Negative hepatitis B envelope antigen predicts intrahepatic recurrence in hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma after ablation therapy

Prognostic Role of Albumin-Bilirubin Grade in Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Ultrasound-guided Percutaneous Radiofrequency Ablation: A Single-center Experience Over a Decade

BACKGROUND

The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade has been proposed to evaluate liver function and predict prognosis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Data are scarce in terms of the clinical application of ALBI score in patients with HCC undergoing radiofrequency ablation (RFA). The current study sought to assess the prognostic efficacy of ALBI grade in early-stage HCC after RFA.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 344 treatment-naive patients, whereby the overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), local tumor progression, and intrahepatic distant recurrence were assessed using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Predictors determining OS and RFS after RFA were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards analysis.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up time of 48.0 months (range: 2 to 158 mo), 48 patients had died because of tumor progression or liver failure. Patients with ALBI grade 2 had poorer OS (P=0.033) and RFS (P=0.002), and higher intrahepatic distant recurrence rate (P<0.001) than those with ALBI grade 1. Local tumor progression rates were comparable between the 2 groups (P=0.801). Multivariate analyses showed that ABLI grade 2 was the only independent risk factor for poor OS (hazard ratio=1.850, 95% confidence interval: 1.041-3.286, P=0.036) and poor RFS (hazard ratio=1.467, 95% confidence interval: 1.094-1.968, P=0.011) after RFA. For Child-Pugh grade A group, patients divided by ALBI grade 1 versus grade 2 showed significant differences in both OS and RFS (P=0.039 and 0.002).

CONCLUSION

The ALBI grade can be used to discriminate long-term prognosis in patients with HCC following RFA and to further stratify prognosis in those with Child-Pugh grade A.

Effect of Radiofrequency Ablation with Interventional Therapy of Hepatic Artery on the Recurrence of Primary Liver Cancer and the Analysis of Influencing Factors

Background

The probability of liver cancer recurring in patients after surgery is a serious threat to liver cancer patients. Radiofrequency ablation is widely employed in liver cancer cases. We explored the therapeutic effects and influencing factors of radiofrequency ablation combined with hepatic artery intervention in patients with recurrence of primary liver cancer surgery.

Methods

90 patients with primary liver cancer postoperative recurrence admitted to our hospital from January 2014 to February 2017 were selected as the research objects. The patients were randomly divided into the control group (n = 45) and combined treatment group (n = 45). The combined treatment group received radiofrequency ablation combined with hepatic artery interventional therapy, and the control group received hepatic artery interventional therapy. The short-term efficacy, AFP levels before and after treatment, and long-term survival results of the two groups were compared. Single-factor and multifactor analyses of the clinical information of the combined treatment group were carried out to find out the factors affecting the therapeutic effect of radiofrequency ablation combined with hepatic artery intervention on patients with recurrence of primary liver cancer.

Results

The total effective rate of short-term curative effect of the combined treatment group was higher than the control group, and there was a statistically significant difference existing (P < 0.05). After treatment, two groups of patients' AFP levels were greatly lower than before treatment, the AFP levels of the combined treatment group were significantly lower than the control group, and there was a statistically significant difference (P < 0.05). The survival rates of patients in the combined treatment group at the sixth month, the first year, and the second year after treatment were significantly higher than those of the control group, and there was a statistically significant difference (P < 0.05). The univariate results showed that, in the combined treatment group, there were statistically significant differences between the effective group and the ineffective group in tumor diameter, intact capsule, liver cirrhosis, intrahepatic spread, and tumor adjacent to large blood vessels (P < 0.05). The outcomes of multivariate analysis indicated that tumor diameter ≥ 3 cm, incomplete capsule, intrahepatic spread, and tumor adjacent to large blood vessels were risk factors for ineffective recurrence of patients with primary liver cancer after radiofrequency ablation combined with hepatic artery intervention (P < 0.05). Discussion. Tumor diameter ≥ 3 cm, incomplete capsule, intrahepatic spread, and tumor adjacent to large blood vessels are risk factors for the ineffectiveness of radiofrequency ablation combined with hepatic artery interventional therapy for patients with recurrence of primary liver cancer. It is necessary to increase the range of radiofrequency treatment, increase the temperature of the radiofrequency needle, and strengthen postoperative follow-up interventions based on the specific conditions of the patient's tumor.

