3
|
Rodseth RN, Biccard BM, Chu R, Lurati Buse GA, Thabane L, Bakhai A, Bolliger D, Cagini L, Cahill TJ, Cardinale D, Chong CPW, Cnotliwy M, Di Somma S, Fahrner R, Lim WK, Mahla E, Le Manach Y, Manikandan R, Pyun WB, Rajagopalan S, Radovic M, Schutt RC, Sessler DI, Suttie S, Vanniyasingam T, Waliszek M, Devereaux PJ. Postoperative B-type natriuretic peptide for prediction of major cardiac events in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery: systematic review and individual patient meta-analysis. Anesthesiology 2013; 119:270-83. [PMID: 23528538 DOI: 10.1097/aln.0b013e31829083f1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 64] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND It is unclear whether postoperative B-type natriuretic peptides (i.e., BNP and N-terminal proBNP) can predict cardiovascular complications in noncardiac surgery. METHODS The authors undertook a systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis to determine whether postoperative BNPs predict postoperative cardiovascular complications at 30 and 180 days or more. RESULTS The authors identified 18 eligible studies (n = 2,051). For the primary outcome of 30-day mortality or nonfatal myocardial infarction, BNP of 245 pg/ml had an area under the curve of 0.71 (95% CI, 0.64-0.78), and N-terminal proBNP of 718 pg/ml had an area under the curve of 0.80 (95% CI, 0.77-0.84). These thresholds independently predicted 30-day mortality or nonfatal myocardial infarction (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 4.5; 95% CI, 2.74-7.4; P < 0.001), mortality (AOR, 4.2; 95% CI, 2.29-7.69; P < 0.001), cardiac mortality (AOR, 9.4; 95% CI, 0.32-254.34; P < 0.001), and cardiac failure (AOR, 18.5; 95% CI, 4.55-75.29; P < 0.001). For greater than or equal to 180-day outcomes, natriuretic peptides independently predicted mortality or nonfatal myocardial infarction (AOR, 3.3; 95% CI, 2.58-4.3; P < 0.001), mortality (AOR, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.67-86; P < 0.001), cardiac mortality (AOR, 2.1; 95% CI, 0.05-1,385.17; P < 0.001), and cardiac failure (AOR, 3.5; 95% CI, 1.0-9.34; P = 0.022). Patients with BNP values of 0-250, greater than 250-400, and greater than 400 pg/ml suffered the primary outcome at a rate of 6.6, 15.7, and 29.5%, respectively. Patients with N-terminal proBNP values of 0-300, greater than 300-900, and greater than 900 pg/ml suffered the primary outcome at a rate of 1.8, 8.7, and 27%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS Increased postoperative BNPs are independently associated with adverse cardiac events after noncardiac surgery.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Reitze N Rodseth
- Perioperative Research Group, Department of Anaesthetics, Inkosi Albert Luthuli Central Hospital, Nelson R. Mandela School of Medicine, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Collapse
|
4
|
Rodseth RN, Biccard BM, Le Manach Y, Sessler DI, Lurati Buse GA, Thabane L, Schutt RC, Bolliger D, Cagini L, Cardinale D, Chong CPW, Chu R, Cnotliwy M, Di Somma S, Fahrner R, Lim WK, Mahla E, Manikandan R, Puma F, Pyun WB, Radović M, Rajagopalan S, Suttie S, Vanniyasingam T, van Gaal WJ, Waliszek M, Devereaux PJ. The prognostic value of pre-operative and post-operative B-type natriuretic peptides in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery: B-type natriuretic peptide and N-terminal fragment of pro-B-type natriuretic peptide: a systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis. J Am Coll Cardiol 2013; 63:170-80. [PMID: 24076282 DOI: 10.1016/j.jacc.2013.08.1630] [Citation(s) in RCA: 213] [Impact Index Per Article: 17.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/22/2013] [Revised: 08/07/2013] [Accepted: 08/12/2013] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The objective of this study was to determine whether measuring post-operative B-type natriuretic peptides (NPs) (i.e., B-type natriuretic peptide [BNP] and N-terminal fragment of proBNP [NT-proBNP]) enhances risk stratification in adult patients undergoing noncardiac surgery, in whom a pre-operative NP has been measured. BACKGROUND Pre-operative NP concentrations are powerful independent predictors of perioperative cardiovascular complications, but recent studies have reported that elevated post-operative NP concentrations are independently associated with these complications. It is not clear whether there is value in measuring post-operative NP when a pre-operative measurement has been done. METHODS We conducted a systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis to determine whether the addition of post-operative NP levels enhanced the prediction of the composite of death and nonfatal myocardial infarction at 30 and ≥180 days after surgery. RESULTS Eighteen eligible studies provided individual patient data (n = 2,179). Adding post-operative NP to a risk prediction model containing pre-operative NP improved model fit and risk classification at both 30 days (corrected quasi-likelihood under the independence model criterion: 1,280 to 1,204; net reclassification index: 20%; p < 0.001) and ≥180 days (corrected quasi-likelihood under the independence model criterion: 1,320 to 1,300; net reclassification index: 11%; p = 0.003). Elevated post-operative NP was the strongest independent predictor of the primary outcome at 30 days (odds ratio: 3.7; 95% confidence interval: 2.2 to 6.2; p < 0.001) and ≥180 days (odds ratio: 2.2; 95% confidence interval: 1.9 to 2.7; p < 0.001) after surgery. CONCLUSIONS Additional post-operative NP measurement enhanced risk stratification for the composite outcomes of death or nonfatal myocardial infarction at 30 days and ≥180 days after noncardiac surgery compared with a pre-operative NP measurement alone.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Reitze N Rodseth
- Perioperative Research Group, Department of Anaesthetics, Grey's Hospital, Nelson R. Mandela School of Medicine, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Pietermaritzburg, South Africa; Population Health Research Institute, Hamilton Health Sciences, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada; Department of Outcomes Research, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio.
