing evidence supports using EEG to expedite medical decision-making in the setting of suspected acute neurological injury. This review covers approaches to acquiring EEG in the emergency setting in the adult and pediatric populations. We also cover the clinical impact of this data, the time associated with emergency EEG, and the costs of acquiring EEG in these settings. Finally, we discuss the advances in artificial intelligence for rapid electrophysiological interpretation.

Deep Learning of Simultaneous Intracranial and Scalp EEG for Prediction, Detection, and Lateralization of Mesial Temporal Lobe Seizures

In people with drug resistant epilepsy (DRE), seizures are unpredictable, often occurring with little or no warning. The unpredictability causes anxiety and much of the morbidity and mortality of seizures. In this work, 102 seizures of mesial temporal lobe onset were analyzed from 19 patients with DRE who had simultaneous intracranial EEG (iEEG) and scalp EEG as part of their surgical evaluation. The first aim of this paper was to develop machine learning models for seizure prediction and detection (i) using iEEG only, (ii) scalp EEG only and (iii) jointly analyzing both iEEG and scalp EEG. The second goal was to test if machine learning could detect a seizure on scalp EEG when that seizure was not detectable by the human eye (surface negative) but was seen in iEEG. The final question was to determine if the deep learning algorithm could correctly lateralize the seizure onset. The seizure detection and prediction problems were addressed jointly by training Deep Neural Networks (DNN) on 4 classes: non-seizure, pre-seizure, left mesial temporal onset seizure and right mesial temporal onset seizure. To address these aims, the classification accuracy was tested using two deep neural networks (DNN) against 3 different types of similarity graphs which used different time series of EEG data. The convolutional neural network (CNN) with the Waxman similarity graph yielded the highest accuracy across all EEG data (iEEG, scalp EEG and combined). Specifically, 1 second epochs of EEG were correctly assigned to their seizure, pre-seizure, or non-seizure category over 98% of the time. Importantly, the pre-seizure state was classified correctly in the vast majority of epochs (>97%). Detection from scalp EEG data alone of surface negative seizures and the seizures with the delayed scalp onset (the surface negative portion) was over 97%. In addition, the model accurately lateralized all of the seizures from scalp data, including the surface negative seizures. This work suggests that highly accurate seizure prediction and detection is feasible using either intracranial or scalp EEG data. Furthermore, surface negative seizures can be accurately predicted, detected and lateralized with machine learning even when they are not visible to the human eye.

Coherent false seizure prediction in epilepsy, coincidence or providence?

OBJECTIVE

Seizure forecasting using machine learning is possible, but the performance is far from ideal, as indicated by many false predictions and low specificity. Here, we examine false and missing alarms of two algorithms on long-term datasets to show that the limitations are less related to classifiers or features, but rather to intrinsic changes in the data.

METHODS

We evaluated two algorithms on three datasets by computing the correlation of false predictions and estimating the information transfer between both classification methods.

RESULTS

For 9 out of 12 individuals both methods showed a performance better than chance. For all individuals we observed a positive correlation in predictions. For individuals with strong correlation in false predictions we were able to boost the performance of one method by excluding test samples based on the results of the second method.

CONCLUSIONS

Substantially different algorithms exhibit a highly consistent performance and a strong coherency in false and missing alarms. Hence, changing the underlying hypothesis of a preictal state of fixed time length prior to each seizure to a proictal state is more helpful than further optimizing classifiers.

SIGNIFICANCE

The outcome is significant for the evaluation of seizure prediction algorithms on continuous data.

The Challenging Path to Developing a Mobile Health Device for Epilepsy: The Current Landscape and Where We Go From Here

Seizure detection, and more recently seizure forecasting, represent important avenues of clinical development in epilepsy, promoted by progress in wearable devices and mobile health (mHealth), which might help optimizing seizure control and prevention of seizure-related mortality and morbidity in persons with epilepsy. Yet, very long-term continuous monitoring of seizure-sensitive biosignals in the ambulatory setting presents a number of challenges. We herein provide an overview of these challenges and current technological landscape of mHealth devices for seizure detection. Specifically, we display, which types of sensor modalities and analytical methods are available, and give insight into current clinical practice guidelines, main outcomes of clinical validation studies, and discuss how to evaluate device performance at point-of-care facilities. We then address pitfalls which may arise in patient compliance and the need to design solutions adapted to user experience.