Artificial neural network-based models used for predicting 28- and 90-day mortality of patients with hepatitis B-associated acute-on-chronic liver failure

Background

This study aimed to develop prognostic models for predicting 28- and 90-day mortality rates of hepatitis B virus (HBV)-associated acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) through artificial neural network (ANN) systems.

Methods

Six hundred and eight-four cases of consecutive HBV-ACLF patients were retrospectively reviewed. Four hundred and twenty-three cases were used for training and constructing ANN models, and the remaining 261 cases were for validating the established models. Predictors associated with mortality were determined by univariate analysis and were then included in ANN models for predicting prognosis of mortality. The receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to evaluate the predictive performance of the ANN models in comparison with various current prognostic models.

Results

Variables with statistically significant difference or important clinical characteristics were input in the ANN training process, and eight independent risk factors, including age, hepatic encephalopathy, serum sodium, prothrombin activity, γ-glutamyltransferase, hepatitis B e antigen, alkaline phosphatase and total bilirubin, were eventually used to establish ANN models. For 28-day mortality in the training cohort, the model’s predictive accuracy (AUR 0.948, 95% CI 0.925–0.970) was significantly higher than that of the Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD), MELD-sodium (MELD-Na), Chronic Liver Failure-ACLF (CLIF-ACLF), and Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) (all p < 0.001). In the validation cohorts the predictive accuracy of ANN model (AUR 0.748, 95% CI: 0.673–0.822) was significantly higher than that of MELD (p = 0.0099) and insignificantly higher than that of MELD-Na, CTP and CLIF-ACLF (p > 0.05). For 90-day mortality in the training cohort, the model’s predictive accuracy (AUR 0.913, 95% CI 0.887–0.938) was significantly higher than that of MELD, MELD-Na, CTP and CLIF-ACLF (all p < 0.001). In the validation cohorts, the prediction accuracy of the ANN model (AUR 0.754, 95% CI: 0.697–0.812 was significantly higher than that of MELD (p = 0.019) and insignificantly higher than MELD-Na, CTP and CLIF-ACLF (p > 0.05).

Conclusions

The established ANN models can more accurately predict short-term mortality risk in patients with HBV- ACLF.

The main content has been postered as an abstract at the AASLD Hepatology Conference (10.1002/hep.30257).

Antiviral Therapy for AECHB and Severe Hepatitis B (Liver Failure)

This chapter describes the principles of antiviral therapy, treatment strategies, medications and recommendations for AECHB, HBV-ACLF, HBV-related liver cirrhosis, HBV-related HCC, and liver transplantation.

Severe exacerbation of chronic hepatitis B is closely related to continuous HBV replication. Therefore, inhibiting HBV replication to reduce viral load may block disease progression and improve the quality of life of these patients. ETV or TDF has been recommend first-line drug for the treatment of AECHB.

A hyperactive immune response due to continuous HBV replication is the main mechanism for development of severe hepatitis B. In addition to comprehensive treatment, early administration of potent nucleoside analogs can rapidly reduce HBV DNA concentration, relieve immune injury induced by HBV, and reduce liver inflammation and patient mortality. Antiviral agents have become important in the treatment of severe exacerbation of chronic hepatitis B.

Long-term antiviral treatment with nucleoside analogs can delay or reverse the progress of liver cirrhosis. Virologic response, viral resistance and adverse drug reactions should be closely monitored during treatment. The treatment should be optimized for maximum effect based on each patient’s responses.

Effective antiviral therapy can suppress HBV replication and reduce the incidence of HBV-related HCC. Patients with HBV-related HCC should receive individualized and optimal multidisciplinary comprehensive treatment. Anti-viral drugs with high efficacy, low resistance and low adverse drug reactions should be selected to improve the patient’s quality of life and prolong survival time.

Methods to prevent HBV reinfection after liver transplantation include passive immunization (HBIG), antiviral treatment (nucleoside analogs) and active immunization (hepatitis B vaccine).

Clinical trials involving sequential combination therapy with NUC and Peg-IFN have shown statistically significant decline in HBsAg levels on treatment and high rates of sustained post-treatment serologic response. Combination therapy with novel DAA and immunotherapeutic approach may hold promise to overcome both cccDNA persistence and immune escape, representing a critical step towards HBV cure.

Initial Alpha-Fetoprotein Response Predicts Prognosis in Hepatitis B-related Solitary HCC Patients After Radiofrequency Ablation

BACKGROUND

Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) is effective for early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma but recurrence is problem.