| | - Bruce M Biccard
- Perioperative Research Group, Department of Anaesthetics, Grey's Hospital, Nelson R. Mandela School of Medicine, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Pietermaritzburg, South Africa
| | - Yannick Le Manach
- Population Health Research Institute, Hamilton Health Sciences, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada; Departments of Anesthesia, Clinical Epidemiology, and Biostatistics, Hamilton Health Sciences, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
| | - Daniel I Sessler
- Department of Outcomes Research, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio
| | - Giovana A Lurati Buse
- Department of Anaesthesia and Intensive Care Medicine, University Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Lehana Thabane
- Population Health Research Institute, Hamilton Health Sciences, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada; Departments of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics/Anesthesia/Pediatrics, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada; Biostatistics Unit, St. Joseph's Healthcare, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
| | - Robert C Schutt
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia
| | - Daniel Bolliger
- Department of Anaesthesia and Intensive Care Medicine, University Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Lucio Cagini
- Department of Surgical Science, University of Perugia, Ospedale S. Maria, Perugia, Italy
| | | | - Carol P W Chong
- Departments of Aged Care, Northern Clinical Research Centre, The Northern Hospital, Epping, Victoria, Australia, and The Department of Medicine, Austin and Northern Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Rong Chu
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Faculty of Health Sciences, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
| | - Miłosław Cnotliwy
- Department of Vascular and General Surgery and Angiology, Pomeranian Medical University, Szczecin, Poland
| | - Salvatore Di Somma
- Department of Medical-Surgery Sciences and Translational Medicine, University La Sapienza, and Emergency Department, Sant'Andrea Hospital, Rome, Italy
| | - René Fahrner
- Division of General, Visceral and Vascular Surgery, University Hospital, Jena, Germany
| | - Wen Kwang Lim
- Departments of Aged Care, Northern Clinical Research Centre, The Northern Hospital, Epping, Victoria, Australia, and The Department of Medicine, Austin and Northern Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Elisabeth Mahla
- Department of Anesthesia and Intensive Care Medicine, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria
| | - Ramaswamy Manikandan
- Departments of Urology, Stepping Hill Hospital, Stockport, United Kingdom, and Wrightington, Wigan and Leigh NHS Foundation Trust, Wigan, United Kingdom
| | - Francesco Puma
- Department of Surgical Science, University of Perugia, Ospedale S. Maria, Perugia, Italy
| | - Wook B Pyun
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Ewha Womans University, School of Medicine, Mokdong Hospital, Seoul, Korea
| | - Milan Radović
- Clinic of Nephrology, University of Belgrade, School of Medicine, Belgrade, Serbia
| | - Sriram Rajagopalan
- Department of Vascular Surgery, University Hospital of North Staffordshire, Stoke on Trent, United Kingdom
| | - Stuart Suttie
- Department of Vascular Surgery, Ninewells Hospital and Medical School, Dundee, United Kingdom
| | | | - William J van Gaal
- Department of Cardiology, University of Melbourne, Northern Health, Epping, Victoria, Australia
| | - Marek Waliszek
- Cardiac Diagnostics Unit, M. Pirogow Provincial Specialist Hospital, Lodz, Poland
| | - P J Devereaux
- Population Health Research Institute, Hamilton Health Sciences, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada; Departments of Medicine, Clinical Epidemiology, and Biostatistics, Hamilton Health Sciences, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
| |
Collapse
|