Prediction of efficacy of interferon treatment of chronic hepatitis C by multivariate analysis and a new classification

Hepatitis C virus infection and interferon therapy in patients with Down syndrome

BACKGROUND

The clinical features of hepatitis C virus (HCV)-associated liver diseases, or the efficacy of interferon (IFN) therapy in children with Down syndrome (DS) remain to be elucidated. The purpose of the present paper was to survey the features of liver diseases in this subset of children and evaluate the efficacy of IFN treatment in those patients.

METHODS

A questionnaire was sent to 41 members of the Japan Society of Pediatric Hepatology. Ten of them reported on 11 patients with DS who had concomitant chronic HCV infection, providing information on liver disease and the response to IFN treatment.

RESULTS

Interferon therapy of 24 weeks duration using natural IFN-alpha was instituted in six of the 11 patients with DS, but none of the six patients cleared HCV-RNA from their serum. Among 12 age- and sex-matched control children who were treated with IFN using the same regimen against chronic HCV infection, half of them had a favorable response to IFN therapy with a sustained clearance of HCV-RNA from their serum. The major baseline features including alanine aminotransferase levels, HCV genotype and viral load were not apparently different between the six patients with DS and the 12 controls.

CONCLUSIONS

IFN therapy for HCV infection in patients with DS may be unfavorable as compared with non-DS children.

Efficacy of interferon treatment for chronic hepatitis C predicted by feature subset selection and support vector machine

Chronic hepatitis C is a disease that is difficult to treat. At present, interferon might be the only drug, which can cure this kind of disease, but its efficacy is limited and patients face the risk of side effects and high expense, so doctors considering interferon must make a serious choice. The purpose of this study is to establish a simple model and use the clinical data to predict the interferon efficacy. This model is a combination of Feature Subset Selection and the Classifier using a Support Vector Machine (SVM). The study indicates that when five features have been selected, the identification by the SVM is as follows: the identification rate for the effective group is 85%, and the ineffective group 83%. Analysis of selected features show that HCV-RNA level, hepatobiopsy, HCV genotype, ALP and CHE are the most significant features. The results thus serve for the doctors' reference when they make decisions regarding interferon treatment.

Prediction of Efficacy of Interferon Treatment of Chronic Hepatitis C and Occurrence of HCC after Interferon Treatment by a New Classification

One hundred and twenty-one chronic hepatitis C patients were administered interferon (IFN) and divided into two groups: 31 complete responders (CR) with prolonged HCV-RNA negative 1 year after treatment and 90 non-complete responders (non-CR), including partial responders (PR) with transiently negative HCV-RNA and non-responders (NR) with continuously positive HCV-RNA. Liver biopsy specimens were classified into four grades and stages according to the degree of severity and the extent of fibrosis, respectively. No correlation was observed between the rate of IFN efficacy and grading. By staging, however, a difference in the efficacy of IFN was observed between F1 or F2 and F3 (0.05 < p < 0.1 and 0.01 < p < 0.025, respectively). Of the CR, 0% (0/5) were at F0 and 27.9% (24/86) at F1, 42.9% (6/14) at F2, and 6.3% (1/16) at F3. Another group of 118 chronic hepatitis patients (31 CR, 41 PR and 46 NR) followed up for over 2 years after IFN treatment were analyzed. By staging, 7 cases were at F0, 76 at F1, 18 at F2, and 17 at F3. HCC occurred in 1 of the 31 CR cases (representing an annual incidence rate of 1.21%), in 4 of the 41 PR cases (4.08%), and in 4 of the 46 NR cases (3.55%). HCC did not occur in any of the 7 cases at F0 (representing an annual incidence rate of 0%); it occurred in 2 of the 76 cases at F1 (1.01%), in 1 of the 18 cases at F2 (2.28%), and in 6 of the 17 cases at F3 (16.57%). These results suggest that the new classification would be conducive to roughly predicting the efficacy of IFN treatment and the occurrence of HCC after IFN treatment.

