Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio associated with mortality in early hepatocellular carcinoma patients after radiofrequency ablation

Dynamic Changes of Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio on Predicting Response of Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors Plus Targeted Therapies for Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Backgrounds and Aims

Multiple regimens of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) plus targeted therapies are commonly prescribed as first-line treatments for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC). Here, we aimed to investigate the correlation between dynamic changes of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and tumor response to the combination of ICIs and targeted therapies for uHCC.

Methods

Sixty-one patients who received ICIs plus targeted therapies for uHCC were enrolled in this retrospective study. The NLR before and at 3-6 weeks after treatments were assessed to calculate the dynamic NLR changes (ΔNLR). Multivariate logistic regression and Cox regression models were used to explore the relationship between dynamic NLR changes and tumor response or progression-free survival (PFS), respectively. Furthermore, we assessed the predictive effect of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) changes in combination with dynamic NLR changes compared to AFP changes alone.

Results

The NLR at 3-6 weeks and ΔNLR after treatments significantly increased in patients who underwent progressive disease (PD), while the baseline NLR showed no significant difference between different tumor responses. Increased NLR and AFP after treatments were both independent predictors of PD (For NLR increase: OR, 2.28; 95% CI, 1.47-3.88, P < 0.001; For AFP increase: OR, 1.46; 95% CI, 1.03-2.17, P = 0.043), and correlated with worse PFS (for NLR increase: HR, 4.08; 95% CI, 1.99-8.36, P < 0.001; for AFP increase: HR, 2.10; 95% CI, 1.04-4.24, P = 0.039). The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and net reclassification index (NRI) showed that the combination of dynamic NLR and AFP changes was better than AFP changes alone on predicting PD (AUC: 0.83 vs 0.68, P = 0.034; NRI: 0.340, P = 0.048) and PFS (AUC: 0.80 vs 0.70, P = 0.166; NRI: 0.431, P = 0.042).

Conclusion

Dynamic changes of NLR might be an effective predictor of the therapeutic response to ICIs plus targeted therapies for uHCC.

C-Reactive Protein-Albumin Ratio (CAR): A More Promising Inflammation-Based Prognostic Marker for Patients Undergoing Curative Hepatectomy for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background

Systemic inflammatory response is a hallmark of cancer and plays a significant role in the development and progression of various malignant tumors. This research aimed to estimate the prognostic function of the C-reactive protein-albumin ratio (CAR) in patients undergoing hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and compare it with other inflammation-based prognostic scores, including the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-lymphocyte ratio, monocyte-lymphocyte ratio, systemic immune inflammation index, prognostic index, Glasgow prognostic score, and modified Glasgow prognostic score.

Methods

Retrospective analysis was conducted on data from 1039 HCC cases who underwent curative liver resection. The prognostic performance of CAR was compared with other scores using the area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (t-ROC) curve. Multivariable Cox regression analyses were performed to confirm independent predictors for disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS).

Results

The area under the t-ROC curve for CAR in the evaluation of DFS and OS was significantly greater than that of other scores and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP). Patients were stratified based on the optimal cut-off value of CAR, and the data revealed that both DFS and OS were remarkably worse in the high-CAR set compared to the low-CAR set. Multivariable Cox analysis demonstrated that CAR was an independent prognostic parameters for assessing DFS and OS. Regardless of AFP levels, all patients were subsequently divided into significantly different subgroups of DFS and OS based on CAR risk stratification. Similar results were observed when applying CAR risk stratification to other scoring systems. CAR also showed good clinical applicability in patients with different clinical features.

Conclusion

CAR is a more effective inflammation-based prognostic marker than other scores and AFP in predicting DFS as well as OS among patients with HCC after curative hepatectomy.

Significant association between high neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio and poor prognosis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Objective

Whether neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is an applicative predictor of poor prognosis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains controversial. In response to the current conflicting data, this meta-analysis was conducted to gain a comprehensive and systematic understanding of prognostic value of NLR in HCC.

Methods

Several English databases, including PubMed, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library, with an update date of February 25, 2023, were systematically searched. We set the inclusion criteria to include randomized controlled trial (RCT) studies that reported the prognostic value of serum NLR levels in patients with HCC receiving treatment. Both the combined ratio (OR) and the diagnosis ratio (DOR) were used to assess the prognostic performance of NLR. Additionally, we completed the risk of bias assessment by Cochrane Risk of Bias Assessment Tool.

Results

This meta-analysis ultimately included 16 studies with a total of 4654 patients with HCC. The results showed that high baseline NLR was significantly associated with poor prognosis or recurrence of HCC. The sensitivity of 0.67 (95% confidence interval [CI]. 0.59-0.73); specificity of 0.723 (95% CI: 0.64-0.78) and DOR of 5.0 (95% CI: 4.0-7.0) were pooled estimated from patient-based analyses. Subsequently, the combined positive likelihood ratio (PLR) and negative likelihood ratio (NLHR) were calculated with the results of 2.4 (95% CI: 1.9-3.0) and 0.46 (95% CI: 0.39-0.56), respectively. In addition, area under the curve (AUC) of the summary receiver operating characteristic (SROC) reflecting prognostic accuracy was calculated to be 0.75 (95% CI: 0.71-0.78). The results of subgroup analysis suggested that high NLR was an effective predictive factor of poor prognosis in HCC in mainland China as well as in the northern region.

Conclusion

Our findings suggest that high baseline NLR is an excellent predictor of poor prognosis or relapse in patients with HCC, especially those from high-incidence East Asian populations.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/#recordDetails, identifier CRD42023440640.

Combination of psoas muscle mass index and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio as a noninvasive prognostic marker in hepatocellular carcinoma patients undergoing radiofrequency ablation

AIM

The psoas muscle index (PMI) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) have been reported as useful noninvasive prognostic markers in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The usefulness of the combination of the PMI and NLR as a prognostic marker in HCC patients undergoing radiofrequency ablation (RFA) is unclear.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the PMI and NLR in 112 patients undergoing RFA, including 40 patients aged 75 years and older (36%). The influence of the PMI and NLR on disease-free survival and overall survival (OS) was analyzed.

RESULTS

There were 66 patients with high PMI and low NLR values (58%), 36 patients with a low PMI or high NLR value (32%), and 10 patients with low PMI and high NLR values (9%). The combination of the PMI and NLR did not show a significant association with the disease-free survival rate. For patients aged ≥75 years, those with both low PMI and high NLR values showed significantly shorter OS periods (log-rank: P < 0.001). In the multivariate analysis, the combination of a low PMI value and high NLR value was significantly associated with shorter survival periods (hazard ratio: 19.72; 95% confidence interval, 4.933-78.8; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

In this study, the combination of PMI and NLR was associated with prognosis in patients with early HCC and preserved liver function. The combination of the PMI and NLR may be a useful and noninvasive prognostic marker in HCC patients aged 75 years and older, as well as in younger patients.

PNI-Based Nomograms to Predict Tumor Progression and Survival for Patients with Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma Undergoing Transcatheter Arterial Chemoembolization

BACKGROUND

The relationship between the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and the prognosis of malignancy has been increasingly mentioned in recent research. This study aimed to construct nomograms based on the PNI to predict tumor progression and survival in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The development set included 785 patients who underwent their first TACE between 2012 and 2016, and the validation set included 336 patients who underwent their first TACE between 2017 and 2018. The clinical outcomes included the time to progression (TTP) and overall survival (OS). Cox regression was applied to screen for independent risk factors of TTP and OS in the development set, and PNI-based nomograms were constructed for TTP and OS. The predictive performance of nomograms was conducted through the C-index, calibration curves, and decision analysis curves in the development set and validation set.

RESULTS

After multivariate analysis, the prognostic predictors of both TTP and OS included portal vessel invasion, extrahepatic metastasis, tumor number, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level, longest tumor diameter, and PNI. Furthermore, the Child-Pugh classification and platelets (PLTs) were independent risk factors for OS only. Nomograms for predicting TTP and OS were constructed using TTP and OS prognostic factors. In the development set and the validation set, the C-index of the TTP nomograms was 0.699 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.680-0.718) and 0.670 (95%CI: 0.638-0.702), and the C-index of the OS nomograms was 0.730 (95%CI: 0.712-0.748) and 0.700 (95%CI: 0.665-0.723), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Nomograms based on the PNI can effectively predict tumor progression and survival in patients with unresectable HCC undergoing TACE.

Preoperative prognostic value of alfa-fetoprotein density in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing radiofrequency ablation

OBJECTIVES

To examine the prognostic value of preoperative alfa-fetoprotein (AFP) density and other clinical factors in patients undergoing percutaneous radiofrequency ablation (RFA) of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

From January 2010 to December 2018, a total of 543 patients undergoing RFA for HCC meeting the Milan criteria were included at our institution. AFP density was calculated as absolute AFP pre-ablation divided by the total volume of all HCC lesions. The survival rates according to AFP density were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional-hazards regression analyses were used to assess predictors of overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS).

