Prognostic factors of 90-day mortality in older people with healthcare-associated pneumonia

Swallowing and Aspiration: How to Evaluate and Treat Swallowing Disorders Associated with Aspiration Pneumonia in Older Persons

Aspiration pneumonia (AP) is the most severe complication of oropharyngeal dysphagia (OD). It is highly underdiagnosed and undertreated among older patients hospitalized with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). Our aim is to review the state of the art in the diagnosis and treatment of swallowing disorders associated with AP. We performed a narrative review, including our experience with prior studies at Hospital de Mataró, on the diagnosis and treatment of AP. AP refers to pneumonia occurring in patients with swallowing disorders, frequently coinciding with poor oral health and vulnerability. Its main risk factors include oropharyngeal aspiration, impaired health status, malnutrition, frailty, immune dysfunction, and oral colonization by respiratory pathogens. Incidence is estimated at between 5 and 15% of cases of CAP, but it is highly underdiagnosed. Diagnostic criteria for AP have not been standardized but should include its main pathophysiological element, oropharyngeal aspiration. Recently, a clinical algorithm was proposed, based on the recommendations of the Japanese Respiratory Society, that includes aspiration risk factors and clinical evaluation of OD. To facilitate the task for health care professionals, new artificial intelligence (AI)-based screening tools for OD combined with validated clinical methods such as the volume-viscosity swallowing test (V-VST) for the detection of AP are being validated. Prevention and treatment of AP require multimodal interventions aimed to cover the main risk factors: textural adaptation of fluids and diets to avoid oropharyngeal aspiration; nutritional support to avoid malnutrition; and oral hygiene to reduce oral bacterial load. The diagnosis of AP must be based on standardized criteria providing evidence on the main etiological factor, oropharyngeal aspiration. Clinical algorithms are valid in the diagnosis of AP and the identification of its main risk factors. Combination of AI-based tools with V-VST can lead to massive screening of OD and save resources and improve efficiency in the detection of AP.

Extremely Poor Post-discharge Prognosis in Aspiration Pneumonia and Its Prognostic Factors: A Retrospective Cohort Study

There is little evidence regarding the long-term prognosis of patients with aspiration pneumonia. This study aimed to investigate post-discharge survival time and prognostic factors in older patients hospitalized for aspiration pneumonia. This retrospective cohort study included patients aged ≥ 65 years hospitalized for aspiration pneumonia and discharged alive from a tertiary care hospital in Japan between April 2009 and September 2014. Candidate prognostic factors were patient's age, sex, body mass index (BMI), performance status, chronic conditions, CURB-65 score, serum albumin level, hematocrit concentration, nutritional pathway at discharge, and discharge location. Kaplan-Meier curves were determined and multivariable survival analysis using Cox regression model was performed to analyze the effect of each factor on mortality. In total, 209 patients were included in this study. The median age was 85 years, 58% of the patients were males, 33% had a performance status of 4 and 34% were discharged home. Among the patients, 65% received oral intake, 23% received tube feeding, and 21% received parenteral nutrition at discharge. During the follow-up period, 77% of the patients died, and the median post-discharge survival time was 369 days. Besides male sex and low BMI, tube feeding (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 1.70, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.11-2.59) and parenteral nutrition (aHR = 4.42, 95% CI 2.57-7.60) were strongly associated with mortality. Long-term prognosis of patients hospitalized for aspiration pneumonia was extremely poor. The nutritional pathway at discharge was a major prognostic factor. These results may be useful for future care and research.

Prognostic factors of poor outcomes in pneumonia in older adults: aspiration or frailty?

PURPOSE

Little is known about the long-term and functional prognoses of older adults with pneumonia, which complicates their management. There is a common belief that aspiration is a poor prognostic factor; however, the diagnosis of aspiration pneumonia (AP) lacks consensus criteria and is mainly based on clinical characteristics typical of the frailty syndrome. Therefore, the poor prognosis of AP may also be a result of frailty rather than aspiration. This study investigated the impact of AP and other prognostic factors in older patients with pneumonia.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study of patients aged 75 years and older, admitted with pneumonia in 2021. We divided patients according to their initial diagnosis (AP or non-AP), compared outcomes using Kaplan-Meier curves, and used logistic regression to identify independent prognostic factors.

