Spatio-temporal changes in the speed of canopy development and senescence in temperate China

Weakened connection between spring leaf-out and autumn senescence in the Northern Hemisphere

Vegetation autumn phenology is critical in regulating the ecosystem carbon cycle and regional climate. However, the dominant drivers of autumn senescence and their temporal shifts under climate change remain poorly understood. Here, we conducted a multi-factor analysis considering both direct climatic controls and biological carryover effects from start-of-season (SOS) and seasonal peak vegetation activities on the end-of-season (EOS) to fill these knowledge gaps. Combining satellite and ground observations across the northern hemisphere, we found that carryover effects from early-to-peak vegetation activities exerted greater influence on EOS than the direct climatic controls on nearly half of the vegetated land. Unexpectedly, the carryover effects from SOS on EOS have significantly weakened over recent decades, accompanied by strengthened climatic controls. Such results indicate the weakened constraint of leaf longevity on senescence due to prolonged growing season in response to climate change. These findings underscore the important role of biological carryover effects in regulating vegetation autumn senescence under climate change, which should be incorporated into the formulation and enhancement of phenology modules utilized in land surface models.

Negative relationship between photosynthesis and late-stage canopy development and senescence over Tibetan Plateau

Canopy greening, which is associated with significant canopy structure changes, is the most notable signal of ecosystem changes in response to anthropogenic climate change. However, our knowledge of the changing pattern of canopy development and senescence, and its endogenous and climatic drivers is still limited. Here, we used the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) to quantify the changes in the speed of canopy development and senescence over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) during 2000-2018, and used a solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence dataset as a proxy for photosynthesis, in combination with climate datasets to decipher the endogenous and climatic drivers of the interannual variation in canopy changes. We found that the canopy development during the early green-up stage (April-May) is accelerating at a rate of 0.45-0.8 × 10^-3  month^-1  year^-1 . However, this accelerating canopy development was largely offset by a decelerating canopy development during June and July (-0.61 to -0.51 × 10^-3  month^-1  year^-1 ), leading to the peak NDVI over the TP increasing at a rate of only one fifth of that in northern temperate regions, and less than one tenth of that in the Arctic and boreal regions. During the green-down period, we observed a significant accelerating canopy senescence during October. Photosynthesis was found to be the dominant driver for canopy changes over the TP. Increasing photosynthesis stimulates canopy development during the early green-up stage. However, slower canopy development and accelerated senescence was found with larger photosynthesis in late growth stages. This negative relationship between photosynthesis and canopy development is probably linked to the source-sink balance of plants and shifts in the allocation regime. These results suggest a sink limitation for plant growth over the TP. The impact of canopy greening on the carbon cycle may be more complicated than the source-oriented paradigm used in current ecosystem models.

Contrasting temperature effects on the velocity of early- versus late-stage vegetation green-up in the Northern Hemisphere

Global vegetation greening has been widely confirmed in previous studies, yet the changes in the velocity of green-up in each month of green-up period (GUP) remains unclear. Here, we defined the velocity of vegetation green-up as V_NDVI (the monthly increase of Normalized Difference Vegetation Index [NDVI] during GUP) and further explored its response to climate change in middle-high-latitude Northern Hemisphere. We found that in early GUP, V_NDVI generally showed positive trends from 1982 to 2015, whereas in late GUP, it showed negative trends in most areas. Such contrasting trends were mainly due to a positive temperature effect on V_NDVI in early GUP, but this effect turned negative in late GUP. The increase of soil moisture also in part explained the accelerated vegetation green-up, especially in the arid and semi-arid ecosystems of inland areas. Our analyses also indicate that the first month of the GUP was the key stage impacting vegetation greenness in summer. Future warming may continuously speed up the early growth of vegetation, altering the seasonal trajectory of vegetation and its feedbacks to the Earth system.

Acceleration of vegetation phenological changes

Piao et al. (2022) presents an interesting study on vegetation phenology from a novel angle. The study examined the speed of canopy development and senescence, or the "acceleration of vegetation phenological changes", and investigated its relationship with the trend of vegetation greening/browning and the underlying climate driving factors. It is an important contribution to the understanding of vegetation response to climate change, and may inspire new directions of vegetation phenology research.