Potential millennial-scale avian declines by humans in southern China

Anthropogenic disturbance driving population decline of a dominant tree in East Asia evergreen broadleaved forests over the last 11,000 years

Current biodiversity loss is generally considered to have been caused by anthropogenic disturbance, but it is unclear when anthropogenic activities began to affect biodiversity loss. One hypothesis suggests it began with the Industrial Revolution, whereas others propose that anthropogenic disturbance has been associated with biodiversity decline since the early Holocene. To test these hypotheses, we examined the unique vegetation of evergreen broadleaved forests (EBLFs) in East Asia, where humans have affected landscapes since the early Holocene. We adopted a genomic approach to infer the demographic history of a dominant tree (Litsea elongata) of EBLFs. We used Holocene temperature and anthropogenic disturbance factors to calculate the correlation between these variables and the historical effective population size of L. elongata with Spearman statistics and integrated the maximum-entropy niche model to determine the impact of climate change and anthropogenic disturbance on fluctuation in its effective population size. We identified 9 well-defined geographic clades for the populations of L. elongata. Based on the estimated historical population sizes of these clades, all the populations contracted, indicating persistent population decline over the last 11,000 years. Demographic history of L. elongata and human population change, change in cropland use, and change in irrigated rice area were significantly negatively correlated, whereas climate change in the Holocene was not correlated with demographic history. Our results support the early human impact hypothesis and provide comprehensive evidence that early anthropogenic disturbance may contribute to the current biodiversity crisis in East Asia.

Research on the Changes in Distribution and Habitat Suitability of the Chinese Red Panda Population

The study of the dynamics of species habitat is of great significance for maintaining or adjusting the current habitat protection management strategy. However, the current research on the Chinese red panda's habitat is limited to the analysis of a single period, which makes it difficult to quantify the changes in its habitat on a temporal scale and greatly hinders the formulation of the overall protection and management strategies that are to be used for the Chinese red panda. This study simulated habitat suitability at different temporal scales to quantify the trend of changes in habitat quality and analyzed the reasons for the changes in habitat suitability in certain regions. The results showed that the overall suitability of the Chinese red panda's habitat increased and that the area of suitable habitats expanded. Suitable Chinese red panda habitats in the mountains of Qionglai (1662.73 km2), Daxiangling (230.30 km2), Xiaoxiangling (549.47 km2), and Liangshan (50.39 km2) increased by a total of 2452.89 km2. The suitability of habitats in the central part of the Liangshan Mountains has declined significantly, which is positively correlated with changes in temperature seasonality (BIO4, R = 0.18) and negatively correlated with changes in annual average temperature (BIO1, R = -0.03) as well as changes in the proportion of farmland (FARMLAND, R = -0.14). The local extinction of isolated populations of Chinese red pandas in the Minshan Mountains is the main factor leading to their distribution retreat rather than a decrease in habitat quality. The research results help us to provide a scientific basis for the formulation of conservation and management strategies for Chinese red pandas at different scales.

Low but highly geographically structured genomic diversity of East Asian Eurasian otters and its conservation implications

Populations of Eurasian otters Lutra lutra, one of the most widely distributed apex predators in Eurasia, have been depleted mainly since the 1950s. However, a lack of information about their genomic diversity and how they are organized geographically in East Asia severely impedes our ability to monitor and conserve them in particular management units. Here, we re-sequenced and analyzed 20 otter genomes spanning continental East Asia, including a population at Kinmen, a small island off the Fujian coast, China. The otters form three genetic clusters (one of L. l. lutra in the north and two of L. l. chinensis in the south), which have diverged in the Holocene. These three clusters should be recognized as three conservation management units to monitor and manage independently. The heterozygosity of the East Asian otters is as low as that of the threatened carnivores sequenced. Historical effective population size trajectories inferred from genomic variations suggest that their low genomic diversity could be partially attributed to changes in the climate since the mid-Pleistocene and anthropogenic intervention since the Holocene. However, no evidence of genetic erosion, mutation load, or high level of inbreeding was detected in the presumably isolated Kinmen Island population. Any future in situ conservation efforts should consider this information for the conservation management units.

Phylogeographic structure of Heteroplexis (Asteraceae), an endangered endemic genus in the limestone karst regions of southern China

Though the karst regions in south and southwest China are plant diversity hotspots, our understanding of the phylogeography and evolutionary history of the plants there remains limited. The genus Heteroplexis (Asteraceae) is one of the typical representative plants isolated by karst habitat islands, and is also an endangered and endemic plant to China. In this study, species-level phylogeographic analysis of the genus Heteroplexis was conducted using restriction site-associated DNA sequencing (RADseq). The genetic structure showed a clear phylogeographic structure consistent with the current species boundaries in the H. microcephala, H. incana, H. vernonioides, H. sericophylla, and H. impressinervia. The significant global (R = 0.37, P < 0.01) and regional (R = 0.650.95, P < 0.05) isolation by distance (IBD) signals among species indicate strong geographic isolation in the karst mountains, which may result in chronically restricted gene flow and increased genetic drift and differentiation. Furthermore, the phylogeographic structure of Heteroplexis suggested a southward migration since the last glacial period. Demographic analysis revealed the karst mountains as a refuge for Heteroplexis species. Finally, both Treemix and ABBA-BABA statistic detected significant historical gene flow between species. Significant historical gene flow and long-term stability of effective population size (Ne) together explain the high genome-wide genetic diversity among species (π = 0.05370.0838). However, the recent collapse of Ne, widespread inbreeding within populations, and restricted contemporary gene flow suggest that Heteroplexis species are probably facing a high risk of genetic diversity loss. Our results help to understand the evolutionary history of karst plants and guide conservation.