Atrial fibrillation pattern, left atrial diameter and risk of cardiovascular events and mortality. A prospective multicenter cohort study

Development of a Nomogram That Predicts the Risk of Atrial Fibrillation in Patients with Coronary Heart Disease

Objective

To explore the risk factors of atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with coronary heart disease (CHD), and to construct a risk prediction model.

Methods

The participants in this case-control study were from the cardiovascular Department of Changzhou Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine from June 2016 to June 2023, and they were divided into AF group and non-AF group according to whether AF occurred during hospitalization. The clinical data of the two groups were compared by retrospective analysis. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to investigate the risk factors of AF occurrence in CHD patients. The nomogram model was constructed with R 4.2.6 language "rms" package, and the model's differentiation, calibration and effectiveness were evaluated by drawing ROC curve, calibration curve and decision curve.

Results

A total of 1258 patients with CHD were included, and they were divided into AF group (n=92) and non-AF group (n=1166) according to whether AF was complicated. Logistic regression analysis showed that age, coronary multiple branch lesion, history of heart failure, history of drinking, pulmonary hypertension, left atrial diameter, left ventricular end-diastolic diameter and diabetes mellitus were independent risk factors for the occurrence of AF in CHD patients (P < 0.05). The ROC curve showed that the AUC of this model was 0.956 (95% CI (0.916, 0.995)) and the consistency index was 0.966. The calibration curve of the model is close to the ideal curve. The analysis of decision curve shows that the prediction value of the model is better when the probability threshold of the model is 0.042~0.963.

Conclusion

The nomogram model established in this study for predicting the risk of AF in patients with CHD has better predictive performance and has certain reference value for clinical identification of high-risk groups prone to AF in patients with CHD.

Risk Factors and Prognosis of Perioperative Atrial Fibrillation in Elderly Patients Undergoing VATS Lung Surgery: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) has become the most common postoperative arrhythmia of thoracic surgery. This study aimed to investigate the risk factors and complications of perioperative atrial fibrillation (PoAF) in elderly patients who underwent video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery (VATS).

Methods

Data were collected from patients who underwent VATS between January 2013 and December 2022 at Peking Union Medical College Hospital (PUMCH). Univariable analyses and multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to determine the factors correlated with PoAF. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the discrimination of the indicators to predict PoAF.

Results

The study enrolled 2920 patients, with a PoAF incidence of 5.2% (95% CI 4.4%-6.0%). In the logistic regression analyses, male sex (OR=1.496, 95% CI 1.056-2.129, P=0.024), left atrial anteroposterior dimension (LAD) ≥40 mm (OR=2.154, 95% CI 1.235-3.578, P=0.004), hypertension (HTN) without regular treatment (OR=2.044, 95% CI 0.961-3.921, P=0.044), a history of hyperthyroidism (OR=4.443, 95% CI 0.947-15.306, P=0.030), surgery of the left upper lobe (compared to other lung lobes) (OR=1.625, 95% CI 1.139-2.297, P=0.007), postoperative high blood glucose (BG) (OR=2.482, 95% CI 0.912-5.688, P=0.048), and the time of chest tube removal (per day postoperatively) (OR=1.116, 95% CI 1.038-1.195, P=0.002) were found to be significantly associated with PoAF. The area under the ROC curve was 0.707 (95% CI 0.519-0.799). 86.9% patients were successfully converted to sinus rhythm. Compared with the non-PoAF group, the PoAF group had significantly greater risks of prolonged air leakage, postoperative acute coronary syndrome, longer ICU stays, and longer hospital stays.

Conclusion

Male sex, LAD≥40 mm, HTN without regular treatment, a history of hyperthyroidism, surgery of the left upper lobe, postoperative BG, and the time of chest tube removal were associated with PoAF. These findings may help clinicians identify high-risk patients and take preventive measures to minimize the incidence and adverse prognosis of PoAF.