GOALS

To identify prognostic factors including alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) for overall survival and intrahepatic recurrence after RFA.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Not only naïve but also previously treated patients with solitary hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma <5 cm were prospectively enrolled and a ≥50% decrease from baseline to 1 month after RFA was defined as an initial AFP response. Tumor responses were assessed by the modified response evaluation criteria in solid tumors.

RESULTS

Among 255 patients, 156 patients (61.2%) developed intrahepatic recurrence. Radiologic progression occurred in 54.8% (86/157) in the AFP responders and 71.4% (70/98) in the AFP nonresponders. In multivariate analysis, a history of previous treatment [hazard ratio (HR), 2.037; P=0.015 for percutaneous ethanol injection vs. none; and HR, 2.642; P<0.001 for transarterial chemoembolization vs. none] and an initial AFP nonresponse (HR, 1.899; P<0.001) were independent predictors of accelerated progression after RFA. Moreover, those who had a history of previous treatment and did not achieve an initial AFP response had significantly unfavorable overall survival (HR, 3.581; P<0.001) and the increased risk of intrahepatic remote recurrence (HR, 5.385; P<0.001) compared with those with an initial AFP response and no history of previous treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

Biological response evaluation by the measurement of serial AFP levels is a useful predictor of overall survival and intrahepatic remote recurrence after RFA. Therefore, an initial AFP response may aid in determining the need of closer follow-up as a therapeutic response indicator of RFA.

The contribution of serum hepatitis B virus load in the carcinogenesis and prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma: evidence from two meta-analyses

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The meta-analysis aimed to quantify and summarize the contribution of serum hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA load in the carcinogenesis and prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

RESULTS

Nine independent studies with a total of 1162 cases and 9365 participants on risk of HCC and seventeen studies with 1342 cases and 2891 participants on recurrence of HCC were finally included. The non-liner dose-response association between HBV DNA level and HCC risk was observed, with P value equal to 0.02 for linear test. Compared with 2 log10copies/ml HBV DNA level carriers, the summary relative risk of HCC were 1.65(95% CI: 0.94-2.92) for 4.5 log10copies/ml, 2.20(95% CI: 1.00-4.85) for 5.5 log10copies/ml, 3.06(95% CI: 1.11-8.44) for 6.5 log10copies/ml. Moreover, individuals with high viral load (HBV DNA levels > 105copies/ml) presented significant association with increased risk of HCC recurrence, with the pooled RR of 1.69 (95% CI: 1.49-1.92).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Pertinent studies were identified by searching PubMed, Embase and ISI Web of science databases up to January 2016 and by reviewing the references of retrieved articles. The dose-response meta-analysis was precisely performed to calculate the summary relative risks (RRs) by quantizing the association between HBV load and risk of HCC. Besides, the contribution of HBV load on recurrence of HCC was further clarified by general meta-analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings indicated a non-linear dose-response relationship between serum HBV DNA level and risk of HCC, and confirmed the significant contribution of serum HBV DNA level in the prognosis of HCC.

Insights for hepatitis C virus related hepatocellular carcinoma genetic biomarkers: Early diagnosis and therapeutic intervention

The current review explores the role of emerging molecular contributing factors in liver carcinogenesis on top of hepatitis C virus (HCV). Here we will try to discuss the role genetic and epigenetic factors in pathogenesis of hepatocellular carcinoma. Understanding the role of these factors will help in discovering the mystery of liver carcinogenesis on top of chronic HCV infection. Moreover, use of the studied molecular factors will provide the hepatologists with tailored diagnostic promising biomarkers and flatten the way for establishment of emerging molecular treatment based on exploring the molecular subscription of this aggressive liver cancer.

Noninvasive fibrosis marker can predict recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after radiofrequency ablation

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Tumor recurrence after curative therapy is common for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). As fibrosis and chronic inflammation contribute to the progression of HCC, we aimed to identify the predictive value of inflammatory and fibrosis markers for HCC recurrence after curative therapy using radiofrequency ablation (RFA).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the records of patients with HCC treated with RFA between October 2005 and September 2013. The median duration of follow-up was 40 months (4-95 months). Inflammatory and fibrosis markers and demographic and clinical data were analyzed by Cox proportional hazards model using univariate and multivariate analyses and longitudinal analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 98 patients were included for analysis. There were 54 cases of HCC recurrence (55.1%). The aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI; 2.3 ± 1.8 vs. 1.3 ± 1.4, P = 0.018) was significantly higher in the recurrence group than in the recurrence-free group. In multivariate analysis, APRI (hazard ratio, 2.64; confidence interval, 1.488-4.714; P = 0.001) was an independent risk factor for tumor recurrence. In particular, patients with APRI >1.38 showed a higher recurrence rate than patients with APRI ≤ 1.38 (P < 0.001). Longitudinal analysis showed persistently higher APRI values when assessed 12 months after RFA in patients who developed recurrence during follow-up than those who remained recurrence-free.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings show that a high APRI value is associated with HCC recurrence after RFA. Therefore, APRI could play an important role in predicting HCC recurrence after RFA.