RESULTS

The Kaplan-Meier 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates were 98.8%, 88.5%, and 70.4%, respectively, for the low AFP density group, and 98.3%, 74.9%, and 49.4%, respectively, for the high AFP density group. The corresponding PFS rates were 78.9%, 56.7%, and 40.9% (low AFP density group), and 63.6%, 40.8%, and 27.5% (high AFP density group). High AFP density was associated with significantly reduced PFS and OS (both p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis suggested that AFP density was a predictor of OS and PFS.

CONCLUSIONS

Serum AFP density may serve as a promising predictor of survival in patients with HCC undergoing RFA. High AFP density could identify patients who might be prone to recurrence or progression and need close surveillance.

The Clinical Application Value of the Prognostic Nutritional Index for the Overall Survival Prognosis of Patients with Esophageal Cancer: A Robust Real-World Observational Study in China

Esophageal cancer is a kind of cancer with high morbidity and mortality, which is accompanied by a profound poor prognosis. A prognostic nutritional index, based on serum albumin levels and peripheral lymphocyte count, has been confirmed to be significantly associated with various cancers. This study was aimed at exploring the prognostic significance of PNI in the overall survival prognosis of patients with esophageal cancer. As a real-world study based on the big database, clinical data of 2661 patients with esophageal cancer were evaluated retrospectively, and the individuals were randomly divided into training and testing cohorts. In these two cohorts, patients are classified into a high-risk group (PNI < 49) and a low-risk group (PNI ≥ 49). Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to analyze the independent risk factors for the prognosis of esophageal cancer patients by using the Cox proportional hazards regression model. In this study, whether in the training cohort or the testing cohort, according to the univariate analysis, gender, tumor size, tumor grade, T stage, N stage, M stage, TNM stage, and PNI were significantly correlated with overall survival. Furthermore, the multivariate analysis showed that gender, T stage, N stage, M stage, TNM stage, and PNI were independent prognostic risk factors for esophageal cancer. PNI can be regarded as an independent prognostic factor combined with gender, T stage, N stage, M stage, and TNM stage, and it might be a novel reliable biomarker for esophageal cancer.

Preoperative fibrinogen-to-albumin ratio predicts the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma subjected to hepatectomy

Background

Systemic inflammatory response (SIR) plays a crucial role in every step of tumorigenesis and development. More recently, the fibrinogen-to-albumin ratio (FAR), an inflammation-based model, was suggested as a prognostic maker for various cancer patients. This research aimed to estimate the prognostic abilities of FAR, neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio (NLR), monocyte-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), platelet– lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and systemic immune–inflammation index (SII) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) subjected to curative hepatectomy.

Methods

A total of 1,502 cases who underwent hepatectomy for HCC were included. The predictive performances of FAR, NLR, MLR, PLR and SII were assessed with regards to overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). The area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve was used to compare prognostic performances.

Results

Data revealed that FAR had higher predictive accuracy than other inflammation-based models and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) in assessing OS and DFS. Indeed, the OS and DFS of patients with high FAR (> 8.9), differentiated by the optimal cut-off value of FAR, were remarkably reduced (p < 0.05 for OS and DFS). Multivariate Cox regression analyses identified that AFP, FAR, clinically significant portal hypertension, tumor size, Barcelona Clinical Liver Cancer staging system, major resection and blood loss were independent indicators for predicting OS and DFS. Furthermore, these patients could be classified according to their FAR into significantly different subgroups, regardless of AFP levels (p < 0.05 for DFS and OS). Similar results were obtained in other inflammation-based prognostic models.

Conclusions

Compared with NLR, MLR, PLR, SII and AFP, FAR showed significant advantages in predicting survival of HCC patients subjected to liver resection.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12876-022-02328-4.

Prognostic utility of systemic inflammatory markers and chronic hepatitis C virus infection status in hepatocellular carcinoma patients treated with local ablation

Background

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has high incidence and mortality worldwide. Local ablation using radiofrequency ablation (RFA) or microwave ablation (MWA) is potentially curative for early-stage HCC with outcomes comparable to surgical resection. We explored the influence of demographic, clinical, and laboratory factors on outcomes of HCC patients receiving ablation.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study included 221 HCC patients receiving local ablation at Mayo Clinic between January 2000 and October 2018, comprising 140 RFA and 81 MWA. Prognostic factors determining overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were identified using multivariate analysis.

Results

There was no clinically significant difference in OS or DFS between RFA and MWA. In multivariate analysis of OS, pre-ablation lymphocyte-monocyte ratio [Hazard ratio (HR) 0.7, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.58–0.84, P = 0.0001], MELD score [HR 1.12, 95%CI 1.068–1.17, P <  0.0001], tumor number [HR 1.23, 95%CI 1.041–1.46, P = 0.015] and tumor size [HR 1.18, 95%CI 1.015–1.37, P = 0.031] were clinically-significant prognostic factors. Among HCC patients with chronic hepatitis C (HCV) infection, positive HCV PCR at HCC diagnosis was associated with 1.4-fold higher hazard of death, with 5-year survival of 32.8% vs 53.6% in HCV PCR-negative patients. Regarding DFS, pre-ablation lymphocyte-monocyte ratio [HR 0.77, 95%CI 0.66–0.9, P = 0.001], MELD score [HR 1.06, 95%CI 1.022–1.11, P = 0.002], Log² AFP [HR 1.11, 95%CI 1.033–1.2, P = 0.005], tumor number [HR 1.29, 95%CI 1.078–1.53, P = 0.005] and tumor size [HR 1.25, 95%CI 1.043–1.51 P = 0.016] were independently prognostic.

Conclusions

Pre-ablation systemic inflammation represented by lymphocyte-monocyte ratio is significantly associated with OS and DFS in HCC patients treated with local ablation. HCV viremia is associated with poor OS. Tumor biology represented by tumor number and size are strongly prognostic for OS and DFS while AFP is significantly associated with DFS only.

Transcriptional Networks Identify BRPF1 as a Potential Drug Target Based on Inflammatory Signature in Primary Lower-Grade Gliomas

Gliomas are the most common tumors of the central nervous system and are classified into grades I-IV based on their histological characteristics. Lower-grade gliomas (LGG) can be divided into grade II diffuse low-grade gliomas and grade III moderate gliomas and have a relatively good prognosis. However, LGG often develops into high-grade glioma within a few years. This study aimed to construct and identify the prognostic value of an inflammatory signature and discover potential drug targets for primary LGG. We first screened differentially expressed genes in primary LGG (TCGA) compared with normal brain tissue (GTEx) that overlapped with inflammation-related genes from MSigDB. After survival analysis, nine genes were selected to construct an inflammatory signature. LGG patients with a high inflammatory signature score had a poor prognosis, and the inflammatory signature was a strong independent prognostic factor in both the training cohort (TCGA) and validation cohort (CGGA). Compared with the low-inflammatory signature group, differentially expressed genes in the high-inflammatory signature group were mainly enriched in immune-related signaling pathways, which is consistent with the distribution of immune cells in the high- and low-inflammatory signature groups. Integrating driver genes, upregulated genes and drug targets data, bromodomain and PHD finger-containing protein 1 (BRPF1) was selected as a potential drug target. Inhibition of BRPF1 function or knockdown of BRPF1 expression attenuated glioma cell proliferation and colony formation.

Usefulness of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) as a prognostic predictor after treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma." Review article

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is an inflammatory marker which has been investigated as a prognostic indicator in post-therapeutic recurrence and survival of patients with HCC. Our aim was to review all studies that assessed the prognostic value of pre-treatment NLR in predicting patient survival, cancer recurrence, and graft survival in patients undergoing various therapies for HCC. We searched the database of PubMed and Google Scholar to review all studies that have the word "NLR" and the word "HCC." We included all studies that assessed pre-treatment NLR as a prognostic factor in predicting outcomes in HCC patients. We excluded studies that assessed the correlation between post-treatment NLR or dynamic changes in NLR after treatment and HCC outcomes in an effort to minimize the confounding effect of each treatment on NLR. We reviewed 123 studies that studied the correlation between pre-treatment NLR and patient survival, 72 studies that evaluated the correlation between pre-treatment NLR and tumor recurrence, 21 studies that evaluated the correlation between NLR and tumor behavior, and 4 studies that assessed the correlation between NLR and graft survival. We found a remarkable heterogeneity between the methods of the studies, which is likely responsible for the differences in outcomes. The majority of the studies suggested a correlation between higher levels of pre-treatment NLR and poor outcomes. We concluded that NLR is a reliable and inexpensive biomarker and should be incorporated into other prognostic models to help determine outcomes following HCC treatment.

Immunological effect of irreversible electroporation on hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

This study intends to investigate the immunological effects of tumor ablation with irreversible electroporation (IRE).