Multidisciplinary management strategies for atrial fibrillation

There has been a significant increase in the prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) over the past 30 years. Pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) is an effective treatment for AF, but research investigations have shown that AF recurrence still occurs in a significant number of patients after ablation. Heart rhythm outcomes following catheter ablation are correlated with numerous clinical factors, and researchers developed predictive models by integrating risk factors to predict the risk of recurrence of atrial fibrillation. The purpose of this article is to outline the risk scores for predicting cardiac rhythm outcomes after PVI and to discuss the modifiable factors that increase the risk of recurrence of AF, with the hope of further improving catheter ablation efficacy through preoperative identification of high-risk populations and postoperative management of modifiable risk factors.

Pre-procedural Stratification by the Endothelial Function in Patients with Heart Failure Undergoing Atrial Fibrillation Ablation

BACKGROUND

Endothelial dysfunction (ED), a well-established risk marker of cardiovascular events, is associated with heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF). Its relationship with cardiovascular events in patients with HF undergoing AF ablation remains unclear. We aimed to elucidate the association between ED and the outcomes after AF ablation in patients with HF.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study included patients with HF who underwent an endothelial function assessment using the peripheral vascular reactive hyperemia index (RHI) before first-time AF ablation. We defined AF recurrence according to the following types: the conventional form (AF≥30 seconds) and persistent form (requiring cardioversion). An RHI<2.1 indicated ED. Those with and without ED were compared in terms of the 3-year incidence of AF recurrence and cardiovascular events after AF ablation.

RESULTS

Among 421 patients with HF (69 ± 9 years and 38% females), 343 (81.5%) had ED. Although the incidence of the conventional form of AF recurrence was similar between the groups, that of the persistent form was significantly higher in the ED group (25.7% vs. 15.3%, log-rank P = 0.028). The ED group also had a significantly higher rate of cardiovascular events (14.8% vs. 3.6%, log-rank P = 0.028). Pre-procedural ED was identified as an independent predictor of a persistent form of AF recurrence (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 2.31, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.05-5.07, P = 0.037) and that of cardiovascular events (adjusted HR 4.21, 95% CI 1.02-17.5, P = 0.048), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The endothelial function assessment enabled the risk stratification of clinically problematic outcomes after AF ablation in patients with HF.

Renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors and mortality risk in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation. Insights from the nationwide START registry

BACKGROUND

Arterial hypertension is the most common cardiovascular comorbidity in atrial fibrillation (AF). Few studies investigated management strategies of hypertension in AF.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We included 5769 AF patients on oral anticoagulants from the nationwide ongoing Italian START registry. We investigated the prescription of antihypertensive drugs and mortality risk. Subgroup analyses according to sex and major cardiovascular comorbidities were performed.

RESULTS

Mean age was 80.8 years, 46.1% were women; 80.3% of patients were hypertensive. Furosemide (30.1%) was the most frequent diuretic followed by hydrochlorothiazide (15.4%) and potassium canrenoate (7.9%). 61.1% received β-blockers: 34.2% bisoprolol, 6.2% atenolol. Additionally, 36.9% were on angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors (ACE-I): ramipril (20.9%), enalapril (5.3%) and perindopril (2.8%); 31.7% were on angiotensin receptors blockers (ARBs): valsartan (7.6%) and irbesartan (6.4%). Amlodipine and lercanidipine were prescribed in 14.0% and 2.3%, respectively. ACE-I (p < 0.001), α-blockers (p = 0.020) and Dihydropyridines calcium channel blockers (p = 0.004) were more common in men, while ARBs (p = 0.008), thiazide diuretics (p < 0.001) and β-blockers (p < 0.001) in women. During 22.61 ± 17.1 months, 512 patients died. Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that ACE-I (Hazard ratio [HR] 0.758, 95% Confidence Interval [95%CI] 0.612-0.940, p = 0.012) and ARBs (HR 0.623, 95%CI 0.487-0.796, p < 0.001) inversely associated with mortality. ACE-I/ARBs inversely associated with mortality in both sexes and in patients with diabetes. This associastion was evident for ACE-I in patients with previous cardiovascular disease, and for ARBs in HF.