RESULTS

803 patients were included, with a median age of 84 years and 52.7% were male. 17.3% were initially diagnosed with AP. Mortality was significantly higher in those diagnosed with AP than non-AP during admission (27.6% vs 19.0%, p = 0.024) and at 1 year (64.2% vs 53.1%, p = 0.018), with survival analysis showing a median survival time of 62 days and 274 days in AP and non-AP, respectively (χ2 = 9.2, p = 0.002). However, the initial diagnosis of AP was not an independent risk factor for poor prognosis in multivariable analysis. Old age, frailty and cardio-respiratory comorbidities were the main factors associated with death.

CONCLUSION

The greater mortality in AP may be a result of increased frailty rather than the diagnosis of aspiration itself. This supports our proposal for a paradigm shift from making predictions based on the potentially futile labelling of AP or non-AP, to considering frailty and overall condition of the patient.

Construction and evaluation of a nomogram prediction model for aspiration pneumonia in patients with acute ischemic stroke

Background

Aspiration Pneumonia (AP) is a leading cause of death in patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke (AIS). Early detection, diagnosis and effective prevention measures are crucial for improving patient prognosis. However, there is a lack of research predicting AP occurrence after AIS. This study aimed to identify risk factors and develop a nomogram model to determine the probability of developing AP after AIS.

Method

A total of 3258 AIS patients admitted to Jinshan Hospital of Fudan University between January 1, 2016, and August 20, 2022, were included. Among them, 307 patients were diagnosed with AP (AP group), while 2951 patients formed the control group (NAP group). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted to identify relevant risk factors for AP after AIS. These factors were used to establish a scoring system and develop a nomogram model using R software.

Results

Univariate analysis revealed 20 factors significantly associated (P < 0.05) with the development of AP after AIS. These factors underwent multivariate logistic regression analysis, which identified age (elderly), National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score, dysphagia, atrial fibrillation, cardiac insufficiency, renal insufficiency, hepatic insufficiency, elevated Fasting Blood Glucose (FBG), elevated C-Reactive Protein (CRP), elevated Neutrophil percentage (NEUT%), and decreased prealbumin as independent risk factors. A nomogram model incorporating these 11 risk factors was constructed, with a C-index of 0.872 (95 % CI: 0.845-0.899), indicating high accuracy. Calibration and clinical decision analyses demonstrated the model's reliability and clinical value.

Conclusion

A nomogram model incorporating age, NIHSS score, dysphagia, atrial fibrillation, cardiac insufficiency, renal insufficiency, hepatic insufficiency, FBG, CRP, NEUT%, and prealbumin effectively predicts AP risk in AIS patients. This model provides guidance for early intervention strategies, enabling the identification of high-risk individuals for timely preventive measures.

Chewing and Swallowing Abilities of Persons Living With Dementia: A Systematic Review of Psychometric Properties of Instruments

Background and Objectives

It is critical to use validated instruments to diagnose and manage chewing and swallowing problems of persons living with dementia. The study aimed to synthesize the characteristics and psychometric quality of instruments that assess the chewing and swallowing abilities of persons living with dementia.

Research Design and Methods

The systematic review was used to conduct this study. We searched 5 electric databases for records published from January 1, 1980, to July 8, 2022. Records were eligible if they included any instrument to assess chewing ability or swallowing ability in the dementia population. Eight characteristics of eligible instruments were extracted from the records: (1) development process, (2) operationalized concept/construct, (3) sample and setting, (4) administration method, (5) items, (6) scoring format/interpretation, (7) reliability, and (8) validity. The psychometric assessment for self-report and observational tool was used to evaluate 12 psychometric properties of eligible instruments.

Results

In total, 11,074 records were reviewed. Thirty-five eligible instruments, including observational tools, self-report questionnaires, and physiological instruments, were identified from 60 records. All 8 instruments assessing chewing ability were evaluated as having low psychometric quality, and only 3 out of 27 instruments assessing swallowing ability were evaluated as having moderate psychometric quality. Fifteen instruments were tested for only 1 type of psychometric property, limiting the overall evaluation of psychometric evidence.

Discussion and Implications

The study findings inform the use and adaptation of appropriate instruments for practice and research. All existing instruments warrant further validation in larger samples to expand use in diverse care settings. This review described and evaluated current instruments measuring chewing and swallowing abilities and potential use in research and clinical practice to plan for and evaluate the effectiveness of mealtime and oral care practice and reduce health-related negative outcomes of persons living with dementia.

