Successful immune tolerance in a young female with inhibitor and severe haemophilia A due to a complex genetic rearrangement

Application of machine learning approaches for predicting hemophilia A severity

BACKGROUND

Hemophilia A (HA) is an X-linked congenital bleeding disorder, which leads to deficiency of clotting factor (F) VIII. It mostly affects males, and females are considered carriers. However, it is now recognized that variants of F8 in females can result in HA. Nonetheless, most females go undiagnosed and untreated for HA, and their bleeding complications are attributed to other causes. Predicting the severity of HA for female patients can provide valuable insights for treating the conditions associated with the disease, such as heavy bleeding.

OBJECTIVES

To predict the severity of HA based on F8 genotype using a machine learning (ML) approach.

METHODS

Using multiple datasets of variants in the F8 and disease severity from various repositories, we derived the sequence for the FVIII protein. Using the derived sequences, we used ML models to predict the severity of HA in female patients.

RESULTS

Utilizing different classification models, we highlight the validity of the datasets and our approach with predictive F1 scores of 0.88, 0.99, 0.93, 0.99, and 0.90 for all the validation sets.

CONCLUSION

Although with some limitations, ML-based approaches demonstrated the successful prediction of disease severity in female HA patients based on variants in the F8. This study confirms previous research findings that ML can help predict the severity of hemophilia. These results can be valuable for future studies in achieving better treatment and clinical outcomes for female patients with HA, which is an urgent unmet need.

Genetic causes of haemophilia in women and girls

Women and girls reported as "haemophilic females" may have complex genetic causes for their haemophilia phenotype. In addition, women and girls may have excessive bleeding requiring treatment simply because they are heterozygous for haemophilia alleles. While severe and moderate haemophilia are rare in females, 16% of patients with mild haemophilia A and almost one-quarter of those with mild haemophilia B seen in U.S. haemophilia treatment centres are women and girls. A phenotypic female with a low level of factor VIII or factor IX may be classified into one of the following categories of causality: homozygosity (two identical haemophilia alleles), compound heterozygosity (two different haemophilia alleles), hemizygosity (one haemophilia allele and no normal allele), heterozygosity (one haemophilia allele and one normal allele), genetic causes other than haemophilia and non-genetic causes. Studies required for classification may include coagulation parameters, F8 or F9 sequencing, F8 inversion testing, multiplex ligation-dependent probe amplification, karyotyping and X chromosome inactivation studies performed on the patient and parents. Women and girls who are homozygous, compound heterozygous or hemizygous clearly have haemophilia, as they do not have a normal allele. Heterozygous women and girls with factor levels below the haemostatic range also meet the definitions used for haemophilia treatment.