CONCLUSION

A lower mortality risk was found in AF patients on ACE-I/ARBs. Different prescription patterns of antihypertensive drugs between men and women do exist.

Downregulation of fibromodulin attenuates inflammatory signaling and atrial fibrosis in spontaneously hypertensive rats with atrial fibrillation via inhibiting TLR4/NLRP3 signaling pathway

BACKGROUND

Myocardial fibrosis is an important factor in the induction and maintenance of atrial fibrillation (AF). Fibromodulin (FMOD) promotes fibrotic gene expression. However, its specific role in spontaneously hypertensive rats (SHR)-AF remains unclear.

METHODS

We analyzed FMOD mRNA and protein expression in rat atrial tissues using RT-qPCR, Western blot analysis, and immunohistochemistry. Histopathological examination of atrial tissues was performed using hematoxylin and eosin (H&E), Masson's trichrome, and Picrosirius red staining. The levels of inflammatory and fibrosis-related proteins were measured using Western blot analysis.

RESULTS

FMOD relative mRNA and protein expression levels were notably upregulated in atrial tissues of both AF groups (normal-AF and SHR-AF groups) than that in atrial tissues of the no-AF group (normal and SHR group). This effect was particularly pronounced in the SHR-AF group. Pathological changes revealed that the extracellular matrix, collagen, collagen fibers, and left atrial diameter were notably increased in the atrial tissues from the SHR-AF group compared to those in the atrial tissues from the SHR group, whereas the left ventricular fractional shortening and left ventricular ejection fraction were notably lower. Expression of TLR4, MyD88, NLRP3, TGF-β1, collagen I, and collagen II mRNA were clearly higher in atrial tissues from the SHR-AF group than in those from the SHR group. Protein levels of TLR4, MyD88, NLRP3, Cleavage-Caspase-1, Cleavage-IL-1β, TGF-β1, p-Smad2, collagen I, and collagen II were clearly higher in atrial tissues from the SHR-AF group than in those from the SHR group. FMOD knockdown inhibited atrial fibrosis, collagen accumulation, and the TLR4/MyD88/NLRP3 signaling pathway.

CONCLUSION

Downregulation of FMOD attenuated inflammatory signaling and atrial fibrosis in SHR-AF by inhibiting the TLR4/NLRP3 signaling pathway. Therefore, FMOD may be a promising therapeutic target in AF.

Atrial Cardiomyopathy in Valvular Heart Disease: From Molecular Biology to Clinical Perspectives

This review discusses the evolving topic of atrial cardiomyopathy concerning valvular heart disease. The pathogenesis of atrial cardiomyopathy involves multiple factors, such as valvular disease leading to atrial structural and functional remodeling due to pressure and volume overload. Atrial enlargement and dysfunction can trigger atrial tachyarrhythmia. The complex interaction between valvular disease and atrial cardiomyopathy creates a vicious cycle of aggravating atrial enlargement, dysfunction, and valvular disease severity. Furthermore, atrial remodeling and arrhythmia can predispose to atrial thrombus formation and stroke. The underlying pathomechanism of atrial myopathy involves molecular, cellular, and subcellular alterations resulting in chronic inflammation, atrial fibrosis, and electrophysiological changes. Atrial dysfunction has emerged as an essential determinant of outcomes in valvular disease and heart failure. Despite its predictive value, the detection of atrial fibrosis and dysfunction is challenging and is not included in the clinical routine. Transthoracic echocardiography and cardiac magnetic resonance imaging are the main diagnostic tools for atrial cardiomyopathy. Recently published data have revealed that both left atrial volumes and functional parameters are independent predictors of cardiovascular events in valvular disease. The integration of atrial function assessment in clinical practice might help in early cardiovascular risk estimation, promoting early therapeutic intervention in valvular disease.