Intrahepatic distant recurrence following complete radiofrequency ablation of small hepatocellular carcinoma: risk factors and early MRI evaluation

BACKGROUND

Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) is related to a high intrahepatic distant recurrence (IDR) rate, and the associations between IDR and relevant imaging features have not yet been fully investigated. This study aimed to determine both clinical and imaging risk factors of IDR after complete RFA for HBV-related small hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (≤ 3 cm).

METHODS

Thirty-five patients (29 men and 6 women; mean age 60.7 years) with 40 HBV-related small HCCs who underwent complete RFA were included in our study. The incidence and potential clinical and MR imaging risk factors for IDR after RFA were assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method, the log-rank test and a stepwise Cox hazard model.

RESULTS

The median follow-up period was 25 (4-45) months, and IDR was observed in 20 (57.1%) patients. The 12- and 24-month cumulative IDR-free survival rates were 76.7% and 61.3%, respectively. Univariate analysis revealed that pretreatment albumin < 3.5 g/dL (P = 0.026), multinodular tumor (P = 0.032), ablative margin < 3 mm (P = 0.007), no or disrupted periablational enhancement within 24 hours (P = 0.001) and at 1 month (P = 0.043) after RFA, and hyperintensity of the central ablative zone on T1-weighted images (T1WI) at 1 month after RFA (P = 0.004) were related to IDR. Multivariate analysis showed that pretreatment albumin < 3.5 g/dL (P = 0.032), multinodular tumor (P = 0.012), no or disrupted periablational enhancement within 24 hours after RFA (P = 0.001), and hyperintensity of the central ablative zone on T1WI at 1 month after RFA (P = 0.003) were independent risk factors for IDR. During the 1-month follow-up, the apparent diffusion coefficient exhibited an up-and-down evolution without significant value in the prediction of IDR following RFA.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with HBV-related small HCC had a high IDR rate after RFA. The risk factors included low serum albumin, multiple nodules, lesions with no or disrupted periablational enhancement and persistent hyperintensity in the central ablative zone on T1WI within 1 month after RFA.

Efficacy of antiviral therapy with nucleotide/nucleoside analogs after curative treatment for patients with hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

A systematic review was conducted to evaluate whether or not antiviral therapy with nucleotide/nucleoside analogs (NA) have survival benefit for patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after curative treatment.

METHODS

An electronic search of PubMed, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library was performed to identify comparative studies in which the adjuvant effects of NA for patients with HBV-related HCC after curative treatment were evaluated. Primary outcome included survival rate, and secondary outcomes included tumor recurrence rate and side effects. Review Manager 5.1.6 software was used for meta-analysis.

RESULTS

Twelve studies involving 6682 patients were included in our review. Meta-analysis results demonstrated that significant differences favoring the antiviral treatment groups were observed in 1-year survival rate (RR: 0.65, 95% CI: 0.53-0.79, P<0.0001), 3-year survival rate (RR: 0.58, 95% CI: 0.46-0.74, P<0.0001), and 5-year survival rate (RR: 0.56, 95% CI: 0.43-0.74, P<0.0001) compared with the control group. After NA was administered, recurrence was significantly reduced after one year (RR: 0.77, 95% CI: 0.64-0.93, P=0.006) and three years (RR: 0.81, 95% CI: 0.71-0.93, P=0.002) but not after five years (RR: 0.94, 95% CI: 0.76-1.16, P=0.55) compared with non-NA therapy.

CONCLUSION

Current evidence showed that antiviral therapy with NA could improve survival and reduce early recurrence for patients with HBV-related HCC after curative treatment. More high-quality prospective trials are expected.

Antiviral therapy decreases recurrence of hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma after curative resection: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The long-term outcome after curative resection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains unsatisfactory because of the high incidence of recurrence. The present study was intended to assess the impact of hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA level and nucleos(t)ide analog therapy on posthepatectomy recurrence of HBV-related HCC.