Prolonged and short epileptiform discharges have an opposite relationship with the sleep-wake cycle in patients with JME: Implications for EEG recording protocols

In a recent study, we found that during 20.55 ± 1.60 h of artifact-free ambulatory EEG recordings, epileptiform discharges (EDs) longer than 2.68 s occurred exclusively in patients with Juvenile Myoclonic Epilepsy (JME) who experienced seizure recurrence within a year after the EEG. Here we expanded this analysis, exploring whether long EDs (>2.68 s), and short ones, were uniformly distributed during the day. Lastly, we evaluated the temporal distribution of seizure relapses. By Friedman test, we demonstrated that hourly frequencies of both short and long EDs were dependent on the hours of day and sleep-wake cycle factors, with an opposite trend. Short EDs were found mostly during the night (with two peaks at 1 AM and 6 AM), and sleep, dropping at the wake onset (p < 0.001). Conversely, long EDs surged at the wake onset (0.001), remaining frequent during the whole wake period, when compared to sleep (p = 0.002). Of note, this latter pattern mirrored that of seizures, which occurred exclusively during the wake period, and in 9 out of 13 cases at the wake onset. We therefore suggested that short and long EDs could reflect distinct pathophysiological phenomena. Extended wake EEG recordings, possibly including the awakening, could be extremely useful in clinical practice, as well as in further studies, with the ambitious goal of predicting seizure recurrences.

Forecasting Seizure Likelihood With Wearable Technology

The unpredictability of epileptic seizures exposes people with epilepsy to potential physical harm, restricts day-to-day activities, and impacts mental well-being. Accurate seizure forecasters would reduce the uncertainty associated with seizures but need to be feasible and accessible in the long-term. Wearable devices are perfect candidates to develop non-invasive, accessible forecasts but are yet to be investigated in long-term studies. We hypothesized that machine learning models could utilize heart rate as a biomarker for well-established cycles of seizures and epileptic activity, in addition to other wearable signals, to forecast high and low risk seizure periods. This feasibility study tracked participants' (n = 11) heart rates, sleep, and step counts using wearable smartwatches and seizure occurrence using smartphone seizure diaries for at least 6 months (mean = 14.6 months, SD = 3.8 months). Eligible participants had a diagnosis of refractory epilepsy and reported at least 20 seizures (mean = 135, SD = 123) during the recording period. An ensembled machine learning and neural network model estimated seizure risk either daily or hourly, with retraining occurring on a weekly basis as additional data was collected. Performance was evaluated retrospectively against a rate-matched random forecast using the area under the receiver operating curve. A pseudo-prospective evaluation was also conducted on a held-out dataset. Of the 11 participants, seizures were predicted above chance in all (100%) participants using an hourly forecast and in ten (91%) participants using a daily forecast. The average time spent in high risk (prediction time) before a seizure occurred was 37 min in the hourly forecast and 3 days in the daily forecast. Cyclic features added the most predictive value to the forecasts, particularly circadian and multiday heart rate cycles. Wearable devices can be used to produce patient-specific seizure forecasts, particularly when biomarkers of seizure and epileptic activity cycles are utilized.

Seizure Diaries and Forecasting With Wearables: Epilepsy Monitoring Outside the Clinic

It is a major challenge in clinical epilepsy to diagnose and treat a disease characterized by infrequent seizures based on patient or caregiver reports and limited duration clinical testing. The poor reliability of self-reported seizure diaries for many people with epilepsy is well-established, but these records remain necessary in clinical care and therapeutic studies. A number of wearable devices have emerged, which may be capable of detecting seizures, recording seizure data, and alerting caregivers. Developments in non-invasive wearable sensors to measure accelerometry, photoplethysmography (PPG), electrodermal activity (EDA), electromyography (EMG), and other signals outside of the traditional clinical environment may be able to identify seizure-related changes. Non-invasive scalp electroencephalography (EEG) and minimally invasive subscalp EEG may allow direct measurement of seizure activity. However, significant network and computational infrastructure is needed for continuous, secure transmission of data. The large volume of data acquired by these devices necessitates computer-assisted review and detection to reduce the burden on human reviewers. Furthermore, user acceptability of such devices must be a paramount consideration to ensure adherence with long-term device use. Such devices can identify tonic–clonic seizures, but identification of other seizure semiologies with non-EEG wearables is an ongoing challenge. Identification of electrographic seizures with subscalp EEG systems has recently been demonstrated over long (>6 month) durations, and this shows promise for accurate, objective seizure records. While the ability to detect and forecast seizures from ambulatory intracranial EEG is established, invasive devices may not be acceptable for many individuals with epilepsy. Recent studies show promising results for probabilistic forecasts of seizure risk from long-term wearable devices and electronic diaries of self-reported seizures. There may also be predictive value in individuals' symptoms, mood, and cognitive performance. However, seizure forecasting requires perpetual use of a device for monitoring, increasing the importance of the system's acceptability to users. Furthermore, long-term studies with concurrent EEG confirmation are lacking currently. This review describes the current evidence and challenges in the use of minimally and non-invasive devices for long-term epilepsy monitoring, the essential components in remote monitoring systems, and explores the feasibility to detect and forecast impending seizures via long-term use of these systems.