Predictors of stroke or systemic embolism in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation with CHA2 DS2 -VASc score of 0

BACKGROUND

Anticoagulant therapy has been important for stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, it was not recommended due to its relatively higher risk of bleeding than its lower risk of stroke in patients with a CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score of 0.

HYPOTHESIS

This study aimed to evaluate the predictors of stroke in AF patients with very low risk of stroke.

METHODS

Between 1990 and 2020, 542 patients with non-valvular AF (NVAF) with a CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score of 0 followed up for at least 6 months were enrolled. Patients with only being woman as a risk factor were included as a CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score of 0 in this study. The primary outcome was stroke or systemic embolism.

RESULTS

The primary outcome rate was 0.78%/year. In Cox hazard model, age of ≥50 years at diagnosis (hazard ratio [HR] 6.710, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.811-24.860, p = .004), LVEDD of ≥46 mm (HR 4.513, 95% CI 1.038-19.626, p = .045), and non-paroxysmal AF (HR 5.575, 95% CI 1.621-19.175, p = .006) were identified as independent predictors of stroke or systemic embolism. Patients with all three independent predictors had a higher risk of stroke or systemic embolism (4.21%/year), whereas those without did not have a stroke or systemic embolism.

CONCLUSION

The annual stroke or systemic embolism rate in NVAF patients with CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score of 0 was 0.78%/year, and age at AF diagnosis, LVEDD, and non-paroxysmal AF were independent predictors of stroke or systemic embolism in patients considered to have a very low risk of stroke.

Frequency of cardioversions as an additional risk factor for stroke in atrial fibrillation - the FinCV-4 study

BACKGROUND

Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are selected for oral anticoagulation based on individual patient characteristics. There is little information on how clinical AF burden associates with the risk of ischaemic stroke or systemic embolism (SSE). The aim of this study was to explore the association of the frequency of cardioversions (CV) as a measure of clinical AF burden on the long-term SSE risk, with a focus on patients at intermediate stroke risk based on CHA2DS2-VASc score. For these patients, additional SSE risk stratification by assessing CV frequency may aid in the decision on whether to initiate oral anticoagulation.

METHODS

This retrospective analysis of FinCV Study from years 2003-2010 included 2074 patients who were not using any oral anticoagulation (long term or temporary) after CVs and undergoing a total of 6534 CVs for AF from emergency departments of three hospitals. Two study groups were formed: high CV frequency (mean interval between CVs ≤12 months and low frequency (>12 months).

RESULTS

A total of 107 SSEs occurred during a mean follow-up of 5.4 years. The event rates per 100 patient-years were 1.82 and 0.67 in high versus low CV frequency groups, respectively. After adjustment for CHA2DS2-VASc score, CV frequency independently predicted SSE (HR, 2.87 [95% CI, 1.47 to 5.64]; p = .002) at 3 years. Competing risk analysis also identified CV frequency (sHR, 2.70 [95% CI, 1.38-5.31]; p = .004) as an independent predictor for SSE. In patients with CHA2DS2-VASc score 1 and low CV frequency, the SSE risk was only 0.08 per 100 patient-years.

CONCLUSIONS

Frequency of CVs for symptomatic AF episodes provides additional information on stroke risk in AF patients with CHA2DS2-VASc score 1.Key messagesThis retrospective study offers a unique opportunity to observe the natural course of AF patients with infrequent episodes of clinical arrhythmia when they were not using OAC (before introduction of CHA2DS2-VASc score).Stroke or systemic embolism rate was very low (0.08 per 100 patient-years) in patients with one CHA2DS2-VASc point who visited the emergency room for cardioversion less than once a year.Frequency of cardioversions can be used for additional risk stratification in patients at intermediate risk of stroke based on CHA2DS2-VASc score.

N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and D-dimer combined with left atrial diameter to predict the risk of ischemic stroke in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to explore the potential role of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), d-dimer, and the echocardiographic parameter left atrial diameter (LAD) in identifying and predicting the occurrence of ischemic stroke (IS) in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF).

