Sequential analysis of variable markers for predicting outcomes in pediatric patients with acute liver failure

Prognostic Markers in Pediatric Acute Liver Failure

Introduction

Acute liver failure (ALF), although rare in children, is a complex progressive pathology, with multisystem involvement and high mortality. Isolated variables or those included in prognostic scores have been studied, to optimize organ allocation. However, its validation is challenging. This study aimed to assess the accuracy of several biomarkers and scores as predictors of prognosis in pediatric ALF (PALF).

Methods

An observational study with retrospective data collection, including all cases of ALF, was defined according to the criteria of the Pediatric Acute Liver Failure Study Group, admitted to a pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) for 28 years. Two groups were defined: spontaneous recovery (SR) and non-SR (NSR) - submitted to liver transplantation (LT) or death at PICU discharge.

Results

Fifty-nine patients were included, with a median age of 24 months, and 54% were female. The most frequent etiologies were metabolic (25.4%) and infectious (18.6%); 32.2% were undetermined. SR occurred in 21 patients (35.6%). In NSR group (N = 38, 64.4%), 25 required LT (42.4%) and 19 died (32.2%), 6 (15.7%) of whom after LT. The accuracy to predict NSR was acceptable for lactate at admission (AUC 0.72; 95% CI: 0.57-0.86; p = 0.006), ammonia peak (AUC 0.72; 95% CI: 0.58-0.86; p = 0.006), and INR peak (AUC 0.70; 95% CI: 0.56-0.85; p = 0.01). The cut-off value for lactate at admission was 1.95 mmol/L (sensitivity 78.4% and specificity 61.9%), ammonia peak was 64 μmol/L (sensitivity 100% and specificity 38.1%), and INR peak was 4.8 (sensitivity 61.1% and specificity 76.2%). Lactate on admission was shown to be an independent predictor of NSR on logistic regression model. Two prognostic scores had acceptable discrimination for NSR, LIU (AUC 0.73; 95% CI: 0.59-0.87; p = 0.004) and PRISM (AUC 0.71; 95% CI: 0.56-0.86; p = 0.03). In our study, the PALF delta score (PALF-ds) had lower discrimination capacity (AUC 0.63; 95% CI: 0.47-0.78; p = 0.11).

Conclusions

The lactate at admission, an easily obtained parameter, had a similar capacity than the more complex scores, LIU and PRISM, to predict NSR. The prognostic value in our population of the promising dynamic score, PALF-ds, was lower than expected.

Outcomes of liver transplantation for mitochondrial respiratory chain disorder in children

AIM

Mitochondrial respiratory chain disorder (MRCD) can cause acute liver failure (ALF), which may necessitate liver transplantation (LT). However, MRCD is often difficult to diagnose before LT and the indications of LT are controversial due to the likelihood of progressive neurological disease. The present study further characterized the patient population and described the outcomes.

METHODS

Thirteen patients who underwent LT for MRCD from November 2005 to May 2020 were enrolled in this study.

RESULTS

Six of 13 MRCD patients were diagnosed with a mitochondrial inner membrane protein 17-related mitochondrial DNA depletion syndrome (MTDPS). Overall, nine survived with a median follow-up of 1.8 years (IQR, 1.3-5.1 years); four died within 2 years. In the long-term, seven survivors showed no progression of hypotonia after LT and attended a normal kindergarten or primary school. Neurological abnormalities were observed in two survivors, including vison loss related to Leber's hereditary optic neuropathy in one patient and psychomotor retardation related to Leigh syndrome in the other. Three non-survivors after LT were diagnosed with MTDPS and died of severe pulmonary hypertension, which had developed at 8, 9, and 18 months after LT (n=1 each). The remaining patient died of postoperative respiratory infection with respiratory syncytial virus.

CONCLUSION

The long-term results support the performance of LT in patients with MRCD, although a genetic diagnosis is preferable for determining the accurate indications for LT in these patients. Furthermore, care should be taken to avoid complications due to mitochondrial dysfunction during the long-term follow-up.

Current status of pediatric deceased donor liver transplantation: Lessons learned from a high-volume center in Japan where living donation remains predominant

BACKGROUND

In Japan, a recent gradual increase in deceased donor donation has expanded opportunities for pediatric patients to obtain deceased grafts.

METHODS

Forty-three children underwent deceased donor liver transplantation (DDLT) at our institute before February 2020. Twenty-five patients received a split or reduced graft and 18 patients received a whole graft. The clinical outcomes of DDLT were retrospectively analyzed.

RESULTS

The main organ resource was split/reduced grafts retrieved from adult donors; however, the number of whole grafts retrieved from pediatric donors has increased. The rates of major complications were similar in the two groups. The 5-year graft survival rate of patients who received a split/reduced graft (78.0%) was lower than that of patients who received a whole graft (88.9%; P = .40). The 3-year graft survival rates of patients who recently received a split/reduced graft and a whole graft improved to 92.3% and 91.7%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The recent amendment of the organ allocation system, especially the introduction of pediatric prioritization, can effectively increase the chance to obtain deceased donor grafts for pediatric DDLT in Japan. The recent refinements in donor and recipient selection and in the surgical technique of split DDLT can improve the outcomes of pediatric DDLT in Japan.

Development of a Prognostic Score to Predict Mortality in Patients With Pediatric Acute Liver Failure

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to develop a new prognostic score based on changes in serial laboratory data from patients with pediatric acute liver failure (PALF).