Methods

We evaluated the systemic immune response in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after IRE treatment. Furthermore, we analyzed the tumor infiltrating T lymphocytes and the level of serum cytokines in IRE and control groups of tumor-bearing mice.

Results

We observed that IRE induced an increase in WBC, neutrophil and monocyte counts and a decrease in lymphocyte count 1 day post-IRE and returned to baseline values within 7 days in the patients. Meanwhile, circulating CD4⁺ T cell subsets, but not CD8⁺, decreased 1 day post-IRE. The activated T cells and natural killer (NK) cells increased, and regulatory T (Treg) cells decreased. Furthermore, a significant increase in cytotoxic CD8⁺ T cells infiltration was observed on ablative tumors in mice. The level of serum IFN-γ also significantly increased in the IRE group.

Conclusions

Our study demonstrated that IRE upregulated activated T cells and downregulated Tregs in the peripheral blood of patients. Meanwhile, the results from the animal model indicated that IRE could induce antitumor adaptive immunity dominated by the infiltration of cytotoxic CD8⁺ T cells into the tumors, accompanied by reduced Tregs.

Clinical Implication of Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index and Prognostic Nutritional Index in Skull Base Chordoma Patients

Inflammation associated markers and nutritional indexes are associated with survival, and act as novel prognostic grading systems in patients with cancer, though the role of these markers in chordoma remains unclear. The current study aimed to characterize systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and prognostic nutritional index (PNI), and their relationship with clinicopathological data and survival in skull base chordoma. Our retrospective study enrolled 183 patients with primary skull base chordoma who received surgical treatment. Clinicopathological data and preoperative blood tests including neutrophil, lymphocyte, platelet counts and albumin level were collected from medical records. Neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet lymphocyte ratio (PLR), SII, PNI were calculated and the optimal cut-off values of these markers were used for further survival analysis via Kaplan–Meier survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. The value of NLR, PLR, SII, and PNI in skull base chordoma ranged from 0.44–6.48, 45.36–273.94, 113.37–1761.45, and 43.40–70.65, respectively. PNI was significantly correlated with patients' sex (p = 0.005) and age (p = 0.037). SII was positively correlated with NLR and PLR, but negatively correlated with PNI. The median overall survival (OS) time was 74.0 months and Kaplan–Meier survival analysis indicated that all four indexes were associated with OS. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis identified that high SII was an independent prognostic factor for poor OS. More importantly, patients with high SII and PNI had the worst outcomes and combined use of SII and PNI increased the predictive ability for patients' survival in skull base chordoma. Our results suggest SII and PNI may be effective prognostic indicators of OS for patients with primary skull base chordoma after surgical resection.

Single-nodule hepatitis B virus-associated hepatocellular carcinoma smaller than 3 cm: two phenotypes defined by cluster analysis and their association with the outcome of ablation as the first-line therapy

OBJECTIVES

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a heterogeneous disease. This study aimed to identify the heterogeneity related to the prognosis of ablation in patients with single-nodule hepatitis B virus (HBV)-associated HCC ≤3 cm.

METHODS

A total of 359 patients with single-nodule HBV-associated HCC ≤3 cm treated with curative thermal ablation were retrospectively investigated. Hierarchical cluster analysis was applied to obtain more homogeneous patient clusters concerning demographic and physiological characteristics. Discriminant analysis was performed to identify the relatively important variables for cluster analysis. Multiple correspondence analysis (MCA) was used to clarify the relationship between clusters and categorical variables. Overall survival (OS) was compared among clusters using the Kaplan-Meier model.

RESULTS

A two-cluster model was identified. Cluster 1 (n = 85) showed a higher percentage of female and older patients, higher inflammation response (higher prognostic nutritional index [PNI] and Glasgow prognostic score [GPS]), worse liver function (higher albumin-bilirubin grade and Child-Pugh grade), and relatively poorer immune status (higher neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio [NLR]) than cluster 2 (n = 274). NLR and GPS were the two most influential variables for cluster analysis (p < .0001). Cluster 2 had a significantly better prognosis than cluster 1. MCA revealed a clear negative correlation between inflammation status and liver function. Compared with cluster 1, the hazard ratios for OS of cluster 2 were 0.47 and 0.52 before and after adjusting for age, respectively (p < .05).

CONCLUSIONS

This study identified two sub-phenotypes of patients with single-nodule HBV-associated HCC ≤3 cm and their association with the outcome of thermal ablation alone as the first-line therapy. Key points Thermal ablation alone as the first-line therapy is not suitable for all patients with single-nodule hepatitis B virus (HBV)-associated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) ≤3 cm. Patients with single-nodule HBV-associated HCC ≤3 cm can be identified as two sub-phenotypes associated with the outcome of thermal ablation alone as the first-line therapy, based on key preoperative clinical characteristics, especially inflammatory response and immune status. Patients with single-nodule HBV-associated HCC ≤3 cm characterized by late-onset disease, worse liver function, poorer immune status, and higher inflammatory response (with higher inflammatory response being the most important factor) are not suitable for thermal ablation alone as the first-line therapy. In contrast, patients with single-nodule HBV-associated HCC ≤3 cm characterized by early-onset disease, better liver function, lower inflammatory response, and good immune status (with lower inflammatory response being the most important factor) are particularly suitable for thermal ablation alone. Implications for patient care In the treatment of patients with single-nodule HBV-associated HCC ≤3 cm, thermal ablation alone as the first-line therapy should be carefully considered after recognizing the key clinical characteristics, among which inflammatory response and immune status are the two most important factors involved in clinical heterogeneity, and inflammatory response is closely related to the prognosis of thermal ablation alone as the first-line therapy for these patients.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma Within the Milan Criteria: A Novel Inflammation-Based Nomogram System to Assess the Outcomes of Ablation

Objectives

Few studies based on pretreatment inflammation-based scores focused on assessing the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients within the Milan Criteria after ablation. This study aimed to construct a nomogram based on a novel inflammation-based score for those patients.

Methods

A total of 635 HCC patients within the Milan Criteria after ablation meeting the inclusion and exclusion criteria were included in the study. The novel inflammation-based score-Albumin-Platelet Score (APS)-was constructed by Cox proportional-hazards modeling. The nomogram based on APS was constructed by multivariate analysis and the "rms" R package. The performance of the APS and the nomogram were assessed by time-dependent receiver operating characteristic and the concordance index (C-index).

Results

The APS was an integrated indicator based on peripheral albumin level and platelet counts, which was significantly superior to other inflammation-based scores (neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, platelet to lymphocyte ratio, Prognostic Nutritional Index, modified Glasgow Prognostic Score, Glasgow Prognostic Score, Prognostic Index, and C-reactive protein/albumin ratio) in predicting the long-term prognosis of those patients undergoing ablation (P < 0.05). An easy-to-use nomogram based on three pretreatment clinical variables (i.e., the APS, tumor size, and age) was constructed and further improved significantly the performance in predicting the prognosis in patients within the Milan Criteria after ablation (P < 0.05). The C-index of nomogram for overall survival was 0.72 (95% CI 0.66, 0.77). The calibration plots with 1000 cycles of bootstrapping were well matched with the idealized 45° line.

Conclusion

The APS was a better inflammation-based prognostic system than others. Also, the nomogram based on the APS improved the performance of predicting the prognosis of HCC patients within the Milan Criteria after ablation.

Peripheral Blood Leukocytes and Platelets Serve as Prognostic Factors in Breast Cancer

Background: Tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes have been reported to be associated with response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy and survival in breast cancer (BC) patients. However, little is known about the value of peripheral blood parameter in predicting the prognosis in BC. Methods: In this study, parameters of complete blood count from 417 BC patients with a median 7.6-year follow-up after surgery were collected and correlated with patient survival. Results: It was found that leukocyte counts were positively correlated with disease-free survival (DFS, p = 0.016) and overall survival (OS, p = 0.014), whereas platelet counts were negatively correlated with DFS (p = 0.003) and OS (p = 0.082) in BC. Leukocyte and platelet counts were independent prognostic factors for the BC patient survival. Besides, the prognostic value of leukocyte and platelet counts was further evaluated in the BC patients with different molecular subtypes. Together, BC patients with high leukocyte counts and low platelet counts had better DFS (p = 0.001) and OS (p = 0.017) than the other patients. Conclusion: Parameters of complete blood count could be acquired easily and serve as cost-effective prognostic biomarkers in BC.

Investigation of the prognostic role of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in Idiopathic Sudden Sensorineural Hearing Loss based on propensity score matching: a retrospective observational study

INTRODUCTION

The aetiology, management and prognosis of idiopathic Sdden Sensorineural Hearing Loss (ISSNHL) are still uncertain despite adequate investigation.

OBJECTIVE

We conducted the present study to investigate the possible relationship between the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and the prognosis of ISSNHL based on PSM.