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study of 445 patients with NVAF in the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University. They were divided into the NVAF (309 cases) and NVAF with stroke (136 cases) groups according to whether acute ischemic stroke (AIS) occurred at admission. Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze the odds ratio (OR) of NT-proBNP, d-dimer, and LAD for IS. The predictive value of NT-proBNP, d-dimer, and LAD in identifying the occurrence of IS in NVAF was determined by plotting the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

RESULTS

NT-proBNP, d-dimer, and LAD levels were significantly higher in the NVAF with stroke group than in the NVAF group (p < .05). NT-ProBNP, d-dimer, and LAD were independently associated with IS in NVAF patients (odds ratio [OR] = 1.12, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.08-1.16; OR = 1.87, 95% CI: 1.37-2.55; OR = 1.21, 95% CI: 1.13-1.28, p < .01). The optimal cutoff points for NT-ProBNP, d-dimer, and LAD levels to distinguish the NVAF group from the NVAF with stroke group were 715.0 pg/ml, 0.515 ng/ml, and 38.5 mm, respectively, with the area under the curve (AUC) being [0.801 (95% CI: 0.76-0.84); 0.770 (95% CI: 0.72-0.85); 0.752 (95% CI: 0.71-0.80), p < .01]. The combined score of NT-proBNP, d-dimer, and LAD improved the predictive efficacy of the single index, with an AUC of 0.846 (95% CI: 0.81-0.88, p < .01), sensitivity of 77.2%, and specificity of 76.4%.

CONCLUSION

NT-proBNP, d-dimer, and the echocardiographic parameter LAD have outstanding value in predicting the risk of IS in patients with NVAF.

Atrial cardiopathy and cognitive impairment

Cognitive impairment involves complex interactions between multiple pathways and mechanisms, one of which being cardiac disorders. Atrial cardiopathy (AC) is a structural and functional disorder of the left atrium that may be a substrate for other cardiac disorders such as atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure (HF). The association between AF and HF and cognitive decline is clear; however, the relationship between AC and cognition requires further investigation. Studies have shown that several markers of AC, such as increased brain natriuretic peptide and left atrial enlargement, are associated with an increased risk for cognitive impairment. The pathophysiology of cognitive decline in patients with AC is not yet well understood. Advancing our understanding of the relationship between AC and cognition may point to important treatable targets and inform future therapeutic advancements. This review presents our current understanding of the diagnosis of AC, as well as clinical characteristics and potential pathways involved in the association between AC and cognitive impairment.

Association of cardiovascular factors in diabetic patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

PURPOSE

To evaluate the association between severity of hepatic steatosis/fibrosis with clinical, laboratory, and echocardiographic characteristics, including visceral obesity and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM)-related micro- and macrovascular complications in diabetic patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD).

METHODS

We studied 60 consecutive NAFLD outpatients with T2DM, recording several demographic and clinical characteristics, trunk and visceral fat, cardiac ultrasound, and micro- and macrovascular complications of diabetes mellitus including microalbuminuria, diabetic peripheral neuropathy, peripheral vascular disease, and cardiac autonomic function. Severity of steatosis and fibrosis was evaluated with abdominal ultrasound and liver stiffness measurements, respectively.

RESULTS

Twenty-three (41%) of the patients had grade 1 steatosis and mean liver stiffness was 7.5 ± 3 kPa. After applying Bonferroni correction for multiple comparisons, ferritin concentration was the only factor significantly different between patients with mild (grade 1) compared to those with moderate/severe (grade 2/3) steatosis and showed good discriminative ability for the presence of moderate/severe steatosis (AUC: 0.74, sensitivity 88%, specificity 48%, PPV 74%, and NPV 72%). In addition, waist circumference was the only factor associated with the presence of significant fibrosis (≥ F2) with very good discriminative ability (AUC: 0.77, sensitivity 89%, specificity 45%, PPV 75%, and NPV 70%).