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed data on 146 patients with PALF at the Seoul National University Children Hospital (SNUCH) and the Asan Medical Center (AMC). Daily morning laboratory records were obtained for up to 7 days after diagnosis of PALF: total bilirubin (TB) (mg/dL), international normalized ratio for prothrombin time (INR) at enrolment; peak TB, peak INR, peak ammonia (μmol/L); the difference between the peak TB and TB at enrollment (ie, Δpeak TB), the difference between the peak INR and INR at enrollment (ie, Δpeak INR), the maximum change in serial TB (ie, Δdaily TB), the maximum change in serial INR level (ie, Δdaily INR). We assigned nontransplanted patients in SNUCH and AMC to derivation and validation cohorts, respectively.

RESULTS

Δpeak TB, Δdaily TB, Δpeak INR, and Δdaily INR were significantly higher in the nonsurvival group. We developed a new score that can predict mortality in nontransplanted patients (derivation cohort n = 42, validation cohort n = 33). PALF-Delta score (PALF-Ds) = [0.232 × Δpeak TB (mg/dL)] + [2.263 × Δdaily INR] + [0.013 × peak ammonia (μmol/L)] - 4.498. The score yielded AUC 0.918 in the derivation cohort (sensitivity 81%, specificity 91%) and AUC 0.947 in the validation cohort (sensitivity 100%, specificity 89%).

CONCLUSION

A prognostic scoring system using the change of TB/INR may be useful for predicting mortality in patients with PALF.

Waiting list mortality for pediatric deceased donor liver transplantation in a Japanese living-donor-dominant program

Living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) has become a major life-saving procedure for children with end-stage liver disease in Japan, whereas deceased donor liver transplantation (DDLT) has achieved only limited success. The annual number of pediatric liver transplantations is approximately 100-120, with a patient 20-year survival rate of 81.0%. In 2005, the liver transplantation program at the National Center for Child Health and Development in Tokyo, Japan, was initiated, with an overall number of 560 pediatric patients with end-stage liver disease to date. In July 2010, our center was qualified as a pediatric DDLT center; a total of 132 patients were listed for DDLT up until February 2019. The indications for DDLT included acute liver failure (n = 46, 34.8%), metabolic liver disease (n = 26, 19.7%), graft failure after LDLT (n = 17, 12.9%), biliary atresia (n = 16, 12.1%), and primary sclerosing cholangitis (n = 10, 7.6%). Overall, 25.8% of the patients on the waiting list received a DDLT and 52.3% were transplanted from a living donor. The 5-year patient and graft survivals were 90.5% and 88.8%, respectively, with an overall waiting list mortality of 3.0%. LDLT provides a better survival compared with DDLT among the recipients on the DDLT waiting list. LDLT is nevertheless of great importance in Japan; however, it cannot save all pediatric recipients. As the mortality of children on the waiting list has not yet been reduced to zero, both LDLT and DDLT should be implemented in pediatric liver transplantation programs.

A multicenter pilot survey to clarify the clinical features of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure in Japan

AIM

To establish diagnostic criteria for acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) in Japan, a multicenter pilot survey was carried out to examine the usefulness of overseas criteria in patients with chronic liver diseases manifesting acute decompensation.

METHODS

Patients fulfilling the Asian-Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL), European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL), or Chinese Medical Association (CMA) criteria for decompensation were enrolled from eight institutions in Japan, and the clinical features were evaluated.

RESULTS

Among 112 patients, 109 patients (97.3%) fulfilled the APASL criteria for decompensation; 7 patients were excluded because the decompensation had been provoked by gastrointestinal bleeding. Consequently, 102 patients (91.1%) were diagnosed as having ACLF according to the APASL definition. Among the patients who fulfilled the APASL criteria for decompensation, the etiologies of the underlying liver diseases were alcohol abuse in 59 cases (54.1%) and hepatitis B or hepatitis C virus infection in 24 (22.0%). The acute insults were alcohol abuse in 50 (45.9%), bacterial infection in 26 (23.9%), and exacerbation of underlying liver disease in 14 (12.8%). Fifty-four patients (49.5%) satisfied the CMA criteria, but the survival rates were similar between patients who did and those who did not meet the criteria. When 84 patients with underlying cirrhosis were classified according to the EASL-Chronic Liver Failure (Clif) Consortium criteria, the survival rates differed according to grade: 67.6% (23/34) for patients without ACLF, and 41.2% (14/34) and 18.8% (3/16) for those with grade 1/2 and grade 3 ACLF, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The APASL definition was suitable for screening Japanese patients with ACLF, including those whose conditions were triggered by gastrointestinal bleeding, and the EASL-Clif Consortium criteria were useful for predicting outcome.

Current status of pediatric transplantation in Japan

Brain-dead donor organ transplantation has been available to children in Japan since the 2010 revision of the Organ Transplant Law. Of the 50–60 brain-dead donor organ transplants performed annually in Japan, however, very few (0–4 per year) are performed in children. Again, while those receiving liver, heart, and kidney transplants are reported to fare better than their counterparts in the rest of the world, organ shortage is becoming a matter of great concern. Very few organs become available from brain-dead donors or are transplanted to adults if made available at all, with some children dying while on the brain-dead organ waiting list. Against this background, living-donor transplants, split-liver transplants, domino transplants, and hepatocyte transplants represent alternative modalities, each of which is shown to be associated with favorable outcomes. Challenges exist, include streamlining the existing framework for promoting organ donation for children and between children.