METHODS

Eligible studies were identified through a computerized literature search. The pooled relative risk ratio (RR) with 95 % confidence interval (CI) was calculated using Review Manager 5.1 Software.

RESULTS

Twenty studies with a total of 8,204 participants were included for this meta-analysis. Pooled analysis showed that high viral load was significantly associated with risk of recurrence (RR: 1.85, 95 % CI: 1.41-2.42; P < 0.001), poorer disease-free survival (DFS) (RR: 1.96, 95 % CI: 1.62-2.38; P < 0.001), and poorer overall survival (OS) (RR: 1.47, 95 % CI: 1.22-1.77; P < 0.001) of HBV-related HCC after surgical resection. Nucleos(t)ide analog therapy significantly decreased the recurrence risk (RR: 0.69, 95 % CI: 0.59-0.80; P < 0.001) and improved both DFS (RR: 0.70, 95 % CI: 0.58-0.83; P < 0.001) and OS (RR: 0.46, 95 % CI: 0.32-0.68; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

High DNA level is associated with posthepatectomy recurrence of HBV-related HCC. Nucleos(t)ide analog therapy improves the prognosis of HBV-related HCC after resection.

Predicting recurrence following radiofrequency percutaneous ablation for hepatocellular carcinoma

Within 5 years after percutaneous ablation of hepatocellular carcinoma, roughly 70% of patients experience tumor recurrence. Relapses beyond curative options affected patients' survival. Ablation shares with resection common predictive factors of recurrence as size of the tumor, multinodularity and presence of vascular invasion. High serum α-fetoprotein level and markers of severity of underlying liver disease have also been found to be associated with recurrence and even survival. However, predictive values for recurrence of technical factors, histopathological and molecular tumors' features have been rarely studied. Few comparative studies have shown that ablation techniques impact recurrence rates. Moreover, although ablation does not allow analysis of the whole tumor, some reports suggest that biopsies allow histopathological and even molecular testing of the risk of recurrence.

Significance of viral status on recurrence of hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma after curative therapy: A meta-analysis

AIM

The impact of viral status on recurrence of hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after curative therapy remains controversial. This meta-analysis aimed to determine whether the presence of viral load, genotype, specific mutation and antiviral therapy influenced HCC recurrence after curative therapy.

METHODS

We performed a meta-analysis including 20 studies to assess the effect of viral status and antiviral therapy with nucleoside analog on recurrence of HCC after curative therapy. The pooled odds ratios (OR) were calculated using a random or fixed effects model. PUBMED, MEDLINE, EMBASE and the Cochrane Database were searched for articles published from 1990 to December 2012.

RESULTS

Our results showed that the presence of high viral load significantly increased overall HCC recurrence risk after curative therapy. Pooled data from four studies on the recurrence rate among patients with genotype C infection compared with genotype B showed an increased risk of recurrence. Basal core promoter (BCP) mutation was associated with a significant risk in the recurrence of HCC. The pooled estimate of treatment effect was significantly in favor of a preventive effectiveness of antiviral therapy.

CONCLUSION

The present study suggested that HCC patients with high viral load, genotype C and BCP mutation had a significantly higher risk of recurrence. Antiviral therapy has potential beneficial effects after the curative treatment of HCC in terms of tumor recurrence.

Predisposing factors for recurrence of HBV-related small hepatocellular carcinoma after percutaneous radiofrequency ablation

BACKGROUND. Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) as a curative therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is widely used. The aim of this study was to investigate predisposing factors for HCC recurrence in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related small HCC after RFA. METHods. A total of 170 patients underwent percutaneous RFA for HBV-related small HCC (≤3 cm in diameter) from January 2008 to December 2010 at Samsung Medical Center. We analyzed the risk factors for recurrence of HCC after RFA. RESULTS. The median follow-up duration was 27.0 months. A total of 89 patients (52%) experienced recurrence after percutaneous RFA. Cumulative recurrence-free rates after RFA at 1-, 3-, and 5 years were 81.3%, 47.2% and 35.7%, respectively. Univariate analysis showed that predisposing factors for HCC recurrence were the multinodularity (hazard ratio (HR) 2.22, p = 0.005), pre-RFA HBV DNA levels ≥2000 IU/mL (HR 1.61, p = 0.025), and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage A (HR 1.54, p = 0.046). The independent risk factors for recurrence by multivariate analysis were the multinodularity (HR 1.94, p = 0.026) and pre-RFA HBV DNA levels ≥2000 IU/mL (HR 1.57, p = 0.039). CONCLUSION. Multinodularity and HBV DNA levels were associated with the recurrence of HBV-related small HCC after RFA.