Development and validation of prediction models for the discharge destination of elderly patients with aspiration pneumonia

BACKGROUND

Discharge planning enhances the safe and timely transfer of inpatients between facilities. Predicting the discharge destination of inpatients with aspiration pneumonia is important for discharge planning. We aimed to develop and validate prediction models for the discharge destination of elderly patients with aspiration pneumonia.

METHODS

Using a nationwide inpatient database, we identified aspiration pneumonia cases for patients aged ≥65 years who had been admitted to hospital from their home or from a nursing home between April 2020 and March 2021. We divided the cases into derivation and validation cohorts according to the location of the admitting hospital. We developed two prediction models by dividing the cases based on the patient's place of residence prior to admission, one model to predict the home discharge of cases admitted from home and the other to predict the home or to a nursing home discharge of cases admitted from a nursing home. The models were internally validated with bootstrapping and internal-externally validated using a validation cohort. Nomograms that could be used easily in clinical practice were also created.

RESULTS

The derivation cohort included 19,746 cases admitted from home and 14,359 cases admitted from a nursing home. Of the former, 10,760 (54.5%) cases were discharged home; from the latter, 7,071 (49.2%) were discharged to either home or a nursing home. The validation cohort included 6,262 cases admitted from home and 6,352 cases admitted from a nursing home. In the internal-external validation, the C-statistics of the final model for the cases admitted from home and the cases admitted from a nursing home were 0.71 and 0.67, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed and validated new prediction models for the discharge of elderly patients with aspiration pneumonia either to home or to a nursing home. Our models and nomograms could facilitate the early implementation of discharge planning.

Comprehensive Approaches to Aspiration Pneumonia and Dysphagia in the Elderly on the Disease Time-Axis

Pneumonia in the elderly has been increasing on an annual basis. To a greater or lesser extent, aspiration is a major contributor to the development of pneumonia in the elderly. Antimicrobials alone are not sufficient for the treatment of pneumonia, and the condition may become intractable or even recur repeatedly. In addition, some patients with pneumonia may have no problems with eating, while others are unable to receive the necessary nutrition due to severe dysphagia. It has recently been found that pneumonia decreases both the muscle mass and strength of the swallowing and respiratory muscles, a condition named pneumonia-associated sarcopenia. This contributes to a pathophysiological time-axis of aspiration pneumonia and dysphagia in the elderly, in which silent aspiration leads to the development of pneumonia, and further to dysphagia, malnutrition, and low immunity. Therefore, it is recommended that the treatment and prevention of developing pneumonia should also differ according to an individual’s placement in the disease time-axis. In particular, approaches for preventing aspiration based on scientific findings are able to be implemented at home.

Efficacy and validity of guideline-concordant treatment according to the JRS guidelines for the managements of pneumonia in adults updated in 2017 for nursing and healthcare-associated pneumonia. A propensity-matching score analysis

INTRODUCTION

Patients with nursing and healthcare-associated pneumonia (NHCAP) commonly receive empiric antibiotic therapy according to the guideline's recommendation corresponding to the patient's deteriorated conditions. However, it is unclear whether guideline-concordant treatment (GCT) could be effective or not.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

To evaluate the efficacy and validity of GCT according to the current guideline for pneumonia, we conducted this retrospective study. NHCAP patients who were admitted to our institute between 2014 and 2017 were enrolled. Based on the initial antibiotic treatment, these patients were divided into two groups, the GCT group (n = 83) and the non-GCT group (n = 146). Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to balance the baseline characteristics and potential confounders between the two groups. After PSM, patients' characteristics, microbial profiles, and clinical outcomes were evaluated.

RESULTS

Both groups were well-balanced after PSM, and 78 patients were selected from each group. There were no differences in patients' characteristics or microbial profiles between the two groups. As for outcomes, there were no differences in 30-day, in-hospital mortality rate, duration of antibiotic treatment, or admission. The severity of pneumonia was more severe in patients with the GCT group than those with the non-GCT group. Anti-pseudomonal agents as initial treatment were more frequently seen in patients with the GCT group than those in the non-GCT group.

CONCLUSION

Unlike previous studies, GCT's recommendation for management of pneumonia by the JRS in 2017 would appear to be valid and does not increase the mortality rate.