METHODS

This was a retrospective observational study. Data and statistical analyses were performed using the SPSS statistical program (SPSS 19.0). PSM was performed using STATA (15.0).

RESULTS

NLR = 3.42 was the cut-off value. After PSM, 84 pairs of patients were successfully matched. The number of patients in the effective group with the NLR < 3.42 and NLR < 3.42 were significantly different (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The NLR is an inexpensive and reliable index to predict the ISSNHL. We hold the view that the NLR can be a reliable factor for clinical doctors to predict the prognosis in ISSNHL. To further prove that the NLR is a powerful prognostic factor in ISSNHL, larger prospective studies are required in the future.

Liver stiffness measured by acoustic radiation force impulse elastography predicted prognoses of hepatocellular carcinoma after radiofrequency ablation

The prognostic factors of patients who undergo radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is not fully elucidated. We aimed to investigate the role of liver stiffness (LS) and spleen stiffness (SS) measured by acoustic radiation force impulse (ARFI) elastography in determining the prognoses of patients with HCC after RFA. We prospectively enrolled 173 patients with HCC who underwent ARFI elastography for measurement of LS and SS on the same day of RFA. Overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS) after adjusting for competing mortality, and presence of hepatic decompensation were investigated. Patients with LS > 1.5 m/s had significantly shorter OS and RFS than their counterparts. Anti-viral treatment (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.396, p = 0.015) and LS > 1.5 m/s (HR 4.105, p = 0.028) correlated with OS by a multivariate analysis. Besides, serum alpha fetoprotein >10 ng/mL and LS > 1.5 m/s independently predicted poorer RFS. On the other hand, anti-viral treatment (HR: 0.315, p = 0.010), creatinine > 1.5 mg/dL (HR: 9.447, p = 0.006), and SS > 2.7 m/s (HR: 2.869, p = 0.044) predicted a higher risk of hepatic decompensation. In conclusion, LS but not SS measured by ARFI elastography predicted tumor recurrence and OS in RFA-treated HCC; whereas, SS predicted development of hepatic decompensation in these patients.

Developments in predictive biomarkers for hepatocellular carcinoma therapy

Introduction: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary tumor of the liver and the third largest cause of cancer-relateddeaths worldwide. Potentially curative treatments (surgical resection, radiofrequency or liver transplantation) are only available for few patients, while transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) or systemic agents are the best treatments for intermediate and advanced stage disease. The identification of markers that allow us to choose the best treatment for the patient is urgent.Areas covered: In this review we summarize the potential biological markers to predict the efficacy of all treatment available in patients with HCC and discuss anew biomarker with ahigher potential of success in the next future.Expert opinion: HCC is aheterogeneous disease. Tumors are heterogeneous in terms of genetic alteration,with spatial heterogeneity in cellular density, necrosis and angiogenesis.This heterogeneity may affect prognosis and treatment. Tumor heterogeneity can be difficult to quantify with traditional imaging due to subjective assessment of images; the same for sampling biopsy, which evaluates only asmall part of the tumor. We think that combining multi-OMICSwith radiomics represents apromising strategy for evaluating tumor heterogenicity and for identifying biomarkers of response and prognosis.

A novel prognostic score model based on combining systemic and hepatic inflammation markers in the prognosis of HBV-associated hepatocellular carcinoma patients

Objectives: The study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of systemic inflammation markers [neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI)] and hepatic inflammation markers [aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), γ-glutamyl transferase (γ-GT)/alanine aminotransferase (ALT)] in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-associated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and further to develop a novel prognostic score model. Methods: A total of 401 cases with HBV-associated HCC who underwent hepatectomy as initial therapy were included in the analysis. Kaplan-Meier was performed to construct survival curves and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to detect the optimal cut-off value of markers. The prognostic score model was constructed using significant inflammation markers in the Cox model. Each factor was given a score of 1 and patients were stratified according to the scores. Results: In the Cox model, α-fetoprotein (AFP), ALT, tumour differentiation, maximum size of tumours, TNM stage, PNI and γ-GT/ALT were independently prognostic factors. We established a preoperative inflammation-based prognostic scoring model combining PNI and γ-GT/ALT. The novel preoperative inflammation-based prognostic score was superior (area under the curve [AUC], 0.659) to 7^th tumour-node-metastasis (TNM) stage (AUC, 0.600) despite no statistical significance (p = .1036). Conclusion: PNI and γ-GT/ALT are independent predictors for prognosis. The novel prognostic score model based on systemic and hepatic inflammation markers is suitable for the prognosis evaluation in patients with HBV-associated HCC.

The systemic inflammatory response as a source of biomarkers and therapeutic targets in hepatocellular carcinoma

The pathogenesis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) strongly relates to inflammation, with chronic up-regulation of pro-inflammatory mediators standing as a potential unifying mechanism that underscores the origin and progression of HCC independent of aetiology. Activation of the diverse pro-inflammatory mediators either within the tumour or its microenvironment is part of an active cross-talk between the progressive HCC and the host, which is known to influence clinical outcomes including recurrence after radical treatments and long-term survival. A number of clinical biomarkers to measure the severity of cancer-related inflammation are now available, most of which emerge from routine blood parameters including neutrophil, lymphocyte, platelet counts, as well as albuminaemia and C-reactive protein levels. In this review, we summarise the body of evidence supporting the biologic qualification of inflammation-based scores in HCC and review their potential in facilitating the prognostic assessment and treatment allocation in the individual patient. We also discuss the evidence to suggest modulation of tumour-promoting inflammation may act as a source of novel therapeutic strategies in liver cancer.

Predictive Effects of Inflammatory Scores in Patients with BCLC 0-A Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Hepatectomy

Background: Inflammatory markers are regarded as prognostic factors of the outcomes of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Examples include the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR); platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR); the albumin and lymphocyte counts used in the prognostic nutritional index (PNI); and the neutrophil, lymphocyte, and platelet counts used in the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII). This study evaluates the effects of PNI, NLR, PLR, and SII to predict recurrence and survival in patients with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stages 0-A of HCC after hepatectomy. Methods: This retrospective study was conducted at Kaohsiung Chung-Gung Memorial Hospital, Taiwan. The study enrolled 891 patients (77.9% males; mean age 58.53 ± 11.60 years) with BCLC stage 0/A HCC undergoing hepatectomy between 2001 and 2016. PNI, NLR, PLR and SII were measured before hepatectomy. Results: High NLR (>1.8) was adversely associated with overall survival (p = 0.032). Low PNI (≤45) was adversely associated with overall survival and disease-free survival (p < 0.001). Low SII (≤45) also had an adverse association with overall survival (p = 0.008) and disease-free survival (p < 0.001). Diabetes mellitus, cirrhosis, microvascular invasion, low PNI (≤45), and low SII (≤160) were independently associated with poor overall survival in a multivariate analysis. HCV infection, diabetes mellitus, cirrhosis, microvascular invasion, low PNI, and low SII were independent prognostic factors of recurrent HCC. The combined use of PNI and SII provided improved prognostic information. Conclusions: Low PNI and low SII are significantly poor prognostic factors for overall survival and recurrence in patients with BCLC 0-A hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy.

Improved Prediction of Survival by a Risk Factor-Integrating Inflammatory Score in Sorafenib-Treated Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Inflammation affects progression of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We therefore postulate that systemic inflammatory markers could help to predict prognosis in HCC patients receiving sorafenib therapy.

METHODS

Overall survival (OS) of HCC patients receiving palliative sorafenib treatment was correlated with the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), C-reactive protein to albumin ratio (CAR), Glasgow prognostic score (GPS) and the modified GPS (mGPS) along with clinicopathological parameters. Predictors of OS were assessed by multivariable Cox regression and receiver operating characteristics and area under the curve (ROC-AUC) analyses.

RESULTS

Patients receiving sorafenib (n = 120) for advanced HCC (Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage C) were explored by retrospective analysis. Findings were subsequently validated by a second HCC cohort (n = 113) receiving sorafenib at two independent treatment centers. Multivariable assessment across these HCC cohorts confirmed a stable association of CAR (p ≤ 0.001), GPS (p ≤ 0.01) and mGPS (p ≤ 0.004) with OS. This study also identified Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance score (p < 0.001) and portal thrombosis (p = 0.002) as prognostic factors and uncovered an inconsistent OS association of NLR and PLR in HCC patients. Additional combined analysis of ECOG, portal thrombosis and GPS within an extended score (GPS-EP) was associated with OS (p = 0.021), which was confirmed within the validation cohort (p = 0.001). In sorafenib-treated HCC, the ROC-AUC value for the prediction of 12-month survival was 0.761 (CAR >/≤0.37 cut-off, p < 0.001), 0.766 (GPS, p < 0.001) and 0.754 (mGPS, p < 0.001), respectively. In comparison to this, GPS-EP achieved a higher AUC of 0.826 (0.746-0.907) for the 12-month survival prediction, resulting in a 64.4% sensitivity and 83.3% specificity at a > 2 point cut-off.