CONCLUSION

Specific clinical and laboratory characteristics, which may be determined via widely accessible and noninvasive techniques, were associated with severity of diabetics NAFLD, taking into account echocardiographic characteristics, visceral obesity, and T2DM-related systemic complications.

Cardiac and vascular features of arterial and venous primary antiphospholipid syndrome. The multicenter ATHERO-APS study

BACKGROUND

Patients with primary antiphospholipid syndrome (PAPS) may suffer from venous and/or arterial thrombosis, but studies addressing eventual clinical and laboratory features that may discriminate between arterial thromboembolism (ATE) from venous thromboembolism (VTE) have been poorly addressed.

METHODS

Cross sectional comparison of baseline characteristics of 100 patients enrolled in the multi center ATHERO-APS cohort study; patients with previous ATE and VTE were compared with regards to clinical and biochemical variables as well as to echocardiographic features and ankle-brachial index (ABI) measured at enrolment.

RESULTS

Mean age of patients was 51 years, 72 were women. 60 patients suffered VTE and 40 ATE. Compared to VTE, ATE patients displayed a higher prevalence of hypertension (43.3% vs. 65%, p = 0.034) and diabetes (3.3% vs. 17.5%, p = 0.015). Mean concentration of inflammation and complement activation markers were similar between the two groups as well as autoantibodies titres; mean D-dimer concentration was greater in VTE patients (184 ng/ml vs. 347 ng/ml; p = 0.024) whereas mean platelet count was greater in ATE patients (263 × 10⁹/L vs 216 × 10⁹/L, p = 0.044). By multivariable logistic regression analysis, adjusted for age, sex, hypertension and diabetes, ABI ≤ 0.9 (OR: 3.4; p = 0.041) and left atrial enlargement (OR: 3.5; p = 0.035) were associated with a history of ATE. ATE patients had a higher prevalence of ABI <0.9 (32.5% vs 10% p = 0.005) than VTE patients. At logistic regression analysis, IgG aCL >120 GPL U/ml was associated with an ABI ≤0.9 (OR: 5; p = 0.023) after adjustment for age and sex.

CONCLUSION

Clinical, laboratory and cardiovascular variables distinguish arterial from venous APS patients, amongst which the ABI and left atrial enlargement. Implications for these two distinct clinical phenotypes of APS patients need further investigation.

BNP combined with echocardiographic parameters to predict the risk of cardioembolic stroke

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have found that BNP and some indicators of cardiac structure and function are closely associated with atrial fibrillation, so we aim to investigate the potential role of BNP and echocardiographic parameters to identify the acute ischemic stroke with atrial fibrillation patients who have high risks of cardioembolic stroke based on it.

METHODS

436 AIS patients were divided into an AF group and non-AF group on the basis of the electrocardiogram and Holter results. Then we compared vascular risk factors, laboratory test indicators, and echocardiographic parameters among different groups.

RESULTS

AIS with AF group had significantly higher age, CHD, previous medication, creatinine, d-dimer, fibrinogen, CRP, BNP, LAD, LVDd, LVDs and lower cholesterol, triglyceride, LDL and ejection fraction than the non-AF group (P < 0.05). Increased BNP, LAD, LVDd, LVDs and ejection fraction reduction were independent risk factors to predict cardioembolic stroke. BNP and LAD could be the two most effective indicators of the high risk of cardioembolic stroke. The area under the curve (AUC) of BNP and LAD were 0.791 [95%CI (0.743-0.838), p < 0.001), 0.786 [95%CI (0.739-0.833), p < 0.001]. The combined score we designed improved the prediction effect of single-indicator. The AUC of it was 0.822 with a sensitivity of 69.5% and specificity of 83.9%.There was an apparent positive correlation between BNP and LAD in AIS patients (r = 0.327, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

BNP combined with echocardiographic parameters has outstanding value to predict the risk of cardioembolic stroke, especially for BNP and LAD.