A method to obtain reproducible Ki-67 indices in lung adenocarcinoma

Nomogram for the preoperative prediction of Ki-67 expression and prognosis in stage IA lung adenocarcinoma based on clinical and multi-slice spiral computed tomography features

OBJECTIVE

This study developed and validated a nomogram utilizing clinical and multi-slice spiral computed tomography (MSCT) features for the preoperative prediction of Ki-67 expression in stage IA lung adenocarcinoma. Additionally, we assessed the predictive accuracy of Ki-67 expression levels, as determined by our model, in estimating the prognosis of stage IA lung adenocarcinoma.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed data from 395 patients with pathologically confirmed stage IA lung adenocarcinoma. A total of 322 patients were divided into training and internal validation groups at a 6:4 ratio, whereas the remaining 73 patients composed the external validation group. According to the pathological results, the patients were classified into high and low Ki-67 labeling index (LI) groups. Clinical and CT features were subjected to statistical analysis. The training group was used to construct a predictive model through logistic regression and to formulate a nomogram. The nomogram's predictive ability and goodness-of-fit were assessed. Internal and external validations were performed, and clinical utility was evaluated. Finally, the recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates were compared.

RESULTS

In the training group, sex, age, tumor density type, tumor-lung interface, lobulation, spiculation, pleural indentation, and maximum nodule diameter differed significantly between patients with high and low Ki-67 LI. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that sex, tumor density, and maximum nodule diameter were significantly associated with high Ki-67 expression in stage IA lung adenocarcinoma. The calibration curves closely resembled the standard curves, indicating the excellent discrimination and accuracy of the model. Decision curve analysis revealed favorable clinical utility. Patients with a nomogram-predicted high Ki-67 LI exhibited worse RFS.

CONCLUSION

The nomogram utilizing clinical and CT features for the preoperative prediction of Ki-67 expression in stage IA lung adenocarcinoma demonstrated excellent performance, clinical utility, and prognostic significance, suggesting that this nomogram is a noninvasive personalized approach for the preoperative prediction of Ki-67 expression.

Pre-operative Prediction of Ki-67 Expression in Various Histological Subtypes of Lung Adenocarcinoma Based on CT Radiomic Features

Purpose: The aims of this study were to combine CT images with Ki-67 expression to distinguish various subtypes of lung adenocarcinoma and to pre-operatively predict the Ki-67 expression level based on CT radiomic features.

Methods: Data from 215 patients with 237 pathologically proven lung adenocarcinoma lesions who underwent CT and immunohistochemical Ki-67 from January 2019 to April 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. The receiver operating curve (ROC) identified the Ki-67 cut-off value for differentiating subtypes of lung adenocarcinoma. A chi-square test or t-test analyzed the differences in the CT images between the negative expression group (n = 132) and the positive expression group (n = 105), and then the risk factors affecting the expression level of Ki-67 were evaluated. Patients were randomly divided into a training dataset (n = 165) and a validation dataset (n = 72) in a ratio of 7:3. A total of 1,316 quantitative radiomic features were extracted from the Analysis Kinetics (A.K.) software. Radiomic feature selection and radiomic classifier were generated through a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and logistic regression analysis model. The predictive capacity of the radiomic classifiers for the Ki-67 levels was investigated through the ROC curves in the training and testing groups.

Results: The cut-off value of the Ki-67 to distinguish subtypes of lung adenocarcinoma was 5%. A comparison of clinical data and imaging features between the two groups showed that histopathological subtypes and air bronchograms could be used as risk factors to evaluate the expression of Ki-67 in lung adenocarcinoma (p = 0.005, p = 0.045, respectively). Through radiomic feature selection, eight top-class features constructed the radiomic model to pre-operatively predict the expression of Ki-67, and the area under the ROC curves of the training group and the testing group were 0.871 and 0.8, respectively.

Conclusion: Ki-67 expression level with a cut-off value of 5% could be used to differentiate non-invasive lung adenocarcinomas from invasive lung adenocarcinomas. It is feasible and reliable to pre-operatively predict the expression level of Ki-67 in lung adenocarcinomas based on CT radiomic features, as a non-invasive biomarker to predict the degree of malignant invasion of lung adenocarcinoma, and to evaluate the prognosis of the tumor.