CONCLUSIONS

Inflammatory scores obtained before sorafenib treatment initiation are associated with OS in advanced HCC. Their combination with other risk factors improves prediction of 3- and 12-month survival, which could guide treatment decisions in selected patient subgroups.

Association between neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, socioeconomic status, and ethnic minority with treatment outcome in hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Patients with lower socioeconomic status (SES), ethnic minorities and elevated neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) have been suggested to have worse outcomes in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, how changes in NLR after intervention relate to survival has not been elucidated.

OBJECTIVES

We evaluated the association of NLR with overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) in a large institutional cohort of HCC.

METHODS

We reviewed all patients diagnosed with HCC between 2005-2016. The association between elevated NLR (> 4) and survival was examined with univariable and multivariable Cox regression.

RESULTS

We identified 991 patients diagnosed with HCC. Lower SES and Hispanic and non-Hispanic Black ethnicity were significantly associated with lower NLR (p = 0.015 and 0.019, respectively). Elevated NLR, but not SES or ethnicity, was an independent predictor of worse OS (HR = 1.66, p < 0.001) and PFS (HR = 1.25, p = 0.032). The median OS in patients with elevated NLR was 8 months, compared to 42 months in patients with normal NLR. Patients with elevated NLR unresponsive to treatment and those with NLR that became elevated after treatment had significantly worse 3-year OS (47% and 44%, respectively), compared to patients whose NLR remained normal or normalized after treatment (72% and 80%, respectively; p < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study showed that elevated NLR, but not SES or ethnicity, is an independent prognostic marker for OS and PFS in patients with HCC. NLR trends following intervention were highly predictive of outcome. NLR is easy to obtain and would provide valuable information to clinicians in evaluating prognosis and monitoring response after procedures.

The neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio ≥3.5 is a prognostic marker in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma: a retrospective analysis from the database of the Italian regional network 'Rete Ematologica del Lazio per i Linfomi' (RELLI)

In solid tumors and lymphomas, the neutrophil/lymphocyte (N/L) ratio at diagnosis has been shown to be a prognostic factor. The aim of our study was to validate the originally reported N/L ratio cut-point of 3.5 in patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) registered in an Italian real-life database. The prognostic role of the N/L ratio at diagnosis on event-free survival (EFS) and overall survival (OS) was assessed in 505 patients with DLBCL. Patients with an N/L ratio <3.5 (n = 249) had a 4-year EFS probability of 76% and OS probability of 86%, significantly higher than the 4 year EFS rate of 48% and OS rate of 64% in patients with N/L ratio ≥3.5 (n = 256, both p<.0001). The N/L ratio was an independent prognostic factor in the multivariate analysis including the IPI score, and could separate patients with a low/intermediate risk IPI (IPI <3).

Predicting hepatocellular carcinoma recurrences: A data-driven multiclass classification method incorporating latent variables

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), a malignant form of cancer, is frequently treated with surgical resections, which have relatively high recurrence rates. Effective recurrence predictions enable physicians' timely detections and adequate therapeutic measures that can greatly improve patient care and outcomes. Toward that end, predictions of early versus late HCC recurrences should be considered separately to reflect their distinct onset time horizons, clinical causes, underlying clinical etiology, and pathogenesis. We propose a novel Bayesian network-based method to predict different HCC recurrence outcomes by considering the respective recurrence evolution paths. Typical patient information obtained in early stages is insufficiently informative to predict recurrence outcomes accurately, due to the lack of subsequent patient progression information. Our method alleviates such information deficiency constraints by incorporating an independent latent variable, dominant recurrence type, to regulate recurrence outcome predictions (early, late, or no recurrence). We use a real-world HCC data set to evaluate the proposed method, relative to three prevalent benchmark techniques. Overall, the results show that our method consistently and significantly outperforms all the benchmark techniques in terms of accuracy, precision, recall, and F-measures. For increased robustness, we use another data set to perform an out-of-sample evaluation and obtain similar results. This study thus contributes to HCC recurrence research and offers several implications for clinical practice.

Prognostic Value of the Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio in Nonmuscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer Treated with GreenLight Laser Vaporization

Objective: An elevated neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is significantly associated with poor outcomes in many types of malignancies, including bladder cancer. However, the prognostic value of NLR in patients with nonmuscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) treated with GreenLight photoselective vaporization of bladder tumor (PVBT) has not been well studied. In this study, we aimed to explore the association between NLR and survival outcomes in patients with NMIBC who underwent PVBT. Materials and methods: We retrospectively investigated 463 patients with NMIBC who underwent PVBT in Tianjin Union Medical center from January 2012 to January 2017. The patients were divided into two groups based on the NLR value (NLR ≥2.5 and NLR <2.5). Overall survival (OS), cancer-specific survival (CSS), and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were determined using Kaplan-Meier analysis and the log-rank test. Results: Among 463 patients, age, tumor size, tumor focality, tumor grade, or tumor stage in the two groups did not differ significantly. The median follow-up was 40 months (range, 15-60). Thirty-eight patients (8.2%) died of any cause; 24 (5.2%) patients died of bladder cancer. In addition, 88 (19.0%) patients experienced disease recurrence. Elevated NLR was significantly associated with poor OS (χ² = 7.457, p = 0.002), CSS (χ² = 6.242, p = 0.012), and RFS (χ² = 5.372, p = 0.020) in patients with NMIBC who underwent PVBT. Conclusions: Elevated preoperative NLR was significantly associated with poor OS, CSS, and RFS, and it could be considered as an effective and convenient prognostic biomarker for patients with NMIBC who were treated with PVBT.

Prognostic markers affecting the early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma with liver cirrhosis after curative resection

Background:

Early recurrence is associated with poor prognosis after curative resection for hepatocellular carcinoma. Thus, we studied which factors, including this inflammation-based scoring system, affect disease recurrence in single hepatocellular carcinoma patients with liver cirrhosis.

Methods:

A total of 430 consecutive hepatocellular carcinoma patients were enrolled in our institution between January 2002 and December 2015. Survival rate, univariate, and multivariate analyses were performed to identify the variables associated with recurrence and early recurrence especially.

Results:

The overall survival rate was significantly lower in the early recurrence group than in the non-early recurrence group ( P<0.001). According to the multivariate analysis, protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist (PIVKA) greater than 200 ( P=0.035), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio greater than 2.0 ( P<0.001), elevated Glasgow prognostic score ( P=0.003), tumor size greater than 5 cm ( P=0.002), and the presence of lymphovascular invasion ( P=0.002) were significantly different among the groups and affected the early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma. The patients were categorized into five levels of risk for early recurrence according to the number of independent risk factors, and patients with no risk factors were set as the reference group.

Conclusion:

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, Glasgow prognostic score, and serum level of PIVKA offer significant prognostic information associated with early recurrence following single lesion hepatocellular carcinoma patients with liver cirrhosis after curative resection.

Development of a New Nomogram Including Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio to Predict Survival in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Undergoing Transarterial Chemoembolization

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has recently been reported to predict the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We explored whether NLR predicted the survival of patients with HCC undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE), and developed a predictive model. In total, 1697 patients with HCC undergoing TACE as first-line therapy at two university hospitals were enrolled (derivation set n = 921, internal validation set n = 395, external validation set n = 381). The tumor size, tumor number, AFP level, vascular invasion, Child–Pugh score, objective response after TACE, and NLR, selected as predictors of overall survival (OS) via multivariate Cox’s regression model, were incorporated into a 14-point risk prediction model (SNAVCORN score). The time-dependent areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curves for OS at 1, 3, and 5 years predicted by the SNAVCORN score were 0.812, 0.734, and 0.700 in the derivation set. Patients were stratified into three risk groups by SNAVCORN score (low, 0–4; intermediate, 5–9; high, 10–14). Compared with the low-risk group, the intermediate-risk (HR 3.10, p < 0.001) and high-risk (HR 7.37, p < 0.001) groups exhibited significantly greater mortality. The prognostic performance of the SNAVCORN score including NLR in patients with HCC treated with TACE was remarkable, much better than those of the conventional scores. The SNAVCORN score will guide future HCC treatment decisions.

Preoperative Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Plus Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Predicts the Outcomes after Curative Resection for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

In recent years, inflammation-based scoring systems have been reported to predict survival in Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC). The aim of our study was to validate combined preoperative Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte ratio (NLR)-Platelet-to-Lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in predicting overall survival (OS) and recurrence free survival (RFS) in patients who underwent curative resection for HCC.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study of HCC patients underwent liver resection with curative intent from January 2010 to December 2013. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to determine the optimal cut-off values for NLR and PLR. Patients with both NLR and PLR elevated were allocated a score of 2; patients showing one or neither of these indices elevated were accorded a score of 1 or 0, respectively.