An electronic neuromorphic system for real-time detection of high frequency oscillations (HFO) in intracranial EEG

The analysis of biomedical signals for clinical studies and therapeutic applications can benefit from embedded devices that can process these signals locally and in real-time. An example is the analysis of intracranial EEG (iEEG) from epilepsy patients for the detection of High Frequency Oscillations (HFO), which are a biomarker for epileptogenic brain tissue. Mixed-signal neuromorphic circuits offer the possibility of building compact and low-power neural network processing systems that can analyze data on-line in real-time. Here we present a neuromorphic system that combines a neural recording headstage with a spiking neural network (SNN) processing core on the same die for processing iEEG, and show how it can reliably detect HFO, thereby achieving state-of-the-art accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity. This is a first feasibility study towards identifying relevant features in iEEG in real-time using mixed-signal neuromorphic computing technologies.

Prediction of Seizure Recurrence. A Note of Caution

Great strides have been made recently in documenting that machine-learning programs can predict seizure occurrence in people who have epilepsy. Along with this progress have come claims that appear to us to be a bit premature. We anticipate that many people will benefit from seizure prediction. We also doubt that all will benefit. Although machine learning is a useful tool for aiding discovery, we believe that the greatest progress will come from deeper understanding of seizures, epilepsy, and the EEG features that enable seizure prediction. In this essay, we lay out reasons for optimism and skepticism.

Cycles of self-reported seizure likelihood correspond to yield of diagnostic epilepsy monitoring

OBJECTIVE

Video-electroencephalography (vEEG) is an important component of epilepsy diagnosis and management. Nevertheless, inpatient vEEG monitoring fails to capture seizures in up to one third of patients. We hypothesized that personalized seizure forecasts could be used to optimize the timing of vEEG.

METHODS

We used a database of ambulatory vEEG studies to select a cohort with linked electronic seizure diaries of more than 20 reported seizures over at least 8 weeks. The total cohort included 48 participants. Diary seizure times were used to detect individuals' multiday seizure cycles and estimate times of high seizure risk. We compared whether estimated seizure risk was significantly different between conclusive and inconclusive vEEGs, and between vEEG with and without recorded epileptic activity. vEEGs were conducted prior to self-reported seizures; hence, the study aimed to provide a retrospective proof of concept that cycles of seizure risk were correlated with vEEG outcomes.

RESULTS

Estimated seizure risk was significantly higher for conclusive vEEGs and vEEGs with epileptic activity. Across all cycle strengths, the average time in high risk during vEEG was 29.1% compared with 14% for the conclusive/inconclusive groups and 32% compared to 18% for the epileptic activity/no epileptic activity groups. On average, 62.5% of the cohort showed increased time in high risk during their previous vEEG when epileptic activity was recorded (compared to 28% of the cohort where epileptic activity was not recorded). For conclusive vEEGs, 50% of the cohort had increased time in high risk, compared to 21.5% for inconclusive vEEGs.

SIGNIFICANCE

Although retrospective, this study provides a proof of principle that scheduling monitoring times based on personalized seizure risk forecasts can improve the yield of vEEG. Forecasts can be developed at low cost from mobile seizure diaries. A simple scheduling tool to improve diagnostic outcomes may reduce cost and risks associated with delayed or missed diagnosis in epilepsy.

Machine learning from wristband sensor data for wearable, noninvasive seizure forecasting

OBJECTIVE

Seizure forecasting may provide patients with timely warnings to adapt their daily activities and help clinicians deliver more objective, personalized treatments. Although recent work has convincingly demonstrated that seizure risk assessment is in principle possible, these early approaches relied largely on complex, often invasive setups including intracranial electrocorticography, implanted devices, and multichannel electroencephalography, and required patient-specific adaptation or learning to perform optimally, all of which limit translation to broad clinical application. To facilitate broader adaptation of seizure forecasting in clinical practice, noninvasive, easily applicable techniques that reliably assess seizure risk without much prior tuning are crucial. Wristbands that continuously record physiological parameters, including electrodermal activity, body temperature, blood volume pulse, and actigraphy, may afford monitoring of autonomous nervous system function and movement relevant for such a task, hence minimizing potential complications associated with invasive monitoring and avoiding stigma associated with bulky external monitoring devices on the head.

METHODS

Here, we applied deep learning on multimodal wristband sensor data from 69 patients with epilepsy (total duration > 2311 hours, 452 seizures) to assess its capability to forecast seizures in a statistically significant way.

RESULTS

Using a leave-one-subject-out cross-validation approach, we identified better-than-chance predictability in 43% of the patients. Time-matched seizure surrogate data analyses indicated forecasting not to be driven simply by time of day or vigilance state. Prediction performance peaked when all sensor modalities were used, and did not differ between generalized and focal seizure types, but generally increased with the size of the training dataset, indicating potential further improvement with larger datasets in the future.

SIGNIFICANCE

Collectively, these results show that statistically significant seizure risk assessments are feasible from easy-to-use, noninvasive wearable devices without the need of patient-specific training or parameter optimization.