Various scoring systems evaluating histologic features of chronic hepatitis C treated with interferon

Various scoring systems for chronic hepatitis have been proposed; however, there is no standard scoring system for studies of interferon (IFN) therapy in patients with chronic hepatitis C. The aims of this study were to determine the most useful system reflecting histologic changes in biopsy specimens from complete responders and predicting the efficacy of IFN therapy. Patients with chronic hepatitis C were administered IFN-alpha for 6 months. Forty-six patients were included in this study and categorized as complete responders (n = 15), partial responders (n = 24), and nonresponders (n = 7) according to viral and biochemical responses to the therapy. Biopsy specimens obtained from each patient before and after treatment were evaluated under 3 different systems: Histological Activity Index (HAI), modified HAI, and Scheuer classification. Complete responders showed considerable improvement in both grade and stage on the modified HAI and Scheuer classifications. On the HAI, a considerable improvement was observed in grade but not in stage. No significant change was observed in partial responders or nonresponders on any system. Prediction of complete response was not possible under any system, but the pretreatment score reflecting piecemeal necrosis on any 1 of the 3 classifications and the fibrosis score on Scheuer classification were predictors of nonresponse. The modified HAI system and Scheuer classification were amply useful in evaluating histologic changes in complete responders. Scores higher than 4 of the categories reflecting piecemeal necrosis on any system and fibrosis scores of 3 or 4 on Scheuer classification predicted nonresponse to IFN therapy.

Quantitative assessment of fibrosis and steatosis in liver biopsies from patients with chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND

Hepatic fibrosis is one of the main consequences of liver disease. Both fibrosis and steatosis may be seen in some patients with chronic hepatitis C and alcoholic liver disease (ALD).

AIMS

To quantitate fibrosis and steatosis by stereological and morphometric techniques in patients with chronic hepatitis C and compare the results with a control group of patients with ALD. In addition, to correlate the quantitative features of fibrosis with the Ishak modified histological score.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Needle liver biopsies from 86 patients with chronic hepatitis C and from 32 patients with alcoholic liver disease (disease controls) were analysed by stereological and morphometric analyses using the Prodit 5.2 system. Haematoxylin and eosin and Picro-Mallory stained sections were used. The area fractions (A(A)) of fibrosis, steatosis, parenchyma, and other structures (bile duct and central vein areas) were assessed by stereological method. The mean diameters of fat globules were determined by morphometric analysis.

RESULTS

Significant differences were found in the A(A) of fibrosis, including fibrosis within portal tract areas, between chronic hepatitis C patients and those with ALD (mean (SD): 19.14 (10.59) v 15.97 (12.51)). Portal and periportal (zone 1) fibrosis was significantly higher (p = 0.00004) in patients with chronic hepatitis C compared with the control group (mean (SD): 9.04 (6.37) v 3.59 (3.16)). Pericentral fibrosis (zone 3) occurred in both groups but was significantly more pronounced in patients with ALD. These results correlate well with the modified Ishak scoring system. However, in patients with cirrhosis (stage 6) with chronic hepatitis C the A(A) of fibrosis varied between 20% and 74%. The diameter of fat globules was significantly lower in patients with hepatitis C (p = 0.00002) than the ALD group (mean (SD): 14.44 (3.45) v 18.4 (3.32)). Microglobules were more frequent in patients with chronic hepatitis C than in patients with ALD. In patients with chronic hepatitis C, the fat globules had a zonal distribution in comparison with pan steatosis in ALD.

CONCLUSION

Quantitative, stereological techniques are simple and reliable for evaluating hepatic fibrosis and steatosis in chronic hepatitis C. They are most useful for assessing the origin, location, and the stage of fibrosis. Stereology and morphometry are recommended for the quantitation of fibrosis and steatosis, particularly for the evaluation of new treatment strategies in patients with chronic hepatitis C.