RESULTS

132 patients with a median age of 66 years (range 18-87) underwent curative resection for HCC. Overall morbidity was 30.3%, 30-day mortality was 2.3%, and 90-day mortality was 6.8%. At a median follow-up of 24 months (range 1-88), 25% patients died, and 40.9% had recurrence. On multivariate analysis, elevated preoperative NLR-PLR was predictive of both OS (HR 2.496; CI 1.156-5.389; p=0.020) and RFS (HR 1.917; CI 1.161-3.166; p=0.011). The 5-year OS was 76% for NLR-PLR=0 group, 21.7% for the NLR-PLR=1 group, and 61.1% for the NLR-PLR=2 group, respectively. The 5-year RFS was 39.3% for the NLR-PLR=0 group, 18.4% for the NLR-PLR=1 group, and 21.1% for the NLR-PLR=2 group, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The preoperative NLR-PLR is predictive of both OS and RFS in patients with HCC undergoing curative liver resection.

Utility and Limitation of Preoperative Neutrophil Lymphocyte Ratio as a Prognostic Factor in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background

The neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been proposed to be a surrogate marker of inflammation and immunological status and to have prognostic value in various malignancies. This study was conducted to clarify the prognostic significance of preoperative NLR in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods

We enrolled 135 patients with histologically-proven HCC who underwent initial curative hepatectomy. Based on the median NLR values, patients were divided into: NLR ≥ 2.0 (NLR-high, n = 69) and NLR < 2.0 (NLR-low, n = 66).

Results

In univariate analysis, the 5-year overall survival (OS) rates were 59.8 % ± 6.7% and 75.6% ± 6.5% (P = 0.028) in the NLR-high and NLR-low groups, respectively. Furthermore, the 5-year disease specific survival rates were 68.6% ± 6.7%, and 81.2 ± 6.4% (P = 0.048) in the NLR-high and NLR-low groups, respectively.

Conclusion

Our results showed that high NLR was an independent predictor for OS in hepatectomy-treated HCC, suggesting that NLR may be a novel prognostic biomarker for HCC. On the other hand, NLR also has a limitation to predict postoperative prognosis of HCC patients by itself.

Pretreatment Inflammation-Based Markers Predict Survival Outcomes in Patients with Early Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Radiofrequency Ablation

The prognostic significance of various systemic inflammation‐based markers has been explored in different cancers after surgery. This study aimed to investigate whether these markers could predict outcomes in patients with early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing radiofrequency ablation (RFA). One hundred eighteen patients with newly diagnosed HCC within the Milan criteria receiving RFA as initial therapy were retrospectively enrolled. Pretreatment inflammation-based markers including the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and prognostic nutritional index (PNI), together with other clinicopathologic parameters were collected. Cumulative overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method and by multivariate analysis using Cox proportional hazard model. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates of patients were 90%, 67%, and 52%, respectively. Kaplan-Meier curves showed that baseline high NLR ≥ 2.5 (p = 0.006), low PNI < 40 (p = 0.005), history of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) (p = 0.005), non-Child-Pugh class A (p = 0.001) and elevated alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) ≥ 200 ng/mL (p = 0.005) significantly associated with the poor OS, whereas high PLR ≥ 100 did not. By multivariate analysis, high NLR ≥ 2.5 (hazard ratio (HR) 1.94; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.05–3.59; p = 0.034), low PNI < 40 (HR 0.38; 95% CI, 0.20–0.72; p = 0.003), ESRD history (HR 3.60; 95% CI, 1.48–8.76; p = 0.005) and elevated AFP ≥ 200 ng/mL (HR 4.61; 95% CI, 1.75–12.13; p = 0.002) were independent factors. An elevated AFP level of ≥200 ng/mL was the significant factor associated with intrahepatic new RFS by univariate and multivariate analyses. In conclusion, pretreatment NLR and PNI are simple and useful predictors for OS in patients with early-stage HCC after RFA.

Radiofrequency ablation of hepatocellular carcinoma: a meta-analysis of overall survival and recurrence-free survival

Background and aims

So far, no randomized trial or meta-analysis has been conducted on overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) factors in patients treated with radiofrequency ablation (RFA) alone. The purpose of this meta-analysis was to evaluate prognostic factors of OS and RFS in patients treated with RFA.

Methods

A primary analysis was planned to evaluate the clinical prognostic factor of OS. RFS was the secondary aim. Thirty-four studies published from 2003 to 2017 were analyzed. They included 11,216 hepatocellular carcinoma patients.

Results

The results showed that Child-Pugh B vs Child-Pugh A (HR =2.32; 95% CI: 2.201-2.69; P<0.0001) and albumin-bilirubin score 1 vs 0 (HR =2.69; 95% CI: 2.10-3.44; P<0.0001) were predictive of poor OS. Tumor size as a continuous variable was not predictive of OS, although it was predictive of OS when we considered the size as a cutoff value (.2 cm vs <2 cm: HR =1.41; 95% CI: 1.23-1.61; P<0.0001; >3 cm vs <3 cm: HR =1.43; 95% CI: 1.17-1.74; P<0.0001) and in presence of >1 nodule (HR =1.59; 95% CI: 1.46-1.74; P<0.0001). Alpha-fetoprotein >20 ng/mL (HR =1.46; 95% CI: 1.25-1.70; P<0.0001) was the only predictive factor of poor prognosis.

Conclusion

Our meta-analysis highlighted that the maximum benefit of RFA in terms of OS and RFS is reached in the presence of Child-Pugh A, albumin-bilirubin score 1, single-nodule tumor sized <2 cm, and alpha-fetoprotein <20 ng/mL.

Study to evaluate the immunomodulatory effects of radiofrequency ablation compared to surgical resection for liver cancer

Introduction: Hepatic cancer is a highly lethal tumour with increasing worldwide incidence. These tumours are characterized by the proliferation of malignant cells, generalised immunosuppression and chronic inflammation marked with an increase in inflammatory markers as a neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), the platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and overexpression of CD4+CD39+ on T lymphocytes. The studies have outlined immunomodulatory changes in liver cancer patients as the plausible explanation for the better survival. The aim of this pilot study was understand the possible immunomodulatory effect of radiofrequency (RF) energy and liver resection (non-radiofrequency based devices; non-RF device) in relation to NLR, PLR and expression of CD4+CD39+ T lymphocytes and compare the magnitude of these changes. Material and Methods: In the present study, 17 patients with hepatic cancer were prospectively divided into treatment groups radiofrequency ablation (RFA group) and Liver resection using non-RF devices (LR group). A blood sample was collected from each patient, one month before and after the procedure and compared with the blood samples of age-matched healthy volunteers for group wise comparison. The Mann-Whitney U test, Mc Nemar test and Wilcoxon rank test were used for statistical comparisons as appropriate. Results: A decrease in NLR was reported after RFA from 4.7±3.3 to 3.8±1.8 (P=0.283), in contrary to an increase from 3.5±2.8 to 4.5±3.2 (P=0.183) in LR group. Likewise, a decrease was discerned in PLR following RFA from 140.5±79.5 to 137±69.2 respectively (P=0.386) and increase in the LR group from 116±42.2 to 120.8±29 respectively (P=0.391). A significant decrease in CD4+CD39+ lymphocytes from 55.8±13.8 to 24.6±21.1 (P=0.03) was observed in RFA group whilst a significant increase was reported in LR group from 47.6±8.8 to 55.7±33.2 (P=0.38). Conclusion: Studies have shown that decrease in the NLR, PLR and expression of CD4+CD39+ on T lymphocytes as the marker of better survival in hepatic cancer patients and our findings have confirmed that these changes can be induced following application of RF energy. Moreover, this could be the explanation of better survival observed in different studies using RFA or other RF-based devices in comparison to non-RF based liver resection techniques. However, further larger studies are needed to confirm these findings.

The dynamic change of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio can predict clinical outcome in stage I-III colon cancer

Whether the dynamic change of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (delta-NLR) can predict the outcome in various malignancies remained controversial. The delta-NLR has not been evaluated in colon cancer. Thus, we conducted the study to evaluate the predictive value of the delta-NLR in patients with colon cancer who underwent curative resection. Three-hundred and fifty-four patients with stage I-III colon cancer were retrospectively analysed. Clinicopathological features, preoperative NLR and postoperative NLR were collected. Prognostic factors were evaluated by univariate and multivariate analysis. The one, three and five-year overall survival rate in the delta-NLR < 0 group was 98.2%, 90.7% and 83.6%, respectively; and in the delta-NLR ≥ 0 group was 98.4%, 96.9% and 95.3%, respectively (log-rank test, P = 0.002). Univariate and multivariate analysis showed that there was a strong relationship between delta-NLR and overall survival. In conclusion, the delta-NLR was an independent prognostic factor for overall survival in early stage colon cancer. Patients with increased delta-NLR had an favourable clinical outcome.

