Pathologist's health-care value in the triage of Oncotype DX® testing: a value-based pathology study of tumour biology with outcomes

The Story of the Magee Equations: The Ultimate in Applied Immunohistochemistry

Magee equations (MEs) are a set of multivariable models that were developed to estimate the actual Onco type DX (ODX) recurrence score in invasive breast cancer. The equations were derived from standard histopathologic factors and semiquantitative immunohistochemical scores of routinely used biomarkers. The 3 equations use slightly different parameters but provide similar results. ME1 uses Nottingham score, tumor size, and semiquantitative results for estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor, HER2, and Ki-67. ME2 is similar to ME1 but does not require Ki-67. ME3 includes only semiquantitative immunohistochemical expression levels for ER, progesterone receptor, HER2, and Ki-67. Several studies have validated the clinical usefulness of MEs in routine clinical practice. The new cut-off for ODX recurrence score, as reported in the Trial Assigning IndividuaLized Options for Treatment trial, necessitated the development of Magee Decision Algorithm (MDA). MEs, along with mitotic activity score can now be used algorithmically to safely forgo ODX testing. MDA can be used to triage cases for molecular testing and has the potential to save an estimated $300,000 per 100 clinical requests. Another potential use of MEs is in the neoadjuvant setting to appropriately select patients for chemotherapy. Both single and multi-institutional studies have shown that the rate of pathologic complete response (pCR) to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in ER+/HER2-negative patients can be predicted by ME3 scores. The estimated pCR rates are 0%, <5%, 14%, and 35 to 40% for ME3 score <18, 18 to 25, >25 to <31, and 31 or higher, respectively. This information is similar to or better than currently available molecular tests. MEs and MDA provide valuable information in a time-efficient manner and are available free of cost for anyone to use. The latter is certainly important for institutions in resource-poor settings but is also valuable for large institutions and integrated health systems.

The healthcare value of the Magee Decision Algorithm™: use of Magee Equations™ and mitosis score to safely forgo molecular testing in breast cancer

Magee Equations™ are multivariable models that can estimate oncotype DX® Recurrence Score, and Magee Equation 3 has been shown to have chemopredictive value in the neoadjuvant setting as a standalone test. The current study tests the accuracy of Magee Decision Algorithm™ using a large in-house database. According to the algorithm, if all Magee Equation scores are <18, or 18-25 with a mitosis score of 1, then oncotype testing is not required as the actual oncotype recurrence score is expected to be ≤25 (labeled "do not send"). If all Magee Equation scores are 31 or higher, then also oncotype testing is not required as the actual score is expected to be >25 (also "do not send"). All other cases could be considered for testing (labeled "send"). Of the 2196 ER+, HER2-negative cases sent for oncotype testing, 1538 (70%) were classified as "do not send" and 658 (30%) as "send". The classification accuracy in the "do not send" group was 95.1%. Of the 75 (4.9%) discordant cases (expected score ≤25 by decision algorithm but the actual oncotype score >25), 26 received endocrine therapy alone. None of these 26 patients experienced distant recurrence (average follow-up of 73 months). The Magee Decision Algorithm accurately identifies cases that will not benefit from oncotype testing. Such cases constitute ~70% of the routine clinical oncotype requests, an estimated saving of $300,000 per 100 test requests. The occasional discordant cases (expected ≤25, but actual oncotype score >25) appears to have an excellent outcome on endocrine therapy alone.