Noninvasive fibrosis indices predict intrahepatic distant recurrence of hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma following radiofrequency ablation

BACKGROUNDS & AIMS

Intrahepatic recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after radiofrequency ablation (RFA) occurs as a result of direct dissemination or de novo oncogenesis. Hepatocellular carcinogenesis is related to the progression of cirrhosis, and noninvasive fibrosis scoring systems reflect the severity of hepatic fibrosis. Hence, the aim of this study was to elucidate the correlation between noninvasive fibrosis indices and intrahepatic distant recurrence (IDR) of HCC after RFA.

METHODS

Patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related, solitary HCC undergoing RFA were prospectively enrolled. Noninvasive serum fibrosis indices were calculated at the time of RFA. IDR was defined as recurrent HCC beyond >2 cm from the ablation margin of RFA. Predictors of IDR and overall survival were analysed by a Cox regression model.

RESULTS

Two hundred forty-six patients received RFA as initial treatment, and the median follow-up duration was 19.7 months (IQR, 11.9-29.8). Among these cases, 133 (45.9%) showed IDR after RFA. In multivariable analysis, serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) (HR, 1.000; 95% CI, 1.000-1.001; P = 0.001) and age-platelet index (API) (1.19; 1.01-1.39; P = 0.033) were independent predictors of IDR. In particular, patients with API ≤7 showed a significantly higher recurrence-free survival rate than patients with API >7 (P = 0.004). With regard to overall survival, male sex (4.69; 1.52-14.52; P = 0.007), serum bilirubin (2.78; 1.31-5.90; P = 0.008) and AFP (1.000; 1.000-1.001; P = 0.006) were significantly correlated with shortened survival.

CONCLUSION

High levels of AFP and API predict IDR of HBV-related HCC after RFA. Therefore, noninvasive fibrosis indices could play an important role in predicting IDR of HCC following percutaneous ablation.

A model to predict 3-month mortality risk of acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure using artificial neural network

Model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scoring was initiated using traditional statistical technique by assuming a linear relationship between clinical features, but most phenomena in a clinical situation are not linearly related. The aim of this study was to predict 3-month mortality risk of acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure (ACHBLF) on an individual patient level using an artificial neural network (ANN) system. The ANN model was built using data from 402 consecutive patients with ACHBLF. It was trained to predict 3-month mortality by the data of 280 patients and validated by the remaining 122 patients. The area under the curve of receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) was calculated for ANN and MELD-based scoring systems. The following variables age (P < 0.001), prothrombin activity (P < 0.001), serum sodium (P < 0.001), total bilirubin (P = 0.015), hepatitis B e antigen positivity rate (P < 0.001) and haemoglobin (P < 0.001) were significantly related to the prognosis of ACHBLF and were selected to build the ANN. The ANN performed significantly better than MELD-based scoring systems both in the training cohort (AUROC = 0.869 vs 0.667, 0.591, 0.643, 0.571 and 0.577; P < 0.001, respectively) and in the validation cohort (AUROC = 0.765 vs 0.599, 0.563, 0.601, 0.521 and 0.540; P ≤ 0.006, respectively). Thus, the ANN model was shown to be more accurate in predicting 3-month mortality of ACHBLF than MELD-based scoring systems.

Biomarkers for hepatocellular carcinoma: progression in early diagnosis, prognosis, and personalized therapy

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common malignant tumors in the world. Currently, surgical resection, liver transplantation, and local ablation are considered curative therapeutic practices for HCC. The diagnosis of HCC without pathologic confirmation is achieved by analyzing serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels combined with imaging techniques, including ultrasonography, magnetic resonance imaging, and computerized tomography. Although progress has been made in the diagnosis and management of HCC, its prognosis remains dismal. Various new technologies have identified numerous novel biomarkers with potential diagnostic as well as prognostic value, including Dickkopf-1 and Golgi protein 73. These biomarkers not only help in the early diagnosis and prediction of prognosis, but also assist in identifying potential targets for therapeutic interventions. In this article, we provide an up-to-date review of the biomarkers that are used for early diagnosis, prognosis prediction, and personalized treatment of HCC.