The prognostic significance of preoperative neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma receiving hepatectomy: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Numerous reports have indicated that preoperative Neutrophil-Lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was correlated with the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma who underwent hepatectomy. However, the results still remained controversial. Therefore, the present meta-analysis of 17 studies was performed to evaluate the prognostic value of preoperative NLR in HCC patients.

METHOD

Databases of PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library and Web of Science were retrieved. Hazard Ratio (HR) or Odds Ratio (OR) with its 95% confidence intervals (CI) was used to evaluate the association between preoperative NLR and the prognosis or clinical features of HCC patients.

RESULT

A total of 17 studies eventually were included in this meta-analysis. Elevated preoperative NLR had a close relationship with the overall survival (OS) (HR 1.52; 95% CI 1.37-1.69), recurrence-free survival (RFS) (HR 1.64; 95% CI 1.44-1.87) and disease-free survival (DFS) (HR 1.50; 95% CI 1.35-1.67) of hepatocellular carcinoma. Additionally, preoperative NLR was also associated with tumor vascular invasion (OR 2.08; 95% CI 1.60-2.70), HBV (OR 0.68; 95% CI 0.51-0.90) and large tumor size (OR: 4.07; 95% CI 2.60-6.37).

CONCLUSION

The present meta-analysis indicated that preoperative NLR had significant association with the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma patients and may be an effectively prognostic indicator.

Combined neutrophil/platelet/lymphocyte/differentiation score predicts chemosensitivity in advanced gastric cancer

Background

Gastric cancer is common in developing regions, and we hope to find out an economical but practical prognostic indicator. It was reported that pre-treatment peripheral neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), as well as differentiation status, were associated with cancer progression. Hence, we introduced a novel combined Neutrophil/platelet/lymphocyte/differentiation Score (cNPLDS) to improve the prediction value of palliative chemotherapeutic response in advanced gastric cancer.

Methods

According to statistical sample size estimation, 136 primary diagnosed unresectable advanced ptaients were included for a retrospective study. The follow-up end-point was progression free survival (PFS) during the first-line palliative chemotherapy. Differentiation stratified patients into well, medium and poor groups by score 1 to 3, while patients with neither elevated NLR and PLR, only one elevated, or both elevated were of the combined NLR-PLR score (cNPS) 1 to 3, respectively. The cNPLDS was calculated by multiplying the tumor differentiation score and cNPS.

Results

Determined by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the optimal cut-off points for NLR and PLR were 3.04 and 223. Through univariate analysis and survival analysis, poor differentiation, high NLR, high PLR, high cNPS, and high cNPLDS respectively indicated inferior PFS during the first-line palliative chemotherapy. Patients were furhter classified into low to high risk groups by cNPLDS. Groups of elevated NLR, PLR, cNPS, and cNPLDS showed lower disease control rate. Compared to other parameters, cNPLDS significantly improved the accuracy in predicing the first-progression.

Conclusions

This study indicates that the novel parameter cNPLDS is superior to NLR or PLR alone, or even cNPS, in predicting the first-line chemosensitivity in advanced gastric cancer.

Predictive value of the preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma in HBV-associated cirrhotic patients after splenectomy

The neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), a simple marker of inflammation, has recently been showed to predict tumor recurrence in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients after hepatic resection or liver transplantation. However, whether it can be used to predict HCC development in cirrhotic patients remained unknown. The aim of this study was to evaluate the predictive value of the preoperative NLR for the development of HCC in cirrhotic patients who underwent splenectomy. A total of 230 HBV-associated cirrhotic patients who underwent splenectomy in our hospital from January 2000 to December 2012 were included in this study. Detailed clinical data included patients’ general characteristics, laboratory tests and imaging studies, surgical procedures and complications. Information on patients’ follow-up data was also obtained. We found that 38 (16.52%) patients developed HCC after splenectomy during the follow-up period. An elevated preoperative NLR was associated with increased risk of developing HCC in cirrhotic patients after splenectomy. The optimal cutoff value of NLR for HCC development was 2.27. In patients who developed HCC during the follow-up period, NLR scores showed no predictive value in overall survival after splenectomy. However, NLR scores appeared to have a much better predictive value in overall survival in patients who did not develop HCC. In conclusion, cirrhotic patients who underwent splenectomy remain at a relatively high risk of developing HCC, and an elevated preoperative NLR is associated with HCC development in cirrhotic patients who underwent splenectomy for hypersplenism.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio as prognostic indicator in gastrointestinal cancers: a systematic review and meta-analysis

An accurate, time efficient, and inexpensive prognostic indicator is needed to reduce cost and assist with clinical decision making for cancer management. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), which is derived from common serum testing, has been explored in a variety of cancers. We sought to determine its prognostic value in gastrointestinal cancers and performed a meta-analysis of published studies using the Meta-analysis Of Observational Studies in Epidemiology guidelines. Included were randomized control trials and observational studies that analyzed humans with gastrointestinal cancers that included NLR and hazard ratios (HR) with overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), progression-free survival (PFS), and/or cancer-specific survival (CSS).

We analyzed 144 studies comprising 45,905 patients, two-thirds of which were published after 2014. The mean, median, and mode cutoffs for NLR reporting OS from multivariate models were 3.4, 3.0, 5.0 (±IQR 2.5-5.0), respectively. Overall, NLR greater than the cutoff was associated with a HR for OS of 1.63 (95% CI, 1.53-1.73; P < 0.001). This association was observed in all subgroups based on tumor site, stage, and geographic region. HR for elevated NLR for DFS, PFS, and CSS were 1.70 (95% CI, 1.52-1.91, P < 0.001), 1.64 (95% CI, 1.36-1.97, P < 0.001), and 1.83 (95% CI, 1.50-2.23, P < 0.001), respectively.

Available evidence suggests that NLR greater than the cutoff reduces OS, independent of geographic location, gastrointestinal cancer type, or stage of cancer. Furthermore, DFS, PFS, and CSS also have worse outcomes with elevated NLR.

A nomogram for predicting prognostic value of inflammatory biomarkers in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND

Hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) in china is a critical clinical syndrome with a high short-term mortality. This study aimed to construct and validate a model for neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR)-based nomogram for 3-month mortality estimation for patients with ACLF.

METHODS

The nomogram was based on a retrospectively study of 96 patients with ACLF. The predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of nomogram were evaluated by a concordance index (C-index), and calibration curve, comparing with model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score. The results were validated using bootstrap resampling and an external cohort of 88 patients.

RESULTS

A total of 184 patients with ACLF were enrolled, with 3-month mortality of 40.76%. The cut-off value for NLR was 5.7 using X-tile program. Patients with NLR>5.7 had significantly higher mortality (p<0.001). On multivariate analysis of the training cohort, independent factors for survival were age, NLR and total bilirubin, which were all selected into the nomogram. The calibration curve for probability of survival showed optimal agreement between prediction by nomogram and actual observation. The C-index of nomogram was higher than that of MELD score for predicting survival (0.72 vs 0.56). The results were confirmed in validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed nomogram with NLR resulted in more accurate prognostic prediction for patients with HBV-related ACLF.

The pretreatment neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio may predict prognosis of patients with liver cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

At present, several studies have reported that the pretreatment neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) may be associated with the prognosis of liver cancer. Nevertheless, their conclusions remain controversial. Thus, we performed a meta-analysis of 54 studies to evaluate the prognostic value of NLR.

METHOD

Databases including PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science were searched to July 2017.

RESULT

A total of 54 studies including 12 979 patients were included in this meta-analysis. Elevated NLR had a close relationship with the overall survival (OS) (HR 1.52; 95% CI 1.39-1.67), recurrence-free survival (RFS) (HR 1.84; 95% CI 1.48-2.30), and disease-free survival (DFS) (HR 1.71; 95% CI 1.39-2.11) of liver cancer, respectively. In addition, elevated NLR was associated with the presence of tumor vascular invasion (OR 2.35; 95% CI 1.93-2.86), multiple tumors (OR 1.38; 95% CI 1.15-1.66), alpha-fetoprotein ≥ 400 ng/mL (OR 1.51; 95% CI 1.15-1.98), presence of HbsAg (+) (OR 0.68; 95% CI 0.51-0.90), and cirrhosis (OR: 0.59; 95% CI 0.44-0.80).

CONCLUSION

This meta-analysis indicated that elevated NLR may be an effective and noninvasive indicator for prognosis of patients with liver cancer.

Role of inflammatory markers as hepatocellular cancer selection tool in the setting of liver transplantation

Since the advent of the Milan criteria in 1996 and its widespread adoption for selection of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who would benefit from transplant, there has been an extensive hunt for the ideal clinical biomarker to predict HCC recurrence. This is because Milan lack does not include tumor biology indices and recurrence rates remain in the 15-20% range worldwide. While a 'silver-bullet' biomarker has not been found, several useful inflammatory markers have been identified and used in scoring systems that supersede Milan in their ability to predict HCC recurrence post liver transplantation (LT). In this review, we aim to summarize the role of inflammatory markers paly in the selection of HCC patients awaiting LT.

Risk factors of early recurrence after curative hepatectomy in hepatocellular carcinoma

Early recurrence is common after curative hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma and is associated with poor prognosis. This study aimed to identify risk factors of early recurrence after curative hepatectomy in hepatocellular carcinoma. Overall, 63 patients who underwent curative hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma were enrolled. Patients were divided into the early recurrence group, who developed recurrence within 12 months after hepatectomy (n = 10), and the non-early recurrence group (n = 53). Clinicopathological factors of early recurrence were retrospectively analyzed. Among the 63 patients, 10 (15.9%) patients experienced early recurrence. Univariate analysis showed tumor necrosis (p = 0.012), level of PIVKA-II (prothrombin induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II; p = 0.002), and microvascular invasion (p = 0.029) to be associated with early recurrence. By multivariate analysis, there were significant differences in high PIVKA-II (p < 0.001) and tumor necrosis (p = 0.012) in patients with early recurrence. The optimal cutoff values of PIVKA-II and tumor necrosis were 46 mAU/mL and 3% of total tumor volume, respectively. Patients with a high preoperative PIVKA-II level and extent of tumor necrosis, which are independent risk factors for early recurrence, should be actively treated and monitored closely after hepatectomy.

Impact of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio on survival for hepatocellular carcinoma after curative resection

BACKGROUND

Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) represents a pro-tumor inflammatory environment and host immunity. The aim of this study was to examine the effect of subsequent NLR for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after liver resection.

METHODS

A total of 672 patients had liver resection for HCC were included in this study. NLR at diagnosis of HCC and HCC recurrence were collected. NLR at 2.5 was used as cut-off value to calculate its prognostic effect.

RESULTS

According to NLR cut-off value, the patients with NLR >2.5 had larger tumor size, higher histology grade, and higher rates of tumor multiplicity and vascular invasion. After a median follow-up of 76.3 months, 437 (65.0%) patients had tumor recurrence. The 1-, 3- and 5-year recurrence-free survival were 77.4%, 55.2% and 44.8% in NLR ≤2.5 group, compared to 64.1%, 45.2% and 35.5% in NLR >2.5 group (P = 0.016). When patients had tumor recurrence, 5-year post-recurrent survival was best in the patients staying with NLR ≤2.5 all the time and decreased from 45.9% to 24.6% if NLR was ≤2.5 at resection and became >2.5 at recurrence (P = 0.013).

CONCLUSION

High NLR was an independent unfavorable prognostic factor. Subsequent change of NLR between liver resection and HCC recurrence could predict post-recurrent survival.

Postoperative Prognostic Nutritional Index Predicts Survival of Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma within Milan Criteria and Hypersplenism

BACKGROUND

To investigate the predictable value of postprognostic nutritional index (PNI) for patients who are suffering hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) within Milan criteria and hypersplenism with well-preserved liver function after curative resection.

METHODS

Patients were divided into two groups: group A (postoperative PNI < 53.05, n = 280) and group B (postoperative PNI ≥ 53.05, n = 109), according to cutoff value of receiver-operating characteristic curve. Clinical data, overall survival (OS), and disease-free survival (DFS) were statistically compared between the two groups, and a multivariate analysis was used to identify prognostic factors.

RESULTS

The 1-, 3-, 5-, 7-, and 9-year OS of patients in group A were 93.3, 74.2, 53.6, 39.6, and 33.0%, respectively, and 98.9, 89.5, 79.7, 63.9, and 63.9%, respectively, for patients in group B (P = 0.001). The corresponding 1-, 3-, 5-, 7-, and 9-year DFS was 74.1, 51.1, 41.5, 30.1, 24.0, and 83.8, 64.6, 79.7, 54.0, and 49.9% for patients in the two groups, respectively (P = 0.009). Multivariable analysis revealed postoperative PNI as independent predictors of OS (P = 0.004) and DFS (P = 0.007) in patients with HCC within Milan criteria and hypersplenism after liver resection.

CONCLUSIONS

Postoperative PNI, not preoperative PNI, could predict survival of patients with HCC within Milan criteria and hypersplenism after surgical resection.

A nomogram for predicting prognostic value of inflammatory response biomarkers in decompensated cirrhotic patients without acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND

Inflammation plays a vital role in liver cirrhosis progression and prognosis.

AIM

To investigate the prognostic significance of inflammatory response markers in decompensated cirrhotic patients without acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF).

METHODS

Independent predictors were identified using multivariate Cox model and then assembled into a nomogram to predict survival. Concordance index (C-index) and time-dependent receiver operating characteristics (td-ROC) analysis were adopted to evaluate and compare the performance of nomogram, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores, MELD-Na and Chronic Liver Failure-consortium score for acute decompensated (CLIF-C ADs).

RESULTS

A total of 902 decompensated cirrhotic patients with different aetiologies were enrolled, with 6-month, 1-year and 3-year mortality of 18.6%, 24.4% and 34.8%, respectively. The cut-off values for neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) determined by X-tile program were 5.7 and 1.1 respectively. Patients with NLR>5.7 or LMR≤1.1 had significantly higher mortality (P < 0.001). Independent factors derived from multivariable Cox analysis of development cohort to predict mortality were age, NLR and LMR (hazard ratio (HR): 1.064, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.045-1.084, P < 0.001; HR: 1.124, 95%CI: 1.091-1.158, P < 0.001; HR: 0.794, 95%CI: 0.702-0.898, P < 0.001, respectively). The C-indexes of nomogram were higher than that of MELD score, MELD-Na and CLIF-C ADs for predicting survival. The tdROC and decision curves showed that nomogram was superior to MELD score, MELD-Na and CLIF-C ADs. Similar results were observed in validation cohort.

CONCLUSION

The proposed nomogram with neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio resulted in accurate prognostic prediction for decompensated cirrhotic patients without ACLF.

Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio predicts short term mortality in patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure treated with an artificial liver support system

Aim

Hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure has high short-term mortality. Artificial liver support systems (ALSS) may improve outcome and avoid liver transplantation, but predicting short-term prognosis in such patients is difficult. This study aimed to determine whether the neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio (NLR), an inflammation marker, predicted mortality in patients treated with ALSS.

Methods

A total of 560 patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure were enrolled, 338 were treated with ALSS and the others treated with standard of care(SOC). Clinical variables and the NLR were evaluated for prognostic value.

Results

Thirty-day mortality was 28.4% in ALSS and 55.4% in SOC patients. The NLR was lower in survivors than in ALSS or SOC patients who died. Univariate and multivariate analysis found that NLR and the chronic liver failure sequential organ failure assessment scores(CLIF-SOFA) were independently associated with 30-day mortality. Among patients with NLRs ≤ 3, 3–6, and >6, 30-day mortality was 7.7%,23.1%, and 69.2% in ALSS and 25.5%, 50.0%, and 75.0% in SOC patients. Among patients with NLRs ≤ 3 or 3–6, mortality was lower in ALSS than in SOC patients (P < 0.01). Mortality rates of ALSS and SOC patients with NLRs > 6 did not different (P >0.05). The area under curve of NLR and CLIF-SOFA was 0.82 and 0.88 in ALSS group, 0.78 and 0.86 in SOC group. The results suggest that liver function in most patients with NLRs ≤ 3 recovered with ALSS treatment, and patients with NLRs > 6 needed emergency liver transplantation.

Conclusion

NLR was an independent predictor of mortality in ALSS patients and may assist physicians in determining treatment options.

Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio predicts hospital-acquired bacterial infections in decompensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Bacterial infection is a frequent complication and severe burden in cirrhotic patients. We determined the utility of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) to predict the hospital-acquired (HA) bacterial infections episode in patients with decompensated cirrhosis.

METHODS

We retrospectively included 2066 consecutive decompensated cirrhotic patients from two separate tertiary hospitals, divided into training (n=1377) and validation (n=689) set. All data were collected on admission and all overt bacterial infections occurring after >48h of hospital stay were registered.

RESULTS

The incidence of HA bacterial infections in training and validation cohort was 35.87% and 31.05% respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that total bilirubin (TBil), albumin, white blood cell count (WBC) and NLR were independent predictors of HA bacterial infections. We established a Model_NTWA using these four variables and a Model_TWA which did not include NLR. Areas under the curves (AUC) of Model_NTWA (0.859) and NLR (0.824) were higher than which of Model_TWA (0.713), WBC (0.675), TBil (0.593) and Albumin (0.583). Consistent with training cohort, validation cohort showed similar results. Patients with NLR of at least 4.33 had a significantly lower survival (P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

NLR can be used as a novel noninvasive marker to predict the occurrence of HA bacterial infections in decompensated cirrhotic patients.